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Torpedo BelAZ II vs BATE II Result & Analysis

Date: 03/11/2024
Time: 10:00
Final 1-3
Torpedo BelAZ II
Torpedo BelAZ II
Vs
27%
26%
47%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
BATE II
BATE II
Belarus: 1. Division
Referee: -
1 Model Analysis2 Goal Analysis3 Team Strengths Analysis4 Props Analysis5 Double Chance6 Home & Away Over/Under7 Handicap8 Half Time Goals O/U9 Half Time Home & Away O/U10 Second Half Goals O/U11 Second Half Home & Away O/U
12 Top picks for this game14 Squad value15 Games History16 Overall Statistics17 League Table

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Torpedo BelAZ II win✗ Miss
27.3%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
25.5%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
BATE II win✓ Hit
47.1%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

Torpedo BelAZ IITorpedo BelAZ II

Last 10 – goals for & against
60-603L01L36L03L03L01L05L32W24L01LH·ABF16/08A·BUM24/08H·BEL31/08A·VOL13/09H·NIV21/09H·FC 25/09A·ML 30/09H·BAR06/10H·OST19/10A·SHA25/10
Avg total
3.7
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
2.9
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.072.521.132.671.002.36
vs Stronger (7)0.862.860.752.001.004.00
vs Similar (20)1.102.501.202.901.002.10
vs Weaker (2)1.501.502.003.001.000.00
Clean sheet %14% (-12pp vs league)
This opponent (BATE II) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

BATE IIBATE II

Last 10 – goals for & against
50-500D11D21W05L02L40W11D30W03L21WH·SHA26/08H·FC 31/08A·LOK06/09H·DIN11/09A·LID20/09H·ORS28/09A·SLO06/10H·ABF10/10A·BUM19/10H·BEL27/10
Avg total
2.7
Avg scored
1.3
Avg conceded
1.4
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.371.271.671.001.071.53
vs Stronger (3)1.001.001.001.001.001.00
vs Similar (25)1.481.361.851.081.081.67
vs Weaker (2)0.500.500.000.001.001.00
Clean sheet %27% (+1pp vs league)
This opponent (Torpedo BelAZ II) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

6%12%17%23%6%012%123%222%317%410%59%6+
The model estimates around 3.1 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (23%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
82.0%
Under 1.5
18.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
59.0%
Under 2.5
41.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
36.6%
Under 3.5
63.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
61.3%
No
38.7%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
11.8%
1-2
9.4%
0-2
7.3%
0-1
7.2%
2-1
7.0%
2-2
6.1%
0-0
5.8%
1-3 ✓
5.5%
Torpedo BelAZ II goals ↓
BATE II goals →
01234
05.8%7.2%7.3%4.3%1.9%
15.0%12%9.4%5.5%2.4%
24.0%7.0%6.1%3.6%1.6%
31.7%3.0%2.7%1.6%0.7%
40.6%1.0%0.9%0.5%0.2%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Torpedo BelAZ II goals (down), columns = BATE II goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Molodechno-DYuSSh 4
2.24
Belshina
2.18
ML Vitebsk
2.15
Niva
2.06
Volna
1.94
Dinamo Minsk II
1.53
Lida
1.53
BATE II
1.44
Bumprom
1.41
Orsha
1.32
Ostrovets FC
1.26
Lokomotiv Gomel
1.03
Baranovichi
1.00
ABFF U17
0.97
Shakhtyor Petrikov
0.91
FC Energetik-Bgu Minsk
0.85
Slonim
0.76
Torpedo BelAZ II
0.62
Torpedo BelAZ II is 0.82 points worse than BATE II in terms of average points per game (0.62 vs 1.44).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Belshina
2.47
ML Vitebsk
2.21
Niva
2.15
Volna
2.06
Molodechno-DYuSSh 4
1.82
Dinamo Minsk II
1.59
Bumprom
1.47
Lida
1.41
Orsha
1.35
BATE II
1.35
Ostrovets FC
1.29
Lokomotiv Gomel
1.24
FC Energetik-Bgu Minsk
1.06
Torpedo BelAZ II
1.00
Shakhtyor Petrikov
0.97
ABFF U17
0.91
Baranovichi
0.88
Slonim
0.76
Torpedo BelAZ II is 0.35 goals worse than BATE II in terms of goals scored per game (1.00 vs 1.35).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Molodechno-DYuSSh 4
0.76
ML Vitebsk
0.79
Niva
1.00
Bumprom
1.09
Dinamo Minsk II
1.15
Lida
1.18
Belshina
1.24
Volna
1.26
Lokomotiv Gomel
1.47
Orsha
1.50
ABFF U17
1.53
BATE II
1.59
FC Energetik-Bgu Minsk
1.62
Ostrovets FC
1.68
Baranovichi
1.76
Shakhtyor Petrikov
1.79
Slonim
1.91
Torpedo BelAZ II
2.68
Torpedo BelAZ II is 1.09 goals worse than BATE II in terms of goals conceded per game (2.68 vs 1.59).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

