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Swieqi United vs Zebbug Rangers Result & Analysis

Date: 02/02/2025
Time: 17:30
Final 3-2
Swieqi United
Swieqi United
Vs
46%
28%
26%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Zebbug Rangers
Zebbug Rangers
Malta: Challenge League
Referee: -
1 Model Analysis2 Goal Analysis3 Team Strengths Analysis4 Props Analysis5 Double Chance6 Home & Away Over/Under7 Handicap8 Half Time Goals O/U9 Half Time Home & Away O/U10 Second Half Goals O/U11 Second Half Home & Away O/U
12 Top picks for this game14 Squad value15 Games History16 Overall Statistics17 League Table

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Swieqi United win✓ Hit
45.9%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
28.1%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Zebbug Rangers win✗ Miss
26.1%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

Swieqi UnitedSwieqi United

Last 10 – goals for & against
30-301L20W00D03L31W11D21W10W00D12LH·FGU20/10A·SEN25/10H·MGA03/11A·SIR23/11H·LIJ01/12A·MAR15/12H·MTA21/12H·PIE04/01A·GUD18/01A·VAL25/01
Avg total
1.9
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
0.9
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.371.001.380.921.351.06
vs Stronger (17)1.351.001.830.671.091.18
vs Similar (6)1.501.171.001.252.501.00
vs Weaker (7)1.290.861.001.001.500.75
Clean sheet %33% (+7pp vs league)
This opponent (Zebbug Rangers) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Zebbug RangersZebbug Rangers

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-422D01L12L20W00D11D00D20W24L41WH·LIJ20/10A·ZUR26/10H·SAN02/11A·TAR23/11H·FGU01/12H·GUD14/12A·VAL22/12H·ST.05/01A·MAR19/01H·MTA25/01
Avg total
2.5
Avg scored
1.4
Avg conceded
1.1
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.631.231.690.941.571.57
vs Stronger (28)1.711.251.730.931.691.62
vs Similar (2)0.501.001.001.000.001.00
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %37% (+11pp vs league)
This opponent (Swieqi United) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

7%13%20%26%9%017%126%222%314%47%55%6+
The model estimates around 2.6 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (26%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
74.6%
Under 1.5
25.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
48.3%
Under 2.5
51.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
26.5%
Under 3.5
73.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
53.0%
No
47.0%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
13.4%
1-0
10.0%
2-1
9.2%
0-0
8.6%
2-0
8.5%
0-1
6.8%
1-2
6.6%
2-2
5.0%
Swieqi United goals ↓
Zebbug Rangers goals →
01234
08.6%6.8%4.4%1.6%0.4%
110.0%13%6.6%2.4%0.7%
28.5%9.2%5.0%1.8%0.5%
34.3%4.7%2.5%0.9%0.3%
41.6%1.8%1.0%0.4%0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Swieqi United goals (down), columns = Zebbug Rangers goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Valletta FC
2.68
Tarxien Rainbows
1.77
Fgura United
1.64
Swieqi United
1.64
Pietà Hotspurs
1.59
Zurrieq
1.45
Santa Lucía
1.45
Mgarr United
1.41
St. Andrews
1.32
Marsa
1.32
Sirens
1.23
Gudja United
1.23
Zebbug Rangers
0.95
Mtarfa
0.91
Lija Athletic
0.86
Senglea Athletic
0.64
Swieqi United is 0.68 points better than Zebbug Rangers in terms of average points per game (1.64 vs 0.95).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Valletta FC
2.23
Fgura United
1.68
Sirens
1.68
Santa Lucía
1.64
Pietà Hotspurs
1.55
Swieqi United
1.50
Zurrieq
1.45
Mgarr United
1.45
Marsa
1.45
Gudja United
1.36
Zebbug Rangers
1.32
Tarxien Rainbows
1.32
Lija Athletic
1.14
St. Andrews
1.09
Mtarfa
1.05
Senglea Athletic
0.91
Swieqi United is 0.18 goals better than Zebbug Rangers in terms of goals scored per game (1.50 vs 1.32).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Valletta FC
0.32
Tarxien Rainbows
1.00
Fgura United
1.09
St. Andrews
1.23
Mgarr United
1.27
Swieqi United
1.32
Pietà Hotspurs
1.36
Zurrieq
1.41
Gudja United
1.55
Marsa
1.55
Lija Athletic
1.73
Senglea Athletic
1.73
Mtarfa
1.77
Zebbug Rangers
1.82
Sirens
1.82
Santa Lucía
1.86
Swieqi United is 0.50 goals better than Zebbug Rangers in terms of goals conceded per game (1.32 vs 1.82).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

