PythiaFootballPythiaFootballBETA Free Picks Fixtures League Stats Team Stats Player Stats Pro Picks PRO Research Head-to-Head Validation Pricing Log in
← Back

Szentlőrinc SE vs Tatabánya Result & Analysis

Date: 18/05/2025
Time: 15:00
Final 5-1
Szentlőrinc SE
Szentlőrinc SE
Vs
57%
26%
18%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Tatabánya
Tatabánya
Hungary: NB II
Referee: -

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Szentlőrinc SE win✓ Hit
56.7%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
25.8%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Tatabánya win✗ Miss
17.5%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

Szentlőrinc SESzentlőrinc SE

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-440W10W11D22D11D31W00D34L21W02LA·CSA02/03H·BVS09/03A·GYI16/03H·KAZ30/03H·BEK06/04A·SZE13/04H·BUD20/04A·KIS27/04H·VAS04/05A·BUD11/05
Avg total
2.9
Avg scored
1.7
Avg conceded
1.2
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.401.171.270.931.531.40
vs Stronger (8)1.752.001.501.252.002.75
vs Similar (22)1.270.861.180.821.360.91
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %33% (+6pp vs league)
This opponent (Tatabánya) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

TatabányaTatabánya

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-410W32W13L02L00D00D24L22D02L14LH·VAS02/03A·BUD09/03A·KAZ16/03H·KOZ30/03A·AJK06/04H·SOR13/04A·MEZ20/04H·CSA27/04A·BVS04/05A·GYI11/05
Avg total
2.9
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
1.9
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.001.901.001.931.001.87
vs Stronger (4)1.500.751.501.501.500.00
vs Similar (26)0.922.080.922.000.922.15
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %20% (-7pp vs league)
This opponent (Szentlőrinc SE) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

7%13%20%26%9%017%126%222%314%47%55%6+
The model estimates around 2.6 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (26%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
74.3%
Under 1.5
25.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
48.0%
Under 2.5
52.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
26.3%
Under 3.5
73.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
48.8%
No
51.2%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
12.3%
1-0
11.8%
2-0
11.1%
2-1
9.7%
0-0
8.6%
3-0
6.4%
3-1
5.6%
0-1
5.3%
Szentlőrinc SE goals ↓
Tatabánya goals →
01234
08.6%5.3%2.8%0.8%0.2%
112%12%4.8%1.4%0.3%
211%9.7%4.2%1.2%0.3%
36.4%5.6%2.4%0.7%0.2%
42.8%2.4%1.0%0.3%0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Szentlőrinc SE goals (down), columns = Tatabánya goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Kisvarda FC
1.93
Kazincbarcikai
1.77
Vasas
1.73
Kozarmisleny FC
1.57
Szentlőrinc SE
1.57
Mezokovesd-zsory
1.47
Szeged 2011
1.40
Budapest Honved
1.33
BVSC
1.27
Csakvar
1.20
Budafoki LC
1.17
Soroksar
1.17
Ajka
1.17
Bekescsaba 1912
1.10
Gyirmot SE
1.03
Tatabánya
0.80
Szentlőrinc SE is 0.77 points better than Tatabánya in terms of average points per game (1.57 vs 0.80).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Kisvarda FC
1.90
Kazincbarcikai
1.70
Vasas
1.57
Kozarmisleny FC
1.50
Budafoki LC
1.47
Szentlőrinc SE
1.47
Mezokovesd-zsory
1.47
Soroksar
1.40
Gyirmot SE
1.37
Csakvar
1.37
Budapest Honved
1.37
Szeged 2011
1.20
Ajka
1.03
BVSC
1.03
Bekescsaba 1912
1.00
Tatabánya
0.93
Szentlőrinc SE is 0.53 goals better than Tatabánya in terms of goals scored per game (1.47 vs 0.93).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Kazincbarcikai
1.00
Szeged 2011
1.07
BVSC
1.07
Szentlőrinc SE
1.07
Vasas
1.17
Mezokovesd-zsory
1.17
Bekescsaba 1912
1.27
Ajka
1.27
Budapest Honved
1.30
Kozarmisleny FC
1.40
Kisvarda FC
1.47
Gyirmot SE
1.53
Soroksar
1.57
Csakvar
1.67
Budafoki LC
1.77
Tatabánya
2.00
Szentlőrinc SE is 0.93 goals better than Tatabánya in terms of goals conceded per game (1.07 vs 2.00).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

