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Torreense vs Fafe Result & Analysis

Date: 23/04/2026
Time: 19:45
Final 2-0
Torreense
Torreense
Vs
43%
28%
30%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Fafe
Fafe
Portugal: Taça de Portugal
Referee: -
1 Model Analysis2 Goal Analysis3 Team Strengths Analysis4 Props Analysis5 Double Chance6 Home & Away Over/Under7 Handicap8 Half Time Goals O/U9 Half Time Home & Away O/U10 Second Half Goals O/U11 Second Half Home & Away O/U
12 Top picks for this game13 Squad value14 Games History15 Overall Statistics16 League Table
Match preview & prediction

Torreense are the clear favourites, with a 43% chance of victory, a 28% chance of a draw and a 30% chance of a Fafe win. The model expects 2.8 goals on average, with the most likely total being 2 goals at a 25% probability. The single most probable scoreline is 1-1, a 13.1% chance. Torreense’s home form shows 1.5 goals scored and 0.88 conceded against similar opponents, while Fafe’s away form averages 1.0 goal scored and 0 conceded. Suggested picks include Under 7.5 (99.2%), Under 6.5 (97.7%), Over 19.5 fouls (96.9%), Away under 3.5 goals (96.2%), Under 5.5 (93.7%), Home under 3.5 goals (93.1%), Over 21.5 fouls (92.7%) and Over 2.5 cards (90.8%). Torreense’s recent draw streak and Fafe’s recent defeats hint at a tight contest, but the odds favour the home side.

Results analysis

The match saw Torreense extend their recent form, coming off a draw, and secure a 2-0 victory over Fafe, who had just suffered a defeat. The model’s pre-match favourite was a home win with a 43% probability, and it proved correct. The most likely scoreline was 2-1, yet the actual result settled at 2-0. The model’s selections were largely accurate: Under 7.5 goals hit at 99.2%, Under 6.5 at 97.7%, Away under 3.5 goals at 96.2%, Under 5.5 at 93.7%, and Home under 3.5 goals at 93.1%. All picks were fulfilled, confirming the model’s strong predictive performance.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Torreense win✓ Hit
42.7%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
27.5%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Fafe win✗ Miss
29.8%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

TorreenseTorreense

Last 10 – goals for & against
30-331W00D10W03L30W10W30W11D02L10WH·UNI08/02A·PAC15/02H·BEN21/02H·FC 28/02A·OLI07/03H·POR16/03A·FEL22/03H·LEI06/04A·CHA11/04H·MAR18/04
Avg total
2.0
Avg scored
1.3
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.331.031.431.141.250.94
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (18)1.561.001.500.881.601.10
vs Weaker (12)1.001.081.331.500.670.67
Clean sheet %33% (+4pp vs league)
This opponent (Fafe) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

FafeFafe

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-414L10W10W21W10W21W11DH·AMA08/09A·ORI21/09H·MOR19/10H·ARO23/11A·LUS27/12H·SC 14/01H·TOR04/02
Avg total
2.3
Avg scored
1.3
Avg conceded
1.0
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.291.001.401.401.000.00
vs Stronger (1)2.001.002.001.00--
vs Similar (5)1.200.401.330.671.000.00
vs Weaker (1)1.004.001.004.00--
Clean sheet %43% (+14pp vs league)
This opponent (Torreense) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

