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Szentlőrinc SE vs Kozarmisleny FC Result & Analysis

Date: 03/08/2025
Time: 15:30
Final 1-1
Szentlőrinc SE
Szentlőrinc SE
Vs
52%
25%
23%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Kozarmisleny FC
Kozarmisleny FC
Hungary: NB II
Referee: -
1 Model Analysis2 Goal Analysis3 Team Strengths Analysis4 Props Analysis5 Double Chance6 Home & Away Over/Under7 Handicap8 Half Time Goals O/U9 Half Time Home & Away O/U10 Second Half Goals O/U11 Second Half Home & Away O/U
12 Top picks for this game14 Squad value15 Games History16 Overall Statistics17 League Table

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Szentlőrinc SE win✗ Miss
51.5%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✓ Hit
25.4%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Kozarmisleny FC win✗ Miss
23.1%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

Szentlőrinc SESzentlőrinc SE

Last 10 – goals for & against
50-522D11D31W00D34L21W02L51W11D11DH·KAZ30/03H·BEK06/04A·SZE13/04H·BUD20/04A·KIS27/04H·VAS04/05A·BUD11/05H·TAT18/05A·KOZ25/05A·BUD27/07
Avg total
3.2
Avg scored
1.8
Avg conceded
1.4
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.401.201.400.931.401.47
vs Stronger (8)1.752.001.501.252.002.75
vs Similar (22)1.270.911.360.821.181.00
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %30% (+3pp vs league)
This opponent (Kozarmisleny FC) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Kozarmisleny FCKozarmisleny FC

Last 10 – goals for & against
30-320W21W10W13L01L23L11D32W11D02LA·TAT30/03H·KAZ06/04H·AJK13/04A·SOR20/04H·MEZ27/04A·CSA04/05A·BVS11/05A·GYI18/05H·SZE25/05H·TIS27/07
Avg total
2.7
Avg scored
1.3
Avg conceded
1.4
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.471.571.531.331.401.80
vs Stronger (3)1.673.002.003.001.003.00
vs Similar (27)1.441.411.461.081.431.71
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %23% (-4pp vs league)
This opponent (Szentlőrinc SE) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

6%12%18%24%6%013%124%222%316%410%58%6+
The model estimates around 2.9 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (24%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
80.2%
Under 1.5
19.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
56.3%
Under 2.5
43.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
33.9%
Under 3.5
66.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
57.9%
No
42.1%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1 ✓
12.0%
2-1
9.8%
2-0
8.5%
1-0
8.4%
0-0
6.4%
1-2
6.2%
3-1
5.8%
2-2
5.6%
Szentlőrinc SE goals ↓
Kozarmisleny FC goals →
01234
06.4%5.0%3.5%1.3%0.4%
18.4%12%6.2%2.4%0.7%
28.5%9.8%5.6%2.1%0.6%
35.1%5.8%3.3%1.3%0.4%
42.3%2.6%1.5%0.6%0.2%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Szentlőrinc SE goals (down), columns = Kozarmisleny FC goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Vasas
2.13
Budapest Honved
1.97
Kecskeméti TE
1.70
Kozarmisleny FC
1.60
Csakvar
1.53
Mezokovesd-zsory
1.53
BVSC
1.37
Fehérvár FC
1.30
Tiszakecske FC
1.30
Szeged 2011
1.20
Karcag SE
1.17
Soroksar
1.10
Ajka
1.10
Szentlőrinc SE
1.10
Budafoki LC
0.97
Bekescsaba 1912
0.93
Szentlőrinc SE is 0.50 points worse than Kozarmisleny FC in terms of average points per game (1.10 vs 1.60).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Vasas
1.97
Kecskeméti TE
1.63
Budapest Honved
1.63
Csakvar
1.43
Soroksar
1.37
Kozarmisleny FC
1.27
Fehérvár FC
1.23
Tiszakecske FC
1.23
Mezokovesd-zsory
1.23
BVSC
1.20
Szentlőrinc SE
1.17
Budafoki LC
1.10
Szeged 2011
0.97
Karcag SE
0.97
Bekescsaba 1912
0.90
Ajka
0.77
Szentlőrinc SE is 0.10 goals worse than Kozarmisleny FC in terms of goals scored per game (1.17 vs 1.27).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Vasas
0.87
Budapest Honved
0.87
BVSC
1.00
Fehérvár FC
1.10
Szeged 2011
1.13
Mezokovesd-zsory
1.13
Csakvar
1.23
Kecskeméti TE
1.30
Kozarmisleny FC
1.33
Ajka
1.33
Karcag SE
1.37
Bekescsaba 1912
1.40
Szentlőrinc SE
1.40
Tiszakecske FC
1.47
Soroksar
1.50
Budafoki LC
1.63
Szentlőrinc SE is 0.07 goals worse than Kozarmisleny FC in terms of goals conceded per game (1.40 vs 1.33).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

