Torpedo Zhodino and FC Isloch Minsk R. face a tightly contested clash, with the model favouring a home win at 39 %. The expected total goals sit at 2.5, but the most likely total is two, with a 27 % chance of exactly 2 goals. The single scoreline the model deems most probable is a 1-1 draw, carrying a 14.1 % probability. Torpedo’s home form shows 1.38 goals scored and 1.12 conceded against similar opposition, while Isloch’s away record is 1.0 scored and 0.78 conceded. Suggested picks include Under 5.5 cards (91.3 %), Under 4.5 cards (81.0 %), Under 11.5 corners (79.3 %), Under 25.5 fouls (76.7 %), Under 3.5 (76.3 %) hit, Over 1.5 (72.0 %) hit, and Over 19.5 fouls (70.5 %). The probabilities for the match outcome are 39 % home win, 30 % draw, and 31 % away win.
Results analysis
The upset came early as FC Isloch Minsk R. seized a 0-2 victory, ending Torpedo Zhodino’s run of draws and defeats. The pre-match favourite, Home win, carried a 39 % probability but was wrong, as the away side prevailed. The model’s selection of Under 3.5, with a 76.3 % chance, hit, as did Over 1.5 at 72 %. The most likely scoreline was 1-1, yet the match finished 0-2, a 27 % chance for the predicted total of two goals. Torpedo’s recent form of DLLLL and Isloch’s WWWWW streak both highlight how the prediction model missed the actual outcome.
🎯 1. Model Analysis
Torpedo Zhodino win✗ Miss
39.1%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
29.6%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
FC Isloch Minsk R. win✓ Hit
31.2%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
⚽ 2. Goal Analysis
Torpedo Zhodino
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.2
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
1.1
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.50
1.07
1.73
1.13
1.27
1.00
vs Stronger (4)
0.75
1.25
1.00
1.00
0.50
1.50
vs Similar (16)
1.31
1.19
1.38
1.12
1.25
1.25
vs Weaker (10)
2.10
0.80
2.60
1.20
1.60
0.40
Clean sheet %
27% (-5pp vs league)
This opponent (FC Isloch Minsk R.) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
FC Isloch Minsk R.
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.50
0.87
1.73
0.73
1.27
1.00
vs Stronger (4)
1.00
2.00
1.00
1.50
1.00
2.50
vs Similar (18)
1.44
0.83
1.89
0.89
1.00
0.78
vs Weaker (8)
1.88
0.38
1.75
0.00
2.00
0.75
Clean sheet %
50% (+18pp vs league)
This opponent (Torpedo Zhodino) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.5 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (27%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
72.0%
Under 1.5
28.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
44.9%
Under 2.5
55.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
23.7%
Under 3.5
76.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
51.4%
No
48.6%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
14.1%
1-0
9.8%
0-0
9.7%
2-1
8.5%
0-1
8.5%
1-2
7.4%
2-0
7.3%
0-2 ✓
5.6%
Torpedo Zhodino goals ↓
FC Isloch Minsk R. goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
9.7%
8.5%
5.6%
2.2%
0.6%
1
9.8%
14%
7.4%
2.8%
0.8%
2
7.3%
8.5%
4.9%
1.9%
0.5%
3
3.2%
3.7%
2.1%
0.8%
0.2%
4
1.1%
1.2%
0.7%
0.3%
0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Torpedo Zhodino goals (down), columns = FC Isloch Minsk R. goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
ML Vitebsk
2.27
Dinamo Minsk
2.03
Slavia Mozyr
1.90
Dinamo Brest
1.70
FC Minsk
1.70
Torpedo Zhodino
1.63
FC Isloch Minsk R.
