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Tammeka vs Trans Narva Result & Analysis

Date: 29/06/2022
Time: 14:30
Final 1-0
Tammeka
Tammeka
Vs
41%
26%
33%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Trans Narva
Trans Narva
Estonia: Meistriliiga
Referee: -

ðŸŽŊ 1. Model Analysis

Tammeka win✓ Hit
41.4%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
26.1%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Trans Narva win✗ Miss
32.5%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

âš― 2. Goal Analysis

TammekaTammeka

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-411D01L01L23L13L31W13L03L03L14LH·KAL17/04A·TAL22/04H·FC 27/04A·FLO01/05A·KAL08/05H·VAP13/05H·TAL17/05A·PAI24/05A·KUR29/05H·LEG19/06
Avg total
3.2
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
2.3
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.942.121.002.120.892.11
vs Stronger (8)0.622.750.502.250.753.25
vs Similar (9)1.221.561.502.001.001.20
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %12% (-15pp vs league)
This opponent (Trans Narva) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Trans NarvaTrans Narva

Last 10 – goals for & against
60-650W12L01L03L01L06L01L24L03L11DH·TAL13/04H·PAI16/04H·FC 20/04A·KAL23/04H·KUR26/04A·FC 30/04A·LEG07/05A·PAI18/05H·FLO25/05H·TAL18/06
Avg total
3.1
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
2.2
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.071.801.251.380.862.29
vs Stronger (7)0.432.860.332.000.503.50
vs Similar (8)1.620.881.801.001.330.67
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %13% (-14pp vs league)
This opponent (Tammeka) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

6%12%17%23%6%012%123%222%317%410%59%6+
The model estimates around 3.1 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (23%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
82.0%
Under 1.5
18.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
59.0%
Under 2.5
41.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
36.6%
Under 3.5
63.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
62.2%
No
37.8%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
12.0%
2-1
8.9%
1-2
7.8%
1-0 ✓
6.6%
2-2
6.4%
2-0
6.3%
0-0
5.8%
0-1
5.6%
Tammeka goals ↓
Trans Narva goals →
01234
05.8%5.6%4.8%2.3%0.8%
16.6%12%7.8%3.7%1.3%
26.3%8.9%6.4%3.0%1.1%
33.4%4.9%3.5%1.6%0.6%
41.4%2.0%1.4%0.7%0.2%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Tammeka goals (down), columns = Trans Narva goals (across).

💊 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Flora Tallinn
2.69
FC Levadia Tallinn
2.19
Paide
1.81
Kalju Nomme
1.81
Elva
1.50
Kuressaare
1.39
Tammeka
1.08
Trans Narva
1.06
Tallinna Kalev
0.97
Legion
0.76
Vaprus
0.31
Tammeka is 0.03 points better than Trans Narva in terms of average points per game (1.08 vs 1.06).

⚔ïļ Attack

Goals scored / game
Flora Tallinn
2.61
Paide
2.33
FC Levadia Tallinn
2.06
Kalju Nomme
1.64
Kuressaare
1.36
Trans Narva
1.19
Tallinna Kalev
1.17
Tammeka
1.06
Legion
0.97
Vaprus
0.89
Elva
0.50
Tammeka is 0.14 goals worse than Trans Narva in terms of goals scored per game (1.06 vs 1.19).

ðŸ›Ąïļ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Flora Tallinn
0.58
FC Levadia Tallinn
0.69
Kalju Nomme
0.83
Paide
1.03
Kuressaare
1.42
Elva
1.50
Tammeka
1.58
Trans Narva
1.61
Legion
2.18
Tallinna Kalev
2.56
Vaprus
2.67
Tammeka is 0.03 goals better than Trans Narva in terms of goals conceded per game (1.58 vs 1.61).

⏱ïļ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

ðŸŽē 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

ðŸĨ… 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖ïļ 7. Handicap

⏱ïļ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

TammekaTammeka

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-201L00D00D12L10W10W00D01L00D02LH·KAL17/04A·TAL22/04H·FC 27/04A·FLO01/05A·KAL08/05H·VAP13/05H·TAL17/05A·PAI24/05A·KUR29/05H·LEG19/06
Avg total
0.9
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.410.710.380.750.440.67
vs Stronger (8)0.381.120.251.000.501.25
vs Similar (9)0.440.330.500.500.400.20
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %53% (+26pp vs league)
This opponent (Trans Narva) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Trans NarvaTrans Narva

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-320W01L00D01L01L03L00D12L01L10WH·TAL13/04H·PAI16/04H·FC 20/04A·KAL23/04H·KUR26/04A·FC 30/04A·LEG07/05A·PAI18/05H·FLO25/05H·TAL18/06
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.9
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.400.730.500.500.291.00
vs Stronger (7)0.141.290.000.670.251.75
vs Similar (8)0.620.250.800.400.330.00
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %47% (+20pp vs league)
This opponent (Tammeka) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸĨ… 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Tammeka over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Tammeka over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Tammeka over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Trans Narva over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Trans Narva over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Trans Narva over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱ïļ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

TammekaTammeka

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-310W01L01L11D03L21W13L02L03L12LH·KAL17/04A·TAL22/04H·FC 27/04A·FLO01/05A·KAL08/05H·VAP13/05H·TAL17/05A·PAI24/05A·KUR29/05H·LEG19/06
Avg total
2.3
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
1.7
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.531.410.621.380.441.44
vs Stronger (8)0.251.620.251.250.252.00
vs Similar (9)0.781.221.001.500.601.00
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %24% (-3pp vs league)
This opponent (Trans Narva) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Trans NarvaTrans Narva

