This match between Torpedo Moskva and Spartak Kostroma in the Russia: First League is finely balanced. Torpedo Moskva's recent form has been inconsistent, with two straight defeats, but they have a relatively strong home record, scoring 1.64 goals on average and conceding 1.0 at home against similar opponents. Spartak Kostroma, on the other hand, have shown some resilience, coming off a win, and have been scoring 1.88 goals on average and conceding 1.62 away from home against similar opponents.
The model predicts a home win for Torpedo Moskva, with a 40% probability of a home win, 28% probability of a draw, and 32% probability of an away win. The expected total number of goals is 2.7, with the most likely total number of goals being 2. The most likely score is 1-1, with a probability of 13.4%. The model's selection for the match is Over 1.5, with a 76.3% probability, and Under 3.5, with a 71.4% probability.
Results analysis
Torpedo Moskva extended a two-game winning streak, beating Spartak Kostroma 3-0 to secure a home win. The model’s favourite, Home win, with a 40 % probability, proved correct. The final score of 3-0 matched the actual result, confirming the model’s prediction. Every suggested selection was settled: Under 7.5 goals hit at 99.3 %, Away under 2.5 HT goals hit at 98.4 %, Under 6.5 hit at 98.0 %, Home under 2.5 HT goals hit at 96.4 %, Away under 3.5 goals hit at 96.0 %, Under 5.5 hit at 94.3 %, Home under 3.5 goals hit at 94.3 %, and Away under 1.5 HT goals hit at 90.4 %. All probabilities were expressed as percentages, and no selection missed.
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🎯 1. Model Analysis
Torpedo Moskva win✓ Hit
39.8%
Avg Implied 51.5% · @ 1.81
Edge
-11.8%
Best 5 market prices
SBO
1.93
1xBet
1.83
Pinnacle
1.78
Superbet
1.78
Dafabet
1.77
Draw✗ Miss
28.2%
Avg Implied 27.6% · @ 3.38
Edge
+0.6%
Best 5 market prices
1xBet
3.58
Pinnacle
3.54
Marathonbet
3.42
Dafabet
3.40
Superbet
3.35
Spartak Kostroma win✗ Miss
32.1%
Avg Implied 20.9% · @ 4.46
Edge
+11.2%
Best 5 market prices
Pinnacle
4.96
1xBet
4.86
Marathonbet
4.65
Dafabet
4.50
Superbet
4.35
⚽ 2. Goal Analysis
Torpedo Moskva
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.3
Avg scored
1.4
Avg conceded
0.9
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.37
1.00
1.53
1.12
1.15
0.85
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (26)
1.31
1.00
1.47
1.07
1.09
0.91
vs Weaker (4)
1.75
1.00
2.00
1.50
1.50
0.50
Clean sheet %
40% (+6pp vs league)
This opponent (Spartak Kostroma) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Spartak Kostroma
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.4
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
1.2
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.27
1.23
1.21
1.07
1.31
1.38
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (21)
1.43
1.38
1.40
1.10
1.45
1.64
vs Weaker (9)
0.89
0.89
0.75
1.00
1.00
0.80
Clean sheet %
13% (-21pp vs league)
This opponent (Torpedo Moskva) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.7 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (26%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
76.3%
@ 1.36+9.3%
Under 1.5
23.7%
@ 2.78-9.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
1.40
Superbet
1.36
1xBet
1.35
Marathonbet
1.35
Under
Pinnacle
2.91
Marathonbet
2.74
1xBet
2.74
Superbet
2.72
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
50.6%
@ 2.22+7.9%
Under 2.5
49.4%
@ 1.65-7.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
2.26
Pinnacle
2.25
Marathonbet
2.19
Superbet
2.17
Under
1xBet
1.70
Pinnacle
1.66
Marathonbet
1.64
Superbet
1.59
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
28.5%
@ 3.88+5.0%
Under 3.5
71.5%
@ 1.20-5.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
4.10
Marathonbet
3.84
1xBet
3.84
Superbet
3.75
Under
Pinnacle
1.23
Superbet
1.19
1xBet
1.18
Marathonbet
1.18
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
55.9%
@ 2.03+10.3%
No
44.1%
@ 1.70-10.3%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
Superbet
2.05
Marathonbet
2.02
1xBet
2.02
No
1xBet
1.71
Superbet
1.69
Marathonbet
1.69
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
13.4%@ 6.00+6.3%
2-1
8.7%@ 8.27+3.5%
1-0
8.4%@ 5.39+0.5%
0-0
8.0%@ 7.18+2.0%
1-2
7.7%@ 14.50+4.8%
0-1
7.3%@ 9.60+2.8%
2-0
6.9%@ 7.40+1.1%
2-2
5.5%@ 17.11+3.0%
Torpedo Moskva goals ↓
Spartak Kostroma goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
8.0%
7.3%
5.4%
2.3%
0.7%
1
8.4%
13%
7.7%
3.3%
1.0%
2
6.9%
8.7%
5.5%
2.3%
0.7%
3
3.3%
4.2%
2.6%
1.1%
0.4%
4
1.2%
1.5%
0.9%
0.4%
0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Torpedo Moskva goals (down), columns = Spartak Kostroma goals (across).
