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Szeged 2011 vs Ajka Result & Analysis

Date: 23/11/2025
Time: 14:00
Final 0-1
Szeged 2011
Szeged 2011
Vs
48%
30%
22%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Ajka
Ajka
Hungary: NB II
Referee: -
1 Model Analysis2 Goal Analysis3 Team Strengths Analysis4 Props Analysis5 Double Chance6 Home & Away Over/Under7 Handicap8 Half Time Goals O/U9 Half Time Home & Away O/U10 Second Half Goals O/U11 Second Half Home & Away O/U
12 Top picks for this game14 Squad value15 Games History16 Overall Statistics17 League Table

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Szeged 2011 win✗ Miss
48.1%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
29.9%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Ajka win✓ Hit
22.0%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

Szeged 2011Szeged 2011

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-401L20W03L20W00D21W01L02L40W00DA·MEZ31/08A·DOR13/09H·SOR21/09H·SZE28/09A·VAS05/10H·BVS19/10A·FEH25/10A·DIO28/10H·BUD02/11A·BUD09/11
Avg total
1.8
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
0.8
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.300.971.500.941.071.00
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (30)1.300.971.500.941.071.00
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %40% (+13pp vs league)
This opponent (Ajka) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

AjkaAjka

Last 10 – goals for & against
30-301L31W13L20W01L12L02L00D12L21WA·CSA31/08H·KIS13/09H·KEC21/09A·BEK28/09H·KAR05/10A·TIS19/10H·KOZ26/10H·TIS29/10H·MEZ02/11H·SOR09/11
Avg total
2.3
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
1.3
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.801.130.871.070.731.20
vs Stronger (2)1.502.001.502.00--
vs Similar (28)0.751.070.770.920.731.20
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %33% (+6pp vs league)
This opponent (Szeged 2011) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

7%14%21%28%12%021%128%220%311%45%53%6+
The model estimates around 2.3 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (28%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
67.2%
Under 1.5
32.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
39.3%
Under 2.5
60.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
19.2%
Under 3.5
80.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
44.7%
No
55.3%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
13.8%
1-0
13.3%
0-0
11.7%
2-0
10.2%
2-1
8.8%
0-1 ✓
7.8%
1-2
5.4%
3-0
4.7%
Szeged 2011 goals ↓
Ajka goals →
01234
012%7.8%3.9%1.1%0.2%
113%14%5.4%1.6%0.3%
210%8.8%3.8%1.1%0.2%
34.7%4.1%1.8%0.5%0.1%
41.6%1.4%0.6%0.2%0.0%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Szeged 2011 goals (down), columns = Ajka goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Vasas
2.13
Budapest Honved
1.97
Kecskeméti TE
1.70
Kozarmisleny FC
1.60
Csakvar
1.53
Mezokovesd-zsory
1.53
BVSC
1.37
Fehérvár FC
1.30
Tiszakecske FC
1.30
Szeged 2011
1.20
Karcag SE
1.17
Soroksar
1.10
Ajka
1.10
Szentlőrinc SE
1.10
Budafoki LC
0.97
Bekescsaba 1912
0.93
Szeged 2011 is 0.10 points better than Ajka in terms of average points per game (1.20 vs 1.10).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Vasas
1.97
Kecskeméti TE
1.63
Budapest Honved
1.63
Csakvar
1.43
Soroksar
1.37
Kozarmisleny FC
1.27
Fehérvár FC
1.23
Tiszakecske FC
1.23
Mezokovesd-zsory
1.23
BVSC
1.20
Szentlőrinc SE
1.17
Budafoki LC
1.10
Szeged 2011
0.97
Karcag SE
0.97
Bekescsaba 1912
0.90
Ajka
0.77
Szeged 2011 is 0.20 goals better than Ajka in terms of goals scored per game (0.97 vs 0.77).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Vasas
0.87
Budapest Honved
0.87
BVSC
1.00
Fehérvár FC
1.10
Szeged 2011
1.13
Mezokovesd-zsory
1.13
Csakvar
1.23
Kecskeméti TE
1.30
Kozarmisleny FC
1.33
Ajka
1.33
Karcag SE
1.37
Bekescsaba 1912
1.40
Szentlőrinc SE
1.40
Tiszakecske FC
1.47
Soroksar
1.50
Budafoki LC
1.63
Szeged 2011 is 0.20 goals better than Ajka in terms of goals conceded per game (1.13 vs 1.33).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