6%13%19%25%7%015%125%222%315%49%56%6+
The model estimates around 2.8 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (25%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
77.6%
Under 1.5
22.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
52.4%
Under 2.5
47.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
30.2%
Under 3.5
69.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
56.9%
No
43.1%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
13.1%
2-1
9.1%
1-0
8.4%
0-0
7.4%
1-2
7.4%
2-0 ✓
7.3%
0-1
6.6%
2-2
5.7%
Torreense goals ↓
Fafe goals →
01234
07.4%6.6%4.8%2.0%0.6%
18.4%13%7.4%3.1%1.0%
27.3%9.1%5.7%2.3%0.7%
33.7%4.6%2.9%1.2%0.4%
41.4%1.8%1.1%0.5%0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Torreense goals (down), columns = Fafe goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Sporting CP
3.00
Benfica
2.57
Rebordosa
2.40
Alverca
2.33
Amarante
2.25
GIL Vicente
2.25
Oliveira Hospital
2.25
Cinfães
2.25
Lusitânia
2.25
SC Braga
2.25
São João Ver
2.17
Tirsense
2.14
Moreirense
2.00
Chaves
2.00
Guimaraes
2.00
Leixoes
2.00
Farense
2.00
CF Os Belenenses
2.00
Casa Pia
2.00
Lusitânia Lourosa
2.00
União de Leiria
2.00
Maria da Fonte
2.00
Anadia
2.00
Moncarapachense
2.00
União Santarém
2.00
Varzim
2.00
O Elvas
2.00
Operário
2.00
SC Covilha
2.00
Santa Clara
2.00
Brito
1.75
Vila Real
1.75
Rio Ave
1.67
Estrela
1.50
FC Porto
1.50
Vilaverdense
1.50
Academica
1.50
Pacos Ferreira
1.50
Os Marialvas
1.50
Portimonense
1.50
AVS
1.50
Torreense
1.50
Penafiel
1.50
FC Serpa
1.50
Machico
1.50
Vianense
1.50
Ferreira Zêzere
1.50
Sintrense
1.50
Louletano
1.50
Atlético CP
1.50
Os Limianos
1.50
Lagoa
1.50
Alpendorada
1.50
Paredes
1.50
Amora
1.50
Mortágua
1.50
1º Dezembro
1.50
Mafra
1.50
Famalicao
1.50
Arouca
1.50
Sanjoanense
1.33
Caldas
1.33
Lusitano Évora 1911
1.25
Atlético Malveira
1.02
Vila Meã
1.02
Portalegrense
1.02
Correlhã
1.02
Vitória de Sernache
1.02
Florgrade
1.02
Nazarenos
1.02
Vasco da Gama Vidigueira
1.02
Valenciano
1.02
Castro Daire
1.02
Uniao Nogueirense
1.02
Espinho
1.02
Naval 1893
1.02
Rebordelo
1.02
Portimonense B
1.02
Ançã
1.02
Resende
1.02
CD Olivais e Moscavide
1.02
Silves
1.02
Vidago
1.02
AD Fornos Algodres
1.02
Vila Caíz
1.02
Angrense
1.02
Charneca Caparica
1.02
Oriental Lisboa
1.02
Sourense
1.02
Celoricense
1.02
AD Portomosense
1.02
Alcochetense
1.02
Fayal
1.02
Gouveia
1.02
Samora Correir
1.02
Ribeira Brava
1.02
Aparecida GO
1.02
Mirandela
1.02
Estrela Calheta
1.02
SC Celoricense
1.02
Almodôvar
1.02
Mosteirense
1.02
Águias do Moradal
1.02
Urzelinense
1.02
Celeirós
1.02
Quarteirense
1.02
AR São Martinho
1.02
Carregal
1.02
Juventude Évora
1.02
Fazendense
1.02
Pontassolense
1.02
Academico Viseu
1.00
Estoril
1.00
AD Marco 09
1.00
Fátima
1.00
Marinhense
1.00
Lajense
1.00
Leça
1.00
Ovarense
1.00
Beira-Mar
1.00
Nacional
0.00
Trofense
0.00
