This opponent (Bari) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Bari
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.1
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
1.1
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.37
1.20
1.71
1.21
1.06
1.19
vs Stronger (1)
3.00
0.00
3.00
0.00
-
-
vs Similar (21)
0.86
1.24
0.88
1.38
0.85
1.15
vs Weaker (8)
2.50
1.25
2.80
1.20
2.00
1.33
Clean sheet %
33% (+5pp vs league)
This opponent (Ternana) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.3 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (28%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
68.9%
Under 1.5
31.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
41.2%
Under 2.5
58.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
20.7%
Under 3.5
79.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
48.3%
No
51.7%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
14.4%
0-0 ✓
11.0%
1-0
11.0%
0-1
9.1%
2-1
8.3%
2-0
7.8%
1-2
7.0%
0-2
5.5%
Ternana goals ↓
Bari goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
11%
9.1%
5.5%
2.0%
0.5%
1
11%
14%
7.0%
2.5%
0.7%
2
7.8%
8.3%
4.4%
1.6%
0.4%
3
3.3%
3.5%
1.9%
0.7%
0.2%
4
1.0%
1.1%
0.6%
0.2%
0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Ternana goals (down), columns = Bari goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Spal
1.86
Frosinone
1.76
Hellas Verona
1.76
Benevento
1.57
Perugia
1.55
Cittadella
1.50
Carpi
1.48
Spezia
1.43
Novara
1.33
Salernitana
1.29
Virtus Entella
1.29
Cesena
1.26
Bari
1.26
Avellino
1.24
Brescia
1.19
Ternana
1.17
Ascoli
1.17
Pro Vercelli
1.17
Trapani
1.05
Vicenza Virtus
0.98
Pisa
0.93
Latina
0.93
Ternana is 0.10 points worse than Bari in terms of average points per game (1.17 vs 1.26).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Spal
1.57
Hellas Verona
1.52
Cittadella
1.43
Frosinone
1.36
Benevento
1.33
Perugia
1.29
Virtus Entella
1.29
Cesena
1.21
Brescia
1.17
Novara
1.14
Trapani
1.07
Ascoli
1.05
Salernitana
1.05
Ternana
1.00
Carpi
0.98
Avellino
0.95
Bari
0.93
Latina
0.90
Spezia
0.90
Pro Vercelli
0.83
Vicenza Virtus
0.79
Pisa
0.55
Ternana is 0.07 goals better than Bari in terms of goals scored per game (1.00 vs 0.93).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Spezia
0.81
Pisa
0.86
Spal
0.93
Carpi
0.95
Perugia
0.95
Hellas Verona
0.95
Frosinone
1.00
Benevento
1.00
Bari
1.05
Salernitana
1.05
Pro Vercelli
1.07
Cesena
1.14
Ascoli
1.17
Latina
1.19
Novara
1.19
Virtus Entella
1.21
Vicenza Virtus
1.24
Ternana
1.26
Cittadella
1.29
Trapani
1.31
Avellino
1.31
Brescia
1.38
Ternana is 0.21 goals worse than Bari in terms of goals conceded per game (1.26 vs 1.05).
⏱️ Possession
Not available for this league.
Not enough data to compare these two teams.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Ternana
🚩 Corners
No recent corners data for this league.
🟨 Cards
No recent cards data for this league.
⚠️ Fouls
No recent fouls data for this league.
Bari
🚩 Corners
No recent corners data for this league.
🟨 Cards
No recent cards data for this league.
⚠️ Fouls
No recent fouls data for this league.
