Torpedo Zhodino, fresh from a 0-4 defeat to Dinamo Minsk, faces FC Dnepr Mogilev, who are still recovering from a 1-1 draw with Belshina. The model points to a home win as the clear favourite, assigning a 69 % chance to Torpedo’s victory, 20 % for a draw and 11 % for a Dnepr win. The expected total of 2.9 goals translates to an average of about 3 goals, with the most likely scoreline 2-0 for Torpedo at 12.7 %. Torpedo’s home form shows they average 2.6 goals scored and 1.2 conceded against weaker opposition, while Dnepr’s away record is 2.0 scored and 3.0 conceded against stronger teams. The model’s selections include an 99.3 % chance of “Away under 3.5 goals”, 99.2 % for “Away under 2.5 HT goals”, 99.0 % for “Under 7.5”, 98.3 % for “Away under 2.5 2H goals”, 97.1 % for “Under 6.5”, 96.8 % for “Home +2 handicap”, 96.0 % for “Away under 2.5 goals” with a 5 % edge, and 95.9 % for “Home under 2.5 HT goals”.
Results analysis
The pre-match favourite, Home win, failed to materialise as the match finished 0-0, a draw that snapped Torpedo Zhodino’s string of four losses and mirrored Dnepr Mogilev’s recent draw. The model’s call was wrong, with a 69% probability of a home victory. The 2-goal total predicted by the model did not occur; the game produced no goals at all. Every suggested pick was a hit: Away under 3.5 goals at 99.3%, Away under 2.5 HT goals at 99.2%, Under 7.5 at 99.0%, Away under 2.5 2H goals at 98.3%, Under 6.5 at 97.1%, Home +2 handicap at 96.8%, Away under 2.5 goals at 96.0%, and Home under 2.5 HT goals at 95.9%. All probabilities were expressed as percentages.
🎯 1. Model Analysis
Torpedo Zhodino win✗ Miss
69.0%
Avg Implied 53.9% · @ 1.70
Edge
+15.1%
Best 5 market prices
Dafabet
1.72
Superbet
1.72
1xBet
1.71
Pinnacle
1.70
William Hil
1.70
Draw✓ Hit
20.3%
Avg Implied 25.9% · @ 3.53
Edge
-5.7%
Best 5 market prices
Marathonbet
3.64
1xBet
3.64
Pinnacle
3.63
Superbet
3.60
Dafabet
3.60
FC Dnepr Mogilev win✗ Miss
10.7%
Avg Implied 20.1% · @ 4.55
Edge
-9.4%
Best 5 market prices
Marathonbet
4.85
1xBet
4.80
Pinnacle
4.68
William Hil
4.50
Dafabet
4.50
⚽ 2. Goal Analysis
Torpedo Zhodino
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
1.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.33
1.30
1.56
1.19
1.07
1.43
vs Stronger (1)
1.00
0.00
-
-
1.00
0.00
vs Similar (19)
0.95
1.53
1.20
1.20
0.67
1.89
vs Weaker (10)
2.10
1.00
2.17
1.17
2.00
0.75
Clean sheet %
17% (-15pp vs league)
This opponent (FC Dnepr Mogilev) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
FC Dnepr Mogilev
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.8
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
1.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.53
1.23
1.56
1.06
1.50
1.43
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (23)
1.35
1.35
1.46
1.15
1.20
1.60
vs Weaker (7)
2.14
0.86
2.00
0.67
2.25
1.00
Clean sheet %
27% (-5pp vs league)
This opponent (Torpedo Zhodino) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.9 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (24%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
79.6%
@ 1.27+7.4%
Under 1.5
20.4%
@ 3.30-7.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
1.32
Superbet
1.27
Marathonbet
1.25
1xBet
1.25
Under
Superbet
3.45
Marathonbet
3.30
1xBet
3.30
Pinnacle
3.16
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
55.7%
@ 1.89+5.8%
Under 2.5
44.3%
@ 1.88-5.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
1.93
1xBet
1.90
Marathonbet
1.90
SBO
1.86
Superbet
1.85
Under
SBO
1.92
Pinnacle
1.89
Marathonbet
1.87
1xBet
1.87
Superbet
1.85
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
33.3%
@ 3.09+3.8%
Under 3.5
66.7%
@ 1.29-3.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
3.10
1xBet
3.08
Marathonbet
3.08
Under
Superbet
1.32
1xBet
1.28
Marathonbet
1.28
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
47.5%
@ 1.80-3.7%
No
52.5%
@ 1.89+3.7%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
1xBet
1.83
Marathonbet
1.83
Superbet
1.80
William Hil
1.75
No
William Hil
1.95
Superbet
1.90
1xBet
1.87
Marathonbet
1.85
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
2-0
12.7%@ 7.76+7.1%
1-0
10.9%@ 6.66+4.3%
1-1
9.7%@ 6.47+2.9%
2-1
9.5%@ 7.46+3.6%
3-0
9.2%@ 13.12+5.8%
3-1
6.9%@ 13.13+3.5%
0-0 ✓
6.3%@ 9.53+1.7%
4-0
5.0%@ 27.69+3.4%
Torpedo Zhodino goals ↓
FC Dnepr Mogilev goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
6.3%
3.2%
1.5%
0.4%
0.1%
1
11%
9.7%
3.3%
0.8%
0.2%
2
13%
9.5%
3.6%
0.9%
0.2%
3
9.2%
6.9%
2.6%
0.6%
0.1%
4
5.0%
3.7%
1.4%
0.3%
0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Torpedo Zhodino goals (down), columns = FC Dnepr Mogilev goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
FC Isloch Minsk R.