Szentlőrinc SESzentlőrinc SE

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-310W00D10W00D13L11D01L31W11D10WH·KAZ30/03H·BEK06/04A·SZE13/04H·BUD20/04A·KIS27/04H·VAS04/05A·BUD11/05H·TAT18/05A·KOZ25/05A·BUD27/07
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.600.370.470.200.730.53
vs Stronger (8)0.880.620.500.251.251.00
vs Similar (22)0.500.270.450.180.550.36
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %70% (+43pp vs league)
This opponent (Kozarmisleny FC) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Kozarmisleny FCKozarmisleny FC

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-200D00D10W00D00D01L11D12L11D00DA·TAT30/03H·KAZ06/04H·AJK13/04A·SOR20/04H·MEZ27/04A·CSA04/05A·BVS11/05A·GYI18/05H·SZE25/05H·TIS27/07
Avg total
0.9
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.5
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.570.630.600.530.530.73
vs Stronger (3)0.671.670.502.001.001.00
vs Similar (27)0.560.520.620.310.500.71
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %53% (+26pp vs league)
This opponent (Szentlőrinc SE) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Szentlőrinc SE over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Szentlőrinc SE over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Szentlőrinc SE over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Kozarmisleny FC over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Kozarmisleny FC over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Kozarmisleny FC over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

Szentlőrinc SESzentlőrinc SE

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-212L11D21W00D21W10W01L20W00D01LH·KAZ30/03H·BEK06/04A·SZE13/04H·BUD20/04A·KIS27/04H·VAS04/05A·BUD11/05H·TAT18/05A·KOZ25/05A·BUD27/07
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.800.830.930.730.670.93
vs Stronger (8)0.881.381.001.000.751.75
vs Similar (22)0.770.640.910.640.640.64
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %43% (+16pp vs league)
This opponent (Kozarmisleny FC) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Kozarmisleny FCKozarmisleny FC

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-320W21W00D13L01L22D00D20W00D02LA·TAT30/03H·KAZ06/04H·AJK13/04A·SOR20/04H·MEZ27/04A·CSA04/05A·BVS11/05A·GYI18/05H·SZE25/05H·TIS27/07
Avg total
1.8
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.9
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.900.930.930.800.871.07
vs Stronger (3)1.001.331.501.000.002.00
vs Similar (27)0.890.890.850.770.931.00
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %40% (+13pp vs league)
This opponent (Szentlőrinc SE) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Szentlőrinc SE over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Szentlőrinc SE over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Szentlőrinc SE over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Kozarmisleny FC over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Kozarmisleny FC over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Kozarmisleny FC over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 1.580.2%-------✓ Hit

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
VAS (28)
€7m
BH (25)
€5m
KT (22)
€3m
FF (22)
€2m
S2 (23)
€2m
MEZ (17)
€2m
BVS (17)
€2m
AJK (20)
€2m
KF (19)
€2m
TF (18)
€1m
SS (19)
€1m
SOR (17)
€1m
KS (16)
€1m
CSA (11)
€1m
Szentlőrinc SE and Kozarmisleny FC have a similar squad value (both €1m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
VAS (11)
€3m
KT (9)
€1m
BH (6)
€1m
FF (10)
€1m
MEZ (7)
€1m
SOR (7)
€1m
TF (8)
€1m
SS (7)
€1m
AJK (5)
€1m
KS (7)
€0m
BVS (5)
€0m
KF (6)
€0m
S2 (6)
€0m
CSA (3)
€0m
Szentlőrinc SE and Kozarmisleny FC have a similar attack value (both €1m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
VAS (7)
€2m
BH (5)
€1m
BVS (5)
€1m
S2 (5)
€0m
KT (2)
€0m
TF (5)
€0m
FF (3)
€0m
SS (4)
€0m
CSA (4)
€0m
KF (4)
€0m
MEZ (1)
€0m
SOR (4)
€0m
AJK (2)
€0m
KS (1)
€0m
Szentlőrinc SE and Kozarmisleny FC have a similar midfield value (both €0m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BH (14)
€3m
VAS (10)
€2m
KT (11)
€1m
S2 (12)
€1m
FF (9)
€1m
MEZ (9)
€1m
AJK (13)
€1m
KF (9)
€1m
BVS (7)
€1m
SS (8)
€0m
SOR (6)
€0m
KS (8)
€0m
TF (5)
€0m
CSA (4)
€0m
Szentlőrinc SE and Kozarmisleny FC have a similar defence value (both €0m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

