Szentlőrinc SE vs Kozarmisleny FC Result & Analysis

Szentlőrinc SE are tipped to win, with a 53% chance of triumph, a 25% chance of a draw and a 21% chance of a Kozármisleny FC victory. The match is expected to see 2.9 goals on average, with the most likely total being 2 goals at 25%. The single most probable scoreline is 1-1, carrying a 12.1% probability. Szentlőrinc, playing at home against a similarly-matched opponent, averages 1.22 goals scored and 1.22 conceded, while Kozármisleny, on the road, averages 1.2 goals scored but 2.3 conceded. The model’s selection includes an Over 1.5 goal pick, with a 78.9% probability. The home win probability is 53%, the draw probability 25%, and the away win probability 21%. The final score of the last match was 1-1, resulting in a draw.

The upset came early as the pre-match favourite, Szentlőrinc SE, failed to secure the win, ending in a 1-1 draw. The model had picked a home win with a 53% probability, but that call was wrong. The only other selection made by the model was Over 1.5 goals, with a 78.9% chance, and that hit. Szentlőrinc’s recent form shows two straight defeats before the match, while Kozármisleny had suffered five consecutive losses. The final score of 1-1 matched the model’s most likely score of 2-1 only in goal count, but the actual result was a draw. The model’s prediction of a home win was incorrect, though its over-goals pick proved accurate.