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Taraz vs Turan Turkistan Result & Analysis

Date: 14/08/2026
Time: 13:00
Final 0-0
Taraz
Taraz
Vs
27%
27%
46%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Turan Turkistan
Turan Turkistan
Kazakhstan: 1. Division
Referee: -
1 Model Analysis2 Goal Analysis3 Team Strengths Analysis4 Props Analysis5 Double Chance6 Home & Away Over/Under7 Handicap8 Half Time Goals O/U9 Half Time Home & Away O/U10 Second Half Goals O/U11 Second Half Home & Away O/U
12 Top picks for this game14 Squad value15 Games History16 Overall Statistics17 League Table
Match preview & prediction

Turan Turkistan is expected to secure a win, with a likely low-scoring match unfolding. The recent form note suggests a contrasting storyline, with Taraz coming off a defeat after a series of inconsistent results, while Turan Turkistan is on a 4-game winning run. Taraz's home form is strong, averaging 2.12 goals scored and 0.62 conceded against similar opponents, but Turan Turkistan's away form is concerning, averaging 0.82 scored and 2.55 conceded in similar matches.

The model's favoured match result is an Away win, with a 46% probability, while the home team has a 27% chance and a draw 27%. The expected total number of goals is 2.8, with a most likely total of 2 goals. The most likely score is 1-1, with a 12.9% probability.

The model's selection is Over 1.5, with a 77.6% probability. Taraz's home win percentage stands at 27%, the draw percentage at 27%, and the away win percentage at 46%.

Results analysis

In a stunning upset, Taraz failed to capitalize on their home advantage, with the match ending in a 0-0 draw. This result extends Taraz's recent run of being unbeaten at home, having drawn their last two matches against Turan Turkistan. The pre-match favourite, Taraz, was predicted to win with a probability of 27%, but the model's selection, an away win, proved correct despite the low probability of 46%. The model's call was correct, as Turan Turkistan secured the draw. The model also suggested an Over 1.5 total goals, which missed with a probability of 77.6%.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Taraz win✗ Miss
26.6%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✓ Hit
27.1%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Turan Turkistan win✗ Miss
46.3%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

TarazTaraz

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-440W31W02L31W11D00D11D10W21W02LA·AKT18/09H·SPO26/09A·SHA03/10H·AKA16/10A·ZHE24/10H·ULY09/04H·AKT16/07A·YEL24/07H·AKA30/07A·JAI07/08
Avg total
2.4
Avg scored
1.5
Avg conceded
0.9
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.531.332.070.871.001.80
vs Stronger (2)0.003.500.001.000.006.00
vs Similar (25)1.521.162.250.670.851.62
vs Weaker (3)2.671.332.002.004.000.00
Clean sheet %30% (+6pp vs league)
This opponent (Turan Turkistan) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Turan TurkistanTuran Turkistan

Last 10 – goals for & against
60-602L11D36L36L34L14L40W21W10W51WA·FK 23/08H·ULY13/09A·ZHE27/09H·YEL18/10A·OKZ26/10H·YEL08/04A·ARY16/07H·TOB24/07A·KHA30/07H·AST07/08← Premier League1. Division →
Avg total
4.8
Avg scored
2.3
Avg conceded
2.5
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.202.071.191.811.212.36
vs Stronger (9)0.673.561.003.600.253.50
vs Similar (20)1.401.451.201.001.601.90
vs Weaker (1)2.001.002.001.00--
Clean sheet %20% (-4pp vs league)
This opponent (Taraz) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