4 previous meetings
1
SS wins
2
Draws
1
KF wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Szentlőrinc SE vs Kozarmisleny FC · H/A from SS
DateH/AGameScore
25/05/25AKozarmisleny FC Vs SS1-1
01/12/24HSS Vs Kozarmisleny FC0-2
12/03/23HSS Vs Kozarmisleny FC1-1
11/09/22AKozarmisleny FC Vs SS1-2

Szentlőrinc SESzentlőrinc SE

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
27/07/25ABudafoki LC Vs SS1-1
25/05/25AKozarmisleny FC Vs SS1-1
18/05/25HSS Vs Tatabánya5-1
11/05/25ABudafoki LC Vs SS2-0
04/05/25HSS Vs Vasas2-1
27/04/25AKisvarda FC Vs SS4-3
20/04/25HSS Vs Budapest Honved0-0
13/04/25ASzeged 2011 Vs SS1-3
06/04/25HSS Vs Bekescsaba 19121-1
30/03/25HSS Vs Kazincbarcikai2-2

Kozarmisleny FCKozarmisleny FC

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
27/07/25HKF Vs Tiszakecske FC0-2
25/05/25HKF Vs Szentlőrinc SE1-1
18/05/25AGyirmot SE Vs KF2-3
11/05/25ABVSC Vs KF1-1
04/05/25ACsakvar Vs KF3-2
27/04/25HKF Vs Mezokovesd-zsory0-1
20/04/25ASoroksar Vs KF3-1
13/04/25HKF Vs Ajka1-0
06/04/25HKF Vs Kazincbarcikai2-1
30/03/25ATatabánya Vs KF0-2

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Szentlőrinc SE
Szentlőrinc SE
Hungary: NB II
Recent: 3 Wins / 5 Draws / 2 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWLWDD1.26
HomeDDDWW1.46
AwayWLLDD1.08
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %30%38%23%
AVG goals2.562.502.62
Over 1.5 %78%75%81%
Over 2.5 %42%50%35%
Over 3.5 %26%25%27%
Scored1.281.381.19
Conceded1.281.121.42
BTTS60%62%58%
Clean Sheet28%33%23%
Corners---
Cards---
Kozarmisleny FC
Kozarmisleny FC
Hungary: NB II
Recent: 4 Wins / 2 Draws / 4 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLDWDL1.36
HomeWWLDL1.60
AwayWLLDW1.12
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %38%48%28%
AVG goals2.882.443.32
Over 1.5 %84%76%92%
Over 2.5 %44%32%56%
Over 3.5 %32%20%44%
Scored1.341.241.44
Conceded1.541.201.88
BTTS54%40%68%
Clean Sheet26%32%20%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1VasasVasas3064
67%
2.1
5926+33
2.8
73%
50%
37%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
7
3222.00.9
-
2Budapest HonvedBudapest Honved3059
60%
2.0
4926+23
2.5
67%
53%
17%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
5
1131.60.9
-
3Kecskeméti TEKecskeméti TE3051
53%
1.7
4939+10
2.9
83%
60%
23%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1011.61.3
-
4Kozarmisleny FCKozarmisleny FC3048
43%
1.6
3840-2
2.6
87%
50%
17%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
0011.31.3
-
5CsakvarCsakvar3046
40%
1.5
4337+6
2.7
73%
47%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.41.2
-
6Mezokovesd-zsoryMezokovesd-zsory3046
43%
1.5
3734+3
2.4
70%
37%
10%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1011.21.1
-
7BVSCBVSC3041
40%
1.4
3630+6
2.2
70%
37%
13%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
0111.21.0
-
8Fehérvár FCFehérvár FC3039
33%
1.3
3733+4
2.3
73%
37%
20%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1011.21.1
-
9Tiszakecske FCTiszakecske FC3039
33%
1.3
3744-7
2.7
80%
47%
27%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
1001.21.5
-
10Szeged 2011Szeged 20113036
30%
1.2
2934-5
2.1
63%
37%
17%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
0011.01.1
-
11Karcag SEKarcag SE3035
30%
1.2
2941-12
2.3
63%
33%
20%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.01.4
-
12SoroksarSoroksar3033
27%
1.1
4145-4
2.9
80%
63%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
1001.41.5
-
13Szentlőrinc SESzentlőrinc SE3033
23%
1.1
3542-7
2.6
77%
50%
20%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
1001.21.4
-
14AjkaAjka3033
33%
1.1
2340-17
2.1
57%
37%
13%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1010.81.3
-
15Budafoki LCBudafoki LC3029
23%
1.0
3349-16
2.7
83%
47%
27%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.11.6
-
16Bekescsaba 1912Bekescsaba 19123028
20%
0.9
2742-15
2.3
73%
37%
13%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.91.4
-
Hungary: NB II 2025/26 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Hungary: NB II stats & trends →

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