Swieqi UnitedSwieqi United

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-201L20W00D02L10W00D20W10W00D10WH·FGU20/10A·SEN25/10H·MGA03/11A·SIR23/11H·LIJ01/12A·MAR15/12H·MTA21/12H·PIE04/01A·GUD18/01A·VAL25/01
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.3
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.600.430.460.380.710.47
vs Stronger (17)0.530.410.500.170.550.55
vs Similar (6)1.170.670.750.752.000.50
vs Weaker (7)0.290.290.000.330.500.25
Clean sheet %70% (+44pp vs league)
This opponent (Zebbug Rangers) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Zebbug RangersZebbug Rangers

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-302L01L12L10W00D10W00D10W13L01LH·LIJ20/10A·ZUR26/10H·SAN02/11A·TAR23/11H·FGU01/12H·GUD14/12A·VAL22/12H·ST.05/01A·MAR19/01H·MTA25/01
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.9
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.600.630.690.620.500.64
vs Stronger (28)0.610.640.670.670.540.62
vs Similar (2)0.500.501.000.000.001.00
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %57% (+31pp vs league)
This opponent (Swieqi United) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Swieqi United over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Swieqi United over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Swieqi United over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Zebbug Rangers over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Zebbug Rangers over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Zebbug Rangers over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

Swieqi UnitedSwieqi United

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-200D00D00D01L21W11D01L00D00D02LH·FGU20/10A·SEN25/10H·MGA03/11A·SIR23/11H·LIJ01/12A·MAR15/12H·MTA21/12H·PIE04/01A·GUD18/01A·VAL25/01
Avg total
0.9
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.770.570.920.540.650.59
vs Stronger (17)0.820.591.330.500.550.64
vs Similar (6)0.330.500.250.500.500.50
vs Weaker (7)1.000.571.000.671.000.50
Clean sheet %50% (+24pp vs league)
This opponent (Zebbug Rangers) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Zebbug RangersZebbug Rangers

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
40-420W00D00D10W00D01L00D10W11D40WH·LIJ20/10A·ZUR26/10H·SAN02/11A·TAR23/11H·FGU01/12H·GUD14/12A·VAL22/12H·ST.05/01A·MAR19/01H·MTA25/01
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.2
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.030.601.000.311.070.93
vs Stronger (28)1.110.611.070.271.151.00
vs Similar (2)0.000.500.001.000.000.00
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %57% (+31pp vs league)
This opponent (Swieqi United) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Swieqi United over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Swieqi United over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Swieqi United over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Zebbug Rangers over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Zebbug Rangers over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Zebbug Rangers over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 1.574.6%-------✓ Hit
Under 3.573.5%-------✗ Miss

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
VF (20)
€4m
TR (8)
€1m
SU (2)
€0m
GU (1)
€0m
ZUR (1)
€0m
ZR (1)
€0m
FU (1)
€0m
Swieqi United and Zebbug Rangers have a similar squad value (both €0m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
VF (7)
€2m
TR (2)
€0m
SU (2)
€0m
FU (1)
€0m
GU (0)
€0m
ZUR (0)
€0m
ZR (0)
€0m
Swieqi United and Zebbug Rangers have a similar attack value (both €0m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
VF (5)
€1m
TR (2)
€0m
GU (1)
€0m
SU (0)
€0m
ZUR (0)
€0m
ZR (0)
€0m
FU (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
VF (8)
€2m
TR (4)
€0m
ZUR (1)
€0m
ZR (1)
€0m
SU (0)
€0m
GU (0)
€0m
FU (0)
€0m
Swieqi United and Zebbug Rangers have a similar defence value (both €0m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

2 previous meetings
1
SU wins
0
Draws
1
ZR wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Swieqi United vs Zebbug Rangers · H/A from SU
DateH/AGameScore
11/02/24HSU Vs Zebbug Rangers3-1
03/12/23HSU Vs Zebbug Rangers0-1

