PythiaFootballPythiaFootballBETA Free Picks Fixtures League Stats Team Stats Player Stats Pro Picks PRO Research Head-to-Head Validation Pricing Log in
← Back

Tiszakecske FC vs Pécsi MFC Result & Analysis

Date: 16/10/2022
Time: 15:00
Final 1-2
Tiszakecske FC
Tiszakecske FC
Vs
37%
39%
24%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Pécsi MFC
Pécsi MFC
Hungary: NB II
Referee: -
1 Model Analysis2 Goal Analysis3 Team Strengths Analysis4 Props Analysis5 Double Chance6 Home & Away Over/Under7 Handicap8 Half Time Goals O/U9 Half Time Home & Away O/U10 Second Half Goals O/U11 Second Half Home & Away O/U
12 Top picks for this game14 Squad value15 Games History16 Overall Statistics17 League Table

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Tiszakecske FC win✗ Miss
37.1%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
38.6%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Pécsi MFC win✓ Hit
24.3%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

Tiszakecske FCTiszakecske FC

Last 10 – goals for & against
30-313L12L11D10W02L20W00D10W01L11DA·KOZ07/08H·DIO14/08A·CSA17/08H·NYI21/08A·GYO28/08H·SZO04/09A·SIO11/09H·SOR02/10H·SZE05/10A·AJK09/10
Avg total
1.8
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
1.0
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.820.911.000.500.601.40
vs Stronger (3)0.671.331.001.000.002.00
vs Similar (8)0.880.751.000.250.751.25
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %45% (+18pp vs league)
This opponent (Pécsi MFC) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Pécsi MFCPécsi MFC

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-422D21W00D43W00D00D10W10W00D21WA·BUD07/08H·MTE14/08A·KOZ17/08H·DIO22/08A·CSA28/08H·NYI04/09A·GYO11/09H·SZO02/10A·SIO05/10H·SOR09/10
Avg total
1.9
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.180.641.670.830.600.40
vs Stronger (1)1.000.00--1.000.00
vs Similar (9)1.330.781.670.830.670.67
vs Weaker (1)0.000.00--0.000.00
Clean sheet %64% (+36pp vs league)
This opponent (Tiszakecske FC) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

8%15%23%31%23%031%126%213%35%41%50%6+
The model estimates around 1.5 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 1 (31%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
46.1%
Under 1.5
53.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
19.6%
Under 2.5
80.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
6.8%
Under 3.5
93.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
29.0%
No
71.0%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
0-0
23.1%
1-0
17.8%
1-1
13.6%
0-1
13.0%
2-0
8.3%
2-1
5.4%
0-2
4.6%
1-2 ✓
4.0%
Tiszakecske FC goals ↓
Pécsi MFC goals →
01234
023%13%4.6%1.0%0.2%
118%14%4.0%0.9%0.1%
28.3%5.4%1.7%0.4%0.1%
32.4%1.6%0.5%0.1%0.0%
40.5%0.3%0.1%0.0%0.0%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Tiszakecske FC goals (down), columns = Pécsi MFC goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Diosgyori VTK
2.29
BVSC
2.00
MTK Budapest
1.95
Ajka
1.79
Szeged 2011
1.68
Soroksar
1.61
Gyirmot SE
1.58
Pécsi MFC
1.53
Iváncsa
1.50
Siofok
1.47
Szombathelyi Haladas
1.34
Budafoki LC
1.32
Gyori ETO FC
1.21
MTE 1904
1.21
Tiszakecske FC
1.21
Kazincbarcikai
1.18
Csakvar
1.11
Nyiregyhaza
1.05
Kozarmisleny FC
1.02
Szentlőrinc SE
1.00
Bekescsaba 1912
0.97
Dorogi FC
0.82
Veszprém
0.50
Tiszakecske FC is 0.32 points worse than Pécsi MFC in terms of average points per game (1.21 vs 1.53).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
MTK Budapest
2.26
Diosgyori VTK
2.08
Gyirmot SE
1.55
Soroksar
1.50
Szombathelyi Haladas
1.42
Ajka
1.42
Szeged 2011
1.32
Bekescsaba 1912
1.24
Siofok
1.18
Nyiregyhaza
1.18
Csakvar
1.16
Kozarmisleny FC
1.15
Szentlőrinc SE
1.12
Budafoki LC
1.11
Kazincbarcikai
1.08
Tiszakecske FC
1.00
BVSC
1.00
Pécsi MFC
1.00
Gyori ETO FC
0.97
MTE 1904
0.95
Dorogi FC
0.84
Iváncsa
0.50
Veszprém
0.00
Tiszakecske FC and Pécsi MFC are level in goals scored per game (both 1.00).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Veszprém
0.50
BVSC
0.50
Pécsi MFC
0.82
Diosgyori VTK
0.95
Ajka
0.97
Szeged 2011
1.00
Gyori ETO FC
1.11
Budafoki LC
1.13
MTE 1904
1.16
Gyirmot SE
1.21
Soroksar
1.26
MTK Budapest
1.26
Csakvar
1.32
Tiszakecske FC
1.32
Siofok
1.34
Nyiregyhaza
1.38
Kazincbarcikai
1.47
Szombathelyi Haladas
1.47
Bekescsaba 1912
1.47
Iváncsa
1.50
Szentlőrinc SE
1.50
Dorogi FC
1.61
Kozarmisleny FC
1.68
Tiszakecske FC is 0.50 goals worse than Pécsi MFC in terms of goals conceded per game (1.32 vs 0.82).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