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💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
FC Sochi
2.57
Nizhny Novgorod
2.29
Veles
2.14
Ural
2.00
FC UFA
1.83
Torpedo Moskva
1.67
Spartak Kostroma
1.50
Shinnik Yaroslavl
1.50
Rotor Volgograd
1.25
Volga Ulyanovsk
1.17
Enisey
1.17
FK Neftekhimik
1.12
Arsenal Tula
1.12
Leningradets
1.00
Tekstilshchik
0.71
KAMAZ
0.71
Chelyabinsk
0.67
Ska-khabarovsk
0.43
Torpedo Moskva is 0.17 points better than Spartak Kostroma in terms of average points per game (1.67 vs 1.50).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Nizhny Novgorod
3.00
FC Sochi
2.29
Ural
1.83
Torpedo Moskva
1.83
Veles
1.57
Enisey
1.50
Shinnik Yaroslavl
1.33
Rotor Volgograd
1.25
Volga Ulyanovsk
1.17
Spartak Kostroma
1.17
FC UFA
1.17
Chelyabinsk
1.00
KAMAZ
1.00
Arsenal Tula
0.88
Ska-khabarovsk
0.71
Leningradets
0.67
FK Neftekhimik
0.62
Tekstilshchik
0.29
Torpedo Moskva is 0.67 goals better than Spartak Kostroma in terms of goals scored per game (1.83 vs 1.17).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Ural
0.50
Torpedo Moskva
0.67
Leningradets
0.83
Tekstilshchik
1.00
Rotor Volgograd
1.00
FC UFA
1.00
FC Sochi
1.00
Spartak Kostroma
1.17
Shinnik Yaroslavl
1.17
Enisey
1.33
Nizhny Novgorod
1.43
Veles
1.43
Volga Ulyanovsk
1.50
FK Neftekhimik
1.50
KAMAZ
1.57
Arsenal Tula
1.62
Ska-khabarovsk
2.00
Chelyabinsk
2.17
Torpedo Moskva is 0.50 goals better than Spartak Kostroma in terms of goals conceded per game (0.67 vs 1.17).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
FC Sochi
54%
FK Neftekhimik
54%
Veles
54%
Volga Ulyanovsk
52%
Arsenal Tula
52%
Leningradets
50%
Nizhny Novgorod
50%
Chelyabinsk
50%
Tekstilshchik
49%
Spartak Kostroma
49%
Ska-khabarovsk
46%
FC UFA
46%
KAMAZ
46%
Ural
40%
Not enough data to compare these two teams.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Torpedo Moskva
For 3.0 · Against 5.5 · Total 8.5
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.3 · Against 2.4 · Total 3.7
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 18.0 · Against 14.0 · Total 32.0
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Spartak Kostroma
For 5.0 · Against 5.5 · Total 10.5
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.5 · Against 1.6 · Total 4.1
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
⚠️ Fouls
No recent fouls data for this league.
