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Tammeka vs Kalju Nomme Result & Analysis

Date: 03/08/2025
Time: 16:00
Final 1-3
Tammeka
Tammeka
Vs
27%
26%
48%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Kalju Nomme
Kalju Nomme
Estonia: Meistriliiga
Referee: -

ðŸŽŊ 1. Model Analysis

Tammeka win✗ Miss
26.6%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
25.8%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Kalju Nomme win✓ Hit
47.6%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

âš― 2. Goal Analysis

TammekaTammeka

Last 10 – goals for & against
50-501L12L50W13L21W32W02L23L20W12LH·KAL10/05A·VAP17/05H·TAL27/05A·FLO30/05H·LAA13/06A·KUR17/06H·PAI28/06A·TAL06/07A·KUR11/07H·FLO20/07
Avg total
3.3
Avg scored
1.7
Avg conceded
1.6
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.372.071.432.001.312.12
vs Stronger (13)0.772.310.862.290.672.33
vs Similar (17)1.821.882.001.711.702.00
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %10% (-17pp vs league)
This opponent (Kalju Nomme) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Kalju NommeKalju Nomme

Last 10 – goals for & against
60-620W10W13L22D01L11D00D62W01L21WH·TRA15/06H·LAA18/06A·FC 21/06A·VAP27/06A·FLO06/07H·PAR10/07A·PAR17/07H·TAL20/07A·ST 24/07H·ST 31/07
Avg total
2.6
Avg scored
1.5
Avg conceded
1.1
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.801.272.271.201.331.33
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (14)0.931.861.001.670.882.00
vs Weaker (16)2.560.753.110.891.860.57
Clean sheet %33% (+6pp vs league)
This opponent (Tammeka) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

6%12%18%24%6%013%124%222%317%410%58%6+
The model estimates around 3.0 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (24%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
80.9%
Under 1.5
19.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
57.2%
Under 2.5
42.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
34.8%
Under 3.5
65.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
59.8%
No
40.2%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
12.1%
1-2
9.5%
0-1
7.7%
0-2
7.6%
2-1
6.9%
0-0
6.2%
2-2
5.9%
1-3 ✓
5.5%
Tammeka goals ↓
Kalju Nomme goals →
01234
06.2%7.7%7.6%4.4%1.9%
15.3%12%9.5%5.5%2.4%
24.0%6.9%5.9%3.4%1.5%
31.7%2.9%2.5%1.4%0.6%
40.5%0.9%0.8%0.4%0.2%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Tammeka goals (down), columns = Kalju Nomme goals (across).

💊 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Flora Tallinn
2.28
FC Levadia Tallinn
2.19
Kalju Nomme
2.06
Paide
1.94
Trans Narva
1.42
Vaprus
1.36
Laagri
1.00
Kuressaare
0.89
Tammeka
0.83
Tallinna Kalev
0.47
Viimsi
0.00
Tammeka is 1.22 points worse than Kalju Nomme in terms of average points per game (0.83 vs 2.06).

⚔ïļ Attack

Goals scored / game
FC Levadia Tallinn
2.47
Flora Tallinn
2.33
Kalju Nomme
1.92
Paide
1.75
Vaprus
1.50
Trans Narva
1.47
Laagri
1.36
Tammeka
1.31
Kuressaare
0.92
Tallinna Kalev
0.89
Viimsi
0.00
Tammeka is 0.61 goals worse than Kalju Nomme in terms of goals scored per game (1.31 vs 1.92).

ðŸ›Ąïļ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Flora Tallinn
0.86
Paide
0.89
FC Levadia Tallinn
1.00
Kalju Nomme
1.03
Vaprus
1.42
Trans Narva
1.44
Viimsi
1.50
Kuressaare
1.76
Laagri
1.94
Tammeka
2.31
Tallinna Kalev
3.14
Tammeka is 1.28 goals worse than Kalju Nomme in terms of goals conceded per game (2.31 vs 1.03).

