Tekstilshchik vs Veles Result & Analysis

Date: 29/08/2026

Time: 14:00

Final 0-1

Tekstilshchik

49%

29%

23%

■ Home ■ Draw ■ Away

Veles

Russia: First League

Referee: -

1 Model Analysis 2 Goal Analysis 3 Team Strengths Analysis 4 Props Analysis 5 Double Chance 6 Home & Away Over/Under 7 Handicap 8 Half Time Goals O/U 9 Half Time Home & Away O/U 10 Second Half Goals O/U 11 Second Half Home & Away O/U

12 Top picks for this game 14 Squad value 15 Games History 16 Overall Statistics 17 League Table

Match preview & prediction

Tekstilshchik are favoured to win at home, with the model assigning a 49 % chance of victory, a 29 % chance of a draw and a 23 % chance of a Veles win. The average goal tally is 2.4, and the most likely total is 2 goals, with a 27 % probability. The single most probable scoreline is 1-1, occurring with a 13.6 % chance. Tekstilshchik, playing at home against a similarly-strengthened opponent, average 0.6 goals scored and 1.0 conceded, while Veles, on the road, average 1.4 goals scored and 2.5 conceded. The model’s selections include Under 7.5 (99.7 %), Under 6.5 (98.9 %), Away under 3.5 goals (98.5 %), Home under 2.5 HT goals (97.9 %), Away under 2.5 HT goals (97.7 %), Under 5.5 (96.5 %), Home under 2.5 2H goals (95.8 %), and Away under 2.5 2H goals (95.6 %). Tekstilshchik have just returned from a 0-2 loss to Ural, whereas Veles are riding a two-game winning streak after a 2-0 victory over Arsenal Tula.

Results analysis

The upset came early, as Tekstilshchik failed to convert the pre-match favourite into a win, with Veles snatching a 0-1 victory. The model had tipped a home win at 49 percent, but the prediction proved wrong. The match lived up to the low-scoring expectation, with the total goals falling well below the 2.4 forecast. Every suggested pick was a hit: Under 7.5 (99.7 percent), Under 6.5 (98.9 percent), Away under 3.5 goals (98.5 percent), Home under 2.5 HT goals (98.5 percent), Away under 2.5 HT goals (97.9 percent), Home under 2.5 2H goals (97.7 percent), Away under 2.5 2H goals (96.6 percent) and Under 5.5 (96.5 percent). Tekstilshchik’s recent form, after two straight defeats, was not enough to overcome Veles, who entered the game on a three-game winning run.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Tekstilshchik win✗ Miss

48.5%

Avg Implied 30.4% · @ 3.04

Edge

+18.1%

Best 5 market prices

Pinnacle

3.24

1xBet

3.22

Marathonbet

3.12

Dafabet

3.00

Superbet

2.92

Draw✗ Miss

28.9%

Avg Implied 30.6% · @ 3.02

Edge

-1.7%

Best 5 market prices

1xBet

3.09

Pinnacle

3.09

Dafabet

3.05

Superbet

3.05

Marathonbet

3.00

Veles win✓ Hit

22.5%

Avg Implied 39.0% · @ 2.37

Edge

-16.5%

Best 5 market prices

Pinnacle

2.43

1xBet

2.42

Dafabet

2.41

Superbet

2.37

Marathonbet

2.35

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

Tekstilshchik

Last 10 – goals for & against

Avg total

1.4

Avg scored

0.5

Avg conceded

0.9

Split	Total Scored	Total Conceded	Home Scored	Home Conceded	Away Scored	Away Conceded
Avg goals/game	0.73	0.91	0.67	1.00	0.80	0.80
vs Stronger (5)	1.00	1.00	0.67	0.67	1.50	1.50
vs Similar (6)	0.50	0.83	0.67	1.33	0.33	0.33
vs Weaker (0)	-	-	-	-	-	-
Clean sheet %	36% (+2pp vs league)

This opponent (Veles) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Veles

Last 10 – goals for & against

Avg total

3.3

Avg scored

1.8

Avg conceded

1.5

Split	Total Scored	Total Conceded	Home Scored	Home Conceded	Away Scored	Away Conceded
Avg goals/game	1.37	1.53	1.50	0.88	1.21	2.29
vs Stronger (5)	1.00	1.20	1.00	1.00	1.00	1.33
vs Similar (25)	1.44	1.60	1.57	0.86	1.27	2.55
vs Weaker (0)	-	-	-	-	-	-
Clean sheet %	23% (-11pp vs league)

This opponent (Tekstilshchik) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

The model estimates around 2.4 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (27%).

Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under

Over 1.5

70.2%

@ 1.38+3.6%

Under 1.5

29.8%

@ 2.75-3.6%

Best 5 market prices

Over

Pinnacle

1.39

Superbet

1.39

Marathonbet

1.36

1xBet

1.36

Under

Pinnacle

2.98

1xBet

2.70

Marathonbet

2.70

Superbet

2.62

Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under

Over 2.5

42.8%

@ 2.27+1.3%

Under 2.5

57.2%

@ 1.61-1.3%

Best 5 market prices

Over

1xBet

2.28

Pinnacle

2.28

Superbet

2.27

Marathonbet

2.24

Under

Pinnacle

1.64

1xBet

1.64

Marathonbet

1.62

Superbet

1.54

Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under

Over 3.5

22.0%

@ 3.97-1.1%

Under 3.5

78.0%

@ 1.19+1.1%

Best 5 market prices

Over

Pinnacle

4.19

1xBet

3.90

Superbet

3.90

Marathonbet

3.90

Under

Pinnacle

1.23

Marathonbet

1.18

1xBet

1.18

Superbet

1.17

Both teams to scoreActual: No

Yes

47.7%

@ 1.91-0.7%

52.3%

@ 1.79+0.7%

Best 5 market prices

Yes

Superbet

1.97

Marathonbet

1.88

1xBet

1.88

1xBet

1.82

Marathonbet

1.80

Superbet

1.75

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).

1-1

13.6%@ 5.41+5.7%

1-0

12.2%@ 7.48+6.4%

0-0

10.4%@ 7.05+4.3%

2-0

9.8%@ 14.08+6.8%

2-1

9.1%@ 10.95+5.2%

0-1 ✓

7.2%@ 6.35+0.4%

1-2

5.7%@ 9.26+1.1%

3-0

4.8%@ 37.12+3.7%

Tekstilshchik goals ↓

	Veles goals →
	0	1	2	3	4
0	10%	7.2%	3.9%	1.2%	0.3%
1	12%	14%	5.7%	1.8%	0.4%
2	9.8%	9.1%	4.2%	1.3%	0.3%
3	4.8%	4.5%	2.1%	0.6%	0.1%
4	1.8%	1.6%	0.8%	0.2%	0.1%

Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Tekstilshchik goals (down), columns = Veles goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game

FC Sochi

2.57

Nizhny Novgorod

2.29

Veles

2.14

Ural

2.00

FC UFA

1.83

Torpedo Moskva

1.67

Spartak Kostroma

1.50

Shinnik Yaroslavl

1.50

Rotor Volgograd

1.25

Volga Ulyanovsk

1.17

Enisey

1.17

FK Neftekhimik

1.12

Arsenal Tula

1.12

Leningradets

1.00

Tekstilshchik

0.71

KAMAZ

0.71

Chelyabinsk

0.67

Ska-khabarovsk

0.43

Tekstilshchik is 1.43 points worse than Veles in terms of average points per game (0.71 vs 2.14).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game

Nizhny Novgorod

3.00

FC Sochi

2.29

Ural

1.83

Torpedo Moskva

1.83

Veles

1.57

Enisey

1.50

Shinnik Yaroslavl

1.33

Rotor Volgograd

1.25

Volga Ulyanovsk

1.17

Spartak Kostroma

1.17

FC UFA

1.17

Chelyabinsk

1.00

KAMAZ

1.00

Arsenal Tula

0.88

Ska-khabarovsk

0.71

Leningradets

0.67

FK Neftekhimik

0.62

Tekstilshchik

0.29

Tekstilshchik is 1.29 goals worse than Veles in terms of goals scored per game (0.29 vs 1.57).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better

Ural

0.50

Torpedo Moskva

0.67

Leningradets

0.83

Tekstilshchik

1.00

Rotor Volgograd

1.00

FC UFA

1.00

FC Sochi

1.00

Spartak Kostroma

1.17

Shinnik Yaroslavl

1.17

Enisey

1.33

Nizhny Novgorod

1.43

Veles

1.43

Volga Ulyanovsk

1.50

FK Neftekhimik

1.50

KAMAZ

1.57

Arsenal Tula

1.62

Ska-khabarovsk

2.00

Chelyabinsk

2.17

Tekstilshchik is 0.43 goals better than Veles in terms of goals conceded per game (1.00 vs 1.43).

⏱️ Possession

Avg possession %

FC Sochi

54%

FK Neftekhimik

54%

Veles

54%

Volga Ulyanovsk

52%

Arsenal Tula

52%

Leningradets

50%

Nizhny Novgorod

50%

Chelyabinsk

50%

Tekstilshchik

49%

Spartak Kostroma

49%

Ska-khabarovsk

46%

FC UFA

46%

KAMAZ

46%

Ural

40%

Tekstilshchik is 4.5 percentage points worse than Veles in terms of average possession (49% vs 54%).

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Tekstilshchik

For 5.0 · Against 7.0 · Total 12.0

🚩 Corners

ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

For 3.0 · Against 2.0 · Total 5.0

🟨 Cards

ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

⚠️ Fouls

No recent fouls data for this league.

Veles

For 4.2 · Against 5.8 · Total 10.0

🚩 Corners

ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

For 2.2 · Against 1.8 · Total 4.0

🟨 Cards

ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

⚠️ Fouls

No recent fouls data for this league.