Vizela
0.00
Feirense
0.00
Tondela
0.00
Académico do Fundão
0.00
Olímpico do Montijo
0.00
Sacavenense
0.00
Eléctrico
0.00
Felgueiras 1932
0.00
Maritimo
0.00
Oliveirense
0.00
União Lamas
0.00
Viana Alentejo
0.00
Fafe
0.00
Camacha
0.00
Monção
0.00
Benfica Castelo Branco
0.00
Castrense
0.00
Bragança
0.00
Portel
0.00
Vinhais
0.00
Comércio Indústria
0.00
Peniche
0.00
Salgueiros
0.00
UD da Serra
0.00
Valpaços
0.00
Rabo Peixe
0.00
Torreense is 1.50 points better than Fafe in terms of average points per game (1.50 vs 0.00).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Benfica
3.29
Amarante
3.00
Vizela
3.00
Casa Pia
3.00
Penafiel
3.00
Comércio Indústria
3.00
SC Covilha
3.00
Arouca
3.00
Valpaços
3.00
Alverca
2.67
Anadia
2.67
Sporting CP
2.57
Vilaverdense
2.50
FC Serpa
2.50
Cinfães
2.50
Os Limianos
2.50
Farense
2.33
Sanjoanense
2.33
Moncarapachense
2.33
FC Porto
2.00
Guimaraes
2.00
Lusitânia Lourosa
2.00
Portimonense
2.00
AVS
2.00
Rebordosa
2.00
Oliveira Hospital
2.00
Louletano
2.00
Atlético CP
2.00
São João Ver
2.00
Leça
2.00
Alpendorada
2.00
Paredes
2.00
Castrense
2.00
Beira-Mar
2.00
Rio Ave
1.83
Lusitânia
1.75
CF Os Belenenses
1.67
União Santarém
1.67
Varzim
1.67
Estrela
1.50
Pacos Ferreira
1.50
Os Marialvas
1.50
Torreense
1.50
Machico
1.50
Vianense
1.50
Ferreira Zêzere
1.50
Mortágua
1.50
SC Braga
1.50
1º Dezembro
1.50
O Elvas
1.40
Moreirense
1.33
Chaves
1.33
União de Leiria
1.33
Atlético Malveira
1.29
Vila Meã
1.29
Portalegrense
1.29
Correlhã
1.29
Vitória de Sernache
1.29
Florgrade
1.29
Nazarenos
1.29
Vasco da Gama Vidigueira
1.29
Valenciano
1.29
Castro Daire
1.29
Uniao Nogueirense
1.29
Espinho
1.29
Naval 1893
1.29
Rebordelo
1.29
Portimonense B
1.29
Ançã
1.29
Resende
1.29
CD Olivais e Moscavide
1.29
Silves
1.29
Vidago
1.29
AD Fornos Algodres
1.29
Vila Caíz
1.29
Angrense
1.29
Charneca Caparica
1.29
Oriental Lisboa
1.29
Sourense
1.29
Celoricense
1.29
AD Portomosense
1.29
Alcochetense
1.29
Fayal
1.29
Gouveia
1.29
Samora Correir
1.29
Ribeira Brava
1.29
Aparecida GO
1.29
Mirandela
1.29
Estrela Calheta
1.29
SC Celoricense
1.29
Almodôvar
1.29
Mosteirense
1.29
Águias do Moradal
1.29
Urzelinense
1.29
Celeirós
1.29
Quarteirense
1.29
AR São Martinho
1.29
Carregal
1.29
Juventude Évora
1.29
Fazendense
1.29
Pontassolense
1.29
GIL Vicente
1.25
Lusitano Évora 1911
1.25
Tirsense
1.14
Academico Viseu
1.00
Leixoes
1.00
Nacional
1.00
Academica
1.00
Tondela
1.00
AD Marco 09
1.00
Maria da Fonte
1.00
Olímpico do Montijo
1.00
Sintrense
1.00
Maritimo
1.00
Oliveirense
1.00
União Lamas
1.00
Viana Alentejo
1.00
Fafe
1.00
Lajense
1.00
Lagoa
1.00
Monção
1.00
Bragança
1.00
Ovarense
1.00
Operário
1.00
Vinhais
1.00
Salgueiros
1.00
Mafra
1.00
Famalicao
1.00
Santa Clara
1.00
Brito
0.75
Vila Real
0.75
Caldas
0.67
Amora
0.50
Trofense
0.00
Feirense
0.00
Estoril
0.00
Académico do Fundão
0.00
Fátima
0.00