Torpedo Moskva
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
8.5
11.0
6.0
2.4
2.3
2.4
32.0
-
32.0
vs Stronger (1)
-
-
-
0.0
-
0.0
-
-
-
vs Similar (42)
8.5
11.0
6.0
2.4
2.2
2.7
32.0
-
32.0
vs Weaker (7)
-
-
-
2.4
3.3
1.8
-
-
-
% over line
50%
100%
0%
32%
35%
29%
100%
-
100%
% under line
50%
0%
100%
68%
65%
71%
0%
-
0%
This opponent (Spartak Kostroma) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Spartak Kostroma
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (44)
10.5
-
10.5
2.1
2.2
2.0
-
-
-
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (33)
9.0
-
9.0
1.9
1.8
1.9
-
-
-
vs Weaker (11)
12.0
-
12.0
2.8
3.4
2.3
-
-
-
% over line
50%
-
50%
30%
29%
30%
-
-
-
% under line
50%
-
50%
70%
71%
70%
-
-
-
This opponent (Torpedo Moskva) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Tekstilshchik
12.0
Arsenal Tula
11.0
Rotor Volgograd
11.0
Chelyabinsk
11.0
Spartak Kostroma
10.5
Nizhny Novgorod
10.5
FC Sochi
9.2
Veles
9.0
Ural
9.0
FC UFA
8.7
Torpedo Moskva
8.5
Leningradets
8.5
FK Neftekhimik
7.5
Ska-khabarovsk
7.2
Volga Ulyanovsk
6.3
Enisey
5.5
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Tekstilshchik
5.0
Nizhny Novgorod
4.5
Volga Ulyanovsk
4.5
KAMAZ
4.5
FC Sochi
4.4
Chelyabinsk
4.3
FC UFA
4.3
Veles
4.2
Spartak Kostroma
4.0
Arsenal Tula
3.9
Rotor Volgograd
3.8
Ural
3.8
Enisey
3.6
Ska-khabarovsk
3.6
Torpedo Moskva
3.5
Leningradets
3.4
FK Neftekhimik
3.1
Shinnik Yaroslavl
3.1
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Torpedo Moskva
32.0
Nizhny Novgorod
28.6
Rotor Volgograd
28.5
FC Sochi
27.1
Ural
26.8
Enisey
23.0
Corners O/U 9.5
Over 9.5
46.2%
@ 1.93-1.9%
Under 9.5
53.8%
@ 1.79+1.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.02
1xBet
1.90
Marathonbet
1.87
Under
Marathonbet
1.81
1xBet
1.80
Pinnacle
1.75
Cards O/U 3.5
Over 3.5
50.2%
Under 3.5
49.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5
Over 21.5
0.0%
Under 21.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
Torpedo Moskva or Draw✓ Hit
67.9%
Avg Implied 79.5% · @ 1.17
Edge
-11.6%
40%
28%
32%
covers Torpedo Moskva + Draw
Best 5 market prices
1xBet
1.20
Superbet
1.16
Marathonbet
1.16
SBO
1.14
Torpedo Moskva or Spartak Kostroma✓ Hit
71.8%
Avg Implied 72.9% · @ 1.27
Edge
-1.1%
40%
28%
32%
covers Torpedo Moskva + Spartak Kostroma
Best 5 market prices
1xBet
1.32
Marathonbet
1.28
Superbet
1.27
SBO
1.21
Draw or Spartak Kostroma✗ Miss
60.2%
Avg Implied 47.6% · @ 1.95
Edge
+12.6%
40%
28%
32%
covers Draw + Spartak Kostroma
Best 5 market prices
1xBet
2.04
Marathonbet
1.98
Superbet
1.90
SBO
1.86
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🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
Home & Away Over/Under
How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
Torpedo Moskva over/under 0.5Actual: Over
Over
76.1%
@ 1.21-0.3%
Under
23.9%
@ 3.90+0.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
1.24
Pinnacle
1.20
1xBet
1.19
Superbet
1.19
Under
Pinnacle
4.31
1xBet
4.05
Superbet
3.70
Marathonbet
3.56
Torpedo Moskva over/under 1.5Actual: Over
Over
41.9%
@ 2.05-3.7%
Under
58.1%
@ 1.72+3.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.08
Superbet
2.05
1xBet
2.04
Marathonbet
2.04
Under
Pinnacle
1.75
Marathonbet
1.73
1xBet
1.73
Superbet
1.68
Torpedo Moskva over/under 2.5Actual: Over
Over