Szeged 2011Szeged 2011

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-201L10W00D00D00D11D01L01L20W00DA·MEZ31/08A·DOR13/09H·SOR21/09H·SZE28/09A·VAS05/10H·BVS19/10A·FEH25/10A·DIO28/10H·BUD02/11A·BUD09/11
Avg total
0.8
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.4
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.570.430.440.440.710.43
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (30)0.570.430.440.440.710.43
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %63% (+36pp vs league)
This opponent (Ajka) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

AjkaAjka

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-200D00D00D00D00D00D01L00D02L10WA·CSA31/08H·KIS13/09H·KEC21/09A·BEK28/09H·KAR05/10A·TIS19/10H·KOZ26/10H·TIS29/10H·MEZ02/11H·SOR09/11
Avg total
0.4
Avg scored
0.1
Avg conceded
0.3
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.400.430.470.330.330.53
vs Stronger (2)1.500.501.500.50--
vs Similar (28)0.320.430.310.310.330.53
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %67% (+39pp vs league)
This opponent (Szeged 2011) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Szeged 2011 over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Szeged 2011 over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Szeged 2011 over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ajka over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ajka over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ajka over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

Szeged 2011Szeged 2011

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-300D10W03L20W00D10W00D01L20W00DA·MEZ31/08A·DOR13/09H·SOR21/09H·SZE28/09A·VAS05/10H·BVS19/10A·FEH25/10A·DIO28/10H·BUD02/11A·BUD09/11
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.4
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.730.531.060.500.360.57
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (30)0.730.531.060.500.360.57
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %60% (+33pp vs league)
This opponent (Ajka) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

AjkaAjka

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-301L31W13L20W01L12L01L00D10W11DA·CSA31/08H·KIS13/09H·KEC21/09A·BEK28/09H·KAR05/10A·TIS19/10H·KOZ26/10H·TIS29/10H·MEZ02/11H·SOR09/11
Avg total
1.9
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
1.0
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.400.700.400.730.400.67
vs Stronger (2)0.001.500.001.50--
vs Similar (28)0.430.640.460.620.400.67
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %50% (+23pp vs league)
This opponent (Szeged 2011) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Szeged 2011 over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Szeged 2011 over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Szeged 2011 over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ajka over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ajka over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ajka over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Under 3.580.8%-------✓ Hit

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
VAS (28)
€7m
BH (25)
€5m
KT (22)
€3m
FF (22)
€2m
S2 (23)
€2m
MEZ (17)
€2m
BVS (17)
€2m
AJK (20)
€2m
KF (19)
€2m
TF (18)
€1m
SS (19)
€1m
SOR (17)
€1m
KS (16)
€1m
CSA (11)
€1m
Szeged 2011 and Ajka have a similar squad value (both €2m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
VAS (11)
€3m
KT (9)
€1m
BH (6)
€1m
FF (10)
€1m
MEZ (7)
€1m
SOR (7)
€1m
TF (8)
€1m
SS (7)
€1m
AJK (5)
€1m
KS (7)
€0m
BVS (5)
€0m
KF (6)
€0m
S2 (6)
€0m
CSA (3)
€0m
Szeged 2011 and Ajka have a similar attack value (both €0m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
VAS (7)
€2m
BH (5)
€1m
BVS (5)
€1m
S2 (5)
€0m
KT (2)
€0m
TF (5)
€0m
FF (3)
€0m
SS (4)
€0m
CSA (4)
€0m
KF (4)
€0m
MEZ (1)
€0m
SOR (4)
€0m
AJK (2)
€0m
KS (1)
€0m
Szeged 2011 and Ajka have a similar midfield value (both €0m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BH (14)
€3m
VAS (10)
€2m
KT (11)
€1m
S2 (12)
€1m
FF (9)
€1m
MEZ (9)
€1m
AJK (13)
€1m
KF (9)
€1m
BVS (7)
€1m
SS (8)
€0m
SOR (6)
€0m
KS (8)
€0m
TF (5)
€0m
CSA (4)
€0m
Szeged 2011 and Ajka have a similar defence value (both €1m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

6 previous meetings
1
S2 wins
3
Draws
2
AJK wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Szeged 2011 vs Ajka · H/A from S2
DateH/AGameScore
23/02/25HS2 Vs Ajka0-2
11/08/24AAjka Vs S20-0
11/02/24HS2 Vs Ajka0-2
13/08/23AAjka Vs S20-0
12/04/23HS2 Vs Ajka0-0
16/10/22AAjka Vs S21-4