Marinhense
0.00
Sacavenense
0.00
Eléctrico
0.00
Felgueiras 1932
0.00
Camacha
0.00
Benfica Castelo Branco
0.00
Portel
0.00
Peniche
0.00
UD da Serra
0.00
Rabo Peixe
0.00
Torreense is 0.50 goals better than Fafe in terms of goals scored per game (1.50 vs 1.00).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Estoril
0.00
Fátima
0.00
Marinhense
0.00
Operário
0.00
GIL Vicente
0.25
Academica
0.50
FC Serpa
0.50
Brito
0.50
Vila Real
0.50
Famalicao
0.50
Sporting CP
0.57
Benfica
0.57
Varzim
0.67
Caldas
0.67
Santa Clara
0.67
SC Braga
0.75
São João Ver
0.83
Academico Viseu
1.00
Moreirense
1.00
FC Porto
1.00
Chaves
1.00
Guimaraes
1.00
Leixoes
1.00
Feirense
1.00
CF Os Belenenses
1.00
Casa Pia
1.00
AD Marco 09
1.00
União de Leiria
1.00
Machico
1.00
Rebordosa
1.00
Ferreira Zêzere
1.00
Louletano
1.00
Felgueiras 1932
1.00
Lagoa
1.00
União Santarém
1.00
Alpendorada
1.00
Ovarense
1.00
Portel
1.00
UD da Serra
1.00
Mafra
1.00
Arouca
1.00
O Elvas
1.20
Oliveira Hospital
1.25
Lusitano Évora 1911
1.25
Alverca
1.33
Sanjoanense
1.33
Moncarapachense
1.33
Tirsense
1.43
Rio Ave
1.50
Pacos Ferreira
1.50
Os Marialvas
1.50
Portimonense
1.50
AVS
1.50
Torreense
1.50
Atlético CP
1.50
Lusitânia
1.50
Mortágua
1.50
1º Dezembro
1.50
Anadia
1.67
SC Covilha
1.67
Cinfães
1.75
Atlético Malveira
1.82
Vila Meã
1.82
Portalegrense
1.82
Correlhã
1.82
Vitória de Sernache
1.82
Florgrade
1.82
Nazarenos
1.82
Vasco da Gama Vidigueira
1.82
Valenciano
1.82
Castro Daire
1.82
Uniao Nogueirense
1.82
Espinho
1.82
Naval 1893
1.82
Rebordelo
1.82
Portimonense B
1.82
Ançã
1.82
Resende
1.82
CD Olivais e Moscavide
1.82
Silves
1.82
Vidago
1.82
AD Fornos Algodres
1.82
Vila Caíz
1.82
Angrense
1.82
Charneca Caparica
1.82
Oriental Lisboa
1.82
Sourense
1.82
Celoricense
1.82
AD Portomosense
1.82
Alcochetense
1.82
Fayal
1.82
Gouveia
1.82
Samora Correir
1.82
Ribeira Brava
1.82
Aparecida GO
1.82
Mirandela
1.82
Estrela Calheta
1.82
SC Celoricense
1.82
Almodôvar
1.82
Mosteirense
1.82
Águias do Moradal
1.82
Urzelinense
1.82
Celeirós
1.82
Quarteirense
1.82
AR São Martinho
1.82
Carregal
1.82
Juventude Évora
1.82
Fazendense
1.82
Pontassolense
1.82
Amarante
2.00
Farense
2.00
Nacional
2.00
Tondela
2.00
Lusitânia Lourosa
2.00
Penafiel
2.00
Maria da Fonte
2.00
Académico do Fundão
2.00
Olímpico do Montijo
2.00
Vianense
2.00
Sacavenense
2.00
Eléctrico
2.00
Sintrense
2.00
Maritimo
2.00
Oliveirense
2.00
União Lamas
2.00
Viana Alentejo
2.00
Camacha
2.00
Leça
2.00
Monção
2.00
Benfica Castelo Branco
2.00
Bragança
2.00
Beira-Mar
2.00
Vinhais
2.00
Peniche
2.00
Salgueiros
2.00
Vilaverdense
2.50
Os Limianos
2.50
Amora
2.50
Lajense
2.67
Trofense
3.00
Paredes
3.00
Rabo Peixe
3.00
Estrela
4.00
Vizela
4.00
Fafe
4.00
Castrense
4.00
Comércio Indústria
4.00
Valpaços
5.00
Torreense is 2.50 goals better than Fafe in terms of goals conceded per game (1.50 vs 4.00).

