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Taraz vs Sport Academy Kairat Prediction & Stats

Date: 08/10/2026
Time: 10:00
Taraz
Taraz
Vs
37%
28%
35%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Sport Academy Kairat
Sport Academy Kairat
Kazakhstan: 1. Division
Referee: -
1 Model Analysis2 Goal Analysis3 Team Strengths Analysis4 Props Analysis5 Double Chance6 Home & Away Over/Under7 Handicap8 Half Time Goals O/U9 Half Time Home & Away O/U10 Second Half Goals O/U11 Second Half Home & Away O/U
12 Top picks for this game14 Squad value15 Games History16 Overall Statistics17 League Table
Match preview & prediction

The match between Taraz and Sport Academy Kairat is finely balanced, with the model favouring a home win. Home win probability 39%, draw 27%, away win 35%. The expected total goals is 3.0, yet the most likely total is 2 goals with a 24% chance. The single most probable scoreline is 1-1, occurring with a 12.4% probability. Taraz, playing at home against a similarly-strengthened opponent, averages 2.09 goals scored and 0.55 conceded, while Sport Academy Kairat on the road averages 2.0 scored and 1.7 conceded. Suggested picks include Under 7.5 (98.9%), Under 6.5 (96.8%), Away under 3.5 goals (94.2%), Home under 3.5 goals (93.0%), Under 5.5 (91.9%), Home +2 handicap (83.4%), Away under 2.5 goals (82.5%), and Under 4.5 (82.1%). Taraz’s recent form shows a win after a 3-1 victory over Tobol, while Sport Academy Kairat come off a 1-0 win against Arys, riding a two-game winning streak.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Taraz win
37.0%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw
27.6%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Sport Academy Kairat win
35.4%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

TarazTaraz

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-411D00D11D10W21W02L00D11D31W04LA·ZHE24/10H·ULY09/04H·AKT16/07A·YEL24/07H·AKA30/07A·JAI07/08H·TUR14/08A·ARY20/08H·TOB28/08A·AST03/09
Avg total
2.0
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
1.1
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.471.432.000.800.932.07
vs Stronger (2)0.003.500.001.000.006.00
vs Similar (24)1.381.292.090.550.771.92
vs Weaker (4)2.751.252.331.674.000.00
Clean sheet %27% (+2pp vs league)
This opponent (Sport Academy Kairat) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Sport Academy KairatSport Academy Kairat

Last 10 – goals for & against
60-641W51W60W40W22D01L00D40W10W10WA·YAS17/10H·SD 24/10H·KAS17/07A·AKT24/07H·JAI31/07A·YEL06/08H·AKA13/08A·TUR21/08H·ARY27/08A·TOB03/09
Avg total
3.2
Avg scored
2.7
Avg conceded
0.5
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game2.231.332.471.332.001.33
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (20)2.051.552.101.402.001.70
vs Weaker (10)2.600.903.201.202.000.60
Clean sheet %33% (+9pp vs league)
This opponent (Taraz) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

6%12%19%25%7%015%125%222%316%49%57%6+
The model estimates around 2.8 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (25%).
Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
78.3%
Under 1.5
21.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
53.4%
Under 2.5
46.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5
Over 3.5
31.1%
Under 3.5
68.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to score
Yes
58.2%
No
41.8%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
13.1%
2-1
8.5%
1-2
8.2%
1-0
7.4%
0-0
7.2%
0-1
7.1%
2-0
6.1%
2-2
5.9%
Taraz goals ↓
Sport Academy Kairat goals →
01234
07.2%7.1%5.8%2.7%0.9%
17.4%13%8.2%3.8%1.3%
26.1%8.5%5.9%2.7%0.9%
32.9%4.0%2.8%1.3%0.4%
41.0%1.4%1.0%0.5%0.2%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Taraz goals (down), columns = Sport Academy Kairat goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Shakhter Karagandy
3.00
Akademiya Ontustik
2.38
Turan Turkistan
2.29
Sport Academy Kairat
2.12
Taraz
1.50
Kaspij Aktau 2
1.43
Ekibastuz
1.29
Jaiyq
1.14
Astana II
1.12
Arys
1.00
Aktobe Jas
0.88
Khan Tengri
0.88
Yelimay Semey 2
0.86
Tobol 2
0.38
Taraz is 0.62 points worse than Sport Academy Kairat in terms of average points per game (1.50 vs 2.12).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Shakhter Karagandy
3.43
Turan Turkistan
2.29
Sport Academy Kairat
2.25
Akademiya Ontustik
2.00
Ekibastuz
1.71
Kaspij Aktau 2
1.71
Tobol 2
1.38
Aktobe Jas
1.25
Astana II
1.12
Jaiyq
1.00
Taraz
1.00
Khan Tengri
1.00
Arys
1.00
Yelimay Semey 2
0.86
Taraz is 1.25 goals worse than Sport Academy Kairat in terms of goals scored per game (1.00 vs 2.25).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Shakhter Karagandy
0.29
Sport Academy Kairat
0.38
Jaiyq
1.00
Turan Turkistan
1.14
Taraz
1.25
Akademiya Ontustik
1.25
Kaspij Aktau 2
1.57
Arys
1.62
Khan Tengri
1.75
Yelimay Semey 2
1.86
Ekibastuz
2.14
Tobol 2
2.25
Astana II
2.25
Aktobe Jas
2.88
Taraz is 0.88 goals worse than Sport Academy Kairat in terms of goals conceded per game (1.25 vs 0.38).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
Taraz or Draw
64.6%
Avg Implied -
37%
28%
35%
covers Taraz + Draw
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Taraz or Sport Academy Kairat
72.4%
Avg Implied -
37%
28%
35%
covers Taraz + Sport Academy Kairat
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw or Sport Academy Kairat
63.0%
Avg Implied -
37%
28%
35%
covers Draw + Sport Academy Kairat
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

