This matchup between Szentlőrinc SE and Csakvar in the Hungary: NB II league is finely balanced, with Szentlőrinc SE having gone unbeaten in their last 5 matches, drawing 0-0 with Karcag SE most recently. Csakvar, on the other hand, have struggled, suffering 2 straight defeats. The model suggests a home win as the most likely outcome, with a 38% probability of Szentlőrinc SE taking the victory, a 29% chance of a draw, and a 33% probability of Csakvar emerging victorious. The expected total number of goals is 2.7. The most likely score is 1-1, with a 13.6% probability. Szentlőrinc SE have averaged 1.57 goals scored and 1.29 conceded at home, while Csakvar have averaged 1 goal scored and 1.27 conceded away from home. The model's selections include Over 1.5, with a 75.5% probability, and Under 3.5, with a 72.4% probability. The home win percentage is 38%, the draw percentage is 29%, and the away win percentage is 33%.
Results analysis
The win extends Szentlőrinc SE's run, with this victory coming after two consecutive wins. The final score was 3-2, a result that significantly exceeded the model's expected total of 2.6 goals. In fact, the actual total was well clear of the predicted 2 goals, the most likely outcome according to the model. The model's selection, a home win, was correct, with Szentlőrinc SE taking the three points. The model's call was based on a 39% probability of a home win, with Csakvar's chances of winning at just 32%. Among the model's suggested picks, "Over 1.5" hit, with a probability of 73.7%, while "Under 3.5" missed, with a 74.5% chance of success.
🎯 1. Model Analysis
Szentlőrinc SE win✓ Hit
39.3%
Avg Implied 43.8% · @ 2.04
Edge
-4.4%
Best 5 market prices
Dafabet
2.13
Betfair
2.10
Unibet
2.08
Betano
2.07
10Bet
2.05
Draw✗ Miss
29.0%
Avg Implied 28.5% · @ 3.13
Edge
+0.5%
Best 5 market prices
Bet365
3.30
Betano
3.30
Dafabet
3.25
Betfair
3.25
10Bet
3.20
Csakvar win✗ Miss
31.6%
Avg Implied 27.8% · @ 3.21
Edge
+3.9%
Best 5 market prices
1xBet
3.39
Pinnacle
3.36
Marathonbet
3.32
Betano
3.30
William Hil
3.30
⚽ 2. Goal Analysis
Szentlőrinc SE
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.9
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
1.1
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.10
1.37
1.40
1.40
0.80
1.33
vs Stronger (7)
0.71
2.29
1.67
3.00
0.00
1.75
vs Similar (23)
1.22
1.09
1.33
1.00
1.09
1.18
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
33% (+6pp vs league)
This opponent (Csakvar) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Csakvar
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.4
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
1.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.33
1.47
1.64
1.57
1.06
1.38
vs Stronger (7)
1.86
2.43
3.00
2.67
1.00
2.25
vs Similar (23)
1.17
1.17
1.27
1.27
1.08
1.08
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
20% (-7pp vs league)
