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Tarxien Rainbows vs Valletta FC Result & Analysis

Date: 26/10/2024
Time: 15:00
Final 1-0
Tarxien Rainbows
Tarxien Rainbows
Vs
32%
30%
39%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Valletta FC
Valletta FC
Malta: Challenge League
Referee: -
1 Model Analysis2 Goal Analysis3 Team Strengths Analysis4 Props Analysis5 Double Chance6 Home & Away Over/Under7 Handicap8 Half Time Goals O/U9 Half Time Home & Away O/U10 Second Half Goals O/U11 Second Half Home & Away O/U
12 Top picks for this game14 Squad value15 Games History16 Overall Statistics17 League Table

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Tarxien Rainbows win✓ Hit
31.7%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
29.8%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Valletta FC win✗ Miss
38.5%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

Tarxien RainbowsTarxien Rainbows

Last 10 – goals for & against
30-331W01L01L31W01L33D20W21W11D13LH·ZEB10/03A·ST.16/03H·FGU07/04H·MSI14/04A·ATT20/04H·LUQ28/04H·MTA15/09A·MAR21/09H·SWI29/09A·PIE19/10
Avg total
2.8
Avg scored
1.5
Avg conceded
1.3
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.330.901.530.931.130.87
vs Stronger (1)0.000.00--0.000.00
vs Similar (18)1.441.221.711.291.271.18
vs Weaker (11)1.270.451.380.621.000.00
Clean sheet %47% (+21pp vs league)
This opponent (Valletta FC) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Valletta FCValletta FC

Last 10 – goals for & against
60-602L02L22D10W04L52W30W60W10W30WA·SAN16/03H·FLO06/04A·HIB14/04H·BAL21/04A·NAX28/04H·GUD02/05A·SIR14/09H·LIJ22/09A·ZUR28/09H·SAN20/10← Premier LeagueChallenge League →
Avg total
3.3
Avg scored
2.1
Avg conceded
1.2
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.301.031.531.131.070.93
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (27)1.111.071.291.070.921.08
vs Weaker (3)3.000.675.002.002.000.00
Clean sheet %33% (+7pp vs league)
This opponent (Tarxien Rainbows) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

7%14%20%27%10%018%127%221%313%46%54%6+
The model estimates around 2.5 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (27%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
71.7%
Under 1.5
28.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
44.6%
Under 2.5
55.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
23.4%
Under 3.5
76.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
51.2%
No
48.8%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
14.2%
0-0
9.8%
0-1
9.8%
1-0 ✓
8.6%
1-2
8.4%
2-1
7.5%
0-2
7.2%
2-0
5.7%
Tarxien Rainbows goals ↓
Valletta FC goals →
01234
09.8%9.8%7.2%3.1%1.0%
18.6%14%8.4%3.6%1.2%
25.7%7.5%4.9%2.1%0.7%
32.2%2.9%1.9%0.8%0.3%
40.6%0.8%0.5%0.2%0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Tarxien Rainbows goals (down), columns = Valletta FC goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Valletta FC
2.68
Tarxien Rainbows
1.77
Fgura United
1.64
Swieqi United
1.64
Pietà Hotspurs
1.59
Zurrieq
1.45
Santa Lucía
1.45
Mgarr United
1.41
St. Andrews
1.32
Marsa
1.32
Sirens
1.23
Gudja United
1.23
Zebbug Rangers
0.95
Mtarfa
0.91
Lija Athletic
0.86
Senglea Athletic
0.64
Tarxien Rainbows is 0.91 points worse than Valletta FC in terms of average points per game (1.77 vs 2.68).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Valletta FC
2.23
Fgura United
1.68
Sirens
1.68
Santa Lucía
1.64
Pietà Hotspurs
1.55
Swieqi United
1.50
Zurrieq
1.45
Mgarr United
1.45
Marsa
1.45
Gudja United
1.36
Zebbug Rangers
1.32
Tarxien Rainbows
1.32
Lija Athletic
1.14
St. Andrews
1.09
Mtarfa
1.05
Senglea Athletic
0.91
Tarxien Rainbows is 0.91 goals worse than Valletta FC in terms of goals scored per game (1.32 vs 2.23).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Valletta FC
0.32
Tarxien Rainbows
1.00
Fgura United
1.09
St. Andrews
1.23
Mgarr United
1.27
Swieqi United
1.32
Pietà Hotspurs
1.36
Zurrieq
1.41
Gudja United
1.55
Marsa
1.55
Lija Athletic
1.73
Senglea Athletic
1.73
Mtarfa
1.77
Zebbug Rangers
1.82
Sirens
1.82
Santa Lucía
1.86
Tarxien Rainbows is 0.68 goals worse than Valletta FC in terms of goals conceded per game (1.00 vs 0.32).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

