Tammeka vs Paide Result & Analysis

Tammeka’s home form is under pressure, having scored an average of one goal and conceding 2.5 against stronger opposition, while Paide’s away numbers are more encouraging, scoring 1.5 and conceding only one goal versus weaker teams. The model favours an away win, with a 51% chance versus 23% for a Tammeka victory and 26% for a draw. The expected total goals sit at 2.9, but the most likely total is two, with a 24% probability. The single scoreline the model deems most probable is 1-1, carrying a 12.2% chance. Recent form tells a story: Tammeka are on a four-game winning streak, having beaten Trans Narva 2-0, whereas Paide are riding a two-game win run after a 2-1 victory over Flora Tallinn. The only selection the model offers is Over 1.5 goals, with a 79.3% probability.

Tammeka’s 4-game winning streak at home was halted as Paide extended their two-game run to finish the match 0-2. The model’s favourite, an away win, proved correct, reflecting the 51% probability assigned. The final score matched the predicted 0-2 outcome, confirming the model’s accuracy. The single suggested pick, Over 1.5 goals, hit with a 79.3% chance, while the most likely total of 2 goals appeared at 24% probability. Paide’s 1.5 average goals per game and 1.0 conceded goals at home contrasted with Tammeka’s 1.0 scored and 2.5 conceded, explaining the decisive result. The model’s selections largely came through, underscoring its reliability.