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Tammeka vs Laagri Result & Analysis

Date: 07/06/2023
Time: 15:00
Final 2-0
Tammeka
Tammeka
Vs
42%
31%
27%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Laagri
Laagri
Estonia: Meistriliiga
Referee: -

ðŸŽŊ 1. Model Analysis

Tammeka win✓ Hit
42.3%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
30.8%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Laagri win✗ Miss
26.9%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

âš― 2. Goal Analysis

TammekaTammeka

Last 10 – goals for & against
30-302L12L32W11D03L11D00D22D21W00DH·KAL16/04H·TAL19/04A·LAA23/04H·TRA28/04H·FLO03/05A·TAL07/05A·PAI13/05H·FC 21/05A·KAL24/05H·KUR27/05
Avg total
2.4
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
1.4
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.031.201.001.071.071.33
vs Stronger (15)0.671.330.861.290.501.38
vs Similar (15)1.401.071.120.881.711.29
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %27% (-0pp vs league)
This opponent (Laagri) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

LaagriLaagri

Last 10 – goals for & against
60-612L16L23L12L02L21W11D01L11D10WH·TRA08/04A·FC 15/04H·TAM23/04H·VAP28/04A·TRA02/05H·FC 06/05A·KAL12/05H·FLO19/05H·KUR23/05A·VAP28/05
Avg total
2.9
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
1.9
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.671.431.671.001.671.87
vs Stronger (10)1.201.901.001.001.332.50
vs Similar (20)1.901.201.911.001.891.44
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %33% (+6pp vs league)
This opponent (Tammeka) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

7%14%21%28%12%021%128%220%311%45%53%6+
The model estimates around 2.3 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (28%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
67.5%
Under 1.5
32.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
39.6%
Under 2.5
60.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
19.5%
Under 3.5
80.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
46.6%
No
53.4%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
14.4%
1-0
12.0%
0-0
11.6%
0-1
8.8%
2-0 ✓
8.6%
2-1
8.4%
1-2
6.4%
0-2
5.0%
Tammeka goals ↓
Laagri goals →
01234
012%8.8%5.0%1.6%0.4%
112%14%6.4%2.1%0.5%
28.6%8.4%4.1%1.3%0.3%
33.7%3.6%1.8%0.6%0.1%
41.2%1.2%0.6%0.2%0.0%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Tammeka goals (down), columns = Laagri goals (across).

💊 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Flora Tallinn
2.19
FC Levadia Tallinn
2.14
Paide
1.47
Tallinna Kalev
1.47
Kalju Nomme
1.36
Vaprus
1.33
Kuressaare
1.19
Trans Narva
1.06
Tammeka
0.82
Laagri
0.64
Viimsi
0.50
Tammeka is 0.18 points better than Laagri in terms of average points per game (0.82 vs 0.64).

⚔ïļ Attack

Goals scored / game
Flora Tallinn
2.06
FC Levadia Tallinn
1.86
Paide
1.39
Kalju Nomme
1.39
Tallinna Kalev
1.36
Vaprus
1.11
Tammeka
1.03
Kuressaare
1.00
Trans Narva
0.89
Laagri
0.75
Viimsi
0.50
Tammeka is 0.28 goals better than Laagri in terms of goals scored per game (1.03 vs 0.75).

ðŸ›Ąïļ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Flora Tallinn
0.67
FC Levadia Tallinn
0.67
Paide
0.94
Tallinna Kalev
1.14
Kalju Nomme
1.17
Vaprus
1.19
Kuressaare
1.67
Laagri
1.69
Tammeka
1.74
Trans Narva
1.78
Viimsi
3.00
Tammeka is 0.04 goals worse than Laagri in terms of goals conceded per game (1.74 vs 1.69).

⏱ïļ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

ðŸŽē 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

ðŸĨ… 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖ïļ 7. Handicap

⏱ïļ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

TammekaTammeka

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-301L01L22D01L03L00D00D21W01L00DH·KAL16/04H·TAL19/04A·LAA23/04H·TRA28/04H·FLO03/05A·TAL07/05A·PAI13/05H·FC 21/05A·KAL24/05H·KUR27/05
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
1.0
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.500.700.530.800.470.60
vs Stronger (15)0.400.870.571.000.250.75
vs Similar (15)0.600.530.500.620.710.43
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %50% (+23pp vs league)
This opponent (Laagri) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

LaagriLaagri

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-311D13L22D10W00D01L01L01L11D10WH·TRA08/04A·FC 15/04H·TAM23/04H·VAP28/04A·TRA02/05H·FC 06/05A·KAL12/05H·FLO19/05H·KUR23/05A·VAP28/05
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
1.0
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.800.671.000.470.600.87
vs Stronger (10)0.301.100.250.500.331.50
vs Similar (20)1.050.451.270.450.780.44
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %53% (+26pp vs league)
This opponent (Tammeka) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸĨ… 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Tammeka over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Tammeka over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Tammeka over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Laagri over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Laagri over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Laagri over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱ïļ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

TammekaTammeka

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-201L11D10W10W00D11D00D01L20W00DH·KAL16/04H·TAL19/04A·LAA23/04H·TRA28/04H·FLO03/05A·TAL07/05A·PAI13/05H·FC 21/05A·KAL24/05H·KUR27/05
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.4
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.530.500.470.270.600.73
vs Stronger (15)0.270.470.290.290.250.62
vs Similar (15)0.800.530.620.251.000.86
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %53% (+26pp vs league)
This opponent (Laagri) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

LaagriLaagri

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-301L03L01L02L02L20W10W00D00D00DH·TRA08/04A·FC 15/04H·TAM23/04H·VAP28/04A·TRA02/05H·FC 06/05A·KAL12/05H·FLO19/05H·KUR23/05A·VAP28/05
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
0.9
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.870.770.670.531.071.00
vs Stronger (10)0.900.800.750.501.001.00
vs Similar (20)0.850.750.640.551.111.00
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %53% (+26pp vs league)
This opponent (Tammeka) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸĨ… 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Tammeka over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Tammeka over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Tammeka over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Laagri over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Laagri over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Laagri over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸ”Ĩ 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Under 3.580.5%-------✓ Hit

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
KN (24)
€4m
FLT (22)
€4m
PAI (28)
€4m
FT (22)
€3m
TN (26)
€2m
VAP (24)
€2m
LAA (25)
€2m
TAM (24)
€2m
KUR (21)
€1m
TK (1)
€0m
Tammeka and Laagri have a similar squad value (both €2m).