2.60
FC Vitebsk
2.57
ML Vitebsk
2.00
Bate Borisov
2.00
Neman
1.67
Dinamo Brest
1.67
Dinamo Minsk
1.50
FC Minsk
1.50
Slavia Mozyr
1.40
FC Gomel
1.33
Baranovichi
1.29
Belshina
1.00
Naftan
0.67
Torpedo Zhodino
0.67
FC Dnepr Mogilev
0.57
Arsenal (Belarus)
0.43
Torpedo Zhodino is 0.10 points better than FC Dnepr Mogilev in terms of average points per game (0.67 vs 0.57).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Dinamo Minsk
2.25
Dinamo Brest
2.00
FC Isloch Minsk R.
1.80
ML Vitebsk
1.50
Slavia Mozyr
1.40
FC Gomel
1.33
Baranovichi
1.29
FC Vitebsk
1.29
Bate Borisov
1.25
Naftan
1.17
FC Minsk
1.17
Neman
1.00
Belshina
0.83
FC Dnepr Mogilev
0.71
Arsenal (Belarus)
0.71
Torpedo Zhodino
0.67
Torpedo Zhodino is 0.05 goals worse than FC Dnepr Mogilev in terms of goals scored per game (0.67 vs 0.71).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
FC Vitebsk
0.14
ML Vitebsk
0.50
FC Gomel
0.50
Neman
0.67
Dinamo Minsk
0.75
Bate Borisov
0.75
FC Isloch Minsk R.
0.80
Dinamo Brest
1.17
FC Minsk
1.17
Slavia Mozyr
1.20
Belshina
1.33
FC Dnepr Mogilev
1.43
Baranovichi
1.43
Torpedo Zhodino
1.67
Arsenal (Belarus)
2.43
Naftan
3.00
Torpedo Zhodino is 0.24 goals worse than FC Dnepr Mogilev in terms of goals conceded per game (1.67 vs 1.43).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
ML Vitebsk
61%
Dinamo Minsk
59%
Neman
58%
FC Gomel
55%
Torpedo Zhodino
54%
Dinamo Brest
52%
FC Dnepr Mogilev
50%
Slavia Mozyr
49%
Arsenal (Belarus)
48%
FC Minsk
48%
FC Isloch Minsk R.
46%
FC Vitebsk
46%
Baranovichi
44%
Bate Borisov
44%
Belshina
44%
Naftan
43%
Torpedo Zhodino is 3.9 percentage points better than FC Dnepr Mogilev in terms of average possession (54% vs 50%).
