The contest between Szentlőrinc SE and Gyirmót SE feels razor-thin, with the model favouring a home win at 40%. The draw sits at 28% and the away side’s chances are 33%. The average goal tally is 2.8, so a modest 2-goal total is most likely, with a 1-1 scoreline carrying a 13% probability. Szentlőrinc, playing at home against a stronger opponent, has averaged 1.67 goals scored and 3.0 conceded, while Gyirmót, away against a weaker side, has netted 1.0 and conceded 1.0. The model’s selections include Under 7.5 (99.2%), Under 6.5 (97.5%), Away under 3.5 goals (95.4%), Home under 3.5 goals (93.7%), Under 5.5 (93.4%), Away under 2.5 goals (85.0%), Home +2 handicap (84.9%) and Under 4.5 (84.6%). The recent form shows Szentlőrinc’s last five as LLWWD after two straight defeats, losing 0-1 to Ajka, while Gyirmót’s last five are LLWDW, losing 2-4 to Mezokovesd-zsory.
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🎯 1. Model Analysis
Szentlőrinc SE win
39.7%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw
27.5%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Gyirmot SE win
32.8%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
⚽ 2. Goal Analysis
Szentlőrinc SE
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.1
Avg scored
1.3
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.10
1.50
1.44
1.50
0.71
1.50
vs Stronger (7)
0.71
2.29
1.67
3.00
0.00
1.75
vs Similar (23)
1.22
1.26
1.38
1.15
1.00
1.40
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
27% (-1pp vs league)
This opponent (Gyirmot SE) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Gyirmot SE
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.0
Avg scored
1.6
Avg conceded
1.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.30
1.47
1.47
1.41
1.08
1.54
vs Stronger (1)
1.00
1.00
-
-
1.00
1.00
vs Similar (24)
1.38
1.46
1.62
1.31
1.09
1.64
vs Weaker (5)
1.00
1.60
1.00
1.75
1.00
1.00
Clean sheet %
17% (-11pp vs league)
This opponent (Szentlőrinc SE) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.8 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (25%).
Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
78.2%
Under 1.5
21.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
53.3%
Under 2.5
46.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5
Over 3.5
31.0%
Under 3.5
69.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to score
Yes
58.0%
No
42.0%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
13.0%
2-1
8.8%
1-2
7.9%
1-0
7.7%
0-0
7.2%
0-1
6.8%
2-0
6.6%
2-2
5.8%
Szentlőrinc SE goals ↓
Gyirmot SE goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
7.2%
6.8%
5.3%
2.4%
0.8%
1
7.7%
13%
7.9%
3.5%
1.2%
2
6.6%
8.8%
5.8%
2.6%
0.9%
3
3.3%
4.3%
2.9%
1.3%
0.4%
4
1.2%
1.6%
1.1%
0.5%
0.2%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Szentlőrinc SE goals (down), columns = Gyirmot SE goals (across).
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💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Soroksar
2.67
Ajka
2.20
Kecskeméti TE
2.17
Kazincbarcikai
2.00
Tiszakecske FC
2.00
Mezokovesd-zsory
1.80
Karcag SE
1.67
Gyirmot SE
1.67
Szentlőrinc SE
1.40
Fehérvár FC
1.00
Szeged 2011
1.00
Diosgyori VTK
0.80
BVSC
0.80
Nagykanizsai ULE
0.50
Csakvar
0.50
Kozarmisleny FC
0.00
Szentlőrinc SE is 0.27 points worse than Gyirmot SE in terms of average points per game (1.40 vs 1.67).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Soroksar
2.83
Karcag SE
2.00
Kecskeméti TE
2.00
Tiszakecske FC
2.00
Gyirmot SE
1.83
Kazincbarcikai
1.67
Ajka
1.60
Fehérvár FC
1.50
Mezokovesd-zsory
1.40
Szentlőrinc SE
1.20
Diosgyori VTK
1.00
Csakvar
1.00
Nagykanizsai ULE
0.83
Szeged 2011
0.80
BVSC
0.60
Kozarmisleny FC
0.50
Szentlőrinc SE is 0.63 goals worse than Gyirmot SE in terms of goals scored per game (1.20 vs 1.83).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Ajka
0.60
Soroksar
0.67
Kazincbarcikai
0.83
Kecskeméti TE
1.00
Szeged 2011
1.00
Mezokovesd-zsory
1.00
Tiszakecske FC
1.17
BVSC
1.20
Szentlőrinc SE
1.20
Karcag SE
1.33
Fehérvár FC
1.50
Nagykanizsai ULE
1.67
Gyirmot SE
2.00
Kozarmisleny FC
2.50
Diosgyori VTK
2.60
Csakvar
2.67
Szentlőrinc SE is 0.80 goals better than Gyirmot SE in terms of goals conceded per game (1.20 vs 2.00).
