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Taraz vs Yassy Turkistan Result & Analysis

Date: 21/07/2023
Time: 13:00
Final 4-3
Taraz
Taraz
Vs
43%
23%
34%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Yassy Turkistan
Yassy Turkistan
Kazakhstan: 1. Division
Referee: -
1 Model Analysis2 Goal Analysis3 Team Strengths Analysis4 Props Analysis5 Double Chance6 Home & Away Over/Under7 Handicap8 Half Time Goals O/U9 Half Time Home & Away O/U10 Second Half Goals O/U11 Second Half Home & Away O/U
12 Top picks for this game14 Squad value15 Games History16 Overall Statistics17 League Table

ðŸŽŊ 1. Model Analysis

Taraz win✓ Hit
43.1%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
23.0%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Yassy Turkistan win✗ Miss
33.9%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

âš― 2. Goal Analysis

TarazTaraz

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-412L02L04L02L33D31W42W04L11D24LH·EKI05/05A·KHA09/05H·ZHE14/05A·KYR19/05H·AKA26/05A·ARY02/06H·SPO10/06A·AKZ23/06H·AST30/06A·JAS06/07
Avg total
3.9
Avg scored
1.4
Avg conceded
2.5
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.371.671.621.691.071.64
vs Stronger (7)0.861.570.671.331.001.75
vs Similar (22)1.271.731.421.831.101.60
vs Weaker (1)7.001.007.001.00--
Clean sheet %17% (-8pp vs league)
This opponent (Yassy Turkistan) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Yassy TurkistanYassy Turkistan

Last 10 – goals for & against
50-501L43W00D14L10W32W53W11D01L30WA·YEL09/05H·EKI15/05A·KHA19/05H·ZHE25/05A·KYR02/06H·AKA09/06A·ARY22/06H·SPO29/06A·AKZ06/07H·AST13/07
Avg total
3.3
Avg scored
1.8
Avg conceded
1.5
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.902.072.141.861.692.25
vs Stronger (6)1.001.331.502.000.751.00
vs Similar (22)2.092.452.362.001.822.91
vs Weaker (2)2.500.001.000.004.000.00
Clean sheet %23% (-1pp vs league)
This opponent (Taraz) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

5%10%16%21%3%07%117%221%319%415%518%6+
The model estimates around 3.7 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 3 (21%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
89.6%
Under 1.5
10.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
72.2%
Under 2.5
27.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
51.6%
Under 3.5
48.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
72.3%
No
27.7%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
9.1%
2-1
8.2%
1-2
7.3%
2-2
7.2%
3-1
5.4%
3-2
4.8%
2-0
4.7%
1-3
4.2%
Taraz goals ↓
Yassy Turkistan goals →
01234
03.2%3.3%3.6%2.1%0.9%
13.9%9.1%7.3%4.2%1.9%
24.7%8.2%7.2%4.2%1.9%
33.1%5.4%4.8%2.8%1.2%
41.5%2.7%2.4%1.4%0.6%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Taraz goals (down), columns = Yassy Turkistan goals (across).

💊 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Yelimay Semey
2.71
Turan Turkistan
2.46
Zhenys
2.07
Akzhayik
1.93
Kyran
1.79
Sport Academy Kairat
1.25
Khan Tengri
1.25
Arys
1.18
Yassy Turkistan
1.14
Ekibastuz
1.14
Jas Qyran
1.14
Taraz
1.11
Aktobe Jas
0.82
Akademiya Ontustik
0.75
Astana II
0.68
Taraz is 0.04 points worse than Yassy Turkistan in terms of average points per game (1.11 vs 1.14).

⚔ïļ Attack

Goals scored / game
Turan Turkistan
3.07
Yelimay Semey
2.71
Zhenys
2.21
Akzhayik
2.21
Sport Academy Kairat
2.07
Kyran
1.96
Jas Qyran
1.79
Yassy Turkistan
1.68
Taraz
1.68
Ekibastuz
1.68
Akademiya Ontustik
1.64
Arys
1.46
Khan Tengri
1.39
Aktobe Jas
1.32
Astana II
1.14
Taraz and Yassy Turkistan are level in goals scored per game (both 1.68).