This opponent (Szentlőrinc SE) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.6 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (27%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
73.7%
@ 1.29+4.2%
Under 1.5
26.3%
@ 2.96-4.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
1.33
Betano
1.31
Betfair
1.30
Unibet
1.29
1xBet
1.29
Under
Betfair
3.20
Unibet
3.05
Marathonbet
3.04
1xBet
3.04
Pinnacle
3.03
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
47.2%
@ 1.98+1.0%
Under 2.5
52.8%
@ 1.70-1.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betfair
2.10
Pinnacle
2.06
1xBet
2.01
Marathonbet
2.01
Betano
1.98
Under
Bet365
1.85
Betano
1.75
1xBet
1.70
Pinnacle
1.70
Unibet
1.70
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
25.5%
@ 3.33-1.4%
Under 3.5
74.5%
@ 1.23+1.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betfair
3.80
1xBet
3.50
Marathonbet
3.50
Unibet
3.30
Betano
3.10
Under
Betano
1.27
Unibet
1.25
Marathonbet
1.22
1xBet
1.22
Betfair
1.22
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
53.2%
@ 1.77+2.4%
No
46.8%
@ 1.83-2.4%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
Betfair
1.85
William Hil
1.80
1xBet
1.79
Marathonbet
1.79
Betano
1.75
No
1xBet
1.88
Betfair
1.85
Betano
1.85
Marathonbet
1.85
William Hil
1.85
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
13.9%@ 5.74+6.5%
1-0
9.3%@ 6.47+2.7%
0-0
9.0%@ 8.06+3.7%
2-1
8.6%@ 8.18+3.4%
0-1
8.0%@ 8.53+3.0%
1-2
7.6%@ 10.61+3.6%
2-0
7.2%@ 9.13+2.5%
0-2
5.5%@ 15.02+2.7%
Szentlőrinc SE goals ↓
Csakvar goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
9.0%
8.0%
5.5%
2.2%
0.7%
1
9.3%
14%
7.6%
3.0%
0.9%
2
7.2%
8.6%
5.1%
2.1%
0.6%
3
3.3%
3.9%
2.3%
0.9%
0.3%
4
1.1%
1.3%
0.8%
0.3%
0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Szentlőrinc SE goals (down), columns = Csakvar goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Soroksar
2.67
Kazincbarcikai
2.20
Ajka
2.20
Kecskeméti TE
2.17
Tiszakecske FC
2.00
Mezokovesd-zsory
1.80
Karcag SE
1.67
Gyirmot SE
1.67
Szentlőrinc SE
1.40
Fehérvár FC
1.00
Szeged 2011
1.00
Diosgyori VTK
0.80
BVSC
0.80
Nagykanizsai ULE
0.50
Csakvar
0.50
Kozarmisleny FC
0.00
Szentlőrinc SE is 0.90 points better than Csakvar in terms of average points per game (1.40 vs 0.50).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Soroksar
2.83
Karcag SE
2.00
Kecskeméti TE
2.00
Tiszakecske FC
2.00
Gyirmot SE
1.83
Kazincbarcikai
1.80
Ajka
1.60
Fehérvár FC
1.50
Mezokovesd-zsory
1.40
Szentlőrinc SE
1.20
Diosgyori VTK
1.00
Csakvar
1.00
Nagykanizsai ULE
0.83
Szeged 2011
0.75
BVSC
0.60
Kozarmisleny FC
0.50
Szentlőrinc SE is 0.20 goals better than Csakvar in terms of goals scored per game (1.20 vs 1.00).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Ajka
0.60
Soroksar
0.67
Kazincbarcikai
0.80
Kecskeméti TE
1.00
Szeged 2011
1.00
Mezokovesd-zsory
1.00
Tiszakecske FC
1.17
BVSC
1.20
Szentlőrinc SE
1.20
Karcag SE
1.33
Fehérvár FC
1.50
Nagykanizsai ULE
1.67
Gyirmot SE
2.00
Kozarmisleny FC
2.50
Diosgyori VTK
2.60
Csakvar
2.67
Szentlőrinc SE is 1.47 goals better than Csakvar in terms of goals conceded per game (1.20 vs 2.67).