Torpedo BelAZ IITorpedo BelAZ II

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-300D00D13L01L01L01L02L12L22D01LH·ABF16/08A·BUM24/08H·BEL31/08A·VOL13/09H·NIV21/09H·FC 25/09A·ML 30/09H·BAR06/10H·OST19/10A·SHA25/10
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
1.3
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.481.140.531.270.431.00
vs Stronger (7)0.001.290.000.750.002.00
vs Similar (20)0.601.150.701.500.500.80
vs Weaker (2)1.000.501.001.001.000.00
Clean sheet %38% (+12pp vs league)
This opponent (BATE II) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

BATE IIBATE II

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-300D00D20W02L01L10W00D30W00D11DH·SHA26/08H·FC 31/08A·LOK06/09H·DIN11/09A·LID20/09H·ORS28/09A·SLO06/10H·ABF10/10A·BUM19/10H·BEL27/10
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.4
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.570.530.600.600.530.47
vs Stronger (3)1.000.331.001.001.000.00
vs Similar (25)0.560.600.620.620.500.58
vs Weaker (2)0.000.000.000.000.000.00
Clean sheet %60% (+34pp vs league)
This opponent (Torpedo BelAZ II) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Torpedo BelAZ II over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Torpedo BelAZ II over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Torpedo BelAZ II over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
BATE II over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
BATE II over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
BATE II over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

Torpedo BelAZ IITorpedo BelAZ II

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-303L01L23L02L02L00D03L20W02L00DH·ABF16/08A·BUM24/08H·BEL31/08A·VOL13/09H·NIV21/09H·FC 25/09A·ML 30/09H·BAR06/10H·OST19/10A·SHA25/10
Avg total
2.0
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
1.6
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.591.380.601.400.571.36
vs Stronger (7)0.861.570.751.251.002.00
vs Similar (20)0.501.350.501.400.501.30
vs Weaker (2)0.501.001.002.000.000.00
Clean sheet %34% (+9pp vs league)
This opponent (BATE II) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

BATE IIBATE II

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-300D11D01L03L01L30W11D00D03L10WH·SHA26/08H·FC 31/08A·LOK06/09H·DIN11/09A·LID20/09H·ORS28/09A·SLO06/10H·ABF10/10A·BUM19/10H·BEL27/10
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
1.0
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.800.731.070.400.531.07
vs Stronger (3)0.000.670.000.000.001.00
vs Similar (25)0.920.761.230.460.581.08
vs Weaker (2)0.500.500.000.001.001.00
Clean sheet %50% (+24pp vs league)
This opponent (Torpedo BelAZ II) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Torpedo BelAZ II over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Torpedo BelAZ II over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Torpedo BelAZ II over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
BATE II over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
BATE II over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
BATE II over/under 2.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 1.582.0%-------✓ Hit

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
MV (26)
€14m
BAR (21)
€2m
BEL (16)
€2m
NIV (21)
€2m
BUM (20)
€2m
DMI (27)
€1m
M4 (22)
€1m
VOL (18)
€1m
OF (22)
€1m
LID (18)
€1m
SLO (20)
€1m
BI (20)
€1m
ORS (19)
€1m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
MV (9)
€6m
BAR (8)
€1m
BEL (6)
€1m
NIV (5)
€1m
BUM (7)
€1m
VOL (6)
€0m
ORS (5)
€0m
M4 (6)
€0m
OF (6)
€0m
SLO (6)
€0m
BI (4)
€0m
LID (2)
€0m
DMI (2)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
MV (6)
€3m
DMI (11)
€1m
LID (7)
€1m
NIV (7)
€1m
BAR (4)
€0m
M4 (7)
€0m
BI (7)
€0m
VOL (6)
€0m
OF (7)
€0m
ORS (9)
€0m
SLO (6)
€0m
BEL (2)
€0m
BUM (4)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
MV (11)
€5m
BAR (9)
€1m
BEL (8)
€1m
DMI (14)
€1m
BUM (9)
€1m
OF (9)
€1m
NIV (9)
€1m
M4 (9)
€1m
VOL (6)
€0m
LID (9)
€0m
SLO (8)
€0m
BI (9)
€0m
ORS (5)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

1 previous meeting
0
TBI wins
0
Draws
1
BI wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Torpedo BelAZ II vs BATE II · H/A from TBI
DateH/AGameScore
07/07/24ABATE II Vs TBI6-2

