Pythia gives Tiszakecske FC a 34% win probability against Szeged 2011 in the Hungary: NB II on 2026-07-25, with 32% for the draw and 34% for Szeged 2011. The model estimates around 2.1 total goals, with 2 the most likely total (28%) and 1-1 the most likely scoreline (14.8%). High-confidence angles (70%+): Under 3.5 (83%).
Results analysis
Tiszakecske FC finished 1-1 against Szeged 2011 (Draw). Pythia had modelled a 34% home win, 32% draw and 34% away win. Picks that landed: Under 3.5 (83%).
🎯 1. Model Analysis
Tiszakecske FC winâś— Miss
33.7%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Drawâś“ Hit
32.5%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Szeged 2011 winâś— Miss
33.8%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
âš˝ 2. Goal Analysis
Tiszakecske FC
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.9
Avg scored
1.4
Avg conceded
1.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.23
1.47
1.20
1.27
1.27
1.67
vs Stronger (8)
0.88
1.62
1.00
1.25
0.75
2.00
vs Similar (22)
1.36
1.41
1.27
1.27
1.45
1.55
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
23% (-4pp vs league)
This opponent (Szeged 2011) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Szeged 2011
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.1
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
1.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.97
1.13
1.00
1.27
0.93
1.00
vs Stronger (2)
0.00
2.00
0.00
4.00
0.00
0.00
vs Similar (20)
0.85
1.05
0.90
1.00
0.80
1.10
vs Weaker (8)
1.50
1.12
1.50
1.25
1.50
1.00
Clean sheet %
33% (+6pp vs league)
This opponent (Tiszakecske FC) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.1 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (28%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
64.0%
Under 1.5
36.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
35.7%
Under 2.5
64.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
16.6%
Under 3.5
83.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
44.1%
No
55.9%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1 âś“
14.8%
0-0
13.3%
0-1
11.4%
1-0
11.3%
1-2
7.2%
2-1
7.2%
0-2
6.8%
2-0
6.7%
Tiszakecske FC goals ↓
Szeged 2011 goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
13%
11%
6.8%
2.4%
0.6%
1
11%
15%
7.2%
2.5%
0.7%
2
6.7%
7.2%
3.8%
1.3%
0.4%
3
2.4%
2.5%
1.3%
0.5%
0.1%
4
0.6%
0.7%
0.4%
0.1%
0.0%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Tiszakecske FC goals (down), columns = Szeged 2011 goals (across).
Tiszakecske FC is 0.33 goals worse than Szeged 2011 in terms of goals conceded per game (1.47 vs 1.13).
⏱️ Possession
Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
🔢 6. Odd / Even
🥅 7. Home & Away Over/Under
⚖️ 8. Handicap
🔥 9. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Under 3.5
83.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
âś“ Hit
đź’° 10. Squad value
đź’° Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
DV (45)
€9m
KAZ (40)
€6m
FF (44)
€4m
KT (35)
€4m
MEZ (33)
€3m
S2 (34)
€3m
SS (37)
€3m
CSA (32)
€2m
AJK (41)
€2m
SOR (38)
€2m
BVS (36)
€2m
KF (39)
€2m
TF (33)
€2m
KS (32)
€2m
Tiszakecske FC and Szeged 2011 have a similar squad value (both €2m).
Hungary: NB II 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Hungary: NB II stats & trends →