Ternana
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (46)
-
-
-
0.0
0.0
0.0
-
-
-
vs Stronger (14)
-
-
-
0.0
0.0
0.0
-
-
-
vs Similar (32)
-
-
-
0.0
0.0
0.0
-
-
-
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
% over line
-
-
-
0%
0%
0%
-
-
-
% under line
-
-
-
100%
100%
100%
-
-
-
This opponent (Bari) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Bari
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (46)
-
-
-
0.0
0.0
0.0
-
-
-
vs Stronger (2)
-
-
-
0.0
0.0
0.0
-
-
-
vs Similar (29)
-
-
-
0.0
0.0
0.0
-
-
-
vs Weaker (15)
-
-
-
0.0
0.0
0.0
-
-
-
% over line
-
-
-
0%
0%
0%
-
-
-
% under line
-
-
-
100%
100%
100%
-
-
-
This opponent (Ternana) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Frosinone
12.0
Hellas Verona
11.4
Carpi
10.8
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Frosinone
5.6
Carpi
5.4
Hellas Verona
4.8
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Frosinone
32.1
Carpi
31.9
Hellas Verona
31.1
Corners O/U 9.5
Over 9.5
0.0%
Under 9.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5
Over 3.5
0.0%
Under 3.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5
Over 21.5
0.0%
Under 21.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
⚖️ 7. Handicap
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Ternana
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.40
0.47
0.67
0.40
0.13
0.53
vs Stronger (10)
0.60
0.60
0.83
0.50
0.25
0.75
vs Similar (20)
0.30
0.40
0.56
0.33
0.09
0.45
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
53% (+25pp vs league)
This opponent (Bari) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Bari
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.7
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.40
0.37
0.43
0.21
0.38
0.50
vs Stronger (1)
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
-
-
vs Similar (21)
0.33
0.43
0.25
0.25
0.38
0.54
vs Weaker (8)
0.62
0.25
0.80
0.20
0.33
0.33
Clean sheet %
70% (+42pp vs league)
This opponent (Ternana) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Ternana over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ternana over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ternana over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Bari over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Bari over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Bari over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Ternana
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.77
0.77
0.93
0.60
0.60
0.93
vs Stronger (10)
0.60
0.90
0.83
0.33
0.25
1.75
vs Similar (20)
0.85
0.70
1.00
0.78
0.73
0.64
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
43% (+15pp vs league)
This opponent (Bari) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Bari
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.97
0.83
1.29
1.00
0.69
0.69
vs Stronger (1)
3.00
0.00
3.00
0.00
-
-
vs Similar (21)
0.52
0.81
0.62
1.12
0.46
0.62
vs Weaker (8)
1.88
1.00
2.00
1.00
1.67
1.00
Clean sheet %
43% (+15pp vs league)
This opponent (Ternana) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Ternana over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ternana over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ternana over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Bari over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Bari over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Bari over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Under 3.5
79.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Ternana · 2023/24
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Gastón Pereiro30%
Filippo Distefano21%
Antonio Raimondo18%
Salim Diakite16%
Frederik Sørensen12%
Filippo Sgarbi11%
Tiago Casasola11%
Gregorio Luperini8%
Lorenzo Lucchesi7%
Alessandro Celli6%
César Falletti5%
Franco Carboni5%
Andrea Favilli4%
Federico Dionisi4%
Niklas Pyyhtiä3%
Marco Capuano0%
Federico Viviani0%
Antony Iannarilli0%
Tommaso Vitali0%
Valerio Mantovani0%
Jakub Łabojko0%
Gabriele Boloca0%
Kees de Boer0%
Niccolò Corrado0%
Iulius Marginean0%
Christian Dalle Mura0%
Riccardo Zoia0%
Giacomo Faticanti0%
Lorenzo Amatucci0%
Costantino Favasuli0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Jakub Łabojko35%
César Falletti32%
Salim Diakite32%
Gabriele Boloca29%
Lorenzo Lucchesi26%
Gastón Pereiro25%
Kees de Boer24%
Filippo Sgarbi22%
Gregorio Luperini22%
Lorenzo Amatucci22%
Federico Viviani20%
Iulius Marginean20%
Franco Carboni19%
Alessandro Celli19%
Federico Dionisi17%
Tommaso Vitali17%
Tiago Casasola13%
Andrea Favilli13%
Frederik Sørensen12%
Antony Iannarilli12%
Niklas Pyyhtiä10%
Antonio Raimondo10%
Costantino Favasuli10%
Filippo Distefano9%