Torpedo BelAZ IITorpedo BelAZ II

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
25/10/24AShakhtyor Petrikov Vs TBI1-0
19/10/24HTBI Vs Ostrovets FC2-4
06/10/24HTBI Vs Baranovichi3-2
30/09/24AML Vitebsk Vs TBI5-0
25/09/24HTBI Vs FC Energetik-Bgu Minsk0-1
21/09/24HTBI Vs Niva0-3
13/09/24AVolna Vs TBI3-0
31/08/24HTBI Vs Belshina3-6
24/08/24ABumprom Vs TBI1-0
16/08/24HTBI Vs ABFF U170-3

BATE IIBATE II

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
27/10/24HBI Vs Belshina2-1
19/10/24ABumprom Vs BI3-0
10/10/24HBI Vs ABFF U173-0
06/10/24ASlonim Vs BI1-1
28/09/24HBI Vs Orsha4-0
20/09/24ALida Vs BI2-0
11/09/24HBI Vs Dinamo Minsk II0-5
06/09/24ALokomotiv Gomel Vs BI1-2
31/08/24HBI Vs FC Energetik-Bgu Minsk1-1
26/08/24HBI Vs Shakhtyor Petrikov0-0

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Torpedo BelAZ II
Torpedo BelAZ II
Belarus: 1. Division
Recent: 1 Wins / 0 Draws / 9 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLLWLL0.72
HomeLLLWL0.60
AwayWLLLL0.86
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %21%13%29%
AVG goals3.593.803.36
Over 1.5 %83%87%79%
Over 2.5 %62%60%64%
Over 3.5 %34%40%29%
Scored1.071.131.00
Conceded2.522.672.36
BTTS48%67%29%
Clean Sheet14%0%29%
Corners---
Cards---
BATE II
BATE II
Belarus: 1. Division
Recent: 4 Wins / 3 Draws / 3 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWDWLW1.53
HomeDLWWW1.93
AwayLWLDL1.13
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %43%53%33%
AVG goals2.632.672.60
Over 1.5 %73%67%80%
Over 2.5 %50%47%53%
Over 3.5 %27%27%27%
Scored1.371.671.07
Conceded1.271.001.53
BTTS53%47%60%
Clean Sheet27%40%13%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1Molodechno-DYuSSh 4Molodechno-DYuSSh 43476
68%
2.2
6226+36
2.6
71%
44%
24%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0011.80.8
-
2BelshinaBelshina3474
68%
2.2
8442+42
3.7
88%
68%
56%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1012.51.2
-
3ML VitebskML Vitebsk3473
68%
2.1
7527+48
3.0
71%
59%
32%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
14
6352.20.8
-
4NivaNiva3470
62%
2.1
7334+39
3.1
71%
56%
35%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1112.11.0
-
5VolnaVolna3466
62%
1.9
7043+27
3.3
94%
74%
35%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0002.11.3
-
6Dinamo Minsk IIDinamo Minsk II3452
44%
1.5
5439+15
2.7
76%
59%
26%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0111.61.1
-
7LidaLida3452
44%
1.5
4840+8
2.6
68%
41%
29%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0101.41.2
-
8BATE IIBATE II3449
41%
1.4
4654-8
2.9
76%
56%
35%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.41.6
-
9BumpromBumprom3448
38%
1.4
5037+13
2.6
62%
56%
24%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1011.51.1
-
10OrshaOrsha3445
32%
1.3
4651-5
2.9
82%
38%
32%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.41.5
-
11Ostrovets FCOstrovets FC3443
35%
1.3
4457-13
3.0
76%
59%
38%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0011.31.7
-
12Lokomotiv GomelLokomotiv Gomel3435
24%
1.0
4250-8
2.7
88%
47%
21%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.21.5
-
13BaranovichiBaranovichi3434
26%
1.0
3060-30
2.6
74%
56%
26%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1010.91.8
-
14ABFF U17ABFF U173433
26%
1.0
3152-21
2.4
74%
47%
21%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.91.5
-
15Shakhtyor PetrikovShakhtyor Petrikov3431
26%
0.9
3361-28
2.8
68%
53%
26%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.01.8
-
16FC Energetik-Bgu MinskFC Energetik-Bgu Minsk3429
21%
0.9
3655-19
2.7
65%
41%
32%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.11.6
-
17SlonimSlonim3426
18%
0.8
2665-39
2.7
65%
47%
35%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0000.81.9
-
18Torpedo BelAZ IITorpedo BelAZ II3421
18%
0.6
3491-57
3.7
85%
65%
41%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.02.7
-
Belarus: 1. Division 2024/25 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Belarus: 1. Division stats & trends →

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