⏱️ Possession

Avg possession %
Sporting CP
59%
Rio Ave
42%
Benfica
41%
Not enough data to compare these two teams.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

TorreenseTorreense

For 5.1 · Against 5.0 · Total 10.1

🚩 Corners

180424751810356926961161881589H·MARA·FELH·FC A·PACH·UNIA·PENA·MARA·LEI
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.0 · Against 2.6 · Total 4.6

🟨 Cards

1004223231424132122865514643210H·MARA·CHAH·LEIA·FELH·PORA·OLIH·FC H·BENA·PACH·UNI
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 12.1 · Against 12.2 · Total 24.4

⚠️ Fouls

340101291012116171614171717121052219232330342915H·MARA·FELH·FC A·PACH·UNIA·PENA·MARA·LEI
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

FafeFafe

🚩 Corners

No recent corners data for this league.

🟨 Cards

No recent cards data for this league.

⚠️ Fouls

No recent fouls data for this league.

TorreenseTorreense

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)10.08.311.74.45.04.019.820.019.5
vs Stronger (0)---------
vs Similar (31)8.68.39.54.14.73.619.122.113.8
vs Weaker (19)12.8-12.84.95.34.621.25.025.2
% over line42%33%50%64%75%54%56%62%50%
% under line58%67%50%36%25%46%44%38%50%
This opponent (Fafe) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

FafeFafe

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (7)---0.00.00.0---
vs Stronger (1)---0.00.0----
vs Similar (5)---0.00.00.0---
vs Weaker (1)---0.00.0----
% over line---0%0%0%---
% under line---100%100%100%---
This opponent (Torreense) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

🚩 Total Corners

Match total corners / game
Penafiel
12.1
Portimonense
11.2
Farense
11.0
Vilaverdense
10.8
Lusitânia Lourosa
10.7
SC Covilha
10.6
Trofense
10.6
Famalicao
10.4
Nacional
10.3
Benfica
10.1
Felgueiras 1932
10.1
Academico Viseu
10.1
Rio Ave
10.0
Vizela
10.0
Sporting CP
10.0
Torreense
9.8
União de Leiria
9.8
Casa Pia
9.7
Oliveirense
9.6
Pacos Ferreira
9.6
Tondela
9.4
CF Os Belenenses
9.3
AVS
9.2
GIL Vicente
9.2
Estrela
9.2
Arouca
9.1
Guimaraes
9.1
Chaves
9.1
Feirense
9.0
Alverca
9.0
Leixoes
8.9
Santa Clara
8.9
FC Porto
8.8
Mafra
8.5
Estoril
8.5
Maritimo
8.4
SC Braga
8.3
Moreirense
8.2

🟨 Total Cards

Match total cards / game
Trofense
7.1
Feirense
6.5
Vizela
6.3
Santa Clara
6.2
Chaves
6.2
Felgueiras 1932
6.1
Pacos Ferreira
6.0
Leixoes
5.9
Lusitânia Lourosa
5.9
Maritimo
5.9
Farense
5.8
Casa Pia
5.7
Academico Viseu
5.6
FC Porto
5.6
Oliveirense
5.6
União de Leiria
5.6
Arouca
5.6
Famalicao
5.5
Portimonense
5.5
Benfica
5.5
Penafiel
5.5
Nacional
5.4
Estrela
5.4
Sporting CP
5.4
SC Covilha
5.4
Torreense
5.3
Guimaraes
5.3
AVS
5.3
Moreirense
5.1
Rio Ave
5.0
Tondela
5.0
GIL Vicente
4.9
Alverca
4.8
Vilaverdense
4.8
SC Braga
4.6
Estoril
4.5
CF Os Belenenses
4.5
Mafra
3.6