6%13%19%25%7%015%125%222%315%49%56%6+
The model estimates around 2.8 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (25%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
77.6%
Under 1.5
22.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
52.4%
Under 2.5
47.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
30.2%
Under 3.5
69.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
56.2%
No
43.8%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
12.9%
1-2
9.4%
0-1
8.9%
0-2
8.0%
0-0 ✓
7.4%
2-1
6.8%
1-0
6.1%
2-2
5.5%
Taraz goals ↓
Turan Turkistan goals →
01234
07.4%8.9%8.0%4.3%1.7%
16.1%13%9.4%5.0%2.0%
24.3%6.8%5.5%2.9%1.2%
31.7%2.7%2.1%1.1%0.5%
40.5%0.8%0.6%0.3%0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Taraz goals (down), columns = Turan Turkistan goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Shakhter Karagandy
3.00
Akademiya Ontustik
2.38
Turan Turkistan
2.29
Sport Academy Kairat
2.12
Taraz
1.50
Kaspij Aktau 2
1.43
Ekibastuz
1.29
Jaiyq
1.14
Astana II
1.12
Arys
1.00
Aktobe Jas
0.88
Khan Tengri
0.88
Yelimay Semey 2
0.86
Tobol 2
0.38
Taraz is 0.79 points worse than Turan Turkistan in terms of average points per game (1.50 vs 2.29).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Shakhter Karagandy
3.43
Turan Turkistan
2.29
Sport Academy Kairat
2.25
Akademiya Ontustik
2.00
Ekibastuz
1.71
Kaspij Aktau 2
1.71
Tobol 2
1.38
Aktobe Jas
1.25
Astana II
1.12
Jaiyq
1.00
Taraz
1.00
Khan Tengri
1.00
Arys
1.00
Yelimay Semey 2
0.86
Taraz is 1.29 goals worse than Turan Turkistan in terms of goals scored per game (1.00 vs 2.29).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Shakhter Karagandy
0.29
Sport Academy Kairat
0.38
Jaiyq
1.00
Turan Turkistan
1.14
Taraz
1.25
Akademiya Ontustik
1.25
Kaspij Aktau 2
1.57
Arys
1.62
Khan Tengri
1.75
Yelimay Semey 2
1.86
Ekibastuz
2.14
Tobol 2
2.25
Astana II
2.25
Aktobe Jas
2.88
Taraz is 0.11 goals worse than Turan Turkistan in terms of goals conceded per game (1.25 vs 1.14).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

TarazTaraz

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-210W21W00D11D00D00D01L10W10W01LA·AKT18/09H·SPO26/09A·SHA03/10H·AKA16/10A·ZHE24/10H·ULY09/04H·AKT16/07A·YEL24/07H·AKA30/07A·JAI07/08
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.4
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.670.700.930.470.400.93
vs Stronger (2)0.002.000.000.000.004.00
vs Similar (25)0.720.601.080.420.380.77
vs Weaker (3)0.670.670.501.001.000.00
Clean sheet %50% (+26pp vs league)
This opponent (Turan Turkistan) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Turan TurkistanTuran Turkistan

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
50-501L01L35L23L23L02L20W00D00D20WA·FK 23/08H·ULY13/09A·ZHE27/09H·YEL18/10A·OKZ26/10H·YEL08/04A·ARY16/07H·TOB24/07A·KHA30/07H·AST07/08← Premier League1. Division →
Avg total
2.6
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
1.5
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.600.970.560.620.641.36
vs Stronger (9)0.221.780.401.600.002.00
vs Similar (20)0.800.650.700.200.901.10
vs Weaker (1)0.000.000.000.00--
Clean sheet %53% (+29pp vs league)
This opponent (Taraz) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Taraz over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Taraz over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Taraz over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Turan Turkistan over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Turan Turkistan over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Turan Turkistan over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

TarazTaraz

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-330W10W02L20W11D00D10W00D11D01LA·AKT18/09H·SPO26/09A·SHA03/10H·AKA16/10A·ZHE24/10H·ULY09/04H·AKT16/07A·YEL24/07H·AKA30/07A·JAI07/08
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.5
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.870.631.130.400.600.87
vs Stronger (2)0.001.500.001.000.002.00
vs Similar (25)0.800.561.170.250.460.85
vs Weaker (3)2.000.671.501.003.000.00
Clean sheet %57% (+32pp vs league)
This opponent (Turan Turkistan) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Turan TurkistanTuran Turkistan

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-301L10W01L13L11D12L20W21W10W31WA·FK 23/08H·ULY13/09A·ZHE27/09H·YEL18/10A·OKZ26/10H·YEL08/04A·ARY16/07H·TOB24/07A·KHA30/07H·AST07/08← Premier League1. Division →
Avg total
2.2
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
1.0
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.601.100.621.190.571.00
vs Stronger (9)0.441.780.602.000.251.50
vs Similar (20)0.600.800.500.800.700.80
vs Weaker (1)2.001.002.001.00--
Clean sheet %33% (+9pp vs league)
This opponent (Taraz) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Taraz over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Taraz over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Taraz over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Turan Turkistan over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Turan Turkistan over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Turan Turkistan over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 1.577.6%-------✗ Miss

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

No squad-value data for this league.
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