Swieqi UnitedSwieqi United

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
25/01/25AValletta FC Vs SU2-1
18/01/25AGudja United Vs SU0-0
04/01/25HSU Vs Pietà Hotspurs1-0
21/12/24HSU Vs Mtarfa2-1
15/12/24AMarsa Vs SU1-1
01/12/24HSU Vs Lija Athletic3-1
23/11/24ASirens Vs SU3-0
03/11/24HSU Vs Mgarr United0-0
25/10/24ASenglea Athletic Vs SU0-2
20/10/24HSU Vs Fgura United0-1

Zebbug RangersZebbug Rangers

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
25/01/25HZR Vs Mtarfa4-1
19/01/25AMarsa Vs ZR4-2
05/01/25HZR Vs St. Andrews2-0
22/12/24AValletta FC Vs ZR0-0
14/12/24HZR Vs Gudja United1-1
01/12/24HZR Vs Fgura United0-0
23/11/24ATarxien Rainbows Vs ZR0-2
02/11/24HZR Vs Santa Lucía1-2
26/10/24AZurrieq Vs ZR1-0
20/10/24HZR Vs Lija Athletic2-2

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Swieqi United
Swieqi United
Malta: Challenge League
Recent: 4 Wins / 3 Draws / 3 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallDWWDL1.80
HomeLDWWW1.91
AwayWLDDL1.70
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %50%57%44%
AVG goals2.422.302.52
Over 1.5 %70%70%70%
Over 2.5 %48%43%52%
Over 3.5 %30%22%37%
Scored1.501.521.48
Conceded0.920.781.04
BTTS46%43%48%
Clean Sheet40%39%41%
Corners---
Cards---
Zebbug Rangers
Zebbug Rangers
Malta: Challenge League
Recent: 3 Wins / 4 Draws / 3 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallDDWLW1.04
HomeLDDWW1.27
AwayDLWDL0.79
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %26%31%21%
AVG goals2.902.813.00
Over 1.5 %80%81%79%
Over 2.5 %48%42%54%
Over 3.5 %40%35%46%
Scored1.261.381.12
Conceded1.641.421.88
BTTS44%46%42%
Clean Sheet30%35%25%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1Valletta FCValletta FC2259
86%
2.7
497+42
2.5
73%
59%
14%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
2122.20.3
-
2Tarxien RainbowsTarxien Rainbows2239
50%
1.8
2922+7
2.3
77%
45%
18%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.31.0
-
3Fgura UnitedFgura United2236
50%
1.6
3724+13
2.8
64%
59%
27%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.71.1
-
4Swieqi UnitedSwieqi United2236
45%
1.6
3329+4
2.8
77%
55%
32%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.51.3
-
5Pietà HotspursPietà Hotspurs2235
45%
1.6
3430+4
2.9
73%
64%
32%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.51.4
-
6ZurrieqZurrieq2232
41%
1.5
3231+1
2.9
82%
45%
27%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.51.4
-
7Santa LucíaSanta Lucía2232
41%
1.5
3641-5
3.5
82%
68%
41%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.61.9
-
8Mgarr UnitedMgarr United2231
32%
1.4
3228+4
2.7
82%
41%
23%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.51.3
-
9MarsaMarsa2229
36%
1.3
3234-2
3.0
77%
55%
36%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.51.5
-
10St. AndrewsSt. Andrews2229
36%
1.3
2427-3
2.3
59%
32%
18%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.11.2
-
11SirensSirens2227
32%
1.2
3740-3
3.5
100%
86%
32%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.71.8
-
12Gudja UnitedGudja United2227
32%
1.2
3034-4
2.9
77%
59%
41%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.41.5
-
13Zebbug RangersZebbug Rangers2221
18%
1.0
2940-11
3.1
86%
55%
41%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.31.8
-
14MtarfaMtarfa2220
27%
0.9
2339-16
2.8
86%
55%
27%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.01.8
-
15Lija AthleticLija Athletic2219
23%
0.9
2538-13
2.9
77%
59%
32%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.11.7
-
16Senglea AthleticSenglea Athletic2214
14%
0.6
2038-18
2.6
82%
55%
23%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.91.7
-
Malta: Challenge League 2024/25 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Malta: Challenge League stats & trends →

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