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Torpedo Zhodino
For 6.0 · Against 5.0 · Total 11.0
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.5 · Against 1.5 · Total 3.0
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 15.0 · Against 17.0 · Total 32.0
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
FC Dnepr Mogilev
For 5.2 · Against 5.0 · Total 10.2
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.8 · Against 1.5 · Total 3.2
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 12.5 · Against 10.0 · Total 22.5
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Torpedo Zhodino
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
11.0
11.0
11.0
2.1
2.2
1.9
32.0
33.0
31.0
vs Stronger (3)
-
-
-
0.0
0.0
0.0
-
-
-
vs Similar (30)
11.0
11.0
11.0
2.6
2.5
2.8
32.0
33.0
31.0
vs Weaker (17)
-
-
-
1.4
1.7
1.2
-
-
-
% over line
100%
100%
100%
26%
24%
28%
100%
100%
100%
% under line
0%
0%
0%
74%
76%
72%
0%
0%
0%
This opponent (FC Dnepr Mogilev) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
FC Dnepr Mogilev
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
10.2
10.0
11.0
1.0
1.0
1.0
22.5
23.3
20.0
vs Stronger (2)
-
-
-
0.5
0.0
1.0
-
-
-
vs Similar (38)
10.2
10.0
11.0
1.3
1.4
1.2
22.5
23.3
20.0
vs Weaker (10)
-
-
-
0.0
0.0
0.0
-
-
-
% over line
75%
67%
100%
10%
8%
12%
50%
67%
0%
% under line
25%
33%
0%
90%
92%
88%
50%
33%
100%
This opponent (Torpedo Zhodino) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
FC Gomel
11.7
Slavia Mozyr
11.2
Bate Borisov
11.2
Baranovichi
11.2
Torpedo Zhodino
11.0
ML Vitebsk
11.0
Dinamo Brest
11.0
Belshina
10.8
Naftan
10.7
Dinamo Minsk
10.4
FC Vitebsk
10.3
FC Isloch Minsk R.
10.0
FC Dnepr Mogilev
9.6
Arsenal (Belarus)
9.0
FC Minsk
8.6
Neman
8.6
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Belshina
4.8
ML Vitebsk
4.0
Bate Borisov
3.6
Slavia Mozyr
3.4
Arsenal (Belarus)
3.3
Dinamo Minsk
3.1
Naftan
3.1
FC Vitebsk
3.1
FC Gomel
3.0
Neman
2.9
FC Dnepr Mogilev
2.9
FC Minsk
2.9
Dinamo Brest
2.8
Baranovichi
2.8
FC Isloch Minsk R.
2.7
Torpedo Zhodino
2.5
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
ML Vitebsk
36.8
Torpedo Zhodino
32.0
FC Gomel
28.5
Dinamo Brest
28.5
Bate Borisov
28.2
Baranovichi
27.8
FC Isloch Minsk R.
27.0
Dinamo Minsk
25.8
Slavia Mozyr
24.8
FC Dnepr Mogilev
22.5
Naftan
21.7
Belshina
21.0
FC Vitebsk
20.0
Arsenal (Belarus)
19.7
Neman
19.0
FC Minsk
17.2
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Over
Over 9.5
64.0%
@ 1.78+12.2%
Under 9.5
36.0%
@ 1.91-12.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
1.80
Superbet
1.78
1xBet
1.77
Under
1xBet
1.94
Superbet
1.92
Marathonbet
1.88
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
37.4%
Under 3.5
62.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Over
Over 21.5
81.5%
Under 21.5
18.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
Torpedo Zhodino or Draw✓ Hit
89.3%
Avg Implied 80.7% · @ 1.15
Edge
+8.6%
69%
20%
11%
covers Torpedo Zhodino + Draw
Best 5 market prices
William Hil
1.17
Marathonbet
1.16
Superbet
1.16
1xBet
1.16
SBO
1.09
Torpedo Zhodino or FC Dnepr Mogilev✗ Miss
79.7%
Avg Implied 74.8% · @ 1.24
Edge
+4.9%
69%
20%
11%
covers Torpedo Zhodino + FC Dnepr Mogilev
Best 5 market prices
1xBet
1.26
Marathonbet
1.26
William Hil
1.25
Superbet
1.25
SBO
1.17
Draw or FC Dnepr Mogilev✓ Hit
31.0%
Avg Implied 44.5% · @ 2.08
Edge
-13.5%
69%
20%
11%
covers Draw + FC Dnepr Mogilev
Best 5 market prices
SBO
2.12
William Hil
2.10
Marathonbet
2.09
1xBet
2.09
Superbet
2.00
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
Home & Away Over/Under
How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
Torpedo Zhodino over/under 0.5Actual: Under
Over
88.5%
@ 1.16+8.9%
Under
11.5%
@ 4.52-8.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
1.19
Superbet
1.16
1xBet
1.13
Under
1xBet
4.85
Superbet
4.65
Marathonbet
4.05
Torpedo Zhodino over/under 1.5Actual: Under
