This opponent (Ulytau) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Ulytau
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.8
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
1.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.00
1.60
1.27
1.73
0.73
1.47
vs Stronger (13)
0.69
1.92
1.14
2.00
0.17
1.83
vs Similar (17)
1.24
1.35
1.38
1.50
1.11
1.22
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
17% (-17pp vs league)
This opponent (Taraz) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 1.7 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 1 (29%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
51.0%
Under 1.5
49.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
23.5%
Under 2.5
76.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
8.9%
Under 3.5
91.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
33.3%
No
66.7%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
0-0 ✓
20.1%
1-0
15.0%
1-1
14.4%
0-1
13.8%
2-0
7.1%
0-2
6.1%
2-1
5.7%
1-2
5.3%
Taraz goals ↓
Ulytau goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
20%
14%
6.1%
1.6%
0.3%
1
15%
14%
5.3%
1.4%
0.3%
2
7.1%
5.7%
2.3%
0.6%
0.1%
3
2.0%
1.6%
0.7%
0.2%
0.0%
4
0.4%
0.4%
0.1%
0.0%
0.0%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Taraz goals (down), columns = Ulytau goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Ekibastuz
2.33
FK Tobol Kostanay
2.20
Yelimay Semey
2.00
Ordabasy
1.60
Turan Turkistan
1.50
SD Family
1.50
Kyzyl-Zhar
1.50
Kairat Almaty
1.50
Irtysh
1.33
Khan Tengri
1.25
Zhenys
1.25
Kaspiy
1.25
Ansat
1.01
Karshiga Almaty
1.01
BKS
1.01
Chromtau
1.01
Jelaev Nan
1.01
Jaiyq
1.01
Taraz
1.00
Akademiya Ontustik
1.00
Arys
1.00
Shakhter Karagandy
1.00
FC Astana
1.00
Okzhetpes
1.00
Zhetysu
1.00
Talas Karatau
0.50
Altay (Kazakhstan)
0.50
Jas Qyran
0.00
Aktobe
0.00
Kaisar
0.00
Atyrau
0.00
Ulytau
0.00
Taraz is 1.00 points better than Ulytau in terms of average points per game (1.00 vs 0.00).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
SD Family
3.00
Akademiya Ontustik
2.00
Ekibastuz
1.67
Yelimay Semey
1.50
Kairat Almaty
1.50
FK Tobol Kostanay
1.40
Kaspiy
1.25
Khan Tengri
1.00
Arys
1.00
Turan Turkistan
1.00
Shakhter Karagandy
1.00
Zhenys
1.00
FC Astana
1.00
Okzhetpes
1.00
Irtysh
1.00
Ansat
0.79
Karshiga Almaty
0.79
BKS
0.79
Chromtau
0.79
Jelaev Nan
0.79
Jaiyq
0.79
Ordabasy
0.60
Kyzyl-Zhar
0.25
Talas Karatau
0.00
Jas Qyran
0.00
Aktobe
0.00
Kaisar
0.00
Altay (Kazakhstan)
0.00
Taraz
0.00
Atyrau
0.00
Ulytau
0.00
Zhetysu
0.00
Taraz and Ulytau are level in goals scored per game (both 0.00).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Taraz
0.00
Yelimay Semey
0.00
Kyzyl-Zhar
0.00
Zhetysu
0.00
Ordabasy
0.40
FK Tobol Kostanay
0.40
Altay (Kazakhstan)
0.50
Kairat Almaty
0.50
Talas Karatau
1.00
Jas Qyran
1.00
Aktobe
1.00
Kaisar
1.00
Ekibastuz
1.00
Khan Tengri
1.00
Arys
1.00
Turan Turkistan
1.00
SD Family
1.00
Shakhter Karagandy
1.00
Zhenys
1.00
FC Astana
1.00
Okzhetpes
1.00
Ansat
1.09
Karshiga Almaty
1.09
BKS
1.09
Chromtau
1.09
Jelaev Nan
1.09
Jaiyq
1.09
Kaspiy
1.25
Irtysh
1.67
Akademiya Ontustik
2.00
Atyrau
2.00
Ulytau
3.00
Taraz is 3.00 goals better than Ulytau in terms of goals conceded per game (0.00 vs 3.00).