Giacomo Faticanti9%
Marco Capuano8%
Christian Dalle Mura7%
Niccolò Corrado6%
Valerio Mantovani0%
Riccardo Zoia0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
César Falletti16%
Kees de Boer12%
Lorenzo Amatucci11%
Salim Diakite11%
Gastón Pereiro10%
Giacomo Faticanti9%
Tiago Casasola8%
Valerio Mantovani7%
Filippo Distefano6%
Gregorio Luperini6%
Niccolò Corrado6%
Jakub Łabojko4%
Lorenzo Lucchesi4%
Niklas Pyyhtiä3%
Costantino Favasuli3%
Antonio Raimondo2%
Frederik Sørensen0%
Andrea Favilli0%
Marco Capuano0%
Federico Viviani0%
Federico Dionisi0%
Antony Iannarilli0%
Tommaso Vitali0%
Filippo Sgarbi0%
Gabriele Boloca0%
Alessandro Celli0%
Iulius Marginean0%
Christian Dalle Mura0%
Franco Carboni0%
Riccardo Zoia0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Antonio Raimondo25%
Gastón Pereiro20%
César Falletti16%
Filippo Distefano12%
Gregorio Luperini11%
Andrea Favilli9%
Salim Diakite5%
Franco Carboni5%
Niklas Pyyhtiä3%
Frederik Sørensen0%
Marco Capuano0%
Federico Viviani0%
Federico Dionisi0%
Antony Iannarilli0%
Tommaso Vitali0%
Filippo Sgarbi0%
Tiago Casasola0%
Valerio Mantovani0%
Jakub Łabojko0%
Gabriele Boloca0%
Alessandro Celli0%
Kees de Boer0%
Niccolò Corrado0%
Iulius Marginean0%
Christian Dalle Mura0%
Riccardo Zoia0%
Lorenzo Lucchesi0%
Giacomo Faticanti0%
Lorenzo Amatucci0%
Costantino Favasuli0%
Bari · 2025/26
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Gabriele Moncini28%
Emanuele Rao14%
Kevin Piscopo13%
Nicola Bellomo13%
Christian Gytkjær12%
Giulio Maggiore10%
Leonardo Cerri10%
Federico Artioli8%
Matthias Verreth7%
Gaetano Castrovilli6%
Marvin Çuni6%
Cas Odenthal6%
Lorenzo Dickmann4%
Mehdi Dorval3%
Gastón Pereiro0%
Andrea Meroni0%
Francesco Vicari0%
Dimitrios Nikolaou0%
Andrea Cistana0%
Mirko Antonucci0%
Valerio Mantovani0%
Raffaele Pucino0%
Giuseppe Sibilli0%
Anthony Partipilo0%
Michele Cerofolini0%
Matthias Braunöder0%
Tomás Esteves0%
Ebrima Darboe0%
Riccardo Burgio0%
Moussa Mane0%
Nicolò Cavuoti0%
Riccardo Pagano0%
Daouda Traore0%
Giacomo Stabile0%
Sheriff Kassama0%
Giacomo De Pieri0%
Vincenzo Colangiuli0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Ebrima Darboe33%
Giacomo Stabile33%
Federico Artioli31%
Giacomo De Pieri27%
Andrea Meroni25%
Anthony Partipilo25%
Gaetano Castrovilli24%
Cas Odenthal22%
Francesco Vicari20%
Kevin Piscopo20%
Raffaele Pucino19%
Andrea Cistana18%
Giulio Maggiore17%
Giuseppe Sibilli17%
Sheriff Kassama17%
Dimitrios Nikolaou15%
Matthias Braunöder15%
Lorenzo Dickmann14%
Mehdi Dorval14%
Nicola Bellomo13%
Marvin Çuni12%
Daouda Traore11%
Emanuele Rao9%
Michele Cerofolini8%
Matthias Verreth7%
Valerio Mantovani6%
Tomás Esteves6%
Moussa Mane6%
Gabriele Moncini5%
Gastón Pereiro0%
Christian Gytkjær0%
Mirko Antonucci0%
Riccardo Burgio0%
Leonardo Cerri0%
Nicolò Cavuoti0%
Riccardo Pagano0%
Vincenzo Colangiuli0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Mehdi Dorval17%
Nicolò Cavuoti14%
Lorenzo Dickmann11%
Federico Artioli8%
Matthias Verreth7%
Mirko Antonucci7%
Tomás Esteves6%
Andrea Cistana6%
Matthias Braunöder6%
Emanuele Rao6%
Gabriele Moncini5%
Riccardo Pagano4%
Dimitrios Nikolaou4%
Giulio Maggiore3%
Gastón Pereiro0%
Christian Gytkjær0%
Andrea Meroni0%
Francesco Vicari0%
Gaetano Castrovilli0%
Valerio Mantovani0%
Raffaele Pucino0%
Giuseppe Sibilli0%
Kevin Piscopo0%
Anthony Partipilo0%
Nicola Bellomo0%
Michele Cerofolini0%
Cas Odenthal0%
Ebrima Darboe0%
Riccardo Burgio0%
Marvin Çuni0%
Leonardo Cerri0%
Moussa Mane0%
Daouda Traore0%
Giacomo Stabile0%
Sheriff Kassama0%
Giacomo De Pieri0%
Vincenzo Colangiuli0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Nicolò Cavuoti14%
Marvin Çuni12%
Anthony Partipilo8%
Riccardo Pagano8%
Kevin Piscopo7%
Nicola Bellomo7%
Gabriele Moncini5%
Matthias Verreth4%
Giulio Maggiore3%
Emanuele Rao3%
Gastón Pereiro0%
Christian Gytkjær0%
Andrea Meroni0%
Lorenzo Dickmann0%
Francesco Vicari0%
Dimitrios Nikolaou0%
Andrea Cistana0%
Mirko Antonucci0%
Gaetano Castrovilli0%
Valerio Mantovani0%
Raffaele Pucino0%
Giuseppe Sibilli0%
Michele Cerofolini0%
Cas Odenthal0%
Matthias Braunöder0%
Tomás Esteves0%
Ebrima Darboe0%
Riccardo Burgio0%
Mehdi Dorval0%
Leonardo Cerri0%
Federico Artioli0%
Moussa Mane0%
Daouda Traore0%
Giacomo Stabile0%
Sheriff Kassama0%
Giacomo De Pieri0%
Vincenzo Colangiuli0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
Italy: Serie B 2016/17 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Italy: Serie B stats & trends →
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Spal
Hellas Verona
Frosinone
Benevento
Perugia
Cittadella
Spezia
Virtus Entella
Salernitana
Cesena
Avellino
Brescia
Ascoli
Vicenza Virtus
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