⚔️ Attack

No squad-value data for this league.
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🧠 Midfield

No squad-value data for this league.
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🛡️ Defence

No squad-value data for this league.
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

2 previous meetings
0
TAR wins
1
Draws
1
TT wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Taraz vs Turan Turkistan · H/A from TAR
DateH/AGameScore
31/10/23ATuran Turkistan Vs TAR1-1
07/04/23HTAR Vs Turan Turkistan0-1

TarazTaraz

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
07/08/26AJaiyq Vs TAR2-0
30/07/26HTAR Vs Akademiya Ontustik2-1
24/07/26AYelimay Semey 2 Vs TAR0-1
16/07/26HTAR Vs Aktobe Jas1-1
09/04/26HTAR Vs Ulytau0-0
24/10/25AZhetisay Vs TAR1-1
16/10/25HTAR Vs AKAS3-1
03/10/25AShakhter Karagandy Vs TAR2-0
26/09/25HTAR Vs Sport Academy Kairat3-1
18/09/25AAktobe Jas Vs TAR0-4

Turan TurkistanTuran Turkistan

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
07/08/26HTT Vs Astana II5-1
30/07/26AKhan Tengri Vs TT0-1
24/07/26HTT Vs Tobol 22-1
16/07/26AArys Vs TT0-4
08/04/26HTT Vs Yelimay Semey1-4
26/10/25AOkzhetpes Vs TT4-3
18/10/25HTT Vs Yelimay Semey3-6
27/09/25AZhenys Vs TT6-3
13/09/25HTT Vs Ulytau1-1
23/08/25AFK Tobol Kostanay Vs TT2-0

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Taraz
Taraz
Kazakhstan: 1. Division
Recent: 5 Wins / 3 Draws / 2 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallDDWWL1.36
HomeWWDDW1.72
AwayWLDWL1.00
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %38%48%28%
AVG goals2.742.642.84
Over 1.5 %80%72%88%
Over 2.5 %52%52%52%
Over 3.5 %26%24%28%
Scored1.421.801.04
Conceded1.320.841.80
BTTS52%52%52%
Clean Sheet26%36%16%
Corners---
Cards---
Turan Turkistan
Turan Turkistan
Kazakhstan: 1. Division
Recent: 4 Wins / 1 Draws / 5 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLWWWW0.88
HomeDLLWW1.19
AwayLLLWW0.52
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %24%33%13%
AVG goals3.042.783.35
Over 1.5 %78%78%78%
Over 2.5 %52%48%57%
Over 3.5 %28%22%35%
Scored1.061.190.91
Conceded1.981.592.43
BTTS48%52%43%
Clean Sheet18%22%13%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1Shakhter KaragandyShakhter Karagandy721
100%
3.0
242+22
3.7
86%
71%
57%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0003.40.3
-
2Akademiya OntustikAkademiya Ontustik819
75%
2.4
1610+6
3.2
88%
88%
38%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.01.2
-
3Sport Academy KairatSport Academy Kairat817
62%
2.1
183+15
2.6
50%
50%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.20.4
-
4Turan TurkistanTuran Turkistan716
71%
2.3
168+8
3.4
71%
71%
57%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.31.1
-
5TarazTaraz812
38%
1.5
810-2
2.2
75%
38%
25%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.01.2
-
6Kaspij Aktau 2Kaspij Aktau 2710
43%
1.4
1211+1
3.3
71%
71%
29%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.71.6
-
7EkibastuzEkibastuz79
43%
1.3
1215-3
3.9
100%
86%
57%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.72.1
-
8Astana IIAstana II89
38%
1.1
918-9
3.4
88%
75%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.12.2
-
9JaiyqJaiyq78
29%
1.1
77+0
2.0
57%
29%
29%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.01.0
-
10ArysArys88
25%
1.0
813-5
2.6
75%
50%
38%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.01.6
-
11Khan TengriKhan Tengri87
25%
0.9
814-6
2.8
62%
50%
38%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.01.8
-
12Aktobe JasAktobe Jas87
25%
0.9
1023-13
4.1
88%
62%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.22.9
-
13Yelimay Semey 2Yelimay Semey 276
29%
0.9
613-7
2.7
57%
57%
14%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.91.9
-
14Tobol 2Tobol 283
12%
0.4
1118-7
3.6
88%
75%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.42.2
-
Kazakhstan: 1. Division 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Kazakhstan: 1. Division stats & trends →

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