Tammeka vs Flora Tallinn Result & Analysis

Date: 26/08/2026

Time: 16:00

Final 3-1

Tammeka

21%

25%

54%

■ Home ■ Draw ■ Away

Flora Tallinn

Estonia: Meistriliiga

Referee: -

1 Model Analysis 2 Goal Analysis 3 Team Strengths Analysis 4 Props Analysis 5 Double Chance 6 Home & Away Over/Under 7 Handicap 8 Half Time Goals O/U 9 Half Time Home & Away O/U 10 Second Half Goals O/U 11 Second Half Home & Away O/U

12 Top picks for this game 14 Squad value 15 Games History 16 Overall Statistics 17 League Table

Match preview & prediction

Tammeka’s recent 2-game winning streak shows a team that can hold its own at home, yet their average 0.67 goals scored and 1.83 conceded against stronger opposition signals a fragile attack. Flora Tallinn, on the other hand, has just returned from a win, averaging 2.1 goals scored and only 0.9 conceded on the road against weaker sides, giving them a clear offensive edge. The model therefore picks an away win, with a 53 % probability for Flora, 22 % for Tammeka and 25 % for a draw. The expected total of 3.0 goals aligns with the most likely total of 2, which carries a 24 % chance. The single most probable scoreline is 1-1, with a 11.7 % probability. The model’s suggested selections highlight a strong likelihood of low scoring: Home under 2.5 HT goals at 99.1 %, Under 7.5 at 98.9 %, Home under 2.5 2H goals at 97.8 %, Home under 3.5 goals at 97.3 %, Under 6.5 at 96.9 %, Away under 2.5 HT goals at 93.7 %, Home under 1.5 HT goals at 93.6 %, and Under 5.5 at 92.1 % with an 8 % edge.

Results analysis

Tammeka’s 3-1 victory over Flora Tallinn stunned the pre-match favourite, the model’s pick of an away win at 54% probability. The upset was even more shocking given the home side’s recent form, a three-game winning streak that had seen them beat Flora 3-1 in their last encounter. The model’s selection was therefore wrong, as the actual result was a home win. The model’s other selections all hit: Under 7.5 goals at 98.9%, Home under 2.5 HT goals at 98.8%, Home under 2.5 2H goals at 97.7%, Home under 3.5 goals at 97.5%, Under 6.5 at 96.9%, Away under 2.5 HT goals at 94.3%, Home under 1.5 HT goals at 92.6% and Under 5.5 at 92.1%. The match finished 3-1 in favour of the home side.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Tammeka win✓ Hit

21.0%

Avg Implied 21.5% · @ 4.18

Edge

-0.5%

Best 5 market prices

1xBet

4.51

Pinnacle

4.48

Marathonbet

4.45

Dafabet

4.30

William Hil

4.20

Draw✗ Miss

24.7%

Avg Implied 22.9% · @ 3.94

Edge

+1.8%

Best 5 market prices

Betfair

4.20

Pinnacle

4.13

10Bet

4.10

Bet365

4.00

Superbet

4.00

Flora Tallinn win✗ Miss

54.3%

Avg Implied 55.6% · @ 1.62

Edge

-1.3%

Best 5 market prices

Unibet

1.70

Superbet

1.66

Dafabet

1.66

Betano

1.65

10Bet

1.65

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

Tammeka

Last 10 – goals for & against

Avg total

4.5

Avg scored

2.9

Avg conceded

1.6

Split	Total Scored	Total Conceded	Home Scored	Home Conceded	Away Scored	Away Conceded
Avg goals/game	2.27	2.10	3.07	1.29	1.56	2.81
vs Stronger (11)	0.64	2.73	0.80	2.00	0.50	3.33
vs Similar (19)	3.21	1.74	4.33	0.89	2.20	2.50
vs Weaker (0)	-	-	-	-	-	-
Clean sheet %	27% (-0pp vs league)

This opponent (Flora Tallinn) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Flora Tallinn

Last 10 – goals for & against

Avg total

3.1

Avg scored

1.7

Avg conceded

1.4

Split	Total Scored	Total Conceded	Home Scored	Home Conceded	Away Scored	Away Conceded
Avg goals/game	2.57	1.07	2.88	1.12	2.21	1.00
vs Stronger (0)	-	-	-	-	-	-
vs Similar (11)	2.73	1.73	3.60	2.00	2.00	1.50
vs Weaker (19)	2.47	0.68	2.55	0.73	2.38	0.62
Clean sheet %	33% (+6pp vs league)

This opponent (Tammeka) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

The model estimates around 3.0 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (24%).

Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over

Over 1.5

80.4%

@ 1.10-2.0%

Under 1.5

19.6%

@ 5.16+2.0%

Best 5 market prices

Over

Bet365

1.12

Betfair

1.10

Marathonbet

1.10

1xBet

1.10

Superbet

1.10

Under

Betfair

6.50

Bet365

5.50

Unibet

5.25

Marathonbet

5.20

1xBet

5.20

Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over

Over 2.5

56.6%

@ 1.41-7.7%

Under 2.5

43.4%

@ 2.55+7.7%

Best 5 market prices

Over

Pinnacle

1.46

Superbet

1.44

Bet365

1.44

Marathonbet

1.42

1xBet

1.42

Under

Betfair

2.75

10Bet

2.70

Bet365

2.62

Pinnacle

2.60

Unibet

2.60

Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over

Over 3.5

34.2%

@ 2.06-10.2%

Under 3.5

65.8%

@ 1.65+10.2%

Best 5 market prices

Over

Pinnacle

2.17

1xBet

2.11

Marathonbet

2.11

Betfair

2.10

Bet365

2.10

Under

Betfair

1.73

10Bet

1.70

Bet365

1.67

Pinnacle

1.67

1xBet

1.65

Both teams to scoreActual: Yes

Yes

57.2%

@ 1.45-5.6%

42.8%

@ 2.45+5.6%

Best 5 market prices

Yes

Bet365

1.53

Marathonbet

1.48

1xBet

1.48

Superbet

1.48

Betfair

1.44

Betfair

2.63

Unibet

2.55

10Bet

2.50

William Hil

2.50

Superbet

2.47

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).

1-1

11.7%@ 7.66+6.2%

1-2

9.9%@ 7.38+4.1%

0-2

9.0%@ 9.18+4.4%

0-1

8.6%@ 9.60+4.2%

0-0

6.3%@ 17.14+3.8%

1-3

6.1%@ 9.99+1.9%

2-1

5.8%@ 12.27+2.4%

0-3

5.6%@ 12.47+2.2%

Tammeka goals ↓

	Flora Tallinn goals →
	0	1	2	3	4
0	6.3%	8.6%	9.0%	5.6%	2.6%
1	4.6%	12%	9.9%	6.1%	2.8%
2	3.1%	5.8%	5.4%	3.3%	1.6%
3	1.1%	2.1%	2.0%	1.2%	0.6%
4	0.3%	0.6%	0.5%	0.3%	0.2%

Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Tammeka goals (down), columns = Flora Tallinn goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game

FC Levadia Tallinn

2.29

Paide

2.00

Tammeka

1.88

Kalju Nomme

1.75

Flora Tallinn

1.67

Laagri

1.50

Vaprus

1.00

Kuressaare

0.89

Trans Narva

0.88

Nõmme United

0.75

Tammeka is 0.21 points better than Flora Tallinn in terms of average points per game (1.88 vs 1.67).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game

FC Levadia Tallinn

2.71

Paide

2.00

Kalju Nomme

2.00

Laagri

1.88

Flora Tallinn

1.78

Vaprus

1.62

Tammeka

1.62

Nõmme United

1.12

Kuressaare

1.11

Trans Narva

0.88

Tammeka is 0.15 goals worse than Flora Tallinn in terms of goals scored per game (1.62 vs 1.78).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better

Kalju Nomme

1.00

FC Levadia Tallinn

1.00

Laagri

1.38

Paide

1.43

Flora Tallinn

1.56

Kuressaare

1.67

Vaprus

1.88

Tammeka

1.88

Trans Narva

2.12

Nõmme United

2.50

Tammeka is 0.32 goals worse than Flora Tallinn in terms of goals conceded per game (1.88 vs 1.56).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.

Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

Tammeka or Draw✓ Hit

45.7%

Avg Implied 44.0% · @ 2.07

Edge

+1.7%

21%

25%

54%

covers Tammeka + Draw

Best 5 market prices

Betfair

2.10

William Hil

2.10

Marathonbet

2.10

1xBet

2.10

10Bet

2.10

Tammeka or Flora Tallinn✓ Hit

75.3%

Avg Implied 77.9% · @ 1.17

Edge

-2.6%

21%

25%

54%

covers Tammeka + Flora Tallinn

Best 5 market prices

Betano

1.22

William Hil

1.22

Unibet

1.20

Superbet

1.19

Betfair

1.17

Draw or Flora Tallinn✗ Miss

79.0%

Avg Implied 78.1% · @ 1.17

Edge

+0.9%

21%

25%

54%

covers Draw + Flora Tallinn

Best 5 market prices

BetVictor

1.20

William Hil

1.20

Betano

1.19

Unibet

1.19

Betfair

1.17

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

Home & Away Over/Under

How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.

Tammeka over/under 0.5Actual: Over

Over

66.5%

@ 1.30-2.8%

Under

33.5%

@ 2.95+2.8%

Best 5 market prices

Over

Bet365

1.36

1xBet

1.35

Marathonbet

1.33

Superbet

1.31

10Bet

1.28

Under

Unibet

3.25

10Bet

3.10

Bet365

3.00

Superbet

2.95

Marathonbet

2.93

Tammeka over/under 1.5Actual: Over

Over

29.8%

@ 2.51-6.4%

Under

70.2%

@ 1.42+6.4%

Best 5 market prices

Over

Pinnacle

2.72

1xBet

2.64

Marathonbet

2.64

Bet365

2.62

Superbet

2.52

Under

Unibet

1.47

10Bet

1.45

Bet365

1.44

Pinnacle

1.44

Superbet

1.43

Tammeka over/under 2.5Actual: Over

Over

9.8%

@ 5.40-6.9%

Under

90.2%

@ 1.08+6.9%

Best 5 market prices

Over

Marathonbet

6.40

Bet365

6.00

1xBet

5.70

Superbet

5.45

Unibet

5.25

Under

Bet365

1.11

1xBet

1.09

Unibet

1.08

BetVictor

1.08

Superbet

1.08

Tammeka over/under 3.5Actual: Under

Over

2.5%

@ 11.00-6.0%

Under

97.5%

@ 1.02+6.0%

Best 5 market prices

Over

Bet365

11.00

Under

Bet365

1.02

Flora Tallinn over/under 0.5Actual: Over

Over

84.4%

@ 1.07+0.1%

Under

15.6%

@ 5.76-0.1%

Best 5 market prices

Over

Bet365

1.10

10Bet

1.07

BetVictor

1.07

Superbet

1.07

1xBet

1.05

Under

1xBet

6.90

Bet365

6.50

10Bet

6.00

Superbet

5.65

BetVictor

3.75

Flora Tallinn over/under 1.5Actual: Under

Over

55.5%

@ 1.47-6.5%

Under

44.5%

@ 2.39+6.5%

Best 5 market prices

Over

Pinnacle

1.51

Bet365

1.50

Superbet

1.50

1xBet

1.50

Marathonbet

1.48

Under

Pinnacle

2.52

Bet365

2.50

10Bet

2.45

Marathonbet

2.43

1xBet

2.40

Flora Tallinn over/under 2.5Actual: Under

Over

28.6%

@ 2.45-8.6%

Under

71.4%

@ 1.45+8.6%

Best 5 market prices

Over

Pinnacle

2.53

Superbet

2.52

Unibet

2.50

Bet365

2.50

Marathonbet

2.49

Under

Bet365

1.50

Pinnacle

1.50

1xBet

1.48

Marathonbet

1.46

Superbet

1.42

Flora Tallinn over/under 3.5Actual: Under

Over

11.9%

@ 4.63-7.9%

Under

88.1%

@ 1.14+7.9%

Best 5 market prices

Over

Unibet

4.90

Bet365

4.50

1xBet

4.50

Under

Bet365

1.17

1xBet

1.15

Unibet

1.10

⚖️ 7. Handicap

Handicap

The handicap is applied to Tammeka, so a minus line means Tammeka give that many goals of a start and Flora Tallinn receive them. At -1, Tammeka must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Tammeka win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.