Over
63.6%
@ 1.82+12.2%
Under
36.4%
@ 1.93-12.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
1.84
1xBet
1.83
Marathonbet
1.83
Superbet
1.80
Under
Pinnacle
1.95
1xBet
1.94
Marathonbet
1.94
Superbet
1.90
Torpedo Zhodino over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
36.7%
@ 3.48+10.2%
Under
63.3%
@ 1.26-10.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
3.50
Marathonbet
3.50
Superbet
3.45
Under
Marathonbet
1.26
1xBet
1.26
Superbet
1.26
Torpedo Zhodino over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
17.3%
@ 7.50+5.2%
Under
82.7%
@ 1.04-5.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
7.50
Marathonbet
7.50
Under
Marathonbet
1.04
1xBet
1.04
FC Dnepr Mogilev over/under 0.5Actual: Under
Over
52.7%
@ 1.54-7.4%
Under
47.3%
@ 2.33+7.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
1.58
1xBet
1.54
Marathonbet
1.54
Superbet
1.51
Under
Superbet
2.40
Pinnacle
2.35
Marathonbet
2.28
1xBet
2.28
FC Dnepr Mogilev over/under 1.5Actual: Under
Over
17.3%
@ 3.71-7.8%
Under
82.7%
@ 1.25+7.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
3.82
1xBet
3.82
Superbet
3.50
Under
Superbet
1.26
1xBet
1.24
Marathonbet
1.24
FC Dnepr Mogilev over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
4.0%
@ 10.18-5.1%
Under
96.0%
@ 1.02+5.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
10.75
1xBet
10.70
Superbet
9.10
Under
Superbet
1.04
Marathonbet
1.01
1xBet
1.01
FC Dnepr Mogilev over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
0.7%
Under
99.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⚖️ 7. Handicap
Handicap
The handicap is applied to Torpedo Zhodino, so a minus line means Torpedo Zhodino give that many goals of a start and FC Dnepr Mogilev receive them. At -1, Torpedo Zhodino must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Torpedo Zhodino win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (Torpedo Zhodino)Actual: FC Dnepr Mogilev
Torpedo Zhodino -2
24.5%
@ 5.55+8.5%
Draw -2
21.1%
@ 5.00+3.4%
FC Dnepr Mogilev +2
54.4%
@ 1.34-11.9%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Marathonbet
5.55
Draw
Marathonbet
5.00
Away
Marathonbet
1.34
Handicap -1 (Torpedo Zhodino)Actual: FC Dnepr Mogilev
This opponent (FC Dnepr Mogilev) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
FC Dnepr Mogilev
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.70
0.53
0.69
0.44
0.71
0.64
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (23)
0.65
0.57
0.69
0.46
0.60
0.70
vs Weaker (7)
0.86
0.43
0.67
0.33
1.00
0.50
Clean sheet %
63% (+32pp vs league)
This opponent (Torpedo Zhodino) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
68.4%
@ 1.38+1.0%
Under 0.5
31.6%
@ 2.84-1.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
1.39
Marathonbet
1.39
Pinnacle
1.39
Superbet
1.36
William Hil
1.36
Under
Superbet
2.92
William Hil
2.90
Pinnacle
2.85
Marathonbet
2.77
1xBet
2.77
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
31.1%
@ 2.72-2.9%
Under 1.5
68.9%
@ 1.40+2.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.84
1xBet
2.77
Marathonbet
2.77
William Hil
2.62
Superbet
2.62
Under
Superbet
1.43
William Hil
1.40
Pinnacle
1.39
Marathonbet
1.39
1xBet
1.39
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
11.7%
@ 6.55-2.3%
Under 2.5
88.3%
@ 1.07+2.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
6.70
1xBet
6.70
William Hil
6.50
Superbet
6.30
Under
Superbet
1.09
William Hil
1.08
1xBet
1.05
Marathonbet
1.05
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Torpedo Zhodino over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
54.3%
@ 1.74+1.0%
Under
45.7%
@ 1.99-1.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
1.76
Marathonbet
1.74
1xBet
1.74
Superbet
1.72
Under
Pinnacle
2.04
Superbet
2.00
1xBet
1.98
Marathonbet
1.95
Torpedo Zhodino over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
16.7%
@ 4.72-2.7%
Under
83.3%