⏱️ Possession
Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
Szentlőrinc SE or Draw
67.2%
Avg Implied -
40%
28%
33%
covers Szentlőrinc SE + Draw
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Szentlőrinc SE or Gyirmot SE
72.5%
Avg Implied -
40%
28%
33%
covers Szentlőrinc SE + Gyirmot SE
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw or Gyirmot SE
60.3%
Avg Implied -
40%
28%
33%
covers Draw + Gyirmot SE
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
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🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
Home & Away Over/Under
How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
Szentlőrinc SE over/under 0.5
Over
77.3%
Under
22.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Szentlőrinc SE over/under 1.5
Over
43.6%
Under
56.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Szentlőrinc SE over/under 2.5
Over
18.6%
Under
81.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Szentlőrinc SE over/under 3.5
Over
6.3%
Under
93.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Gyirmot SE over/under 0.5
Over
73.5%
Under
26.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Gyirmot SE over/under 1.5
Over
38.4%
Under
61.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Gyirmot SE over/under 2.5
Over
15.0%
Under
85.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Gyirmot SE over/under 3.5
Over
4.6%
Under
95.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⚖️ 7. Handicap
Handicap
The handicap is applied to Szentlőrinc SE, so a minus line means Szentlőrinc SE give that many goals of a start and Gyirmot SE receive them. At -1, Szentlőrinc SE must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Szentlőrinc SE win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (Szentlőrinc SE)
Szentlőrinc SE -2
7.6%
Draw -2
12.1%
Gyirmot SE +2
80.2%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap -1 (Szentlőrinc SE)
Szentlőrinc SE -1
19.8%
Draw -1
19.9%
Gyirmot SE +1
60.3%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +1 (Szentlőrinc SE)
Szentlőrinc SE +1
67.2%
Draw +1
17.7%
Gyirmot SE -1
15.1%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +2 (Szentlőrinc SE)
Szentlőrinc SE +2
84.9%
Draw +2
9.8%
Gyirmot SE -2
5.3%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Szentlőrinc SE
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.63
0.53
0.69
0.50
0.57
0.57
vs Stronger (7)
0.29
0.71
0.67
1.00
0.00
0.50
vs Similar (23)
0.74
0.48
0.69
0.38
0.80
0.60
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
57% (+29pp vs league)
This opponent (Gyirmot SE) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Gyirmot SE
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.60
0.77
0.76
0.82
0.38
0.69
vs Stronger (1)
0.00
1.00
-
-
0.00
1.00
vs Similar (24)
0.71
0.67
0.92
0.69
0.45
0.64
vs Weaker (5)
0.20
1.20
0.25
1.25
0.00
1.00
Clean sheet %
43% (+16pp vs league)
This opponent (Szentlőrinc SE) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
No half-time model prices for this fixture yet - the form above is the record.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Szentlőrinc SE over/under 0.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Szentlőrinc SE over/under 1.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Szentlőrinc SE over/under 2.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Gyirmot SE over/under 0.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Gyirmot SE over/under 1.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Gyirmot SE over/under 2.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Szentlőrinc SE
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.8
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.47
0.97
0.75
1.00
0.14
0.93
vs Stronger (7)
0.43
1.57
1.00
2.00
0.00
1.25
vs Similar (23)
0.48
0.78
0.69
0.77
0.20
0.80
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
40% (+13pp vs league)
This opponent (Gyirmot SE) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Gyirmot SE
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.0
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
1.0
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.70
0.70
0.71
0.59
0.69
0.85
vs Stronger (1)
1.00
0.00
-
-
1.00
0.00
vs Similar (24)
0.67
0.79
0.69
0.62
0.64
1.00
vs Weaker (5)
0.80
0.40
0.75
0.50
1.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
57% (+29pp vs league)
This opponent (Szentlőrinc SE) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
No second-half model prices for this fixture yet - the form above is the record.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Szentlőrinc SE over/under 0.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Szentlőrinc SE over/under 1.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Szentlőrinc SE over/under 2.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Gyirmot SE over/under 0.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Gyirmot SE over/under 1.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Gyirmot SE over/under 2.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
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🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Under 7.5
99.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 6.5
97.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away under 3.5 goals
95.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home under 3.5 goals
93.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 5.5
93.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away under 2.5 goals
85.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home +2 handicap
84.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 4.5
84.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home under 2.5 goals
81.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away +2 handicap
80.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 1.5
78.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home over 0.5 goals
77.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away over 0.5 goals
73.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home or Away
72.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
Hungary: NB II 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Hungary: NB II stats & trends →