Handicap -2 (Tammeka)Actual: Draw

Tammeka -2

2.4%

@ 19.00-2.5%

Draw -2

5.8%

@ 12.00-1.9%

Flora Tallinn +2

91.7%

@ 1.07+4.4%

Best 5 market prices

Home

Bet365

19.00

Draw

Bet365

12.00

Away

Bet365

1.07

Handicap -1 (Tammeka)Actual: Tammeka

Tammeka -1

8.3%

@ 7.93-2.9%

Draw -1

12.8%

@ 6.03-1.8%

Flora Tallinn +1

79.0%

@ 1.19+4.7%

Best 5 market prices

Home

Marathonbet

9.30

Unibet

7.50

Bet365

7.00

Draw

Marathonbet

6.50

Bet365

6.00

Unibet

5.60

Away

Bet365

1.22

Unibet

1.21

Marathonbet

1.13

Handicap +1 (Tammeka)Actual: Tammeka

Tammeka +1

45.7%

@ 2.05+2.8%

Draw +1

22.5%

@ 3.80-0.7%

Flora Tallinn -1

31.8%

@ 2.59-2.1%

Best 5 market prices

Home

Betfair

2.10

Marathonbet

2.10

10Bet

2.10

Unibet

2.02

Bet365

1.91

Draw

Bet365

4.00

10Bet

3.80

Betfair

3.75

Marathonbet

3.74

Unibet

3.70

Away

Bet365

2.75

Unibet

2.65

10Bet

2.60

Betfair

2.50

Marathonbet

2.46

Handicap +2 (Tammeka)Actual: Tammeka

Tammeka +2

68.2%

@ 1.39+4.9%

Draw +2

16.9%

@ 4.83-1.3%

Flora Tallinn -2

14.8%

@ 4.78-3.6%

Best 5 market prices

Home

Marathonbet

1.43

Unibet

1.38

Bet365

1.36

Draw

Bet365

5.00

Marathonbet

4.90

Unibet

4.60

Away

Bet365

5.00

Unibet

4.90

Marathonbet

4.45

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

Tammeka

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against

Avg total

2.7

Avg scored

1.6

Avg conceded

1.1

Split	Total Scored	Total Conceded	Home Scored	Home Conceded	Away Scored	Away Conceded
Avg goals/game	1.20	1.33	1.71	0.93	0.75	1.69
vs Stronger (11)	0.36	1.82	0.60	1.60	0.17	2.00
vs Similar (19)	1.68	1.05	2.33	0.56	1.10	1.50
vs Weaker (0)	-	-	-	-	-	-
Clean sheet %	33% (+6pp vs league)

This opponent (Flora Tallinn) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Flora Tallinn

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against

Avg total

1.4

Avg scored

0.6

Avg conceded

0.8

Split	Total Scored	Total Conceded	Home Scored	Home Conceded	Away Scored	Away Conceded
Avg goals/game	1.20	0.53	1.25	0.56	1.14	0.50
vs Stronger (0)	-	-	-	-	-	-
vs Similar (11)	1.27	0.73	1.80	0.60	0.83	0.83
vs Weaker (19)	1.16	0.42	1.00	0.55	1.38	0.25
Clean sheet %	57% (+30pp vs league)

This opponent (Tammeka) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over

Over 0.5

72.8%

@ 1.21-2.1%

Under 0.5

27.2%

@ 3.61+2.1%

Best 5 market prices

Over

Bet365

1.25

William Hil

1.22

1xBet

1.22

Marathonbet

1.22

Superbet

1.21

Under

Betfair

4.00

William Hil

3.90

10Bet

3.80

Bet365

3.75

Superbet

3.55

Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over

Over 1.5

39.1%

@ 2.06-5.1%

Under 1.5

60.9%

@ 1.64+5.1%

Best 5 market prices

Over

Pinnacle

2.14

1xBet

2.13

Marathonbet

2.13

Betfair

2.10

William Hil

2.10

Under

Unibet

1.68

Bet365

1.67

Pinnacle

1.67

Betfair

1.67

William Hil

1.67

Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under

Over 2.5

15.0%

@ 4.26-6.3%

Under 2.5

85.0%

@ 1.15+6.3%

Best 5 market prices

Over

Marathonbet

4.55

1xBet

4.55

William Hil

4.50

Betfair

4.50

Bet365

4.33

Under

Bet365

1.20

William Hil

1.18

Betfair

1.17

Superbet

1.15

Marathonbet

1.13

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.