17.4%
@ 4.17-4.7%
Under
82.6%
@ 1.18+4.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
4.28
1xBet
4.20
Marathonbet
4.20
Superbet
4.00
Under
Pinnacle
1.21
Marathonbet
1.18
1xBet
1.18
Superbet
1.16
Torpedo Moskva over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
5.7%
@ 8.80-4.6%
Under
94.3%
@ 1.01+4.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
8.80
Marathonbet
8.80
Under
1xBet
1.01
Marathonbet
1.01
Spartak Kostroma over/under 0.5Actual: Under
Over
71.8%
@ 1.66+15.8%
Under
28.2%
@ 2.11-15.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
1.69
1xBet
1.65
Marathonbet
1.65
Superbet
1.64
Under
Pinnacle
2.17
Superbet
2.10
Marathonbet
2.08
1xBet
2.08
Spartak Kostroma over/under 1.5Actual: Under
Over
36.1%
@ 4.22+14.2%
Under
63.9%
@ 1.18-14.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
4.34
1xBet
4.33
Marathonbet
4.33
Superbet
3.90
Under
Pinnacle
1.20
Marathonbet
1.18
1xBet
1.18
Superbet
1.17
Spartak Kostroma over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
13.5%
@ 10.68+4.9%
Under
86.5%
@ 1.01-4.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
11.25
1xBet
11.20
Superbet
9.60
Under
Superbet
1.01
Spartak Kostroma over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
4.0%
Under
96.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⚖️ 7. Handicap
Handicap
The handicap is applied to Torpedo Moskva, so a minus line means Torpedo Moskva give that many goals of a start and Spartak Kostroma receive them. At -1, Torpedo Moskva must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Torpedo Moskva win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (Torpedo Moskva)Actual: Torpedo Moskva
Torpedo Moskva -2
7.4%
@ 6.30-6.6%
Draw -2
12.2%
@ 5.00-5.4%
Spartak Kostroma +2
80.5%
@ 1.28+12.0%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Marathonbet
6.30
Draw
Marathonbet
5.00
Away
Marathonbet
1.28
Handicap -1 (Torpedo Moskva)Actual: Torpedo Moskva
Torpedo Moskva -1
19.5%
@ 3.08-9.1%
Draw -1
20.2%
@ 3.26-6.7%
Spartak Kostroma +1
60.2%
@ 1.98+15.8%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Marathonbet
3.08
Draw
Marathonbet
3.26
Away
Marathonbet
1.98
Handicap +1 (Torpedo Moskva)Actual: Torpedo Moskva
Torpedo Moskva +1
67.9%
@ 1.16-0.3%
Draw +1
17.7%
@ 4.05-1.8%
Spartak Kostroma -1
14.3%
@ 6.45+2.1%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Marathonbet
1.16
Draw
Marathonbet
4.05
Away
Marathonbet
6.45
Handicap +2 (Torpedo Moskva)Actual: Torpedo Moskva
Torpedo Moskva +2
85.7%
Draw +2
9.5%
Spartak Kostroma -2
4.8%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Torpedo Moskva
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.53
0.57
0.71
0.47
0.31
0.69
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (26)
0.54
0.62
0.73
0.53
0.27
0.73
vs Weaker (4)
0.50
0.25
0.50
0.00
0.50
0.50
Clean sheet %
57% (+22pp vs league)
This opponent (Spartak Kostroma) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Spartak Kostroma
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.9
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.43
0.63
0.43
0.71
0.44
0.56
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (21)
0.48
0.62
0.60
0.70
0.36
0.55
vs Weaker (9)
0.33
0.67
0.00
0.75
0.60
0.60
Clean sheet %
43% (+9pp vs league)