1.63
Belshina
1.50
Neman
1.50
FC Gomel
1.43
Bate Borisov
1.33
FC Dnepr Mogilev
1.31
Baranovichi
1.28
Arsenal (Belarus)
1.10
FC Vitebsk
1.03
Naftan
0.93
Torpedo Zhodino and FC Isloch Minsk R. are level in average points per game (both 1.63).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
ML Vitebsk
1.77
Slavia Mozyr
1.77
Dinamo Minsk
1.68
FC Minsk
1.60
FC Isloch Minsk R.
1.50
Torpedo Zhodino
1.43
Dinamo Brest
1.40
Neman
1.37
Bate Borisov
1.27
FC Vitebsk
1.23
Naftan
1.17
FC Gomel
1.17
FC Dnepr Mogilev
1.15
Baranovichi
1.12
Arsenal (Belarus)
0.90
Belshina
0.50
Torpedo Zhodino is 0.07 goals worse than FC Isloch Minsk R. in terms of goals scored per game (1.43 vs 1.50).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Belshina
0.50
ML Vitebsk
0.60
FC Isloch Minsk R.
0.87
Dinamo Minsk
0.90
Dinamo Brest
1.00
Torpedo Zhodino
1.00
Neman
1.03
Slavia Mozyr
1.07
FC Gomel
1.13
Arsenal (Belarus)
1.17
FC Dnepr Mogilev
1.30
Baranovichi
1.34
Bate Borisov
1.43
FC Vitebsk
1.53
FC Minsk
1.57
Naftan
1.83
Torpedo Zhodino is 0.13 goals worse than FC Isloch Minsk R. in terms of goals conceded per game (1.00 vs 0.87).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
Neman
63%
Dinamo Minsk
56%
FC Isloch Minsk R.
55%
Bate Borisov
50%
Slavia Mozyr
50%
Arsenal (Belarus)
44%
FC Minsk
37%
Not enough data to compare these two teams.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Torpedo Zhodino
🚩 Corners
No recent corners data for this league.
For 1.1 · Against 1.8 · Total 2.9
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
⚠️ Fouls
No recent fouls data for this league.
FC Isloch Minsk R.
For 6.0 · Against 2.0 · Total 8.0
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.0 · Against 1.0 · Total 3.0
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 12.0 · Against 12.0 · Total 24.0
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Torpedo Zhodino
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
-
-
-
2.1
2.2
1.9
-
-
-
vs Stronger (4)
-
-
-
0.0
0.0
0.0
-
-
-
vs Similar (29)
-
-
-
2.6
2.6
2.5
-
-
-
vs Weaker (17)
-
-
-
1.8
2.0
1.6
-
-
-
% over line
-
-
-
22%
20%
24%
-
-
-
% under line
-
-
-
78%
80%
76%
-
-
-
This opponent (FC Isloch Minsk R.) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
FC Isloch Minsk R.
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
8.0
-
8.0
2.4
2.3
2.5
24.0
-
24.0
vs Stronger (5)
-
-
-
1.4
1.5
1.3
-
-
-
vs Similar (34)
-
-
-
2.5
2.3
2.6
-
-
-
vs Weaker (11)
8.0
-
8.0
2.6
2.4
3.0
24.0
-
24.0
% over line
0%
-
0%
24%
29%
19%
100%
-
100%
% under line
100%
-
100%
76%
71%
81%
0%
-
0%
This opponent (Torpedo Zhodino) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Slavia Mozyr
13.0
Bate Borisov
13.0
Belshina
10.9
Dinamo Minsk
10.6
Arsenal (Belarus)
10.0
FC Isloch Minsk R.
8.0
FC Dnepr Mogilev
7.0
Neman
6.8
FC Minsk
2.0
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Belshina
5.3
Arsenal (Belarus)
3.6
Bate Borisov
3.5
Slavia Mozyr
3.5
FC Vitebsk
3.2
Naftan
3.1
Dinamo Minsk
3.0
Neman
3.0
FC Minsk
3.0
FC Gomel
3.0
FC Dnepr Mogilev
2.9
Dinamo Brest
2.8
FC Isloch Minsk R.