Szentlőrinc SESzentlőrinc SE

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-320W00D10W10W00D10W00D13L11D01LA·CSA02/03H·BVS09/03A·GYI16/03H·KAZ30/03H·BEK06/04A·SZE13/04H·BUD20/04A·KIS27/04H·VAS04/05A·BUD11/05
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.5
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.530.330.330.200.730.47
vs Stronger (8)0.880.620.500.251.251.00
vs Similar (22)0.410.230.270.180.550.27
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %73% (+46pp vs league)
This opponent (Tatabánya) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

TatabányaTatabánya

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-200D11D12L00D00D00D21W10W00D12LH·VAS02/03A·BUD09/03A·KAZ16/03H·KOZ30/03A·AJK06/04H·SOR13/04A·MEZ20/04H·CSA27/04A·BVS04/05A·GYI11/05
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.570.900.401.130.730.67
vs Stronger (4)1.000.500.501.001.500.00
vs Similar (26)0.500.960.381.150.620.77
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %43% (+16pp vs league)
This opponent (Szentlőrinc SE) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Szentlőrinc SE over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Szentlőrinc SE over/under 1.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Szentlőrinc SE over/under 2.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Tatabánya over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Tatabánya over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Tatabánya over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

Szentlőrinc SESzentlőrinc SE

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-220W10W01L12L11D21W00D21W10W01LA·CSA02/03H·BVS09/03A·GYI16/03H·KAZ30/03H·BEK06/04A·SZE13/04H·BUD20/04A·KIS27/04H·VAS04/05A·BUD11/05
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.870.830.930.730.800.93
vs Stronger (8)0.881.381.001.000.751.75
vs Similar (22)0.860.640.910.640.820.64
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %43% (+16pp vs league)
This opponent (Tatabánya) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

TatabányaTatabánya

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-310W21W01L02L00D00D03L12L02L02LH·VAS02/03A·BUD09/03A·KAZ16/03H·KOZ30/03A·AJK06/04H·SOR13/04A·MEZ20/04H·CSA27/04A·BVS04/05A·GYI11/05
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
1.3
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.431.000.600.800.271.20
vs Stronger (4)0.500.251.000.500.000.00
vs Similar (26)0.421.120.540.850.311.38
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %40% (+13pp vs league)
This opponent (Szentlőrinc SE) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Szentlőrinc SE over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Szentlőrinc SE over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Szentlőrinc SE over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Tatabánya over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Tatabánya over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Tatabánya over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 1.574.3%-------✓ Hit
Under 3.573.7%-------✗ Miss

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
VAS (28)
€7m
KF (25)
€6m
BH (25)
€5m
KAZ (19)
€2m
S2 (23)
€2m
MEZ (17)
€2m
BVS (17)
€2m
AJK (20)
€2m
KF (19)
€2m
SS (19)
€1m
SOR (17)
€1m
CSA (11)
€1m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
VAS (11)
€3m
KF (8)
€2m
BH (6)
€1m
MEZ (7)
€1m
SOR (7)
€1m
KAZ (7)
€1m
SS (7)
€1m
AJK (5)
€1m
BVS (5)
€0m
KF (6)
€0m
S2 (6)
€0m
CSA (3)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
VAS (7)
€2m
KF (7)
€2m
BH (5)
€1m
BVS (5)
€1m
KAZ (4)
€0m
S2 (5)
€0m
SS (4)
€0m
CSA (4)
€0m
KF (4)
€0m
MEZ (1)
€0m
SOR (4)
€0m
AJK (2)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BH (14)
€3m
KF (10)
€2m
VAS (10)
€2m
KAZ (8)
€1m
S2 (12)
€1m
MEZ (9)
€1m
AJK (13)
€1m
KF (9)
€1m
BVS (7)
€1m
SS (8)
€0m
SOR (6)
€0m
CSA (4)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

1 previous meeting
0
SS wins
1
Draws
0
TAT wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Szentlőrinc SE vs Tatabánya · H/A from SS
DateH/AGameScore
24/11/24ATatabánya Vs SS0-0