This opponent (Torpedo Moskva) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
68.6%
@ 1.46+5.0%
Under 0.5
31.4%
@ 2.55-5.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
1.46
Marathonbet
1.46
Pinnacle
1.46
Superbet
1.44
Under
Pinnacle
2.69
1xBet
2.50
Superbet
2.50
Marathonbet
2.50
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
35.5%
@ 3.13+6.1%
Under 1.5
64.5%
@ 1.31-6.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
3.34
1xBet
3.10
Marathonbet
3.10
Superbet
3.00
Under
Pinnacle
1.32
1xBet
1.31
Marathonbet
1.31
Superbet
1.30
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
13.0%
@ 7.47+1.0%
Under 2.5
87.0%
@ 1.02-1.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
7.70
Marathonbet
7.70
Superbet
7.00
Under
Superbet
1.03
Marathonbet
1.02
1xBet
1.02
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Torpedo Moskva over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
49.7%
@ 1.87+0.0%
Under
50.3%
@ 1.84-0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
1.88
Superbet
1.87
Marathonbet
1.86
1xBet
1.86
Under
Pinnacle
1.91
Superbet
1.83
Marathonbet
1.82
1xBet
1.82
Torpedo Moskva over/under 1.5 HTActual: Over
Over
13.7%
@ 5.55-2.9%
Under
86.3%
@ 1.11+2.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
5.55
1xBet
5.55
Under
Marathonbet
1.11
1xBet
1.11
Torpedo Moskva over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
3.6%
Under
96.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Spartak Kostroma over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
39.9%
@ 2.94+8.5%
Under
60.1%
@ 1.34-8.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
3.17
Marathonbet
2.88
1xBet
2.88
Superbet
2.82
Under
1xBet
1.35
Marathonbet
1.35
Pinnacle
1.35
Superbet
1.33
Spartak Kostroma over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
9.6%
@ 12.00-90.4%
Under
90.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
12.00
1xBet
12.00
Under
No market prices yet.
Spartak Kostroma over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
1.6%
Under
98.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Torpedo Moskva
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.2
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.83
0.43
0.82
0.65
0.85
0.15
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (26)
0.77
0.38
0.73
0.53
0.82
0.18
vs Weaker (4)
1.25
0.75
1.50
1.50
1.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
63% (+29pp vs league)
This opponent (Spartak Kostroma) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Spartak Kostroma
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.83
0.60
0.79
0.36
0.88
0.81
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (21)
0.95
0.76
0.80
0.40
1.09
1.09
vs Weaker (9)
0.56
0.22
0.75
0.25
0.40
0.20
Clean sheet %
50% (+16pp vs league)
This opponent (Torpedo Moskva) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Torpedo Moskva over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Torpedo Moskva over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Torpedo Moskva over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Spartak Kostroma over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Spartak Kostroma over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Spartak Kostroma over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