Tarxien RainbowsTarxien Rainbows

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-201L00D00D21W00D01L10W00D00D01LH·ZEB10/03A·ST.16/03H·FGU07/04H·MSI14/04A·ATT20/04H·LUQ28/04H·MTA15/09A·MAR21/09H·SWI29/09A·PIE19/10
Avg total
0.7
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
0.4
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.370.430.600.400.130.47
vs Stronger (1)0.000.00--0.000.00
vs Similar (19)0.420.580.750.500.180.64
vs Weaker (10)0.300.200.430.290.000.00
Clean sheet %67% (+41pp vs league)
This opponent (Valletta FC) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Valletta FCValletta FC

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-301L01L10W10W03L31W10W30W10W10WA·SAN16/03H·FLO06/04A·HIB14/04H·BAL21/04A·NAX28/04H·GUD02/05A·SIR14/09H·LIJ22/09A·ZUR28/09H·SAN20/10← Premier LeagueChallenge League →
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.530.600.670.730.400.47
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (27)0.370.630.500.710.230.54
vs Weaker (3)2.000.333.001.001.500.00
Clean sheet %57% (+31pp vs league)
This opponent (Tarxien Rainbows) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Tarxien Rainbows over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Tarxien Rainbows over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Tarxien Rainbows over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Valletta FC over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Valletta FC over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Valletta FC over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

Tarxien RainbowsTarxien Rainbows

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-330W01L01L10W01L32W10W21W11D12LH·ZEB10/03A·ST.16/03H·FGU07/04H·MSI14/04A·ATT20/04H·LUQ28/04H·MTA15/09A·MAR21/09H·SWI29/09A·PIE19/10
Avg total
2.1
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
0.9
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.100.501.130.471.070.53
vs Stronger (1)0.000.00--0.000.00
vs Similar (19)1.160.681.120.621.180.73
vs Weaker (10)1.100.201.140.291.000.00
Clean sheet %60% (+34pp vs league)
This opponent (Valletta FC) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Valletta FCValletta FC

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-301L01L12L00D01L21W20W30W00D20WA·SAN16/03H·FLO06/04A·HIB14/04H·BAL21/04A·NAX28/04H·GUD02/05A·SIR14/09H·LIJ22/09A·ZUR28/09H·SAN20/10← Premier LeagueChallenge League →
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.770.430.870.400.670.47
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (27)0.740.440.790.360.690.54
vs Weaker (3)1.000.332.001.000.500.00
Clean sheet %60% (+34pp vs league)
This opponent (Tarxien Rainbows) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Tarxien Rainbows over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Tarxien Rainbows over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Tarxien Rainbows over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Valletta FC over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Valletta FC over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Valletta FC over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Under 3.576.6%-------✓ Hit
Over 1.571.7%-------✗ Miss

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
VF (20)
€4m
TR (8)
€1m
SU (2)
€0m
GU (1)
€0m
ZUR (1)
€0m
ZR (1)
€0m
FU (1)
€0m
Tarxien Rainbows's squad is €4m less valuable than Valletta FC's (€1m vs €4m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
VF (7)
€2m
TR (2)
€0m
SU (2)
€0m
FU (1)
€0m
GU (0)
€0m
ZUR (0)
€0m
ZR (0)
€0m
Tarxien Rainbows's attack is €1m less valuable than Valletta FC's (€0m vs €2m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
VF (5)
€1m
TR (2)
€0m
GU (1)
€0m
SU (0)
€0m
ZUR (0)
€0m
ZR (0)
€0m
FU (0)
€0m
Tarxien Rainbows's midfield is €1m less valuable than Valletta FC's (€0m vs €1m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
VF (8)
€2m
TR (4)
€0m
ZUR (1)
€0m
ZR (1)
€0m
SU (0)
€0m
GU (0)
€0m
FU (0)
€0m
Tarxien Rainbows's defence is €1m less valuable than Valletta FC's (€0m vs €2m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

No previous meetings
0
TR wins
0
Draws
0
VF wins

Head-to-head

Tarxien Rainbows vs Valletta FC · H/A from TR
DateH/AGameScore
No games.