ðŸ›Ąïļ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Yelimay Semey
0.61
Turan Turkistan
1.00
Akzhayik
1.04
Zhenys
1.21
Khan Tengri
1.36
Jas Qyran
1.86
Sport Academy Kairat
1.89
Taraz
2.04
Kyran
2.04
Yassy Turkistan
2.07
Ekibastuz
2.21
Arys
2.25
Akademiya Ontustik
2.68
Aktobe Jas
2.75
Astana II
3.04
Taraz is 0.04 goals better than Yassy Turkistan in terms of goals conceded per game (2.04 vs 2.07).

⏱ïļ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

ðŸŽē 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

ðŸĨ… 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖ïļ 7. Handicap

⏱ïļ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

TarazTaraz

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-300D01L01L00D12L10W30W01L01L10WH·EKI05/05A·KHA09/05H·ZHE14/05A·KYR19/05H·AKA26/05A·ARY02/06H·SPO10/06A·AKZ23/06H·AST30/06A·JAS06/07
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.600.730.730.800.470.67
vs Stronger (7)0.711.140.671.000.751.25
vs Similar (22)0.500.640.640.820.360.45
vs Weaker (1)2.000.002.000.00--
Clean sheet %50% (+26pp vs league)
This opponent (Yassy Turkistan) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Yassy TurkistanYassy Turkistan

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-300D22D00D02L00D12L23L10W00D20WA·YEL09/05H·EKI15/05A·KHA19/05H·ZHE25/05A·KYR02/06H·AKA09/06A·ARY22/06H·SPO29/06A·AKZ06/07H·AST13/07
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.9
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.730.970.800.670.671.27
vs Stronger (5)0.200.200.330.330.000.00
vs Similar (23)0.871.220.910.820.831.58
vs Weaker (2)0.500.001.000.000.000.00
Clean sheet %50% (+26pp vs league)
This opponent (Taraz) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸĨ… 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Taraz over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Taraz over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Taraz over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Yassy Turkistan over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Yassy Turkistan over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Yassy Turkistan over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱ïļ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

TarazTaraz

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
40-412L01L03L02L21W21W12L03L10W14LH·EKI05/05A·KHA09/05H·ZHE14/05A·KYR19/05H·AKA26/05A·ARY02/06H·SPO10/06A·AKZ23/06H·AST30/06A·JAS06/07
Avg total
2.7
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
1.9
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.800.931.000.930.600.93
vs Stronger (7)0.140.430.000.330.250.50
vs Similar (22)0.821.090.911.090.731.09
vs Weaker (1)5.001.005.001.00--
Clean sheet %47% (+22pp vs league)
This opponent (Yassy Turkistan) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Yassy TurkistanYassy Turkistan

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-301L21W00D12L10W20W30W01L01L10WA·YEL09/05H·EKI15/05A·KHA19/05H·ZHE25/05A·KYR02/06H·AKA09/06A·ARY22/06H·SPO29/06A·AKZ06/07H·AST13/07
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.271.271.331.271.201.27
vs Stronger (5)0.801.601.002.330.500.50
vs Similar (23)1.301.301.551.091.081.50
vs Weaker (2)2.000.000.000.004.000.00
Clean sheet %33% (+9pp vs league)
This opponent (Taraz) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸĨ… 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Taraz over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Taraz over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Taraz over/under 2.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Yassy Turkistan over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Yassy Turkistan over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Yassy Turkistan over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸ”Ĩ 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 1.589.6%-------✓ Hit
BTTS Yes72.3%-------✓ Hit
Over 2.572.2%-------✓ Hit

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
YS (23)
€8m
ZHE (18)
€4m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

⚔ïļ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
YS (11)
€4m
ZHE (6)
€2m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ZHE (3)
€0m
YS (2)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

ðŸ›Ąïļ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
YS (10)
€3m
ZHE (9)
€2m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

ðŸĪ 15. Games History

H2H record

1 previous meeting
1
TAR wins
0
Draws
0
YT wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Taraz vs Yassy Turkistan · H/A from TAR
DateH/AGameScore
13/04/23AYassy Turkistan Vs TAR0-5