Tiszakecske FCTiszakecske FC

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-313L01L01L00D00D20W00D00D01L00DA·KOZ07/08H·DIO14/08A·CSA17/08H·NYI21/08A·GYO28/08H·SZO04/09A·SIO11/09H·SOR02/10H·SZE05/10A·AJK09/10
Avg total
0.9
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.270.550.330.330.200.80
vs Stronger (3)0.000.330.000.500.000.00
vs Similar (8)0.380.620.500.250.251.00
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %64% (+36pp vs league)
This opponent (Pécsi MFC) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Pécsi MFCPécsi MFC

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-312L20W00D32W00D00D10W00D00D01LA·BUD07/08H·MTE14/08A·KOZ17/08H·DIO22/08A·CSA28/08H·NYI04/09A·GYO11/09H·SZO02/10A·SIO05/10H·SOR09/10
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.5
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.640.450.830.500.400.40
vs Stronger (1)1.000.00--1.000.00
vs Similar (9)0.670.560.830.500.330.67
vs Weaker (1)0.000.00--0.000.00
Clean sheet %73% (+45pp vs league)
This opponent (Tiszakecske FC) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Tiszakecske FC over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Tiszakecske FC over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Tiszakecske FC over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Pécsi MFC over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Pécsi MFC over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Pécsi MFC over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

Tiszakecske FCTiszakecske FC

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-200D11D10W10W02L00D00D10W00D11DA·KOZ07/08H·DIO14/08A·CSA17/08H·NYI21/08A·GYO28/08H·SZO04/09A·SIO11/09H·SOR02/10H·SZE05/10A·AJK09/10
Avg total
0.9
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.4
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.550.360.670.170.400.60
vs Stronger (3)0.671.001.000.500.002.00
vs Similar (8)0.500.120.500.000.500.25
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %73% (+45pp vs league)
This opponent (Pécsi MFC) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Pécsi MFCPécsi MFC

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-210W01L00D11D00D00D00D10W00D20WA·BUD07/08H·MTE14/08A·KOZ17/08H·DIO22/08A·CSA28/08H·NYI04/09A·GYO11/09H·SZO02/10A·SIO05/10H·SOR09/10
Avg total
0.7
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.2
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.550.180.830.330.200.00
vs Stronger (1)0.000.00--0.000.00
vs Similar (9)0.670.220.830.330.330.00
vs Weaker (1)0.000.00--0.000.00
Clean sheet %82% (+55pp vs league)
This opponent (Tiszakecske FC) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Tiszakecske FC over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Tiszakecske FC over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Tiszakecske FC over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Pécsi MFC over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Pécsi MFC over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Pécsi MFC over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Under 3.593.2%-------✓ Hit
Under 2.580.4%-------✗ Miss
BTTS No71.0%-------✗ Miss

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
GEF (28)
€16m
MB (23)
€11m
NYI (29)
€7m
DV (18)
€3m
KAZ (19)
€2m
S2 (23)
€2m
BVS (17)
€2m
AJK (20)
€2m
KF (19)
€2m
TF (18)
€1m
SS (19)
€1m
SOR (17)
€1m
CSA (11)
€1m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
GEF (10)
€7m
NYI (13)
€3m
MB (9)
€2m
DV (5)
€1m
SOR (7)
€1m
TF (8)
€1m
KAZ (7)
€1m
SS (7)
€1m
AJK (5)
€1m
BVS (5)
€0m
KF (6)
€0m
S2 (6)
€0m
CSA (3)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
MB (4)
€4m
GEF (6)
€4m
NYI (5)
€1m
DV (4)
€1m
BVS (5)
€1m
KAZ (4)
€0m
S2 (5)
€0m
TF (5)
€0m
SS (4)
€0m
CSA (4)
€0m
KF (4)
€0m
SOR (4)
€0m
AJK (2)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
GEF (12)
€5m
MB (10)
€5m
NYI (11)
€3m
DV (9)
€1m
KAZ (8)
€1m
S2 (12)
€1m
AJK (13)
€1m
KF (9)
€1m
BVS (7)
€1m
SS (8)
€0m
SOR (6)
€0m
TF (5)
€0m
CSA (4)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

No previous meetings
0
TF wins
0
Draws
0
PM wins

Head-to-head

Tiszakecske FC vs Pécsi MFC · H/A from TF
DateH/AGameScore
No games.