Tarxien RainbowsTarxien Rainbows

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
19/10/24APietà Hotspurs Vs TR3-1
29/09/24HTR Vs Swieqi United1-1
21/09/24AMarsa Vs TR1-2
15/09/24HTR Vs Mtarfa2-0
28/04/24HTR Vs Luqa St. Andrew's3-3
20/04/24AAttard Vs TR1-0
14/04/24HTR Vs Msida St. Joseph3-1
07/04/24HTR Vs Fgura United0-1
16/03/24ASt. Andrews Vs TR1-0
10/03/24HTR Vs Zebbug Rangers3-1

Valletta FCValletta FC

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
20/10/24HVF Vs Santa Lucía3-0
28/09/24AZurrieq Vs VF0-1
22/09/24HVF Vs Lija Athletic6-0
14/09/24ASirens Vs VF0-3
02/05/24HVF Vs Gudja United5-2
28/04/24ANaxxar Lions Vs VF4-0
21/04/24HVF Vs Balzan FC1-0
14/04/24AHibernians Vs VF2-2
06/04/24HVF Vs Floriana0-2
16/03/24ASanta Lucía Vs VF2-0

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Tarxien Rainbows
Tarxien Rainbows
Malta: Challenge League
Recent: 4 Wins / 2 Draws / 4 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallDWWDL1.58
HomeLWDWD1.50
AwayWLLWL1.67
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %42%38%46%
AVG goals2.762.732.79
Over 1.5 %66%65%67%
Over 2.5 %54%54%54%
Over 3.5 %38%38%38%
Scored1.721.621.83
Conceded1.041.120.96
BTTS46%46%46%
Clean Sheet42%38%46%
Corners---
Cards---
Valletta FC
Valletta FC
Malta: Challenge League
Recent: 6 Wins / 1 Draws / 3 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWWWWW1.42
HomeLWWWW1.16
AwayLDLWW1.68
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %36%24%48%
AVG goals2.342.042.64
Over 1.5 %70%68%72%
Over 2.5 %38%24%52%
Over 3.5 %18%8%28%
Scored1.381.161.60
Conceded0.960.881.04
BTTS42%40%44%
Clean Sheet34%36%32%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1Valletta FCValletta FC2259
86%
2.7
497+42
2.5
73%
59%
14%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
2122.20.3
-
2Tarxien RainbowsTarxien Rainbows2239
50%
1.8
2922+7
2.3
77%
45%
18%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.31.0
-
3Fgura UnitedFgura United2236
50%
1.6
3724+13
2.8
64%
59%
27%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.71.1
-
4Swieqi UnitedSwieqi United2236
45%
1.6
3329+4
2.8
77%
55%
32%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.51.3
-
5Pietà HotspursPietà Hotspurs2235
45%
1.6
3430+4
2.9
73%
64%
32%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.51.4
-
6ZurrieqZurrieq2232
41%
1.5
3231+1
2.9
82%
45%
27%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.51.4
-
7Santa LucíaSanta Lucía2232
41%
1.5
3641-5
3.5
82%
68%
41%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.61.9
-
8Mgarr UnitedMgarr United2231
32%
1.4
3228+4
2.7
82%
41%
23%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.51.3
-
9MarsaMarsa2229
36%
1.3
3234-2
3.0
77%
55%
36%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.51.5
-
10St. AndrewsSt. Andrews2229
36%
1.3
2427-3
2.3
59%
32%
18%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.11.2
-
11SirensSirens2227
32%
1.2
3740-3
3.5
100%
86%
32%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.71.8
-
12Gudja UnitedGudja United2227
32%
1.2
3034-4
2.9
77%
59%
41%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.41.5
-
13Zebbug RangersZebbug Rangers2221
18%
1.0
2940-11
3.1
86%
55%
41%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.31.8
-
14MtarfaMtarfa2220
27%
0.9
2339-16
2.8
86%
55%
27%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.01.8
-
15Lija AthleticLija Athletic2219
23%
0.9
2538-13
2.9
77%
59%
32%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.11.7
-
16Senglea AthleticSenglea Athletic2214
14%
0.6
2038-18
2.6
82%
55%
23%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.91.7
-
Malta: Challenge League 2024/25 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Malta: Challenge League stats & trends →

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