⚠️ Total Fouls

Match total fouls / game
Trofense
32.3
Famalicao
32.0
Santa Clara
30.8
Estrela
30.6
Farense
30.3
Lusitânia Lourosa
30.2
Guimaraes
29.8
Moreirense
29.7
Casa Pia
28.6
Vilaverdense
28.5
SC Covilha
28.2
GIL Vicente
27.8
Rio Ave
27.8
Estoril
27.5
Nacional
27.1
Sporting CP
27.0
Arouca
26.8
AVS
26.8
FC Porto
26.5
Benfica
26.4
CF Os Belenenses
25.0
SC Braga
24.3
Leixoes
23.5
Tondela
23.0
Pacos Ferreira
22.7
Academico Viseu
21.6
União de Leiria
20.7
Alverca
20.6
Oliveirense
20.5
Maritimo
19.1
Vizela
18.9
Felgueiras 1932
18.8
Chaves
18.3
Penafiel
18.2
Feirense
18.1
Portimonense
17.8
Torreense
16.9
Mafra
14.9
Corners O/U 9.5
Over 9.5
57.5%
Under 9.5
42.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5
Over 3.5
79.2%
Under 3.5
20.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5
Over 21.5
92.7%
Under 21.5
7.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
Torreense or Draw✓ Hit
70.2%
Avg Implied -
43%
28%
30%
covers Torreense + Draw
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Torreense or Fafe✓ Hit
72.5%
Avg Implied -
43%
28%
30%
covers Torreense + Fafe
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw or Fafe✗ Miss
57.3%
Avg Implied -
43%
28%
30%
covers Draw + Fafe
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

Home & Away Over/Under

How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
Torreense over/under 0.5Actual: Over
Over
78.3%
Under
21.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Torreense over/under 1.5Actual: Over
Over
45.2%
Under
54.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Torreense over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
19.8%
Under
80.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Torreense over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
6.9%
Under
93.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fafe over/under 0.5Actual: Under
Over
71.2%
Under
28.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fafe over/under 1.5Actual: Under
Over
35.4%
Under
64.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fafe over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
13.0%
Under
87.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fafe over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
3.8%
Under
96.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⚖️ 7. Handicap

Handicap

The handicap is applied to Torreense, so a minus line means Torreense give that many goals of a start and Fafe receive them. At -1, Torreense must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Torreense win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (Torreense)Actual: Draw
Torreense -2
8.7%
Draw -2
13.2%
Fafe +2
78.2%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap -1 (Torreense)Actual: Torreense
Torreense -1
21.8%
Draw -1
20.8%
Fafe +1
57.3%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +1 (Torreense)Actual: Torreense
Torreense +1
70.2%
Draw +1
16.7%
Fafe -1
13.1%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +2 (Torreense)Actual: Torreense
Torreense +2
86.9%
Draw +2
8.7%
Fafe -2
4.3%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

TorreenseTorreense

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-211D00D10W01L20W10W10W00D00D00DH·UNI08/02A·PAC15/02H·BEN21/02H·FC 28/02A·OLI07/03H·POR16/03A·FEL22/03H·LEI06/04A·CHA11/04H·MAR18/04
Avg total
0.8
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.2
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.430.430.500.570.380.31
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (18)0.500.500.620.500.400.50
vs Weaker (12)0.330.330.330.670.330.00
Clean sheet %60% (+31pp vs league)
This opponent (Fafe) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

FafeFafe

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
10-110W00D01L00D10W10WA·ORI21/09H·MOR19/10H·ARO23/11A·LUS27/12H·SC 14/01H·TOR04/02
Avg total
0.7
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.2
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.500.170.500.250.500.00
vs Stronger (1)1.000.001.000.00--
vs Similar (5)0.400.200.330.330.500.00
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %83% (+54pp vs league)
This opponent (Torreense) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Torreense over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Torreense over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Torreense over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fafe over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fafe over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fafe over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