Home & Away Over/Under

How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
Taraz over/under 0.5
Over
75.9%
Under
24.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Taraz over/under 1.5
Over
41.6%
Under
58.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Taraz over/under 2.5
Over
17.2%
Under
82.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Taraz over/under 3.5
Over
5.6%
Under
94.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Sport Academy Kairat over/under 0.5
Over
75.1%
Under
24.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Sport Academy Kairat over/under 1.5
Over
40.5%
Under
59.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Sport Academy Kairat over/under 2.5
Over
16.4%
Under
83.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Sport Academy Kairat over/under 3.5
Over
5.3%
Under
94.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⚖️ 7. Handicap

Handicap

The handicap is applied to Taraz, so a minus line means Taraz give that many goals of a start and Sport Academy Kairat receive them. At -1, Taraz must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Taraz win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (Taraz)
Taraz -2
6.7%
Draw -2
11.2%
Sport Academy Kairat +2
82.1%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap -1 (Taraz)
Taraz -1
17.9%
Draw -1
19.1%
Sport Academy Kairat +1
63.0%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +1 (Taraz)
Taraz +1
64.6%
Draw +1
18.6%
Sport Academy Kairat -1
16.8%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +2 (Taraz)
Taraz +2
83.2%
Draw +2
10.7%
Sport Academy Kairat -2
6.1%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

TarazTaraz

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-200D00D01L10W10W01L00D01L20W02LA·ZHE24/10H·ULY09/04H·AKT16/07A·YEL24/07H·AKA30/07A·JAI07/08H·TUR14/08A·ARY20/08H·TOB28/08A·AST03/09
Avg total
0.9
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.5
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.630.730.870.400.401.07
vs Stronger (2)0.002.000.000.000.004.00
vs Similar (24)0.620.670.910.360.380.92
vs Weaker (4)1.000.501.000.671.000.00
Clean sheet %50% (+26pp vs league)
This opponent (Sport Academy Kairat) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Sport Academy KairatSport Academy Kairat

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-331W10W20W30W20W00D00D20W10W10WA·YAS17/10H·SD 24/10H·KAS17/07A·AKT24/07H·JAI31/07A·YEL06/08H·AKA13/08A·TUR21/08H·ARY27/08A·TOB03/09
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
1.5
Avg conceded
0.1
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.070.530.930.531.200.53
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (20)0.950.650.800.601.100.70
vs Weaker (10)1.300.301.200.401.400.20
Clean sheet %57% (+32pp vs league)
This opponent (Taraz) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
No half-time model prices for this fixture yet - the form above is the record.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Taraz over/under 0.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Taraz over/under 1.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Taraz over/under 2.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Sport Academy Kairat over/under 0.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Sport Academy Kairat over/under 1.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Sport Academy Kairat over/under 2.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

TarazTaraz

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-211D00D10W00D11D01L00D10W11D02LA·ZHE24/10H·ULY09/04H·AKT16/07A·YEL24/07H·AKA30/07A·JAI07/08H·TUR14/08A·ARY20/08H·TOB28/08A·AST03/09
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.830.701.130.400.531.00
vs Stronger (2)0.001.500.001.000.002.00
vs Similar (24)0.750.621.180.180.381.00
vs Weaker (4)1.750.751.331.003.000.00
Clean sheet %53% (+29pp vs league)
This opponent (Sport Academy Kairat) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Sport Academy KairatSport Academy Kairat

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
40-410W41W40W10W02L01L00D20W00D00DA·YAS17/10H·SD 24/10H·KAS17/07A·AKT24/07H·JAI31/07A·YEL06/08H·AKA13/08A·TUR21/08H·ARY27/08A·TOB03/09
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
0.4
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.170.801.530.800.800.80
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (20)1.100.901.300.800.901.00
vs Weaker (10)1.300.602.000.800.600.40
Clean sheet %50% (+26pp vs league)
This opponent (Taraz) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
No second-half model prices for this fixture yet - the form above is the record.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Taraz over/under 0.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Taraz over/under 1.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Taraz over/under 2.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Sport Academy Kairat over/under 0.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Sport Academy Kairat over/under 1.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Sport Academy Kairat over/under 2.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5Edge
Under 7.599.2%-------
Under 6.597.5%-------
Away under 3.5 goals94.7%-------
Home under 3.5 goals94.4%-------
Under 5.593.4%-------
Under 4.584.6%-------
Away under 2.5 goals83.6%-------
Home +2 handicap83.2%-------
Home under 2.5 goals82.8%-------
Away +2 handicap82.1%-------
Over 1.578.3%-------
Home over 0.5 goals75.9%-------
Away over 0.5 goals75.1%-------
Home or Away72.4%-------