Tekstilshchik

Split	Corners			Cards			Fouls
Split	Tot	Hme	Awy	Tot	Hme	Awy	Tot	Hme	Awy
Overall (11)	12.0	12.0	-	0.5	0.8	0.0	-	-	-
vs Stronger (5)	12.0	12.0	-	1.0	1.7	0.0	-	-	-
vs Similar (6)	-	-	-	0.0	0.0	0.0	-	-	-
vs Weaker (0)	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
% over line	100%	100%	-	9%	17%	0%	-	-	-
% under line	0%	0%	-	91%	83%	100%	-	-	-

This opponent (Veles) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Veles

Split	Corners			Cards			Fouls
Split	Tot	Hme	Awy	Tot	Hme	Awy	Tot	Hme	Awy
Overall (45)	9.0	8.8	9.3	1.5	1.7	1.3	-	-	-
vs Stronger (8)	10.0	8.0	11.0	2.0	2.0	2.0	-	-	-
vs Similar (37)	8.8	8.9	8.6	1.4	1.6	1.2	-	-	-
vs Weaker (0)	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
% over line	33%	38%	29%	22%	25%	19%	-	-	-
% under line	67%	62%	71%	78%	75%	81%	-	-	-

This opponent (Tekstilshchik) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

🚩 Total Corners

Match total corners / game

Tekstilshchik

12.0

Arsenal Tula

11.0

Rotor Volgograd

11.0

Chelyabinsk

11.0

Spartak Kostroma

10.5

Nizhny Novgorod

10.5

FC Sochi

9.2

Veles

9.0

Ural

9.0

FK Neftekhimik

8.7

FC UFA

8.7

Torpedo Moskva

8.5

Leningradets

8.5

Ska-khabarovsk

7.2

Volga Ulyanovsk

6.3

Enisey

5.5

🟨 Total Cards

Match total cards / game

Tekstilshchik

5.0

Nizhny Novgorod

4.5

Volga Ulyanovsk

4.5

KAMAZ

4.5

FC Sochi

4.4

Chelyabinsk

4.3

FC UFA

4.3

Veles

4.2

Spartak Kostroma

4.0

Arsenal Tula

3.9

Rotor Volgograd

3.8

Ural

3.8

Enisey

3.6

Ska-khabarovsk

3.6

Torpedo Moskva

3.5

Leningradets

3.4

FK Neftekhimik

3.1

Shinnik Yaroslavl

3.1

⚠️ Total Fouls

Match total fouls / game

Torpedo Moskva

32.0

Nizhny Novgorod

28.6

Rotor Volgograd

28.5

FC Sochi

27.1

FK Neftekhimik

27.0

FC UFA

27.0

Ural

26.8

Enisey

23.0

Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Under

Over 9.5

39.7%

@ 2.11-4.2%

Under 9.5

60.3%

@ 1.64+4.2%

Best 5 market prices

Over

Pinnacle

2.12

1xBet

2.11

Marathonbet

2.09

Under

Pinnacle

1.68

1xBet

1.64

Marathonbet

1.61

Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Over

Over 3.5

50.1%

Under 3.5

49.9%

Best 5 market prices

Over

No market prices yet.

Under

No market prices yet.

Fouls O/U 21.5

Over 21.5

85.0%

Under 21.5

15.0%

Best 5 market prices

Over

No market prices yet.

Under

No market prices yet.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

Tekstilshchik or Draw✗ Miss

77.5%

Avg Implied 61.0% · @ 1.51

Edge

+16.4%

49%

29%

23%

covers Tekstilshchik + Draw

Best 5 market prices

1xBet

1.56

Marathonbet

1.53

Superbet

1.49

SBO

1.46

Tekstilshchik or Veles✓ Hit

71.1%

Avg Implied 69.6% · @ 1.32

Edge

+1.5%

49%

29%

23%

covers Tekstilshchik + Veles

Best 5 market prices

1xBet

1.37

Marathonbet

1.35

Superbet

1.31

SBO

1.27

Draw or Veles✓ Hit

51.5%

Avg Implied 69.4% · @ 1.33

Edge

-18.0%

49%

29%

23%

covers Draw + Veles

Best 5 market prices

1xBet

1.35

Superbet

1.34

Marathonbet

1.32

SBO

1.30

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

Home & Away Over/Under

How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.

Tekstilshchik over/under 0.5Actual: Under

Over

76.9%

@ 1.43+12.0%

Under

23.1%

@ 2.65-12.0%

Best 5 market prices

Over

Pinnacle

1.43

Superbet

1.43

1xBet

1.42

Marathonbet

1.42

Under

Pinnacle

2.84

1xBet

2.61

Marathonbet

2.61

Superbet

2.52

Tekstilshchik over/under 1.5Actual: Under

Over

43.1%

@ 3.05+12.8%

Under

56.9%

@ 1.33-12.8%

Best 5 market prices

Over

Pinnacle

3.21

Marathonbet

3.10

Superbet

3.00

1xBet

2.90

Under

1xBet

1.35

Pinnacle

1.33

Marathonbet

1.33

Superbet

1.30

Tekstilshchik over/under 2.5Actual: Under

Over

18.3%

@ 7.63+6.4%

Under

81.7%

@ 1.03-6.4%

Best 5 market prices

Over

1xBet

8.20

Marathonbet

8.00

Superbet

6.70

Under

Superbet

1.04

Marathonbet

1.03

1xBet

1.03

Tekstilshchik over/under 3.5Actual: Under

Over

6.2%

Under

93.8%

Best 5 market prices

Over

No market prices yet.

