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Szentlőrinc SE vs Gyirmot SE Result & Analysis

Date: 01/09/2024
Time: 14:00
Final 2-0
Szentlőrinc SE
Szentlőrinc SE
Vs
37%
28%
35%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Gyirmot SE
Gyirmot SE
Hungary: NB II
Referee: -
Match preview & prediction

Szentlőrinc SE face Gyirmót SE in a match that feels almost evenly split, with the model favouring a home win at 37%. The expected total of 2.8 goals points to a modestly high-scoring encounter, and the single most likely scoreline is 1-1 with a 13.3% chance, a tidy draw that reflects the tight balance. Szentlőrinc’s home form against stronger opposition shows a low 0.33 average of goals scored and a 0.67 average conceded, while Gyirmót’s away record against weaker teams boasts 2.0 goals scored and only 0.25 conceded. The model’s selections include an 77.2% chance of Over 1.5 goals and a 70.3% chance of Under 3.5 goals, each with their own probabilities. The win-draw-away percentages are 37%, 28%, and 35% respectively, leaving no clear favourite beyond the home win pick. All suggested picks are listed with their exact probabilities, and the analysis remains neutral and concise.

Results analysis

The match saw Szentlőrinc SE extend their run after two straight defeats, while Gyirmót SE struggled with a similar losing streak. The Pythia model’s favourite, Home win, proved correct as Szentlőrinc secured a 2-0 victory. The model’s pre-match probability for a home win was 37%. The suggested picks were also largely accurate: Over 1.5, with a 77.2% probability, hit; Under 3.5, with a 70.3% probability, hit. The final score of 2-0 matched the actual result, confirming the model’s predictions and the overall accuracy of its selections.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Szentlőrinc SE win✓ Hit
36.7%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
28.0%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Gyirmot SE win✗ Miss
35.3%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

Szentlőrinc SESzentlőrinc SE

Last 10 – goals for & against
30-320W12L01L00D12L10W31W31W11D11DA·AJK07/05H·PÉC14/05A·KAZ21/05A·BVS28/05H·BVS04/06A·AJK28/07H·SOR04/08A·MEZ11/08H·CSA18/08A·BVS25/08
Avg total
2.2
Avg scored
1.3
Avg conceded
0.9
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.101.401.141.291.061.50
vs Stronger (7)0.571.860.330.670.752.75
vs Similar (23)1.261.261.361.451.171.08
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %23% (-4pp vs league)
This opponent (Gyirmot SE) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Gyirmot SEGyirmot SE

Last 10 – goals for & against
50-535L13L11D22D21W21W20W21W22D12LH·KOZ28/04A·NYI05/05H·TIS12/05A·BUD19/05H·SZO26/05A·SOR28/07H·MEZ04/08A·CSA11/08H·BVS18/08A·KAZ25/08
Avg total
3.6
Avg scored
1.8
Avg conceded
1.8
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.601.271.571.361.621.19
vs Stronger (1)0.000.00--0.000.00
vs Similar (21)1.571.521.501.401.641.64
vs Weaker (8)1.880.751.751.252.000.25
Clean sheet %27% (-1pp vs league)
This opponent (Szentlőrinc SE) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

6%13%19%25%8%015%125%222%315%48%56%6+
The model estimates around 2.8 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (25%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
77.2%
Under 1.5
22.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
51.9%
Under 2.5
48.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
29.7%
Under 3.5
70.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
57.0%
No
43.0%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
13.3%
2-1
8.4%
1-2
8.2%
1-0
7.7%
0-0
7.6%
0-1
7.5%
2-0 ✓
6.2%
0-2
5.9%
Szentlőrinc SE goals ↓
Gyirmot SE goals →
01234
07.6%7.5%5.9%2.7%0.9%
17.7%13%8.2%3.7%1.3%
26.2%8.4%5.7%2.6%0.9%
32.9%3.9%2.6%1.2%0.4%
41.0%1.4%0.9%0.4%0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Szentlőrinc SE goals (down), columns = Gyirmot SE goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Kisvarda FC
1.93
Kazincbarcikai
1.77
Vasas
1.73
Kozarmisleny FC
1.57
Szentlőrinc SE
1.57
Mezokovesd-zsory
1.47
Szeged 2011
1.40
Budapest Honved
1.33
BVSC
1.27
Csakvar
1.20
Budafoki LC
1.17
Soroksar
1.17
Ajka
1.17
Bekescsaba 1912
1.10
Gyirmot SE
1.03
Tatabánya
0.80
Szentlőrinc SE is 0.53 points better than Gyirmot SE in terms of average points per game (1.57 vs 1.03).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Kisvarda FC
1.90
Kazincbarcikai
1.70
Vasas
1.57
Kozarmisleny FC
1.50
Budafoki LC
1.47
Szentlőrinc SE
1.47
Mezokovesd-zsory
1.47
Soroksar
1.40
Gyirmot SE
1.37
Csakvar
1.37
Budapest Honved
1.37
Szeged 2011
1.20
Ajka
1.03
BVSC
1.03
Bekescsaba 1912
1.00
Tatabánya
0.93
Szentlőrinc SE is 0.10 goals better than Gyirmot SE in terms of goals scored per game (1.47 vs 1.37).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Kazincbarcikai
1.00
Szeged 2011
1.07
BVSC
1.07
Szentlőrinc SE
1.07
Vasas
1.17
Mezokovesd-zsory
1.17
Bekescsaba 1912
1.27
Ajka
1.27
Budapest Honved
1.30
Kozarmisleny FC
1.40
Kisvarda FC
1.47
Gyirmot SE
1.53
Soroksar
1.57
Csakvar
1.67
Budafoki LC
1.77
Tatabánya
2.00
Szentlőrinc SE is 0.47 goals better than Gyirmot SE in terms of goals conceded per game (1.07 vs 1.53).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

