Tammeka vs Paide Result & Analysis

Paide are tipped to edge Tammeka in this Meistriliiga clash, with the model picking an away win at 45%. The game is expected to see 2.7 goals on average, and the single most likely scoreline is 1-1, a 13.1% probability. Tammeka, playing at home against a stronger side, averages 0.83 goals scored and 1.17 conceded, while Paide, on the road to a weaker opponent, averages 2.43 goals scored and 1.43 conceded. The home win probability sits at 28%, the draw at 27%, and the away win at 45%. The model’s selections include Over 1.5 with a 76.9% chance, and Under 3.5 with a 70.7% chance, the latter being a hit in the last result. Paide’s recent form shows a win after a loss, whereas Tammeka’s recent run of four wins follows a defeat, setting the stage for a tightly contested match.

The 0-0 draw stunned everyone, as the pre-match favourite, the model’s pick of an away win, failed to materialise. Tammeka, fresh from a defeat, had been on a run of four wins but could not break Paide’s solid defence, who were coming off a win and had been scoring 2.43 goals per game on the road. The model’s selection of an away win, with a 45% probability, proved incorrect. The suggested pick “Over 1.5” at 76.9% missed, while “Under 3.5” at 70.7% hit. The match finished level, confirming the model’s prediction of a draw was wrong, and the total goals fell short of the expected 2.7.