Under

No market prices yet.

Veles over/under 0.5Actual: Over

Over

60.3%

@ 1.30-10.2%

Under

39.7%

@ 3.13+10.2%

Best 5 market prices

Over

1xBet

1.32

Superbet

1.31

Marathonbet

1.30

Pinnacle

1.29

Under

Pinnacle

3.36

Marathonbet

3.14

1xBet

3.10

Superbet

2.92

Veles over/under 1.5Actual: Under

Over

23.7%

@ 2.52-13.1%

Under

76.3%

@ 1.47+13.1%

Best 5 market prices

Over

Pinnacle

2.61

Superbet

2.52

Marathonbet

2.50

1xBet

2.45

Under

1xBet

1.48

Marathonbet

1.48

Pinnacle

1.47

Superbet

1.43

Veles over/under 2.5Actual: Under

Over

6.7%

@ 5.85-8.8%

Under

93.3%

@ 1.08+8.8%

Best 5 market prices

Over

1xBet

6.20

Marathonbet

5.85

Superbet

5.50

Under

1xBet

1.08

Marathonbet

1.08

Superbet

1.07

Veles over/under 3.5Actual: Under

Over

1.5%

Under

98.5%

Best 5 market prices

Over

No market prices yet.

Under

No market prices yet.

⚖️ 7. Handicap

Handicap

The handicap is applied to Tekstilshchik, so a minus line means Tekstilshchik give that many goals of a start and Veles receive them. At -1, Tekstilshchik must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Tekstilshchik win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.

Handicap -2 (Tekstilshchik)Actual: Veles

Tekstilshchik -2

9.8%

Draw -2

15.1%

Veles +2

75.0%

Best 5 market prices

Home

No market prices yet.

Draw

No market prices yet.

Away

No market prices yet.

Handicap -1 (Tekstilshchik)Actual: Veles

Tekstilshchik -1

25.0%

@ 6.75+11.7%

Draw -1

23.6%

@ 4.65+4.4%

Veles +1

51.5%

@ 1.32-16.1%

Best 5 market prices

Home

Marathonbet

6.75

Draw

Marathonbet

4.65

Away

Marathonbet

1.32

Handicap +1 (Tekstilshchik)Actual: Draw

Tekstilshchik +1

77.5%

@ 1.53+19.6%

Draw +1

14.4%

@ 3.84-8.7%

Veles -1

8.1%

@ 4.65-10.9%

Best 5 market prices

Home

Marathonbet

1.53

Draw

Marathonbet

3.84

Away

Marathonbet

4.65

Handicap +2 (Tekstilshchik)Actual: Tekstilshchik

Tekstilshchik +2

91.9%

@ 1.12+21.5%

Draw +2

6.0%

@ 4.60-11.1%

Veles -2

2.1%

@ 6.30-10.4%

Best 5 market prices

Home

Marathonbet

1.12

Draw

Marathonbet

4.60

Away

Marathonbet

6.30

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

Tekstilshchik

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against

Avg total

0.4

Avg scored

0.3

Avg conceded

0.1

Split	Total Scored	Total Conceded	Home Scored	Home Conceded	Away Scored	Away Conceded
Avg goals/game	0.36	0.18	0.50	0.00	0.20	0.40
vs Stronger (5)	0.40	0.20	0.33	0.00	0.50	0.50
vs Similar (6)	0.33	0.17	0.67	0.00	0.00	0.33
vs Weaker (0)	-	-	-	-	-	-
Clean sheet %	82% (+48pp vs league)

This opponent (Veles) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Veles

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against

Avg total

1.3

Avg scored

0.5

Avg conceded

0.8

Split	Total Scored	Total Conceded	Home Scored	Home Conceded	Away Scored	Away Conceded
Avg goals/game	0.50	0.67	0.50	0.38	0.50	1.00
vs Stronger (5)	0.20	0.40	0.00	0.50	0.33	0.33
vs Similar (25)	0.56	0.72	0.57	0.36	0.55	1.18
vs Weaker (0)	-	-	-	-	-	-
Clean sheet %	50% (+16pp vs league)

This opponent (Tekstilshchik) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under