Tammeka over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over

Over

28.6%

@ 2.17-13.9%

Under

71.4%

@ 1.61+13.9%

Best 5 market prices

Over

Pinnacle

2.30

Marathonbet

2.21

Superbet

2.17

1xBet

2.16

Unibet

2.02

Under

Unibet

1.68

1xBet

1.62

Superbet

1.59

Pinnacle

1.58

Marathonbet

1.56

Tammeka over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under

Over

7.4%

@ 7.50-4.7%

Under

92.6%

@ 1.04+4.7%

Best 5 market prices

Over

Marathonbet

7.90

1xBet

7.10

Under

1xBet

1.05

Marathonbet

1.03

Tammeka over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under

Over

1.2%

Under

98.8%

Best 5 market prices

Over

No market prices yet.

Under

No market prices yet.

Flora Tallinn over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over

Over

62.8%

@ 1.52+2.1%

Under

37.2%

@ 2.35-2.1%

Best 5 market prices

Over

Pinnacle

1.53

Unibet

1.52

Superbet

1.52

1xBet

1.52

Under

Pinnacle

2.43

1xBet

2.37

Superbet

2.30

Unibet

2.30

Flora Tallinn over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under

Over

30.1%

@ 3.48+3.8%

Under

69.9%

@ 1.25-3.8%

Best 5 market prices

Over

Marathonbet

3.56

1xBet

3.40

Under

1xBet

1.26

Marathonbet

1.23

Flora Tallinn over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under

Over

5.7%

@ 9.60-3.8%

Under

94.3%

@ 1.01+3.8%

Best 5 market prices

Over

1xBet

9.60

Under

1xBet

1.01

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

Tammeka

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against

Avg total

1.8

Avg scored

1.3

Avg conceded

0.5

Split	Total Scored	Total Conceded	Home Scored	Home Conceded	Away Scored	Away Conceded
Avg goals/game	1.07	0.77	1.36	0.36	0.81	1.12
vs Stronger (11)	0.27	0.91	0.20	0.40	0.33	1.33
vs Similar (19)	1.53	0.68	2.00	0.33	1.10	1.00
vs Weaker (0)	-	-	-	-	-	-
Clean sheet %	53% (+26pp vs league)

This opponent (Flora Tallinn) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Flora Tallinn

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against

Avg total

1.7

Avg scored

1.1

Avg conceded

0.6

Split	Total Scored	Total Conceded	Home Scored	Home Conceded	Away Scored	Away Conceded
Avg goals/game	1.37	0.53	1.62	0.56	1.07	0.50
vs Stronger (0)	-	-	-	-	-	-
vs Similar (11)	1.45	1.00	1.80	1.40	1.17	0.67
vs Weaker (19)	1.32	0.26	1.55	0.18	1.00	0.38
Clean sheet %	63% (+36pp vs league)

This opponent (Tammeka) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over

Over 0.5

83.4%

@ 1.12+1.2%

Under 0.5

16.6%

@ 5.17-1.2%

Best 5 market prices

Over

William Hil

1.15

Bet365

1.14

Superbet

1.11

Marathonbet

1.09

1xBet

1.09

Under

Bet365

5.50

Marathonbet

5.30

1xBet

5.30

William Hil

5.00

Superbet

4.75

Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over

Over 1.5

50.5%

@ 1.65-5.5%

Under 1.5

49.5%

@ 2.11+5.5%

Best 5 market prices

Over

William Hil

1.70

Bet365

1.67

Superbet

1.67

1xBet

1.65

Marathonbet

1.65

Under

10Bet

2.20

Unibet

2.12

1xBet

2.10

Marathonbet

2.10

Bet365

2.10

Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under

Over 2.5

21.8%

@ 3.05-8.3%

Under 2.5

78.2%

@ 1.31+8.3%

Best 5 market prices

Over

Bet365

3.25

William Hil

3.20

Superbet

2.95

Marathonbet

2.92

1xBet

2.92

Under

Bet365

1.33

1xBet

1.31

Superbet

1.31

Marathonbet

1.31

William Hil

1.30

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.

Tammeka over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over

Over

37.8%

@ 1.83-12.5%

Under

62.2%

@ 1.85+12.5%

Best 5 market prices

Over

1xBet

1.84

Marathonbet

1.84

Superbet

1.82

Under

Superbet

1.88

1xBet

1.86

Marathonbet

1.82

Tammeka over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over

Over

9.3%

@ 5.35-7.8%

Under

90.7%

@ 1.10+7.8%

Best 5 market prices

Over

Marathonbet

5.50

1xBet

5.20

Under

1xBet

1.11

Marathonbet

1.10

Tammeka over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under

Over

2.3%

Under

97.7%

Best 5 market prices

Over

No market prices yet.