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🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Under 7.5
99.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 HT goals
98.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 6.5
98.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 HT goals
96.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Away under 3.5 goals
96.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 5.5
94.3%
1.01
1xBet
1.01
-
-
-
-
+0.5%
✓ Hit
Home under 3.5 goals
94.3%
1.01
1xBet
1.01
Marathonbet
1.01
-
-
-
+4.6%
✓ Hit
Away under 1.5 HT goals
90.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 2.5 HT goals
87.0%
1.02
Superbet
1.03
Marathonbet
1.02
1xBet
1.02
-
-
-1.0%
✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 goals
86.5%
1.01
Superbet
1.01
-
-
-
-
-4.9%
✓ Hit
Under 4.5
86.3%
1.03
Superbet
1.04
1xBet
1.03
Marathonbet
1.03
-
-
-1.1%
✓ Hit
Home under 1.5 HT goals
86.3%
1.11
Marathonbet
1.11
1xBet
1.11
-
-
-
+2.9%
✗ Miss
Home +2 handicap
85.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 5.5 cards
83.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home under 2.5 goals
82.6%
1.18
Pinnacle
1.21
Marathonbet
1.18
1xBet
1.18
Superbet
1.16
-
+4.7%
✗ Miss
Away +2 handicap
80.5%
1.28
Marathonbet
1.28
-
-
-
-
+12.0%
✗ Miss
Under 11.5 corners
76.5%
1.25
Marathonbet
1.26
1xBet
1.25
-
-
-
+4.4%
-
Over 1.5
76.3%
1.36
Pinnacle
1.40
Superbet
1.36
1xBet
1.35
Marathonbet
1.35
-
+9.3%
✓ Hit
Home over 0.5 goals
76.1%
1.21
Marathonbet
1.24
Pinnacle
1.20
1xBet
1.19
Superbet
1.19
-
-0.3%
✓ Hit
Home or Away
71.8%
1.27
1xBet
1.32
Marathonbet
1.28
Superbet
1.27
SBO
1.21
-
-1.1%
✓ Hit
Away over 0.5 goals
71.8%
1.66
Pinnacle
1.69
1xBet
1.65
Marathonbet
1.65
Superbet
1.64
-
+15.8%
✗ Miss
Under 3.5
71.5%
1.20
Pinnacle
1.23
Superbet
1.19
1xBet
1.18
Marathonbet
1.18
-
-5.0%
✓ Hit
Over 2.5 cards
71.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Torpedo Moskva · 2022/23
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Ilya Stefanovich38%
André20%
Stefan Šapić20%
Aleksei Pomerko12%
Ilya Kukharchuk11%
Mihail Caimacov10%
Igor Lebedenko9%
Yordy Reyna8%
David Karaev7%
Igor Smolnikov6%
Mario Ćurić6%
Ravil Netfullin5%
Ilya Kutepov0%
Roman Yuzepchuk0%
Denis Laptev0%
Damien Le Tallec0%
Márk Koszta0%
Evgeni Shlyakov0%
Aleksey Shumskikh0%
Oleg Kozhemyakin0%
Egor Proshkin0%
Aleksandr Ryazantsev0%
Mukhammad Sultonov0%
Alexander Dovbnya0%
Egor Baburin0%
Ivan Temnikov0%
Bojan Roganović0%
Ivan Enin0%
Yuriy Zhuravlev0%
Amur Kalmykov0%
Khozhimat Erkinov0%
Artem Samsonov0%
Aleksandr Orekhov0%
Vitalii Botnar0%
Maksim Turishchev0%
Jajá0%
Igor Savić0%
Bogdan Reichman0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Ilya Kutepov56%
Artem Samsonov45%
Bojan Roganović38%
Evgeni Shlyakov38%
Igor Savić33%
Aleksei Pomerko25%
Ivan Temnikov25%
Bogdan Reichman25%
Damien Le Tallec22%
André20%
Stefan Šapić20%
Khozhimat Erkinov20%
Aleksandr Orekhov20%
Mario Ćurić18%
Igor Lebedenko17%
Ravil Netfullin14%
Ivan Enin14%
Igor Smolnikov12%
David Karaev10%
Mihail Caimacov10%
Egor Baburin10%
Roman Yuzepchuk8%
Egor Proshkin8%
Maksim Turishchev8%
Oleg Kozhemyakin4%
Yordy Reyna0%
Denis Laptev0%
Márk Koszta0%
Aleksey Shumskikh0%
Ilya Kukharchuk0%
Aleksandr Ryazantsev0%
Mukhammad Sultonov0%
Alexander Dovbnya0%