Over 0.5

61.0%

@ 1.49-1.3%

Under 0.5

39.0%

@ 2.46+1.3%

Best 5 market prices

Over

1xBet

1.50

Marathonbet

1.50

Superbet

1.48

Pinnacle

1.47

Under

Pinnacle

2.68

Superbet

2.40

1xBet

2.39

Marathonbet

2.39

Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under

Over 1.5

27.5%

@ 3.23-1.1%

Under 1.5

72.5%

@ 1.29+1.1%

Best 5 market prices

Over

Pinnacle

3.36

1xBet

3.22

Marathonbet

3.22

Superbet

3.10

Under

Pinnacle

1.32

1xBet

1.29

Marathonbet

1.29

Superbet

1.27

Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under

Over 2.5

11.1%

@ 7.97-0.2%

Under 2.5

88.9%

@ 1.02+0.2%

Best 5 market prices

Over

Marathonbet

8.30

1xBet

8.30

Superbet

7.30

Under

Superbet

1.03

Marathonbet

1.01

1xBet

1.01

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.

Tekstilshchik over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under

Over

44.1%

@ 2.44+6.2%

Under

55.9%

@ 1.49-6.2%

Best 5 market prices

Over

Pinnacle

2.49

1xBet

2.43

Marathonbet

2.43

Superbet

2.42

Under

Pinnacle

1.52

Marathonbet

1.48

1xBet

1.48

Superbet

1.47

Tekstilshchik over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under

Over

10.8%

@ 9.40+1.0%

Under

89.2%

@ 1.02-1.0%

Best 5 market prices

Over

1xBet

9.40

Marathonbet

9.40

Under

Marathonbet

1.02

1xBet

1.02

Tekstilshchik over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under

Over

1.5%

Under

98.5%

Best 5 market prices

Over

No market prices yet.

Under

No market prices yet.

Veles over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under

Over

39.6%

@ 2.15-3.3%

Under

60.4%

@ 1.62+3.3%

Best 5 market prices

Over

Pinnacle

2.16

Marathonbet

2.15

1xBet

2.15

Superbet

2.15

Under

Pinnacle

1.66

1xBet

1.61

Marathonbet

1.61

Superbet

1.60

Veles over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under

Over

9.7%

@ 7.40-2.8%

Under

90.3%

@ 1.06+2.8%

Best 5 market prices

Over

Marathonbet

7.40

1xBet

7.40

Under

Marathonbet

1.06

1xBet

1.06

Veles over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under

Over

2.1%

Under

97.9%

Best 5 market prices

Over

No market prices yet.

Under

No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

Tekstilshchik

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against

Avg total

1.0

Avg scored

0.2

Avg conceded

0.8

Split	Total Scored	Total Conceded	Home Scored	Home Conceded	Away Scored	Away Conceded
Avg goals/game	0.36	0.73	0.17	1.00	0.60	0.40
vs Stronger (5)	0.60	0.80	0.33	0.67	1.00	1.00
vs Similar (6)	0.17	0.67	0.00	1.33	0.33	0.00
vs Weaker (0)	-	-	-	-	-	-
Clean sheet %	55% (+20pp vs league)

This opponent (Veles) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Veles

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against

Avg total

2.0

Avg scored

1.3

Avg conceded

0.7

Split	Total Scored	Total Conceded	Home Scored	Home Conceded	Away Scored	Away Conceded
Avg goals/game	0.87	0.87	1.00	0.50	0.71	1.29
vs Stronger (5)	0.80	0.80	1.00	0.50	0.67	1.00
vs Similar (25)	0.88	0.88	1.00	0.50	0.73	1.36
vs Weaker (0)	-	-	-	-	-	-
Clean sheet %	37% (+2pp vs league)

This opponent (Tekstilshchik) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over

Over 0.5

70.2%

@ 1.29-1.1%

Under 0.5

29.8%

@ 3.19+1.1%

Best 5 market prices

Over

Superbet

1.30

1xBet

1.28

Marathonbet

1.28

Under

1xBet

3.28

Marathonbet

3.28

Superbet

3.00

Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under

Over 1.5

38.1%

@ 2.37-0.7%

Under 1.5

61.9%

@ 1.50+0.7%

Best 5 market prices

Over

Superbet

2.42

Marathonbet

2.34

1xBet

2.34

Under

1xBet

1.52

Marathonbet

1.52

Superbet

1.46

Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under

Over 2.5

15.0%

@ 5.23-2.3%

Under 2.5

85.0%

@ 1.09+2.3%

Best 5 market prices

Over

1xBet

5.25

Marathonbet

5.25

Superbet

5.20

Under

Superbet

1.09

1xBet

1.09

Marathonbet

1.09

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.

Tekstilshchik over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under

Over

53.8%

@ 2.02+8.3%

Under

46.2%

@ 1.69-8.3%

Best 5 market prices

Over

Superbet

2.05

Marathonbet

2.01

1xBet

2.01

Under

Marathonbet

1.70

1xBet

1.70

Superbet

1.68

Tekstilshchik over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under

Over

14.9%

@ 6.55+0.8%

Under

85.1%

@ 1.08-0.8%

Best 5 market prices

Over

Marathonbet

6.55

1xBet

6.55

Under

1xBet

1.08

Marathonbet

1.08

Tekstilshchik over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under

Over

2.3%

Under

97.7%

Best 5 market prices

Over

No market prices yet.