Under

No market prices yet.

Flora Tallinn over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under

Over

71.4%

@ 1.36+4.1%

Under

28.6%

@ 2.80-4.1%

Best 5 market prices

Over

Superbet

1.37

1xBet

1.35

Under

1xBet

2.90

Superbet

2.70

Flora Tallinn over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under

Over

26.8%

@ 2.62-8.0%

Under

73.2%

@ 1.40+8.0%

Best 5 market prices

Over

Superbet

2.67

1xBet

2.60

Marathonbet

2.60

Under

1xBet

1.43

Marathonbet

1.41

Superbet

1.37

Flora Tallinn over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under

Over

8.3%

@ 6.40-6.0%

Under

91.7%

@ 1.07+6.0%

Best 5 market prices

Over

1xBet

6.40

Under

1xBet

1.07

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.

Min odds1.20

Edge

Pick	Probability	Avg odds	Best 1	Best 2	Best 3	Best 4	Best 5	Edge	Result
Under 7.5	98.9%	1.01	Bet365 1.01	1xBet 1.01	-	-	-	+5.2%	✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 HT goals	98.8%	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 2H goals	97.7%	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	✓ Hit
Home under 3.5 goals	97.5%	1.02	Bet365 1.02	-	-	-	-	+6.0%	✓ Hit
Under 6.5	96.9%	1.04	Bet365 1.04	1xBet 1.04	-	-	-	+7.2%	✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 HT goals	94.3%	1.01	1xBet 1.01	-	-	-	-	+3.8%	✓ Hit
Home under 1.5 HT goals	92.6%	1.04	1xBet 1.05	Marathonbet 1.03	-	-	-	+4.7%	✓ Hit
Under 5.5	92.1%	1.07	Bet365 1.11	Betfair 1.10	Superbet 1.07	Unibet 1.07	Marathonbet 1.06	+7.9%	✓ Hit
Away +2 handicap	91.7%	1.07	Bet365 1.07	-	-	-	-	+4.4%	✗ Miss
Away under 2.5 2H goals	91.7%	1.07	1xBet 1.07	-	-	-	-	+6.0%	✓ Hit
Home under 1.5 2H goals	90.7%	1.10	1xBet 1.11	Marathonbet 1.10	-	-	-	+7.8%	✗ Miss
Home under 2.5 goals	90.2%	1.08	Bet365 1.11	1xBet 1.09	Unibet 1.08	BetVictor 1.08	Superbet 1.08	+6.9%	✗ Miss
Away under 3.5 goals	88.1%	1.14	Bet365 1.17	1xBet 1.15	Unibet 1.10	-	-	+7.9%	✓ Hit
Under 2.5 HT goals	85.0%	1.15	Bet365 1.20	William Hil 1.18	Betfair 1.17	Superbet 1.15	Marathonbet 1.13	+6.3%	✓ Hit
Away over 0.5 goals	84.4%	1.07	Bet365 1.10	10Bet 1.07	BetVictor 1.07	Superbet 1.07	1xBet 1.05	+0.1%	✓ Hit
Over 0.5 2H goals	83.4%	1.12	William Hil 1.15	Bet365 1.14	Superbet 1.11	Marathonbet 1.09	1xBet 1.09	+1.2%	✓ Hit
Under 4.5	82.3%	1.25	Betfair 1.29	10Bet 1.28	Bet365 1.28	Unibet 1.25	Marathonbet 1.23	+9.5%	✓ Hit
Over 1.5	80.4%	1.10	Bet365 1.12	Betfair 1.10	Marathonbet 1.10	1xBet 1.10	Superbet 1.10	-2.0%	✓ Hit
Draw or Away	79.0%	1.17	BetVictor 1.20	William Hil 1.20	Betano 1.19	Unibet 1.19	Betfair 1.17	+0.9%	✗ Miss
Away +1 handicap	79.0%	1.19	Bet365 1.22	Unibet 1.21	Marathonbet 1.13	-	-	+4.7%	✗ Miss
Under 2.5 2H goals	78.2%	1.31	Bet365 1.33	1xBet 1.31	Superbet 1.31	Marathonbet 1.31	William Hil 1.30	+8.3%	✓ Hit
Home or Away	75.3%	1.17	Betano 1.22	William Hil 1.22	Unibet 1.20	Superbet 1.19	Betfair 1.17	-2.6%	✓ Hit
Away under 1.5 2H goals	73.2%	1.40	1xBet 1.43	Marathonbet 1.41	Superbet 1.37	-	-	+8.0%	✓ Hit
Over 0.5 HT goals	72.8%	1.21	Bet365 1.25	William Hil 1.22	1xBet 1.22	Marathonbet 1.22	Superbet 1.21	-2.1%	✓ Hit
Home under 0.5 HT goals	71.4%	1.61	Unibet 1.68	1xBet 1.62	Superbet 1.59	Pinnacle 1.58	Marathonbet 1.56	+13.9%	✗ Miss
Away under 2.5 goals	71.4%	1.45	Bet365 1.50	Pinnacle 1.50	1xBet 1.48	Marathonbet 1.46	Superbet 1.42	+8.6%	✓ Hit
Away over 0.5 2H goals	71.4%	1.36	Superbet 1.37	1xBet 1.35	-	-	-	+4.1%	✗ Miss
Home under 1.5 goals	70.2%	1.42	Unibet 1.47	10Bet 1.45	Bet365 1.44	Pinnacle 1.44	Superbet 1.43	+6.4%	✗ Miss