Szentlőrinc SESzentlőrinc SE

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-210W12L01L00D00D10W11D10W00D10WA·AJK07/05H·PÉC14/05A·KAZ21/05A·BVS28/05H·BVS04/06A·AJK28/07H·SOR04/08A·MEZ11/08H·CSA18/08A·BVS25/08
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.4
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.500.470.500.500.500.44
vs Stronger (7)0.290.710.330.670.250.75
vs Similar (23)0.570.390.550.450.580.33
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %63% (+36pp vs league)
This opponent (Gyirmot SE) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Gyirmot SEGyirmot SE

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-331W10W11D10W21W01L20W11D12L10WH·KOZ28/04A·NYI05/05H·TIS12/05A·BUD19/05H·SZO26/05A·SOR28/07H·MEZ04/08A·CSA11/08H·BVS18/08A·KAZ25/08
Avg total
2.0
Avg scored
1.3
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.770.370.860.500.690.25
vs Stronger (1)0.000.00--0.000.00
vs Similar (21)0.810.330.900.400.730.27
vs Weaker (8)0.750.500.750.750.750.25
Clean sheet %67% (+39pp vs league)
This opponent (Szentlőrinc SE) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Szentlőrinc SE over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Szentlőrinc SE over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Szentlőrinc SE over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Gyirmot SE over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Gyirmot SE over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Gyirmot SE over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

Szentlőrinc SESzentlőrinc SE

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-210W00D00D00D12L00D20W21W11D01LA·AJK07/05H·PÉC14/05A·KAZ21/05A·BVS28/05H·BVS04/06A·AJK28/07H·SOR04/08A·MEZ11/08H·CSA18/08A·BVS25/08
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.5
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.600.930.640.790.561.06
vs Stronger (7)0.291.140.000.000.502.00
vs Similar (23)0.700.870.821.000.580.75
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %40% (+13pp vs league)
This opponent (Gyirmot SE) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Gyirmot SEGyirmot SE

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
40-404L03L00D12L00D20W00D10W10W02LH·KOZ28/04A·NYI05/05H·TIS12/05A·BUD19/05H·SZO26/05A·SOR28/07H·MEZ04/08A·CSA11/08H·BVS18/08A·KAZ25/08
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
1.1
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.830.900.710.860.940.94
vs Stronger (1)0.000.00--0.000.00
vs Similar (21)0.761.190.601.000.911.36
vs Weaker (8)1.120.251.000.501.250.00
Clean sheet %50% (+23pp vs league)
This opponent (Szentlőrinc SE) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Szentlőrinc SE over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Szentlőrinc SE over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Szentlőrinc SE over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Gyirmot SE over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Gyirmot SE over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Gyirmot SE over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 1.577.2%-------✓ Hit
Under 3.570.3%-------✓ Hit

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
VAS (28)
€7m
KF (25)
€6m
BH (25)
€5m
KAZ (19)
€2m
S2 (23)
€2m
MEZ (17)
€2m
BVS (17)
€2m
AJK (20)
€2m
KF (19)
€2m
SS (19)
€1m
SOR (17)
€1m
CSA (11)
€1m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
VAS (11)
€3m
KF (8)
€2m
BH (6)
€1m
MEZ (7)
€1m
SOR (7)
€1m
KAZ (7)
€1m
SS (7)
€1m
AJK (5)
€1m
BVS (5)
€0m
KF (6)
€0m
S2 (6)
€0m
CSA (3)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
VAS (7)
€2m
KF (7)
€2m
BH (5)
€1m
BVS (5)
€1m
KAZ (4)
€0m
S2 (5)
€0m
SS (4)
€0m
CSA (4)
€0m
KF (4)
€0m
MEZ (1)
€0m
SOR (4)
€0m
AJK (2)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BH (14)
€3m
KF (10)
€2m
VAS (10)
€2m
KAZ (8)
€1m
S2 (12)
€1m
MEZ (9)
€1m
AJK (13)
€1m
KF (9)
€1m
BVS (7)
€1m
SS (8)
€0m
SOR (6)
€0m
CSA (4)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