Under

No market prices yet.

Veles over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over

Over

47.4%

@ 1.82-3.3%

Under

52.6%

@ 1.87+3.3%

Best 5 market prices

Over

Superbet

1.87

1xBet

1.79

Marathonbet

1.79

Under

1xBet

1.89

Marathonbet

1.89

Superbet

1.83

Veles over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under

Over

13.4%

@ 5.15-4.6%

Under

86.6%

@ 1.13+4.6%

Best 5 market prices

Over

1xBet

5.15

Marathonbet

5.15

Under

1xBet

1.13

Marathonbet

1.13

Veles over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under

Over

3.4%

Under

96.6%

Best 5 market prices

Over

No market prices yet.

Under

No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.

Min odds1.20

Edge

Pick	Probability	Avg odds	Best 1	Best 2	Best 3	Best 4	Best 5	Edge	Result
Under 7.5	99.7%	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	✓ Hit
Under 6.5	98.9%	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	✓ Hit
Away under 3.5 goals	98.5%	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 HT goals	98.5%	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 HT goals	97.9%	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 2H goals	97.7%	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 2H goals	96.6%	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	✓ Hit
Under 5.5	96.5%	1.01	1xBet 1.01	-	-	-	-	+2.1%	✓ Hit
Home under 3.5 goals	93.8%	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 goals	93.3%	1.08	1xBet 1.08	Marathonbet 1.08	Superbet 1.07	-	-	+8.8%	✓ Hit
Over 19.5 fouls	92.8%	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
Under 4.5	90.5%	1.02	Superbet 1.03	1xBet 1.02	Marathonbet 1.02	-	-	+2.3%	✓ Hit
Away under 1.5 HT goals	90.3%	1.06	Marathonbet 1.06	1xBet 1.06	-	-	-	+2.8%	✓ Hit
Home under 1.5 HT goals	89.2%	1.02	Marathonbet 1.02	1xBet 1.02	-	-	-	-1.0%	✓ Hit
Under 2.5 HT goals	88.9%	1.02	Superbet 1.03	Marathonbet 1.01	1xBet 1.01	-	-	+0.2%	✓ Hit
Away under 1.5 2H goals	86.6%	1.13	1xBet 1.13	Marathonbet 1.13	-	-	-	+4.6%	✓ Hit
Home under 1.5 2H goals	85.1%	1.08	1xBet 1.08	Marathonbet 1.08	-	-	-	-0.8%	✓ Hit
Under 2.5 2H goals	85.0%	1.09	Superbet 1.09	1xBet 1.09	Marathonbet 1.09	-	-	+2.3%	✓ Hit
Over 21.5 fouls	85.0%	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
Under 5.5 cards	83.3%	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	✗ Miss
Home under 2.5 goals	81.7%	1.03	Superbet 1.04	Marathonbet 1.03	1xBet 1.03	-	-	-6.4%	✓ Hit
Under 11.5 corners	81.5%	1.17	Marathonbet 1.17	1xBet 1.17	-	-	-	+4.4%	✓ Hit
Under 3.5	78.0%	1.19	Pinnacle 1.23	Marathonbet 1.18	1xBet 1.18	Superbet 1.17	-	+1.1%	✓ Hit
Home or Draw	77.5%	1.51	1xBet 1.56	Marathonbet 1.53	Superbet 1.49	SBO 1.46	-	+16.4%	✗ Miss
Home +1 handicap	77.5%	1.53	Marathonbet 1.53	-	-	-	-	+19.6%	✗ Miss
Home over 0.5 goals	76.9%	1.43	Pinnacle 1.43	Superbet 1.43	1xBet 1.42	Marathonbet 1.42	-	+12.0%	✗ Miss
Away under 1.5 goals	76.3%	1.47	1xBet 1.48	Marathonbet 1.48	Pinnacle 1.47	Superbet 1.43	-	+13.1%	✓ Hit
Away +2 handicap	75.0%	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	✓ Hit
Over 23.5 fouls	73.5%	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
Under 1.5 HT goals	72.5%	1.29	Pinnacle 1.32	1xBet 1.29	Marathonbet 1.29	Superbet 1.27	-	+1.1%	✓ Hit
Under 10.5 corners	72.0%	1.34	1xBet 1.36	Marathonbet 1.33	-	-	-	+4.5%	✓ Hit
Home or Away	71.1%	1.32	1xBet 1.37	Marathonbet 1.35	Superbet 1.31	SBO 1.27	-	+1.5%	✓ Hit
Over 2.5 cards	71.1%	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	✓ Hit
Over 1.5	70.2%	1.38	Pinnacle 1.39	Superbet 1.39	Marathonbet 1.36	1xBet 1.36	-	+3.6%	✗ Miss
Over 0.5 2H goals	70.2%	1.29	Superbet 1.30	1xBet 1.28	Marathonbet 1.28	-	-	-1.1%	✓ Hit