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)

KN (24)

€4m

FLT (22)

€4m

PAI (28)

€4m

FT (22)

€3m

TN (26)

€2m

VAP (24)

€2m

LAA (25)

€2m

TAM (24)

€2m

NU (26)

€2m

KUR (21)

€1m

Tammeka's squad is €1m less valuable than Flora Tallinn's (€2m vs €3m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)

FLT (10)

€2m

PAI (12)

€2m

KN (9)

€2m

FT (8)

€1m

VAP (12)

€1m

TN (9)

€1m

TAM (9)

€1m

LAA (7)

€1m

NU (8)

€1m

KUR (7)

€1m

Tammeka and Flora Tallinn have a similar attack value (both €1m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)

KN (3)

€1m

PAI (5)

€1m

FLT (3)

€1m

FT (5)

€1m

TN (7)

€1m

LAA (6)

€1m

TAM (6)

€0m

KUR (5)

€0m

NU (7)

€0m

VAP (2)

€0m

Tammeka and Flora Tallinn have a similar midfield value (both €0m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)

KN (12)

€2m

FLT (9)

€2m

PAI (11)

€2m

FT (9)

€1m

VAP (10)

€1m

TN (10)

€1m

NU (11)

€1m

LAA (12)

€1m

TAM (9)

€1m

KUR (9)

€1m

Tammeka and Flora Tallinn have a similar defence value (both €1m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

8 previous meetings

TAM wins

Draws

FT wins

Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Tammeka vs Flora Tallinn · H/A from TAM

Date	H/A	Game	Score
20/09/25	A	Flora Tallinn Vs TAM	2-1
20/07/25	H	TAM Vs Flora Tallinn	1-2
30/05/25	A	Flora Tallinn Vs TAM	3-1
08/04/25	H	TAM Vs Flora Tallinn	1-2
21/09/24	A	Flora Tallinn Vs TAM	2-1
19/07/24	H	TAM Vs Flora Tallinn	2-0
19/06/24	A	Flora Tallinn Vs TAM	3-1
31/03/24	H	TAM Vs Flora Tallinn	0-0

Tammeka

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result

Date	H/A	Game	Score
22/08/26	H	TAM Vs Kuressaare	1-0
14/08/26	A	Nõmme United Vs TAM	0-1
05/08/26	A	Rumori Calcio Vs TAM	0-1
02/08/26	A	Kalju Nomme Vs TAM	5-1
24/07/26	H	TAM Vs Zealot Sporting	19-0
11/07/26	A	Vaprus Vs TAM	5-1
05/07/26	H	TAM Vs Laagri	2-1
08/11/25	H	TAM Vs Trans Narva	2-0
02/11/25	A	Kalju Nomme Vs TAM	2-1
29/10/25	A	Paide Vs TAM	3-0

Flora Tallinn

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result

Date	H/A	Game	Score
23/08/26	A	Vaprus Vs FT	1-2
16/08/26	H	FT Vs Kuressaare	2-3
13/08/26	H	FT Vs Inter Club d'Escaldes	0-4
06/08/26	A	Inter Club d'Escaldes Vs FT	2-0
02/08/26	H	FT Vs Laagri	1-0
17/07/26	H	FT Vs Nõmme United	1-2
02/07/26	A	Kuressaare Vs FT	0-3
28/06/26	A	FC Levadia Tallinn Vs FT	1-2
23/05/26	A	Paide Vs FT	1-5
05/05/26	H	FT Vs Trans Narva	1-0