Yuriy Zhuravlev0%
Amur Kalmykov0%
Ilya Stefanovich0%
Vitalii Botnar0%
Jajá0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Yordy Reyna17%
Roman Yuzepchuk17%
Ilya Kukharchuk11%
Maksim Turishchev8%
David Karaev7%
Igor Smolnikov6%
Aleksandr Ryazantsev6%
Mario Ćurić6%
Khozhimat Erkinov5%
Artem Samsonov5%
Igor Lebedenko4%
Ilya Kutepov0%
Denis Laptev0%
André0%
Mihail Caimacov0%
Damien Le Tallec0%
Márk Koszta0%
Aleksei Pomerko0%
Evgeni Shlyakov0%
Aleksey Shumskikh0%
Oleg Kozhemyakin0%
Egor Proshkin0%
Ravil Netfullin0%
Mukhammad Sultonov0%
Stefan Šapić0%
Alexander Dovbnya0%
Egor Baburin0%
Ivan Temnikov0%
Bojan Roganović0%
Ivan Enin0%
Yuriy Zhuravlev0%
Amur Kalmykov0%
Aleksandr Orekhov0%
Ilya Stefanovich0%
Vitalii Botnar0%
Jajá0%
Igor Savić0%
Bogdan Reichman0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Jajá14%
David Karaev14%
Mukhammad Sultonov11%
Yordy Reyna8%
Ilya Stefanovich8%
Aleksandr Ryazantsev6%
Khozhimat Erkinov5%
Ravil Netfullin5%
Artem Samsonov5%
Maksim Turishchev4%
Igor Smolnikov0%
Ilya Kutepov0%
Roman Yuzepchuk0%
Denis Laptev0%
André0%
Mihail Caimacov0%
Mario Ćurić0%
Damien Le Tallec0%
Márk Koszta0%
Aleksei Pomerko0%
Evgeni Shlyakov0%
Aleksey Shumskikh0%
Oleg Kozhemyakin0%
Egor Proshkin0%
Ilya Kukharchuk0%
Igor Lebedenko0%
Stefan Šapić0%
Alexander Dovbnya0%
Egor Baburin0%
Ivan Temnikov0%
Bojan Roganović0%
Ivan Enin0%
Yuriy Zhuravlev0%
Amur Kalmykov0%
Aleksandr Orekhov0%
Vitalii Botnar0%
Igor Savić0%
Bogdan Reichman0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
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💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
NN (28)
€18m
FS (21)
€15m
URA (21)
€11m
TM (23)
€11m
RV (25)
€9m
CHE (23)
€9m
AT (26)
€8m
SK (27)
€8m
SKA (27)
€6m
VU (24)
€6m
SY (24)
€6m
ENI (24)
€6m
FU (25)
€5m
LEN (22)
€5m
KAM (24)
€5m
VEL (23)
€5m
TEK (25)
€5m
FN (25)
€5m
Torpedo Moskva's squad is €2m more valuable than Spartak Kostroma's (€11m vs €8m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
NN (11)
€6m
TM (10)
€5m
FS (8)
€5m
URA (8)
€4m
CHE (9)
€4m
AT (8)
€3m
RV (7)
€3m
SK (8)
€3m
VU (9)
€2m
ENI (7)
€2m
SKA (8)
€2m
TEK (9)
€2m
SY (9)
€2m
KAM (9)
€2m
FN (9)
€2m
FU (7)
€2m
VEL (7)
€2m
LEN (7)
€1m
Torpedo Moskva's attack is €2m more valuable than Spartak Kostroma's (€5m vs €3m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
NN (5)
€3m
URA (4)
€2m
RV (7)
€2m
AT (8)
€2m
SKA (8)
€2m
FU (9)
€2m
ENI (5)
€2m
VEL (8)
€2m
SK (7)
€2m
SY (5)
€1m
FS (2)
€1m
LEN (6)
€1m
TM (4)
€1m
VU (5)
€1m
CHE (2)
€1m
TEK (6)
€1m
FN (5)
€1m
KAM (4)
€1m
Torpedo Moskva and Spartak Kostroma have a similar midfield value (both €1m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FS (11)
€9m
NN (12)
€9m
URA (9)
€4m
TM (9)
€4m
SK (12)
€4m
RV (11)
€4m
CHE (12)
€3m
AT (10)
€3m
VU (10)
€3m
SKA (11)
€3m
SY (10)
€2m
KAM (11)
€2m
LEN (9)
€2m
FN (11)
€2m
ENI (12)
€2m
TEK (10)
€2m
FU (9)
€2m
VEL (8)
€2m
Torpedo Moskva and Spartak Kostroma have a similar defence value (both €4m).
Russia: First League 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Russia: First League stats & trends →
PythiaFootballBETA
FC Sochi
Nizhny Novgorod
Veles
Ural
FC UFA
Rotor Volgograd
Shinnik Yaroslavl
Arsenal Tula
FK Neftekhimik
Enisey
Volga Ulyanovsk
Leningradets
KAMAZ
Tekstilshchik
Chelyabinsk
Ska-khabarovsk