Szeged 2011Szeged 2011

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
09/11/25ABudapest Honved Vs S20-0
02/11/25HS2 Vs Budafoki LC4-0
28/10/25ADiosgyori VTK Vs S22-0
25/10/25AFehérvár FC Vs S21-0
19/10/25HS2 Vs BVSC2-1
05/10/25AVasas Vs S20-0
28/09/25HS2 Vs Szentlőrinc SE2-0
21/09/25HS2 Vs Soroksar0-3
13/09/25ADorogi FC Vs S20-2
31/08/25AMezokovesd-zsory Vs S21-0

AjkaAjka

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
09/11/25HAJK Vs Soroksar2-1
02/11/25HAJK Vs Mezokovesd-zsory1-2
29/10/25HAJK Vs Tiszakecske FC0-0
26/10/25HAJK Vs Kozarmisleny FC0-2
19/10/25ATiszakecske FC Vs AJK2-1
05/10/25HAJK Vs Karcag SE0-1
28/09/25ABekescsaba 1912 Vs AJK0-2
21/09/25HAJK Vs Kecskeméti TE1-3
13/09/25HAJK Vs Kisvarda FC3-1
31/08/25ACsakvar Vs AJK1-0

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Szeged 2011
Szeged 2011
Hungary: NB II
Recent: 4 Wins / 2 Draws / 4 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWLLWD1.50
HomeWLWWW1.80
AwayWDLLD1.20
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %38%52%24%
AVG goals2.282.641.92
Over 1.5 %70%80%60%
Over 2.5 %40%52%28%
Over 3.5 %22%28%16%
Scored1.241.520.96
Conceded1.041.120.96
BTTS50%48%52%
Clean Sheet34%36%32%
Corners---
Cards---
Ajka
Ajka
Hungary: NB II
Recent: 3 Wins / 1 Draws / 6 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLLDLW1.14
HomeLLDLW1.04
AwayWLLWL1.26
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %28%22%35%
AVG goals2.362.192.57
Over 1.5 %66%59%74%
Over 2.5 %42%33%52%
Over 3.5 %28%26%30%
Scored1.041.001.09
Conceded1.321.191.48
BTTS48%48%48%
Clean Sheet22%22%22%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1VasasVasas3064
67%
2.1
5926+33
2.8
73%
50%
37%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
7
3222.00.9
-
2Budapest HonvedBudapest Honved3059
60%
2.0
4926+23
2.5
67%
53%
17%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
5
1131.60.9
-
3Kecskeméti TEKecskeméti TE3051
53%
1.7
4939+10
2.9
83%
60%
23%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1011.61.3
-
4Kozarmisleny FCKozarmisleny FC3048
43%
1.6
3840-2
2.6
87%
50%
17%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
0011.31.3
-
5CsakvarCsakvar3046
40%
1.5
4337+6
2.7
73%
47%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.41.2
-
6Mezokovesd-zsoryMezokovesd-zsory3046
43%
1.5
3734+3
2.4
70%
37%
10%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1011.21.1
-
7BVSCBVSC3041
40%
1.4
3630+6
2.2
70%
37%
13%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
0111.21.0
-
8Fehérvár FCFehérvár FC3039
33%
1.3
3733+4
2.3
73%
37%
20%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1011.21.1
-
9Tiszakecske FCTiszakecske FC3039
33%
1.3
3744-7
2.7
80%
47%
27%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
1001.21.5
-
10Szeged 2011Szeged 20113036
30%
1.2
2934-5
2.1
63%
37%
17%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
0011.01.1
-
11Karcag SEKarcag SE3035
30%
1.2
2941-12
2.3
63%
33%
20%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.01.4
-
12SoroksarSoroksar3033
27%
1.1
4145-4
2.9
80%
63%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
1001.41.5
-
13Szentlőrinc SESzentlőrinc SE3033
23%
1.1
3542-7
2.6
77%
50%
20%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
1001.21.4
-
14AjkaAjka3033
33%
1.1
2340-17
2.1
57%
37%
13%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1010.81.3
-
15Budafoki LCBudafoki LC3029
23%
1.0
3349-16
2.7
83%
47%
27%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.11.6
-
16Bekescsaba 1912Bekescsaba 19123028
20%
0.9
2742-15
2.3
73%
37%
13%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.91.4
-
Hungary: NB II 2025/26 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Hungary: NB II stats & trends →

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