Szentlőrinc SE vs Karcag SE Result & Analysis

Szentlőrinc SE are tipped to take the win, with the model assigning a 44 % chance to a home victory, 28 % to a draw and 27 % to a Karcag SE win. The expected total of 2.6 goals points to a moderate scoring game, and the single most likely scoreline is 1-1, a 13.6 % probability. In recent form, Szentlőrinc have dropped out of a 2-3 loss to Soroksár, while Karcag have gone unbeaten in five games, including a 4-1 win over BVSC. Against similarly-matched opponents, the home side averages 1.57 goals scored and 1.43 conceded, whereas Karcag’s away average is 0.92 scored and 1.38 conceded. Suggested picks include Over 1.5 with a 74.3 % probability and Under 3.5 with a 73.8 % probability. The model’s selection of a 1-1 result carries a 13.6 % chance, and the overall probabilities for a home win, draw and away win remain 44 %, 28 % and 27 % respectively.

The pre-match favourite, Szentlőrinc SE, fell short, ending in a 0-0 draw that stunned the pundits. The model had tipped a home win with a 44 % probability, but the outcome proved otherwise. The suggested picks also missed the mark: Over 1.5, at 74.3 %, failed, while Under 3.5, at 73.8 %, hit its target. Szentlőrinc, after a recent defeat, had been looking to extend a winning streak, whereas Karcag, unbeaten in their last five, had been hoping to continue their run. The final score of 0-0 confirmed the model’s prediction was wrong.