@ 1.14+2.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
4.85
1xBet
4.60
Under
Marathonbet
1.14
1xBet
1.14
Torpedo Zhodino over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
4.1%
Under
95.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC Dnepr Mogilev over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
30.4%
@ 2.67-4.3%
Under
69.6%
@ 1.42+4.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.78
Marathonbet
2.72
Superbet
2.60
1xBet
2.60
Under
Superbet
1.44
1xBet
1.43
Pinnacle
1.41
Marathonbet
1.39
FC Dnepr Mogilev over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
6.2%
@ 10.75-2.4%
Under
93.8%
@ 1.01+2.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
11.00
1xBet
10.50
Under
1xBet
1.01
FC Dnepr Mogilev over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.8%
Under
99.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Torpedo Zhodino
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.1
Avg conceded
0.9
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.70
0.77
0.81
0.62
0.57
0.93
vs Stronger (1)
1.00
0.00
-
-
1.00
0.00
vs Similar (19)
0.37
0.95
0.50
0.70
0.22
1.22
vs Weaker (10)
1.30
0.50
1.33
0.50
1.25
0.50
Clean sheet %
33% (+2pp vs league)
This opponent (FC Dnepr Mogilev) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
FC Dnepr Mogilev
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
1.2
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.83
0.70
0.88
0.62
0.79
0.79
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (23)
0.70
0.78
0.77
0.69
0.60
0.90
vs Weaker (7)
1.29
0.43
1.33
0.33
1.25
0.50
Clean sheet %
43% (+12pp vs league)
This opponent (Torpedo Zhodino) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
76.9%
@ 1.23+1.7%
Under 0.5
23.1%
@ 3.73-1.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
William Hil
1.25
Superbet
1.23
1xBet
1.21
Marathonbet
1.21
Under
Superbet
3.80
Marathonbet
3.75
1xBet
3.75
William Hil
3.60
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
42.5%
@ 2.08-2.3%
Under 1.5
57.5%
@ 1.69+2.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
William Hil
2.10
Marathonbet
2.08
1xBet
2.08
Superbet
2.07
Under
Marathonbet
1.70
1xBet
1.70
Superbet
1.68
William Hil
1.67
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
19.5%
@ 4.44-1.3%
Under 2.5
80.5%
@ 1.17+1.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
William Hil
4.60
1xBet
4.40
Marathonbet
4.40
Superbet
4.35
Under
Superbet
1.18
William Hil
1.17
1xBet
1.16
Marathonbet
1.16
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Torpedo Zhodino over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
60.1%
@ 1.55+0.4%
Under
39.9%
@ 2.29-0.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
1.63
Superbet
1.52
1xBet
1.50
Under
1xBet
2.40
Superbet
2.37
Marathonbet
2.11
Torpedo Zhodino over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
26.4%
@ 3.32-1.2%
Under
73.6%
@ 1.27+1.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
3.34
1xBet
3.30
Under
Marathonbet
1.27
1xBet
1.27
Torpedo Zhodino over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
7.2%
@ 9.30-2.7%
Under
92.8%
@ 1.02+2.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
9.30
Under
1xBet
1.02
FC Dnepr Mogilev over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
40.2%
@ 2.19-1.9%
Under
59.8%
@ 1.59+1.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
2.22
1xBet
2.20
Superbet
2.15
Under
Superbet
1.62
1xBet
1.59
Marathonbet
1.57
FC Dnepr Mogilev over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
12.0%
@ 7.70+0.1%
Under
88.0%
@ 1.04-0.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
7.90
1xBet
7.50
Under
Marathonbet
1.04
1xBet
1.04
FC Dnepr Mogilev over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
1.7%
Under
98.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Away under 3.5 goals
99.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 HT goals