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)

NN (28)

€18m

FS (21)

€15m

URA (21)

€11m

TM (23)

€11m

RV (25)

€9m

CHE (23)

€9m

AT (26)

€8m

SK (27)

€8m

SKA (27)

€6m

VU (24)

€6m

SY (24)

€6m

ENI (24)

€6m

FU (25)

€5m

LEN (22)

€5m

KAM (24)

€5m

VEL (23)

€5m

TEK (25)

€5m

FN (25)

€5m

Tekstilshchik and Veles have a similar squad value (both €5m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)

NN (11)

€6m

TM (10)

€5m

FS (8)

€5m

URA (8)

€4m

CHE (9)

€4m

AT (8)

€3m

RV (7)

€3m

SK (8)

€3m

VU (9)

€2m

ENI (7)

€2m

SKA (8)

€2m

TEK (9)

€2m

SY (9)

€2m

KAM (9)

€2m

FN (9)

€2m

FU (7)

€2m

VEL (7)

€2m

LEN (7)

€1m

Tekstilshchik and Veles have a similar attack value (both €2m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)

NN (5)

€3m

URA (4)

€2m

RV (7)

€2m

AT (8)

€2m

SKA (8)

€2m

FU (9)

€2m

ENI (5)

€2m

VEL (8)

€2m

SK (7)

€2m

SY (5)

€1m

FS (2)

€1m

LEN (6)

€1m

TM (4)

€1m

VU (5)

€1m

CHE (2)

€1m

TEK (6)

€1m

FN (5)

€1m

KAM (4)

€1m

Tekstilshchik and Veles have a similar midfield value (both €1m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)

FS (11)

€9m

NN (12)

€9m

URA (9)

€4m

TM (9)

€4m

SK (12)

€4m

RV (11)

€4m

CHE (12)

€3m

AT (10)

€3m

VU (10)

€3m

SKA (11)

€3m

SY (10)

€2m

KAM (11)

€2m

LEN (9)

€2m

FN (11)

€2m

ENI (12)

€2m

TEK (10)

€2m

FU (9)

€2m

VEL (8)

€2m

Tekstilshchik and Veles have a similar defence value (both €2m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

No previous meetings

TEK wins

Draws

VEL wins

Head-to-head

Tekstilshchik vs Veles · H/A from TEK

Date	H/A	Game	Score
No games.

Tekstilshchik

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result

Date	H/A	Game	Score
22/08/26	A	Ural Vs TEK	2-0
19/08/26	A	KAMAZ Vs TEK	0-1
15/08/26	H	TEK Vs Nizhny Novgorod	1-3
08/08/26	A	Enisey Vs TEK	0-0
01/08/26	A	FK Neftekhimik Vs TEK	1-0
25/07/26	H	TEK Vs Spartak Kostroma	0-0
24/09/25	H	TEK Vs Fakel	1-1
10/09/25	H	TEK Vs Dinamo Vologda	1-1
21/08/25	H	TEK Vs Tver	0-0
03/09/24	H	TEK Vs Spartak Kostroma	1-1

Veles

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result

Date	H/A	Game	Score
24/08/26	H	VEL Vs Arsenal Tula	2-0
19/08/26	H	VEL Vs Nizhny Novgorod	3-2
15/08/26	A	Ska-khabarovsk Vs VEL	2-0
09/08/26	H	VEL Vs Leningradets	2-1
03/08/26	H	VEL Vs Rotor Volgograd	2-1
26/07/26	A	Enisey Vs VEL	4-1
16/10/25	A	Torpedo Moskva Vs VEL	3-0
24/09/25	H	VEL Vs Rotor Volgograd	2-1
10/09/25	A	Kosmos Dolgoprudny Vs VEL	1-4
20/08/25	H	VEL Vs Znamya Noginsk	2-0

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Tekstilshchik

Russia: First League

Recent: 1 Wins / 6 Draws / 3 Losses

Form	Results	PPG
Overall	LDLWL	1.09
Home	DDDDL	0.83
Away	WLDWL	1.40

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Win %	18%	0%	40%
AVG goals	1.64	1.67	1.60
Over 1.5 %	55%	67%	40%
Over 2.5 %	18%	17%	20%
Over 3.5 %	18%	17%	20%
Scored	0.73	0.67	0.80
Conceded	0.91	1.00	0.80
BTTS	45%	67%	20%
Clean Sheet	36%	33%	40%
Corners	12.00	12.00	-
Cards	5.00	5.00	-

Veles

Russia: First League

Recent: 7 Wins / 0 Draws / 3 Losses

Form	Results	PPG
Overall	WWLWW	1.20
Home	WWWWW	1.75
Away	LWLLL	0.57

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Win %	36%	54%	14%
AVG goals	2.78	2.46	3.14
Over 1.5 %	84%	79%	90%
Over 2.5 %	49%	46%	52%
Over 3.5 %	22%	17%	29%
Scored	1.18	1.38	0.95
Conceded	1.60	1.08	2.19
BTTS	53%	54%	52%
Clean Sheet	20%	29%	10%
Corners	9.00	8.75	9.29
Cards	4.25	4.44	4.00