⏱️ Possession
Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
Taraz or Draw✓ Hit
70.3%
Avg Implied -
33%
37%
30%
covers Taraz + Draw
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Taraz or Ulytau✗ Miss
63.0%
Avg Implied -
33%
37%
30%
covers Taraz + Ulytau
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw or Ulytau✓ Hit
66.7%
Avg Implied -
33%
37%
30%
covers Draw + Ulytau
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
Home & Away Over/Under
How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
Taraz over/under 0.5Actual: Under
Over
58.0%
Under
42.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Taraz over/under 1.5Actual: Under
Over
21.5%
Under
78.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Taraz over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
5.7%
Under
94.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Taraz over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
1.2%
Under
98.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ulytau over/under 0.5Actual: Under
Over
55.2%
Under
44.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ulytau over/under 1.5Actual: Under
Over
19.2%
Under
80.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ulytau over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
4.8%
Under
95.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ulytau over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
0.9%
Under
99.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⚖️ 7. Handicap
Handicap
The handicap is applied to Taraz, so a minus line means Taraz give that many goals of a start and Ulytau receive them. At -1, Taraz must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Taraz win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (Taraz)Actual: Ulytau
Taraz -2
3.0%
Draw -2
8.9%
Ulytau +2
88.1%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap -1 (Taraz)Actual: Ulytau
Taraz -1
11.9%
Draw -1
21.4%
Ulytau +1
66.7%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +1 (Taraz)Actual: Taraz
Taraz +1
70.3%
Draw +1
19.7%
Ulytau -1
10.0%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +2 (Taraz)Actual: Taraz
Taraz +2
90.0%
Draw +2
7.6%
Ulytau -2
2.4%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Taraz
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.70
0.70
1.00
0.47
0.40
0.93
vs Stronger (2)
0.00
2.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
4.00
vs Similar (24)
0.75
0.62
1.17
0.50
0.33
0.75
vs Weaker (4)
0.75
0.50
0.50
0.50
1.00
0.50
Clean sheet %
50% (+16pp vs league)
This opponent (Ulytau) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Ulytau
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.53
0.53
0.60
0.67
0.47
0.40
vs Stronger (13)
0.38
0.62
0.57
0.71
0.17
0.50
vs Similar (17)
0.65
0.47
0.62
0.62
0.67
0.33
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
50% (+16pp vs league)
This opponent (Taraz) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Taraz over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Taraz over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Taraz over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ulytau over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ulytau over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ulytau over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Taraz
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.1
Avg scored
1.5
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.97
0.73
1.27
0.47
0.67
1.00
vs Stronger (2)
0.00
1.50
0.00
1.00
0.00
2.00
vs Similar (24)
0.96
0.67
1.42
0.33
0.50
1.00
vs Weaker (4)
1.50
0.75
1.00
1.00
2.00
0.50
Clean sheet %
53% (+19pp vs league)
This opponent (Ulytau) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Ulytau
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
1.2
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.47
1.07
0.67
1.07
0.27
1.07
vs Stronger (13)
0.31
1.31
0.57
1.29
0.00
1.33
vs Similar (17)
0.59
0.88
0.75
0.88
0.44
0.89
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
43% (+9pp vs league)
This opponent (Taraz) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Taraz over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Taraz over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Taraz over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ulytau over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ulytau over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ulytau over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Under 7.5
100.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 6.5
99.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 5.5
99.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Away under 3.5 goals
99.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home under 3.5 goals
98.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 4.5
97.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 goals
95.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 goals
94.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 3.5
91.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home +2 handicap
90.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Away +2 handicap
88.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Away under 1.5 goals
80.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home under 1.5 goals
78.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 2.5
76.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home or Draw
70.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home +1 handicap
70.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
Kazakhstan: 1. Division 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Kazakhstan: 1. Division stats & trends →
Kazakhstan: Premier League 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Kazakhstan: Premier League stats & trends →