99.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 7.5
99.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 2H goals
98.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 6.5
97.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home +2 handicap
96.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 goals
96.0%
1.02
Superbet
1.04
Marathonbet
1.01
1xBet
1.01
-
-
+5.1%
✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 HT goals
95.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Away under 1.5 HT goals
93.8%
1.01
1xBet
1.01
-
-
-
-
+2.4%
✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 2H goals
92.8%
1.02
1xBet
1.02
-
-
-
-
+2.7%
✓ Hit
Under 5.5
92.5%
1.01
1xBet
1.01
-
-
-
-
+1.2%
✓ Hit
Over 19.5 fouls
90.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 5.5 cards
90.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home or Draw
89.3%
1.15
William Hil
1.17
Marathonbet
1.16
Superbet
1.16
1xBet
1.16
SBO
1.09
+8.6%
✓ Hit
Home over 0.5 goals
88.5%
1.16
Marathonbet
1.19
Superbet
1.16
1xBet
1.13
-
-
+8.9%
✗ Miss
Under 2.5 HT goals
88.3%
1.07
Superbet
1.09
William Hil
1.08
1xBet
1.05
Marathonbet
1.05
-
+2.3%
✓ Hit
Away under 1.5 2H goals
88.0%
1.04
Marathonbet
1.04
1xBet
1.04
-
-
-
-0.1%
✓ Hit
Home under 1.5 HT goals
83.3%
1.14
Marathonbet
1.14
1xBet
1.14
-
-
-
+2.7%
✓ Hit
Under 4.5
83.0%
1.08
Superbet
1.10
1xBet
1.07
Marathonbet
1.07
-
-
-1.4%
✓ Hit
Away under 1.5 goals
82.7%
1.25
Superbet
1.26
1xBet
1.24
Marathonbet
1.24
-
-
+7.8%
✓ Hit
Home under 3.5 goals
82.7%
1.04
Marathonbet
1.04
1xBet
1.04
-
-
-
-5.2%
✓ Hit
Over 21.5 fouls
81.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 2.5 2H goals
80.5%
1.17
Superbet
1.18
William Hil
1.17
1xBet
1.16
Marathonbet
1.16
-
+1.3%
✓ Hit
Under 4.5 cards
79.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home or Away
79.7%
1.24
1xBet
1.26
Marathonbet
1.26
William Hil
1.25
Superbet
1.25
SBO
1.17
+4.9%
✗ Miss
Over 1.5
79.6%
1.27
Pinnacle
1.32
Superbet
1.27
Marathonbet
1.25
1xBet
1.25
-
+7.4%
✗ Miss
Over 0.5 2H goals
76.9%
1.23
William Hil
1.25
Superbet
1.23
1xBet
1.21
Marathonbet
1.21
-
+1.7%
✗ Miss
Over 8.5 corners
75.2%
1.46
Superbet
1.50
Marathonbet
1.44
1xBet
1.44
-
-
+12.4%
✓ Hit
Home under 1.5 2H goals
73.6%
1.27
Marathonbet
1.27
1xBet
1.27
-
-
-
+1.2%
✓ Hit
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
MV (26)
€14m
DM (27)
€9m
DB (23)
€7m
TZ (31)
€5m
BB (26)
€4m
SM (25)
€4m
FG (23)
€4m
NEM (28)
€4m
FIM (23)
€4m
FM (25)
€3m
FDM (25)
€3m
FV (24)
€3m
BAR (21)
€2m
NAF (21)
€2m
BEL (16)
€2m
A( (17)
€2m
Torpedo Zhodino's squad is €2m more valuable than FC Dnepr Mogilev's (€5m vs €3m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
MV (9)
€6m
DM (8)
€3m
DB (5)
€2m
FG (8)
€2m
FV (13)
€2m
TZ (10)
€2m
BB (8)
€1m
FDM (9)
€1m
NEM (9)
€1m
FM (9)
€1m
FIM (8)
€1m
BAR (8)
€1m
SM (5)
€1m
BEL (6)
€1m
A( (5)
€1m
NAF (4)
€0m
Torpedo Zhodino and FC Dnepr Mogilev have a similar attack value (both €2m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
MV (6)
€3m
DM (8)
€2m
NEM (9)
€2m
TZ (7)
€2m
BB (9)
€2m
DB (5)
€1m
SM (10)
€1m
FIM (8)
€1m
NAF (9)
€1m
FG (5)
€1m
FDM (6)
€1m
FM (5)
€1m
BAR (4)
€0m
A( (5)
€0m
BEL (2)
€0m
FV (3)
€0m
Torpedo Zhodino and FC Dnepr Mogilev have a similar midfield value (both €2m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
MV (11)
€5m
DM (11)
€3m
DB (13)
€3m
TZ (14)
€2m
SM (10)
€2m
FIM (7)
€2m
FM (11)
€1m
FG (10)
€1m
BB (9)
€1m
FDM (10)
€1m
FV (8)
€1m
BAR (9)
€1m
NEM (10)
€1m
BEL (8)
€1m
A( (7)
€1m
NAF (8)
€1m
Torpedo Zhodino and FC Dnepr Mogilev have a similar defence value (both €2m).
Belarus: Premier League 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Belarus: Premier League stats & trends →
PythiaFootballBETA
FC Vitebsk
FC Isloch Minsk R.
Dinamo Brest
Neman
FC Minsk
Baranovichi
FC Gomel
ML Vitebsk
Bate Borisov
Slavia Mozyr
Dinamo Minsk
Belshina
Naftan
Arsenal (Belarus)