⏱️ Possession
Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
Szentlőrinc SE or Draw✓ Hit
68.4%
Avg Implied -
39%
29%
32%
covers Szentlőrinc SE + Draw
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Szentlőrinc SE or Csakvar✓ Hit
71.0%
Avg Implied -
39%
29%
32%
covers Szentlőrinc SE + Csakvar
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw or Csakvar✗ Miss
60.7%
Avg Implied -
39%
29%
32%
covers Draw + Csakvar
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
⚖️ 7. Handicap
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Szentlőrinc SE
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.6
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
0.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.53
0.43
0.60
0.40
0.47
0.47
vs Stronger (7)
0.29
0.71
0.67
1.00
0.00
0.50
vs Similar (23)
0.61
0.35
0.58
0.25
0.64
0.45
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
63% (+36pp vs league)
This opponent (Csakvar) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Csakvar
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.67
0.70
0.86
0.79
0.50
0.62
vs Stronger (7)
0.71
1.57
1.00
1.67
0.50
1.50
vs Similar (23)
0.65
0.43
0.82
0.55
0.50
0.33
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
47% (+19pp vs league)
This opponent (Szentlőrinc SE) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Szentlőrinc SE over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Szentlőrinc SE over/under 1.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Szentlőrinc SE over/under 2.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Csakvar over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Csakvar over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Csakvar over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Szentlőrinc SE
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.57
0.93
0.80
1.00
0.33
0.87
vs Stronger (7)
0.43
1.57
1.00
2.00
0.00
1.25
vs Similar (23)
0.61
0.74
0.75
0.75
0.45
0.73
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
43% (+16pp vs league)
This opponent (Csakvar) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Csakvar
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.9
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.67
0.77
0.79
0.79
0.56
0.75
vs Stronger (7)
1.14
0.86
2.00
1.00
0.50
0.75
vs Similar (23)
0.52
0.74
0.45
0.73
0.58
0.75
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
40% (+13pp vs league)
This opponent (Szentlőrinc SE) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Szentlőrinc SE over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Szentlőrinc SE over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Szentlőrinc SE over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Csakvar over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Csakvar over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Csakvar over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Under 3.5
74.5%
1.23
Betano
1.27
Unibet
1.25
Marathonbet
1.22
1xBet
1.22
Betfair
1.22
+1.4%
✗ Miss
Over 1.5
73.7%
1.29
Pinnacle
1.33
Betano
1.31
Betfair
1.30
Unibet
1.29
1xBet
1.29
+4.2%
✓ Hit
Home or Away
71.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
KT (22)
€3m
DV (18)
€3m
FF (22)
€2m
KAZ (19)
€2m
S2 (23)
€2m
MEZ (17)
€2m
BVS (17)
€2m
AJK (20)
€2m
KF (19)
€2m
TF (18)
€1m
SS (19)
€1m
SOR (17)
€1m
KS (16)
€1m
CSA (11)
€1m
Szentlőrinc SE and Csakvar have a similar squad value (both €1m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
KT (9)
€1m
FF (10)
€1m
MEZ (7)
€1m
DV (5)
€1m
SOR (7)
€1m
TF (8)
€1m
KAZ (7)
€1m
SS (7)
€1m
AJK (5)
€1m
KS (7)
€0m
BVS (5)
€0m
KF (6)
€0m
S2 (6)
€0m
CSA (3)
€0m
Szentlőrinc SE and Csakvar have a similar attack value (both €1m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
DV (4)
€1m
BVS (5)
€1m
KAZ (4)
€0m
S2 (5)
€0m
KT (2)
€0m
TF (5)
€0m
FF (3)
€0m
SS (4)
€0m
CSA (4)
€0m
KF (4)
€0m
MEZ (1)
€0m
SOR (4)
€0m
AJK (2)
€0m
KS (1)
€0m
Szentlőrinc SE and Csakvar have a similar midfield value (both €0m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
DV (9)
€1m
KT (11)
€1m
KAZ (8)
€1m
S2 (12)
€1m
FF (9)
€1m
MEZ (9)
€1m
AJK (13)
€1m
KF (9)
€1m
BVS (7)
€1m
SS (8)
€0m
SOR (6)
€0m
KS (8)
€0m
TF (5)
€0m
CSA (4)
€0m
Szentlőrinc SE and Csakvar have a similar defence value (both €0m).
Hungary: NB II 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Hungary: NB II stats & trends →
PythiaFootballBETA
Soroksar
Kecskeméti TE
Tiszakecske FC
Kazincbarcikai
Ajka
Karcag SE
Gyirmot SE
Mezokovesd-zsory
Fehérvár FC
Szeged 2011
BVSC
Diosgyori VTK
Nagykanizsai ULE
Kozarmisleny FC