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

No squad-value data for this league.
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

⚔️ Attack

No squad-value data for this league.
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🧠 Midfield

No squad-value data for this league.
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🛡️ Defence

No squad-value data for this league.
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

6 previous meetings
3
TAR wins
0
Draws
3
SAK wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Taraz vs Sport Academy Kairat · H/A from TAR
DateH/AGameScore
26/09/25HTAR Vs Sport Academy Kairat3-1
26/06/25ASport Academy Kairat Vs TAR3-1
29/08/24HTAR Vs Sport Academy Kairat0-1
10/04/24ASport Academy Kairat Vs TAR0-1
26/09/23ASport Academy Kairat Vs TAR1-0
10/06/23HTAR Vs Sport Academy Kairat4-2

TarazTaraz

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
03/09/26AAstana II Vs TAR4-0
28/08/26HTAR Vs Tobol 23-1
20/08/26AArys Vs TAR1-1
14/08/26HTAR Vs Turan Turkistan0-0
07/08/26AJaiyq Vs TAR2-0
30/07/26HTAR Vs Akademiya Ontustik2-1
24/07/26AYelimay Semey 2 Vs TAR0-1
16/07/26HTAR Vs Aktobe Jas1-1
09/04/26HTAR Vs Ulytau0-0
24/10/25AZhetisay Vs TAR1-1

Sport Academy KairatSport Academy Kairat

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
03/09/26ATobol 2 Vs SAK0-1
27/08/26HSAK Vs Arys1-0
21/08/26ATuran Turkistan Vs SAK0-4
13/08/26HSAK Vs Akademiya Ontustik0-0
06/08/26AYelimay Semey 2 Vs SAK1-0
31/07/26HSAK Vs Jaiyq2-2
24/07/26AAktobe Jas Vs SAK0-4
17/07/26HSAK Vs Kaspij Aktau 26-0
24/10/25HSAK Vs SD Family5-1
17/10/25AYassy Turkistan Vs SAK1-4

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Taraz
Taraz
Kazakhstan: 1. Division
Recent: 3 Wins / 5 Draws / 2 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLDDWL1.32
HomeDDWDW1.72
AwayDWLDL0.92
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %36%48%24%
AVG goals2.742.642.84
Over 1.5 %78%68%88%
Over 2.5 %52%56%48%
Over 3.5 %30%28%32%
Scored1.401.801.00
Conceded1.340.841.84
BTTS52%52%52%
Clean Sheet26%36%16%
Corners---
Cards---
Sport Academy Kairat
Sport Academy Kairat
Kazakhstan: 1. Division
Recent: 7 Wins / 2 Draws / 1 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLDWWW1.84
HomeWWDDW2.13
AwayWWLWW1.59
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %56%65%48%
AVG goals3.663.913.44
Over 1.5 %78%83%74%
Over 2.5 %68%74%63%
Over 3.5 %48%48%48%
Scored2.262.651.93
Conceded1.401.261.52
BTTS50%57%44%
Clean Sheet30%35%26%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1Shakhter KaragandyShakhter Karagandy721
100%
3.0
242+22
3.7
86%
71%
57%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0003.40.3
-
2Akademiya OntustikAkademiya Ontustik819
75%
2.4
1610+6
3.2
88%
88%
38%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.01.2
-
3Sport Academy KairatSport Academy Kairat817
62%
2.1
183+15
2.6
50%
50%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.20.4
-
4Turan TurkistanTuran Turkistan716
71%
2.3
168+8
3.4
71%
71%
57%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.31.1
-
5TarazTaraz812
38%
1.5
810-2
2.2
75%
38%
25%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.01.2
-
6Kaspij Aktau 2Kaspij Aktau 2710
43%
1.4
1211+1
3.3
71%
71%
29%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.71.6
-
7EkibastuzEkibastuz79
43%
1.3
1215-3
3.9
100%
86%
57%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.72.1
-
8Astana IIAstana II89
38%
1.1
918-9
3.4
88%
75%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.12.2
-
9JaiyqJaiyq78
29%
1.1
77+0
2.0
57%
29%
29%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.01.0
-
10ArysArys88
25%
1.0
813-5
2.6
75%
50%
38%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.01.6
-
11Khan TengriKhan Tengri87
25%
0.9
814-6
2.8
62%
50%
38%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.01.8
-
12Aktobe JasAktobe Jas87
25%
0.9
1023-13
4.1
88%
62%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.22.9
-
13Yelimay Semey 2Yelimay Semey 276
29%
0.9
613-7
2.7
57%
57%
14%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.91.9
-
14Tobol 2Tobol 283
12%
0.4
1118-7
3.6
88%
75%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.42.2
-
Kazakhstan: 1. Division 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Kazakhstan: 1. Division stats & trends →

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