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-330W11D01L02L00D03L01L12L02L01LH·TAL13/04H·PAI16/04H·FC 20/04A·KAL23/04H·KUR26/04A·FC 30/04A·LEG07/05A·PAI18/05H·FLO25/05H·TAL18/06
Avg total
1.8
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
1.3
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.671.070.750.880.571.29
vs Stronger (7)0.291.570.331.330.251.75
vs Similar (8)1.000.621.000.601.000.67
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %27% (-0pp vs league)
This opponent (Tammeka) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸĨ… 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Tammeka over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Tammeka over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Tammeka over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Trans Narva over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Trans Narva over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Trans Narva over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸ”Ĩ 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 1.582.0%-------✗ Miss

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
KN (24)
€4m
FLT (22)
€4m
PAI (28)
€4m
FT (22)
€3m
TN (26)
€2m
VAP (24)
€2m
TAM (24)
€2m
KUR (21)
€1m
TK (1)
€0m
Tammeka and Trans Narva have a similar squad value (both €2m).

⚔ïļ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FLT (10)
€2m
PAI (12)
€2m
KN (9)
€2m
FT (8)
€1m
VAP (12)
€1m
TN (9)
€1m
TAM (9)
€1m
KUR (7)
€1m
TK (0)
€0m
Tammeka and Trans Narva have a similar attack value (both €1m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
KN (3)
€1m
PAI (5)
€1m
FLT (3)
€1m
FT (5)
€1m
TN (7)
€1m
TAM (6)
€0m
KUR (5)
€0m
VAP (2)
€0m
TK (1)
€0m
Tammeka and Trans Narva have a similar midfield value (both €0m).

ðŸ›Ąïļ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
KN (12)
€2m
FLT (9)
€2m
PAI (11)
€2m
FT (9)
€1m
VAP (10)
€1m
TN (10)
€1m
TAM (9)
€1m
KUR (9)
€1m
TK (0)
€0m
Tammeka and Trans Narva have a similar defence value (both €1m).

ðŸĪ 15. Games History

H2H record

1 previous meeting
1
TAM wins
0
Draws
0
TN wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Tammeka vs Trans Narva · H/A from TAM
DateH/AGameScore
12/03/22ATrans Narva Vs TAM0-2

TammekaTammeka

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
19/06/22HTAM Vs Legion1-4
29/05/22AKuressaare Vs TAM3-0
24/05/22APaide Vs TAM3-0
17/05/22HTAM Vs Tallinna Kalev1-3
13/05/22HTAM Vs Vaprus3-1
08/05/22AKalju Nomme Vs TAM3-1
01/05/22AFlora Tallinn Vs TAM3-2
27/04/22HTAM Vs FC Levadia Tallinn0-1
22/04/22ATallinna Kalev Vs TAM1-0
17/04/22HTAM Vs Kalju Nomme1-1

Trans NarvaTrans Narva

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
18/06/22HTN Vs Tallinna Kalev1-1
25/05/22HTN Vs Flora Tallinn0-3
18/05/22APaide Vs TN4-2
07/05/22ALegion Vs TN1-0
30/04/22AFC Levadia Tallinn Vs TN6-0
26/04/22HTN Vs Kuressaare0-1
23/04/22AKalju Nomme Vs TN3-0
20/04/22HTN Vs FC Levadia Tallinn0-1
16/04/22HTN Vs Paide1-2
13/04/22HTN Vs Tallinna Kalev5-0

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Tammeka
Tammeka
Estonia: Meistriliiga
Recent: 1 Wins / 1 Draws / 8 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWLLLL0.82
HomeDLWLL0.88
AwayLLLLL0.78
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %24%25%22%
AVG goals3.063.123.00
Over 1.5 %82%75%89%
Over 2.5 %65%62%67%
Over 3.5 %47%62%33%
Scored0.941.000.89
Conceded2.122.122.11
BTTS53%62%44%
Clean Sheet12%12%11%
Corners---
Cards---
Trans Narva
Trans Narva
Estonia: Meistriliiga
Recent: 1 Wins / 1 Draws / 8 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLLLLD0.87
HomeLLLLD0.88
AwayLLLLL0.86
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %27%25%29%
AVG goals2.872.623.14
Over 1.5 %73%75%71%
Over 2.5 %53%50%57%
Over 3.5 %27%25%29%
Scored1.071.250.86
Conceded1.801.382.29
BTTS33%38%29%
Clean Sheet13%12%14%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value ₮mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1Flora TallinnFlora Tallinn3697
86%
2.7
9421+73
3.2
81%
56%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1112.60.6
-
2FC Levadia TallinnFC Levadia Tallinn3679
67%
2.2
7425+49
2.8
69%
47%
28%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
2122.10.7
-
3PaidePaide3665
53%
1.8
8437+47
3.4
78%
64%
31%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
2122.31.0
-
4Kalju NommeKalju Nomme3665
53%
1.8
5930+29
2.5
75%
47%
17%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
2121.60.8
-
5KuressaareKuressaare3650
36%
1.4
4951-2
2.8
72%
56%
36%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
1011.41.4
-
6TammekaTammeka3639
28%
1.1
3857-19
2.6
75%
47%
31%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1011.11.6
-
7Trans NarvaTrans Narva3638
28%
1.1
4358-15
2.8
72%
44%
28%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1111.21.6
-
8Tallinna KalevTallinna Kalev3635
28%
1.0
4292-50
3.7
86%
67%
44%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.22.6
-
9LegionLegion3829
18%
0.8
3783-46
3.2
82%
53%
32%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.02.2
-
10VaprusVaprus3611
8%
0.3
3296-64
3.6
75%
64%
47%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1010.92.7
-
11ElvaElva23
50%
1.5
13-2
2.0
50%
50%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.51.5
-
Estonia: Meistriliiga 2022/23 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Estonia: Meistriliiga stats & trends →

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