⏱ïļ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

ðŸŽē 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

ðŸĨ… 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖ïļ 7. Handicap

⏱ïļ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

TammekaTammeka

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-201L01L20W10W20W22D01L21W10W12LH·KAL10/05A·VAP17/05H·TAL27/05A·FLO30/05H·LAA13/06A·KUR17/06H·PAI28/06A·TAL06/07A·KUR11/07H·FLO20/07
Avg total
1.9
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
0.8
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.771.030.791.290.750.81
vs Stronger (13)0.461.230.571.570.330.83
vs Similar (17)1.000.881.001.001.000.80
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %30% (+3pp vs league)
This opponent (Kalju Nomme) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Kalju NommeKalju Nomme

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-300D00D02L21W00D00D00D30W00D10WH·TRA15/06H·LAA18/06A·FC 21/06A·VAP27/06A·FLO06/07H·PAR10/07A·PAR17/07H·TAL20/07A·ST 24/07H·ST 31/07
Avg total
0.9
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.3
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.830.401.070.330.600.47
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (14)0.360.570.500.330.250.75
vs Weaker (16)1.250.251.440.331.000.14
Clean sheet %70% (+43pp vs league)
This opponent (Tammeka) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸĨ… 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Tammeka over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Tammeka over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Tammeka over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Kalju Nomme over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Kalju Nomme over/under 1.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Kalju Nomme over/under 2.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱ïļ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

TammekaTammeka

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-300D11D30W03L01L10W01L02L10W00DH·KAL10/05A·VAP17/05H·TAL27/05A·FLO30/05H·LAA13/06A·KUR17/06H·PAI28/06A·TAL06/07A·KUR11/07H·FLO20/07
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.8
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.601.030.640.710.561.31
vs Stronger (13)0.311.080.290.710.331.50
vs Similar (17)0.821.001.000.710.701.20
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %33% (+6pp vs league)
This opponent (Kalju Nomme) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Kalju NommeKalju Nomme

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-320W10W11D01L01L11D00D32W01L11DH·TRA15/06H·LAA18/06A·FC 21/06A·VAP27/06A·FLO06/07H·PAR10/07A·PAR17/07H·TAL20/07A·ST 24/07H·ST 31/07
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.8
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.970.871.200.870.730.87
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (14)0.571.290.501.330.621.25
vs Weaker (16)1.310.501.670.560.860.43
Clean sheet %40% (+13pp vs league)
This opponent (Tammeka) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸĨ… 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Tammeka over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Tammeka over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Tammeka over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Kalju Nomme over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Kalju Nomme over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Kalju Nomme over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸ”Ĩ 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 1.580.9%-------✓ Hit

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
KN (24)
€4m
FLT (22)
€4m
PAI (28)
€4m
FT (22)
€3m
TN (26)
€2m
VAP (24)
€2m
LAA (25)
€2m
TAM (24)
€2m
KUR (21)
€1m
TK (1)
€0m
Tammeka's squad is €2m less valuable than Kalju Nomme's (€2m vs €4m).

⚔ïļ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FLT (10)
€2m
PAI (12)
€2m
KN (9)
€2m
FT (8)
€1m
VAP (12)
€1m
TN (9)
€1m
TAM (9)
€1m
LAA (7)
€1m
KUR (7)
€1m
TK (0)
€0m
Tammeka and Kalju Nomme have a similar attack value (both €1m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
KN (3)
€1m
PAI (5)
€1m
FLT (3)
€1m
FT (5)
€1m
TN (7)
€1m
LAA (6)
€1m
TAM (6)
€0m
KUR (5)
€0m
VAP (2)
€0m
TK (1)
€0m
Tammeka and Kalju Nomme have a similar midfield value (both €0m).

ðŸ›Ąïļ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
KN (12)
€2m
FLT (9)
€2m
PAI (11)
€2m
FT (9)
€1m
VAP (10)
€1m
TN (10)
€1m
LAA (12)
€1m
TAM (9)
€1m
KUR (9)
€1m
TK (0)
€0m
Tammeka's defence is €2m less valuable than Kalju Nomme's (€1m vs €2m).