2 previous meetings
0
SS wins
1
Draws
1
GS wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Szentlőrinc SE vs Gyirmot SE · H/A from SS
DateH/AGameScore
11/12/22HSS Vs Gyirmot SE0-0
30/07/22AGyirmot SE Vs SS4-0

Szentlőrinc SESzentlőrinc SE

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
25/08/24ABVSC Vs SS1-1
18/08/24HSS Vs Csakvar1-1
11/08/24AMezokovesd-zsory Vs SS1-3
04/08/24HSS Vs Soroksar3-1
28/07/24AAjka Vs SS0-1
04/06/23HSS Vs BVSC1-2
28/05/23ABVSC Vs SS0-0
21/05/23AKazincbarcikai Vs SS1-0
14/05/23HSS Vs Pécsi MFC1-2
07/05/23AAjka Vs SS0-2

Gyirmot SEGyirmot SE

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
25/08/24AKazincbarcikai Vs GS2-1
18/08/24HGS Vs BVSC2-2
11/08/24ACsakvar Vs GS1-2
04/08/24HGS Vs Mezokovesd-zsory2-0
28/07/24ASoroksar Vs GS1-2
26/05/24HGS Vs Szombathelyi Haladas2-1
19/05/24ABudapest Honved Vs GS2-2
12/05/24HGS Vs Tiszakecske FC1-1
05/05/24ANyiregyhaza Vs GS3-1
28/04/24HGS Vs Kozarmisleny FC3-5

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Szentlőrinc SE
Szentlőrinc SE
Hungary: NB II
Recent: 4 Wins / 3 Draws / 3 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWWWDD1.13
HomeWLLWD1.36
AwayLDWWD0.91
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %27%32%22%
AVG goals2.622.592.65
Over 1.5 %84%82%87%
Over 2.5 %47%45%48%
Over 3.5 %22%27%17%
Scored1.201.361.04
Conceded1.421.231.61
BTTS64%64%65%
Clean Sheet22%32%13%
Corners---
Cards---
Gyirmot SE
Gyirmot SE
Hungary: NB II
Recent: 4 Wins / 3 Draws / 3 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWWWDL1.48
HomeLDWWD1.58
AwayLDWWL1.38
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %38%42%35%
AVG goals2.762.922.62
Over 1.5 %74%79%69%
Over 2.5 %56%62%50%
Over 3.5 %30%29%31%
Scored1.461.581.35
Conceded1.301.331.27
BTTS62%71%54%
Clean Sheet26%29%23%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1Kisvarda FCKisvarda FC3058
57%
1.9
5744+13
3.4
87%
63%
37%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
6
2221.91.5
-
2KazincbarcikaiKazincbarcikai3053
47%
1.8
5130+21
2.7
73%
47%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1011.71.0
-
3VasasVasas3052
53%
1.7
4735+12
2.7
70%
60%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
7
3221.61.2
-
4Szentlőrinc SESzentlőrinc SE3047
40%
1.6
4432+12
2.5
77%
40%
30%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
1001.51.1
-
5Kozarmisleny FCKozarmisleny FC3047
43%
1.6
4542+3
2.9
83%
40%
37%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
0011.51.4
-
6Mezokovesd-zsoryMezokovesd-zsory3044
40%
1.5
4435+9
2.6
77%
50%
27%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1011.51.2
-
7Szeged 2011Szeged 20113042
33%
1.4
3632+4
2.3
70%
40%
23%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
0011.21.1
-
8Budapest HonvedBudapest Honved3040
37%
1.3
4139+2
2.7
77%
53%
27%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
5
1131.41.3
-
9BVSCBVSC3038
27%
1.3
3132-1
2.1
57%
40%
23%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
0111.01.1
-
10CsakvarCsakvar3036
33%
1.2
4150-9
3.0
87%
70%
40%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.41.7
-
11SoroksarSoroksar3035
30%
1.2
4247-5
3.0
80%
60%
43%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
1001.41.6
-
12AjkaAjka3035
27%
1.2
3138-7
2.3
67%
40%
27%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1011.01.3
-
13Budafoki LCBudafoki LC3035
30%
1.2
4453-9
3.2
87%
67%
37%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.51.8
-
14Bekescsaba 1912Bekescsaba 19123033
27%
1.1
3038-8
2.3
67%
40%
17%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.01.3
-
15Gyirmot SEGyirmot SE3031
23%
1.0
4146-5
2.9
83%
50%
30%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.41.5
-
16TatabányaTatabánya3024
20%
0.8
2860-32
2.9
73%
53%
37%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.92.0
-
Hungary: NB II 2024/25 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Hungary: NB II stats & trends →

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