Tiszakecske FCTiszakecske FC

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
09/10/22AAjka Vs TF1-1
05/10/22HTF Vs Szeged 20110-1
02/10/22HTF Vs Soroksar1-0
11/09/22ASiofok Vs TF0-0
04/09/22HTF Vs Szombathelyi Haladas2-0
28/08/22AGyori ETO FC Vs TF2-0
21/08/22HTF Vs Nyiregyhaza1-0
17/08/22ACsakvar Vs TF1-1
14/08/22HTF Vs Diosgyori VTK1-2
07/08/22AKozarmisleny FC Vs TF3-1

Pécsi MFCPécsi MFC

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
09/10/22HPM Vs Soroksar2-1
05/10/22ASiofok Vs PM0-0
02/10/22HPM Vs Szombathelyi Haladas1-0
11/09/22AGyori ETO FC Vs PM0-1
04/09/22HPM Vs Nyiregyhaza0-0
28/08/22ACsakvar Vs PM0-0
22/08/22HPM Vs Diosgyori VTK4-3
17/08/22AKozarmisleny FC Vs PM0-0
14/08/22HPM Vs MTE 19042-1
07/08/22ABudafoki LC Vs PM2-2

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Tiszakecske FC
Tiszakecske FC
Hungary: NB II
Recent: 3 Wins / 3 Draws / 4 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWDWLD1.36
HomeLWWWL2.00
AwayLDLDD0.60
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %36%67%0%
AVG goals1.731.502.00
Over 1.5 %55%33%80%
Over 2.5 %18%17%20%
Over 3.5 %9%0%20%
Scored0.821.000.60
Conceded0.910.501.40
BTTS36%17%60%
Clean Sheet45%67%20%
Corners---
Cards---
Pécsi MFC
Pécsi MFC
Hungary: NB II
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Draws / 0 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallDWWDW2.09
HomeWWDWW2.67
AwayDDDWD1.40
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %55%83%20%
AVG goals1.822.501.00
Over 1.5 %36%50%20%
Over 2.5 %36%50%20%
Over 3.5 %18%17%20%
Scored1.181.670.60
Conceded0.640.830.40
BTTS36%50%20%
Clean Sheet64%50%80%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1Diosgyori VTKDiosgyori VTK3887
74%
2.3
7936+43
3.0
82%
66%
29%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1112.10.9
-
2MTK BudapestMTK Budapest3874
58%
1.9
8648+38
3.5
84%
63%
39%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
11
2452.31.3
-
3AjkaAjka3868
53%
1.8
5437+17
2.4
66%
39%
24%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1011.41.0
-
4Szeged 2011Szeged 20113864
47%
1.7
5038+12
2.3
66%
39%
16%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
0011.31.0
-
5SoroksarSoroksar3861
42%
1.6
5748+9
2.8
82%
53%
32%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
1001.51.3
-
6Gyirmot SEGyirmot SE3860
45%
1.6
5946+13
2.8
74%
58%
32%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.61.2
-
7Pécsi MFCPécsi MFC3858
37%
1.5
3831+7
1.8
50%
32%
11%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.00.8
-
8SiofokSiofok3856
39%
1.5
4551-6
2.5
68%
53%
32%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.21.3
-
9Szombathelyi HaladasSzombathelyi Haladas3851
37%
1.3
5456-2
2.9
79%
53%
26%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.41.5
-
10Budafoki LCBudafoki LC3850
34%
1.3
4243-1
2.2
66%
53%
13%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.11.1
-
11Gyori ETO FCGyori ETO FC3846
29%
1.2
3742-5
2.1
68%
29%
16%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
16
7451.01.1
-
12MTE 1904MTE 19043846
32%
1.2
3644-8
2.1
58%
37%
13%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.91.2
-
13Tiszakecske FCTiszakecske FC3846
34%
1.2
3850-12
2.3
61%
39%
24%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
1001.01.3
-
14KazincbarcikaiKazincbarcikai3845
32%
1.2
4156-15
2.6
68%
42%
26%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1011.11.5
-
15CsakvarCsakvar3842
24%
1.1
4450-6
2.5
79%
45%
24%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.21.3
-
16NyiregyhazaNyiregyhaza4042
25%
1.1
4755-8
2.5
72%
42%
22%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
7
3131.21.4
-
17Kozarmisleny FCKozarmisleny FC4041
28%
1.0
4667-21
2.8
72%
48%
32%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
0011.11.7
-
18Szentlőrinc SESzentlőrinc SE4040
22%
1.0
4560-15
2.6
85%
48%
20%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
1001.11.5
-
19Bekescsaba 1912Bekescsaba 19123837
21%
1.0
4756-9
2.7
71%
47%
32%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.21.5
-
20Dorogi FCDorogi FC3831
18%
0.8
3261-29
2.4
68%
39%
18%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.81.6
-
21BVSCBVSC24
50%
2.0
21+1
1.5
50%
50%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
0111.00.5
-
22IváncsaIváncsa23
50%
1.5
13-2
2.0
50%
50%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.51.5
-
23VeszprémVeszprém21
0%
0.5
01-1
0.5
0%
0%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.00.5
-
Hungary: NB II 2022/23 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Hungary: NB II stats & trends →

← all matches