ðŸĪ 15. Games History

H2H record

8 previous meetings
0
TAM wins
3
Draws
5
KN wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Tammeka vs Kalju Nomme · H/A from TAM
DateH/AGameScore
10/05/25HTAM Vs Kalju Nomme0-1
16/03/25AKalju Nomme Vs TAM2-2
29/09/24HTAM Vs Kalju Nomme2-3
27/07/24AKalju Nomme Vs TAM3-0
28/06/24HTAM Vs Kalju Nomme1-1
03/05/24AKalju Nomme Vs TAM4-2
23/09/23AKalju Nomme Vs TAM4-1
13/08/23HTAM Vs Kalju Nomme1-1

TammekaTammeka

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
20/07/25HTAM Vs Flora Tallinn1-2
11/07/25AKuressaare Vs TAM0-2
06/07/25ATallinna Kalev Vs TAM3-2
28/06/25HTAM Vs Paide0-2
17/06/25AKuressaare Vs TAM2-3
13/06/25HTAM Vs Laagri2-1
30/05/25AFlora Tallinn Vs TAM3-1
27/05/25HTAM Vs Tallinna Kalev5-0
17/05/25AVaprus Vs TAM2-1
10/05/25HTAM Vs Kalju Nomme0-1

Kalju NommeKalju Nomme

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
31/07/25HKN Vs St Patrick's Athl.2-1
24/07/25ASt Patrick's Athl. Vs KN1-0
20/07/25HKN Vs Tallinna Kalev6-2
17/07/25APartizani Vs KN0-0
10/07/25HKN Vs Partizani1-1
06/07/25AFlora Tallinn Vs KN1-0
27/06/25AVaprus Vs KN2-2
21/06/25AFC Levadia Tallinn Vs KN3-1
18/06/25HKN Vs Laagri1-0
15/06/25HKN Vs Trans Narva2-0

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Tammeka
Tammeka
Estonia: Meistriliiga
Recent: 4 Wins / 0 Draws / 6 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWLLWL1.00
HomeLWWLL1.08
AwayLLWLW0.92
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %28%32%24%
AVG goals3.143.163.12
Over 1.5 %86%88%84%
Over 2.5 %70%68%72%
Over 3.5 %38%32%44%
Scored1.281.441.12
Conceded1.861.722.00
BTTS60%56%64%
Clean Sheet16%16%16%
Corners---
Cards---
Kalju Nomme
Kalju Nomme
Estonia: Meistriliiga
Recent: 4 Wins / 3 Draws / 3 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallDDWLW1.88
HomeWWDWW2.12
AwayLDLDL1.64
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %56%64%48%
AVG goals3.203.482.92
Over 1.5 %86%92%80%
Over 2.5 %64%68%60%
Over 3.5 %40%40%40%
Scored2.002.401.60
Conceded1.201.081.32
BTTS50%52%48%
Clean Sheet38%40%36%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value ₮mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1Flora TallinnFlora Tallinn3682
72%
2.3
8431+53
3.2
86%
78%
42%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1112.30.9
-
2FC Levadia TallinnFC Levadia Tallinn3679
69%
2.2
8936+53
3.5
89%
83%
47%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
2122.51.0
-
3Kalju NommeKalju Nomme3674
64%
2.1
6937+32
2.9
81%
58%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
2121.91.0
-
4PaidePaide3670
58%
1.9
6332+31
2.6
78%
53%
19%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
2121.80.9
-
5Trans NarvaTrans Narva3651
42%
1.4
5352+1
2.9
78%
58%
36%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1111.51.4
-
6VaprusVaprus3649
39%
1.4
5451+3
2.9
75%
67%
28%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1011.51.4
-
7LaagriLaagri3636
28%
1.0
4970-21
3.3
89%
78%
44%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1111.41.9
-
8KuressaareKuressaare3834
26%
0.9
3567-32
2.7
82%
53%
21%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
1010.91.8
-
9TammekaTammeka3630
25%
0.8
4783-36
3.6
86%
78%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1011.32.3
-
10Tallinna KalevTallinna Kalev3617
14%
0.5
32113-81
4.0
89%
75%
61%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.93.1
-
11ViimsiViimsi20
0%
0.0
03-3
1.5
50%
0%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.01.5
-
Estonia: Meistriliiga 2025/26 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Estonia: Meistriliiga stats & trends →

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