⚔ïļ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FLT (10)
€2m
PAI (12)
€2m
KN (9)
€2m
FT (8)
€1m
VAP (12)
€1m
TN (9)
€1m
TAM (9)
€1m
LAA (7)
€1m
KUR (7)
€1m
TK (0)
€0m
Tammeka and Laagri have a similar attack value (both €1m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
KN (3)
€1m
PAI (5)
€1m
FLT (3)
€1m
FT (5)
€1m
TN (7)
€1m
LAA (6)
€1m
TAM (6)
€0m
KUR (5)
€0m
VAP (2)
€0m
TK (1)
€0m
Tammeka and Laagri have a similar midfield value (both €0m).

ðŸ›Ąïļ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
KN (12)
€2m
FLT (9)
€2m
PAI (11)
€2m
FT (9)
€1m
VAP (10)
€1m
TN (10)
€1m
LAA (12)
€1m
TAM (9)
€1m
KUR (9)
€1m
TK (0)
€0m
Tammeka and Laagri have a similar defence value (both €1m).

ðŸĪ 15. Games History

H2H record

1 previous meeting
1
TAM wins
0
Draws
0
LAA wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Tammeka vs Laagri · H/A from TAM
DateH/AGameScore
23/04/23ALaagri Vs TAM2-3

TammekaTammeka

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
27/05/23HTAM Vs Kuressaare0-0
24/05/23AKalju Nomme Vs TAM1-2
21/05/23HTAM Vs FC Levadia Tallinn2-2
13/05/23APaide Vs TAM0-0
07/05/23ATallinna Kalev Vs TAM1-1
03/05/23HTAM Vs Flora Tallinn0-3
28/04/23HTAM Vs Trans Narva1-1
23/04/23ALaagri Vs TAM2-3
19/04/23HTAM Vs Tallinna Kalev1-2
16/04/23HTAM Vs Kalju Nomme0-2

LaagriLaagri

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
28/05/23AVaprus Vs LAA0-1
23/05/23HLAA Vs Kuressaare1-1
19/05/23HLAA Vs Flora Tallinn0-1
12/05/23AKalju Nomme Vs LAA1-1
06/05/23HLAA Vs FC Levadia Tallinn2-1
02/05/23ATrans Narva Vs LAA2-0
28/04/23HLAA Vs Vaprus1-2
23/04/23HLAA Vs Tammeka2-3
15/04/23AFC Levadia Tallinn Vs LAA6-1
08/04/23HLAA Vs Trans Narva1-2

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Tammeka
Tammeka
Estonia: Meistriliiga
Recent: 2 Wins / 5 Draws / 3 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallDDDWD1.04
HomeLDLDD1.12
AwayLWDDW0.96
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %24%28%20%
AVG goals2.502.402.60
Over 1.5 %74%72%76%
Over 2.5 %46%44%48%
Over 3.5 %26%28%24%
Scored0.980.961.00
Conceded1.521.441.60
BTTS48%44%52%
Clean Sheet22%32%12%
Corners---
Cards---
Laagri
Laagri
Estonia: Meistriliiga
Recent: 2 Wins / 2 Draws / 6 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWDLDW1.64
HomeLLWLD1.92
AwayLLLDW1.33
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %50%62%38%
AVG goals3.563.543.58
Over 1.5 %80%77%83%
Over 2.5 %62%62%62%
Over 3.5 %44%42%46%
Scored2.082.421.71
Conceded1.481.121.88
BTTS54%54%54%
Clean Sheet30%35%25%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value ₮mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1Flora TallinnFlora Tallinn3679
64%
2.2
7424+50
2.7
75%
58%
36%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1112.10.7
-
2FC Levadia TallinnFC Levadia Tallinn3677
61%
2.1
6724+43
2.5
75%
53%
19%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
2121.90.7
-
3PaidePaide3653
36%
1.5
5034+16
2.3
61%
42%
25%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
2121.40.9
-
4Tallinna KalevTallinna Kalev3653
39%
1.5
4941+8
2.5
86%
42%
8%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.41.1
-
5Kalju NommeKalju Nomme3649
33%
1.4
5042+8
2.6
78%
42%
22%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
2121.41.2
-
6VaprusVaprus3648
33%
1.3
4043-3
2.3
64%
39%
25%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1011.11.2
-
7KuressaareKuressaare3643
33%
1.2
3660-24
2.7
81%
50%
28%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
1011.01.7
-
8Trans NarvaTrans Narva3638
33%
1.1
3264-32
2.7
81%
53%
25%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1110.91.8
-
9TammekaTammeka3831
16%
0.8
3966-27
2.8
82%
50%
21%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1011.01.7
-
10LaagriLaagri3623
14%
0.6
2761-34
2.4
75%
39%
19%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1110.81.7
-
11ViimsiViimsi21
0%
0.5
16-5
3.5
100%
50%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.53.0
-
Estonia: Meistriliiga 2023/24 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Estonia: Meistriliiga stats & trends →

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