Szentlőrinc SESzentlőrinc SE

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
11/05/25ABudafoki LC Vs SS2-0
04/05/25HSS Vs Vasas2-1
27/04/25AKisvarda FC Vs SS4-3
20/04/25HSS Vs Budapest Honved0-0
13/04/25ASzeged 2011 Vs SS1-3
06/04/25HSS Vs Bekescsaba 19121-1
30/03/25HSS Vs Kazincbarcikai2-2
16/03/25AGyirmot SE Vs SS1-1
09/03/25HSS Vs BVSC1-0
02/03/25ACsakvar Vs SS0-4

TatabányaTatabánya

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
11/05/25AGyirmot SE Vs TAT4-1
04/05/25ABVSC Vs TAT2-0
27/04/25HTAT Vs Csakvar2-2
20/04/25AMezokovesd-zsory Vs TAT4-2
13/04/25HTAT Vs Soroksar0-0
06/04/25AAjka Vs TAT0-0
30/03/25HTAT Vs Kozarmisleny FC0-2
16/03/25AKazincbarcikai Vs TAT3-1
09/03/25ABudafoki LC Vs TAT2-3
02/03/25HTAT Vs Vasas1-0

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Szentlőrinc SE
Szentlőrinc SE
Hungary: NB II
Recent: 4 Wins / 4 Draws / 2 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWDLWL1.24
HomeWDDDW1.38
AwayWDWLL1.12
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %30%33%27%
AVG goals2.522.252.77
Over 1.5 %76%71%81%
Over 2.5 %42%46%38%
Over 3.5 %26%21%31%
Scored1.221.171.27
Conceded1.301.081.50
BTTS56%58%54%
Clean Sheet30%38%23%
Corners---
Cards---
Tatabánya
Tatabánya
Hungary: NB II
Recent: 2 Wins / 3 Draws / 5 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallDLDLL0.87
HomeLWLDD1.00
AwayLDLLL0.73
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %23%27%20%
AVG goals2.902.932.87
Over 1.5 %73%73%73%
Over 2.5 %53%60%47%
Over 3.5 %37%33%40%
Scored1.001.001.00
Conceded1.901.931.87
BTTS50%53%47%
Clean Sheet20%20%20%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1Kisvarda FCKisvarda FC3058
57%
1.9
5744+13
3.4
87%
63%
37%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
6
2221.91.5
-
2KazincbarcikaiKazincbarcikai3053
47%
1.8
5130+21
2.7
73%
47%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1011.71.0
-
3VasasVasas3052
53%
1.7
4735+12
2.7
70%
60%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
7
3221.61.2
-
4Szentlőrinc SESzentlőrinc SE3047
40%
1.6
4432+12
2.5
77%
40%
30%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
1001.51.1
-
5Kozarmisleny FCKozarmisleny FC3047
43%
1.6
4542+3
2.9
83%
40%
37%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
0011.51.4
-
6Mezokovesd-zsoryMezokovesd-zsory3044
40%
1.5
4435+9
2.6
77%
50%
27%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1011.51.2
-
7Szeged 2011Szeged 20113042
33%
1.4
3632+4
2.3
70%
40%
23%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
0011.21.1
-
8Budapest HonvedBudapest Honved3040
37%
1.3
4139+2
2.7
77%
53%
27%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
5
1131.41.3
-
9BVSCBVSC3038
27%
1.3
3132-1
2.1
57%
40%
23%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
0111.01.1
-
10CsakvarCsakvar3036
33%
1.2
4150-9
3.0
87%
70%
40%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.41.7
-
11SoroksarSoroksar3035
30%
1.2
4247-5
3.0
80%
60%
43%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
1001.41.6
-
12AjkaAjka3035
27%
1.2
3138-7
2.3
67%
40%
27%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1011.01.3
-
13Budafoki LCBudafoki LC3035
30%
1.2
4453-9
3.2
87%
67%
37%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.51.8
-
14Bekescsaba 1912Bekescsaba 19123033
27%
1.1
3038-8
2.3
67%
40%
17%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.01.3
-
15Gyirmot SEGyirmot SE3031
23%
1.0
4146-5
2.9
83%
50%
30%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.41.5
-
16TatabányaTatabánya3024
20%
0.8
2860-32
2.9
73%
53%
37%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.92.0
-
Hungary: NB II 2024/25 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Hungary: NB II stats & trends →

← all matches