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Tammeka

Estonia: Meistriliiga

Recent: 6 Wins / 0 Draws / 4 Losses

Form	Results	PPG
Overall	WLWWW	1.16
Home	WWWWW	1.46
Away	LLLWW	0.88

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Win %	36%	46%	27%
AVG goals	3.98	4.00	3.96
Over 1.5 %	84%	79%	88%
Over 2.5 %	76%	71%	81%
Over 3.5 %	48%	42%	54%
Scored	1.88	2.50	1.31
Conceded	2.10	1.50	2.65
BTTS	56%	50%	62%
Clean Sheet	20%	29%	12%
Corners	-	-	-
Cards	-	-	-

Flora Tallinn

Estonia: Meistriliiga

Recent: 6 Wins / 0 Draws / 4 Losses

Form	Results	PPG
Overall	WLLLW	2.12
Home	WLWLL	2.00
Away	WWWLW	2.25

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Win %	68%	65%	71%
AVG goals	3.36	3.62	3.08
Over 1.5 %	86%	77%	96%
Over 2.5 %	76%	69%	83%
Over 3.5 %	38%	50%	25%
Scored	2.36	2.58	2.12
Conceded	1.00	1.04	0.96
BTTS	56%	50%	62%
Clean Sheet	36%	42%	29%
Corners	11.00	8.00	14.00
Cards	4.00	6.00	2.00

🏆 17. League Table

Record						Goals							Props / game						Squad value €m				Strengths
Rank	Team	MP	Pts	Win%	PPG	GF	GA	GD	G/G	O1.5	O2.5	O3.5	Cor	Cor O%	Crd	Crd O%	Fls	Fls O%	Tot	Att	Mid	Def	Att/g	Def/g	Poss%
1	FC Levadia Tallinn	7	16	71%	2.3	19	7	+12	3.7	100%	86%	57%	-	0%	-	0%	-	0%	4	2	1	2	2.7	1.0	-
2	Flora Tallinn	9	15	56%	1.7	16	14	+2	3.3	89%	89%	33%	-	0%	-	0%	-	0%	3	1	1	1	1.8	1.6	-
3	Tammeka	8	15	62%	1.9	13	15	-2	3.5	75%	62%	50%	-	0%	-	0%	-	0%	2	1	0	1	1.6	1.9	-
4	Kalju Nomme	8	14	50%	1.8	16	8	+8	3.0	75%	50%	50%	-	0%	-	0%	-	0%	4	2	1	2	2.0	1.0	-
5	Paide	7	14	57%	2.0	14	10	+4	3.4	86%	57%	43%	-	0%	-	0%	-	0%	4	2	1	2	2.0	1.4	-
6	Laagri	8	12	50%	1.5	15	11	+4	3.2	75%	75%	25%	-	0%	-	0%	-	0%	2	1	1	1	1.9	1.4	-
7	Vaprus	8	8	25%	1.0	13	15	-2	3.5	88%	75%	62%	-	0%	-	0%	-	0%	2	1	0	1	1.6	1.9	-
8	Kuressaare	9	8	22%	0.9	10	15	-5	2.8	56%	56%	44%	-	0%	-	0%	-	0%	1	1	0	1	1.1	1.7	-
9	Trans Narva	8	7	25%	0.9	7	17	-10	3.0	100%	62%	38%	-	0%	-	0%	-	0%	2	1	1	1	0.9	2.1	-
10	Nõmme United	8	6	25%	0.8	9	20	-11	3.6	88%	88%	50%	-	0%	-	0%	-	0%	2	1	0	1	1.1	2.5	-

Estonia: Meistriliiga 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Estonia: Meistriliiga stats & trends →

← all matches

Tammeka vs Flora Tallinn Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

Tammeka

Flora Tallinn

Total goals distribution

Correct score

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

⚔️ Attack

🛡️ Defense

⏱️ Possession

🎲 4. Props Analysis

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

Tammeka

Flora Tallinn

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

Tammeka

Flora Tallinn

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

⚔️ Attack

🧠 Midfield

🛡️ Defence

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

Head-to-head

Tammeka

Flora Tallinn

📊 16. Overall Statistics

🏆 17. League Table

A Pro feature