2.7
Torpedo Zhodino
2.5
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Slavia Mozyr
29.0
Arsenal (Belarus)
29.0
Bate Borisov
29.0
Dinamo Minsk
25.0
FC Isloch Minsk R.
24.0
Neman
16.0
FC Minsk
7.0
Corners O/U 9.5
Over 9.5
42.6%
Under 9.5
57.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5
Over 3.5
36.0%
Under 3.5
64.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5
Over 21.5
54.2%
Under 21.5
45.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
⚖️ 7. Handicap
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Torpedo Zhodino
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.63
0.43
0.80
0.53
0.47
0.33
vs Stronger (4)
0.00
0.75
0.00
0.50
0.00
1.00
vs Similar (16)
0.69
0.38
0.88
0.38
0.50
0.38
vs Weaker (10)
0.80
0.40
1.00
0.80
0.60
0.00
Clean sheet %
70% (+38pp vs league)
This opponent (FC Isloch Minsk R.) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
FC Isloch Minsk R.
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.7
Avg scored
0.2
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.73
0.37
0.93
0.27
0.53
0.47
vs Stronger (4)
0.00
1.00
0.00
0.50
0.00
1.50
vs Similar (18)
0.78
0.33
1.11
0.33
0.44
0.33
vs Weaker (8)
1.00
0.12
1.00
0.00
1.00
0.25
Clean sheet %
67% (+35pp vs league)
This opponent (Torpedo Zhodino) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Torpedo Zhodino over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Torpedo Zhodino over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Torpedo Zhodino over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC Isloch Minsk R. over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC Isloch Minsk R. over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC Isloch Minsk R. over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Torpedo Zhodino
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.87
0.63
0.93
0.60
0.80
0.67
vs Stronger (4)
0.75
0.50
1.00
0.50
0.50
0.50
vs Similar (16)
0.62
0.81
0.50
0.75
0.75
0.88
vs Weaker (10)
1.30
0.40
1.60
0.40
1.00
0.40
Clean sheet %
40% (+8pp vs league)
This opponent (FC Isloch Minsk R.) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
FC Isloch Minsk R.
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.8
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.2
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.77
0.50
0.80
0.47
0.73
0.53
vs Stronger (4)
1.00
1.00
1.00
1.00
1.00
1.00
vs Similar (18)
0.67
0.50
0.78
0.56
0.56
0.44
vs Weaker (8)
0.88
0.25
0.75
0.00
1.00
0.50
Clean sheet %
63% (+32pp vs league)
This opponent (Torpedo Zhodino) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Torpedo Zhodino over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Torpedo Zhodino over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Torpedo Zhodino over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC Isloch Minsk R. over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC Isloch Minsk R. over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC Isloch Minsk R. over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Under 5.5 cards
91.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 4.5 cards
81.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 11.5 corners
79.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 25.5 fouls
76.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 3.5
76.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 1.5
72.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 19.5 fouls
70.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
💰 13. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
DM (50)
€10m
DB (20)
€6m
TZ (20)
€3m
NEM (22)
€3m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
DM (13)
€3m
DB (4)
€2m
NEM (7)
€1m
TZ (3)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
DM (13)
€2m
TZ (8)
€2m
DB (4)
€1m
NEM (7)
€1m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
DM (24)
€5m
DB (12)
€3m
TZ (9)
€1m
NEM (8)
€1m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.
🤝 14. Games History
H2H record
8 previous meetings
5
TZ wins
1
Draws
2
FIM wins
Head-to-head
Torpedo Zhodino vs FC Isloch Minsk R. · H/A from TZ
Belarus: Premier League 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Belarus: Premier League stats & trends →
PythiaFootballBETA
FC Vitebsk
Dinamo Brest
FC Minsk
Slavia Mozyr
Neman
Baranovichi
FC Gomel
Bate Borisov
Belshina
ML Vitebsk
Naftan
Dinamo Minsk
FC Dnepr Mogilev
Arsenal (Belarus)