TarazTaraz

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
06/07/23AJas Qyran Vs TAR4-2
30/06/23HTAR Vs Astana II1-1
23/06/23AAkzhayik Vs TAR4-0
10/06/23HTAR Vs Sport Academy Kairat4-2
02/06/23AArys Vs TAR1-3
26/05/23HTAR Vs Akademiya Ontustik3-3
19/05/23AKyran Vs TAR2-0
14/05/23HTAR Vs Zhenys0-4
09/05/23AKhan Tengri Vs TAR2-0
05/05/23HTAR Vs Ekibastuz1-2

Yassy TurkistanYassy Turkistan

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
13/07/23HYT Vs Astana II3-0
06/07/23AAkzhayik Vs YT1-0
29/06/23HYT Vs Sport Academy Kairat1-1
22/06/23AArys Vs YT3-5
09/06/23HYT Vs Akademiya Ontustik3-2
02/06/23AKyran Vs YT0-1
25/05/23HYT Vs Zhenys1-4
19/05/23AKhan Tengri Vs YT0-0
15/05/23HYT Vs Ekibastuz4-3
09/05/23AYelimay Semey Vs YT1-0

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Taraz
Taraz
Kazakhstan: 1. Division
Recent: 2 Wins / 2 Draws / 6 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWWLDL1.05
HomeLLDWD1.20
AwayLLWLL0.90
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %25%30%20%
AVG goals2.753.052.45
Over 1.5 %70%75%65%
Over 2.5 %45%45%45%
Over 3.5 %30%30%30%
Scored1.321.601.05
Conceded1.431.451.40
BTTS50%55%45%
Clean Sheet22%20%25%
Corners---
Cards---
Yassy Turkistan
Yassy Turkistan
Kazakhstan: 1. Division
Recent: 5 Wins / 2 Draws / 3 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWWDLW1.45
HomeWLWDW1.70
AwayLDWWL1.20
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %42%50%35%
AVG goals3.773.753.80
Over 1.5 %75%85%65%
Over 2.5 %70%75%65%
Over 3.5 %52%50%55%
Scored1.852.051.65
Conceded1.931.702.15
BTTS57%65%50%
Clean Sheet25%30%20%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value ₮mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1Yelimay SemeyYelimay Semey2876
86%
2.7
7617+59
3.3
86%
68%
43%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
8
4032.70.6
-
2Turan TurkistanTuran Turkistan2869
79%
2.5
8628+58
4.1
79%
68%
54%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0003.11.0
-
3ZhenysZhenys2858
64%
2.1
6234+28
3.4
93%
71%
39%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
2022.21.2
-
4AkzhayikAkzhayik2854
61%
1.9
6229+33
3.2
82%
64%
43%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.21.0
-
5KyranKyran2850
57%
1.8
5557-2
4.0
89%
71%
39%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.02.0
-
6Sport Academy KairatSport Academy Kairat2835
36%
1.2
5853+5
4.0
86%
71%
57%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.11.9
-
7Khan TengriKhan Tengri2835
36%
1.2
3938+1
2.8
75%
57%
32%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.41.4
-
8ArysArys2833
36%
1.2
4163-22
3.7
86%
64%
43%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.52.2
-
9Jas QyranJas Qyran2832
32%
1.1
5052-2
3.6
86%
61%
46%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.81.9
-
10Yassy TurkistanYassy Turkistan2832
32%
1.1
4758-11
3.8
71%
68%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.72.1
-
11EkibastuzEkibastuz2832
29%
1.1
4762-15
3.9
96%
75%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.72.2
-
12TarazTaraz2831
32%
1.1
4757-10
3.7
89%
64%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.72.0
-
13Aktobe JasAktobe Jas2823
25%
0.8
3777-40
4.1
89%
79%
54%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.32.8
-
14Akademiya OntustikAkademiya Ontustik2821
18%
0.8
4675-29
4.3
93%
86%
61%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.62.7
-
15Astana IIAstana II2819
21%
0.7
3285-53
4.2
100%
89%
61%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.13.0
-
Kazakhstan: 1. Division 2023/24 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Kazakhstan: 1. Division stats & trends →

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