🏆 17. League Table

Record						Goals							Props / game						Squad value €m				Strengths
Rank	Team	MP	Pts	Win%	PPG	GF	GA	GD	G/G	O1.5	O2.5	O3.5	Cor	Cor O%	Crd	Crd O%	Fls	Fls O%	Tot	Att	Mid	Def	Att/g	Def/g	Poss%
1	FC Sochi	7	18	86%	2.6	16	7	+9	3.3	86%	86%	29%	10.5	100%	5.5	100%	-	0%	15	5	1	9	2.3	1.0	54%
2	Nizhny Novgorod	7	16	71%	2.3	21	10	+11	4.4	100%	100%	71%	11.0	100%	4.0	100%	-	0%	18	6	3	9	3.0	1.4	50%
3	Veles	7	15	71%	2.1	11	10	+1	3.0	86%	57%	29%	4.5	0%	3.5	50%	-	0%	5	2	2	2	1.6	1.4	54%
4	Ural	6	12	50%	2.0	11	3	+8	2.3	83%	50%	17%	6.0	0%	4.0	100%	-	0%	11	4	2	4	1.8	0.5	40%
5	FC UFA	6	11	50%	1.8	7	6	+1	2.2	67%	33%	17%	10.5	100%	4.0	100%	27.0	100%	5	2	2	2	1.2	1.0	46%
6	Torpedo Moskva	6	10	50%	1.7	11	4	+7	2.5	83%	50%	17%	-	0%	-	0%	-	0%	11	5	1	4	1.8	0.7	-
7	Rotor Volgograd	8	10	38%	1.2	10	8	+2	2.2	62%	38%	12%	-	0%	-	0%	-	0%	9	3	2	4	1.2	1.0	-
8	Shinnik Yaroslavl	6	9	33%	1.5	8	7	+1	2.5	83%	50%	33%	-	0%	-	0%	-	0%	6	2	1	2	1.3	1.2	-
9	Spartak Kostroma	6	9	33%	1.5	7	7	+0	2.3	67%	50%	33%	12.0	100%	5.0	100%	-	0%	8	3	2	4	1.2	1.2	49%
10	Arsenal Tula	8	9	25%	1.1	7	13	-6	2.5	62%	50%	38%	8.5	50%	5.0	100%	-	0%	8	3	2	3	0.9	1.6	52%
11	FK Neftekhimik	8	9	38%	1.1	5	12	-7	2.1	50%	25%	12%	8.5	50%	4.5	100%	27.0	100%	5	2	1	2	0.6	1.5	54%
12	Enisey	6	7	17%	1.2	9	8	+1	2.8	67%	67%	67%	-	0%	-	0%	-	0%	6	2	2	2	1.5	1.3	-
13	Volga Ulyanovsk	6	7	33%	1.2	7	9	-2	2.7	83%	50%	33%	6.0	0%	5.0	100%	-	0%	6	2	1	3	1.2	1.5	52%
14	Leningradets	6	6	17%	1.0	4	5	-1	1.5	50%	33%	0%	12.5	100%	4.0	50%	-	0%	5	1	1	2	0.7	0.8	50%
15	KAMAZ	7	5	14%	0.7	7	11	-4	2.6	71%	43%	29%	15.0	100%	3.0	0%	-	0%	5	2	1	2	1.0	1.6	46%
16	Tekstilshchik	7	5	14%	0.7	2	7	-5	1.3	29%	14%	14%	9.0	50%	5.5	100%	-	0%	5	2	1	2	0.3	1.0	49%
17	Chelyabinsk	6	4	17%	0.7	6	13	-7	3.2	100%	67%	33%	11.0	100%	4.0	100%	-	0%	9	4	1	3	1.0	2.2	50%
18	Ska-khabarovsk	7	3	14%	0.4	5	14	-9	2.7	71%	43%	29%	6.5	50%	2.5	50%	-	0%	6	2	2	3	0.7	2.0	46%

Russia: First League 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Russia: First League stats & trends →

← all matches

Tekstilshchik vs Veles Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

Tekstilshchik

Veles

Total goals distribution

Correct score

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

⚔️ Attack

🛡️ Defense

⏱️ Possession

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Tekstilshchik

🚩 Corners

🟨 Cards

⚠️ Fouls

Veles

🚩 Corners

🟨 Cards

⚠️ Fouls

Tekstilshchik

Veles

🚩 Total Corners

🟨 Total Cards

⚠️ Total Fouls

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

Tekstilshchik

Veles

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

Tekstilshchik

Veles

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

⚔️ Attack

🧠 Midfield

🛡️ Defence

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

Head-to-head

Tekstilshchik

Veles

📊 16. Overall Statistics

🏆 17. League Table

A Pro feature