TorreenseTorreense

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-220W00D00D02L10W00D20W11D02L10WH·UNI08/02A·PAC15/02H·BEN21/02H·FC 28/02A·OLI07/03H·POR16/03A·FEL22/03H·LEI06/04A·CHA11/04H·MAR18/04
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.5
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.900.600.930.570.880.62
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (18)1.060.500.880.381.200.60
vs Weaker (12)0.670.751.000.830.330.67
Clean sheet %57% (+27pp vs league)
This opponent (Fafe) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

FafeFafe

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-200D10W20W10W11D01LA·ORI21/09H·MOR19/10H·ARO23/11A·LUS27/12H·SC 14/01H·TOR04/02
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.3
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.830.331.000.500.500.00
vs Stronger (1)1.001.001.001.00--
vs Similar (5)0.800.201.000.330.500.00
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %67% (+37pp vs league)
This opponent (Torreense) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Torreense over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Torreense over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Torreense over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fafe over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fafe over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fafe over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Under 7.599.2%-------✓ Hit
Under 6.597.7%-------✓ Hit
Over 19.5 fouls96.9%--------
Away under 3.5 goals96.2%-------✓ Hit
Under 5.593.7%-------✓ Hit
Home under 3.5 goals93.1%-------✓ Hit
Over 21.5 fouls92.7%--------
Over 2.5 cards90.8%--------
Away under 2.5 goals87.0%-------✓ Hit
Home +2 handicap86.9%-------✓ Hit
Over 23.5 fouls85.3%--------
Under 4.585.2%-------✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 goals80.2%-------✓ Hit
Over 3.5 cards79.2%--------
Home over 0.5 goals78.3%-------✓ Hit
Away +2 handicap78.2%-------✗ Miss
Over 1.577.6%-------✓ Hit
Over 25.5 fouls74.5%--------
Home or Away72.5%-------✓ Hit
Away over 0.5 goals71.2%-------✗ Miss
Home or Draw70.2%-------✓ Hit
Home +1 handicap70.2%-------✓ Hit

💰 13. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SC (22)
€460m
BEN (19)
€288m
SB (35)
€215m
FAM (27)
€109m
GUI (34)
€73m
GV (30)
€61m
EST (26)
€57m
RA (36)
€53m
ALV (32)
€52m
SC (31)
€46m
CP (34)
€34m
ARO (33)
€32m
EST (39)
€29m
MOR (25)
€28m
NAC (32)
€27m
TON (32)
€25m
TOR (32)
€20m
AVS (34)
€19m
AV (35)
€18m
MAR (26)
€15m
VIZ (31)
€12m
UDL (30)
€12m
FAR (32)
€11m
FEI (33)
€11m
POR (31)
€10m
CHA (29)
€9m
LEI (32)
€8m
F1 (28)
€8m
PEN (29)
€7m
OLI (30)
€7m
LL (27)
€6m
PF (24)
€6m
ACA (11)
€2m
AMA (6)
€1m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SC (7)
€190m
BEN (6)
€105m
SB (13)
€100m
FAM (11)
€51m
GV (14)
€37m
GUI (12)
€34m
EST (8)
€25m
RA (12)
€21m
ALV (11)
€18m
SC (11)
€17m
NAC (11)
€12m
ARO (11)
€12m
MOR (8)
€10m
CP (11)
€9m
AV (15)
€8m
TON (12)
€7m
EST (15)
€7m
TOR (13)
€6m
MAR (10)
€6m
AVS (12)
€6m
VIZ (13)
€5m
POR (9)
€5m
FEI (12)
€4m
CHA (10)
€4m
UDL (7)
€3m
FAR (13)
€3m
OLI (11)
€3m
PF (10)
€3m
LEI (12)
€3m
F1 (9)
€2m
PEN (9)
€2m
LL (10)
€2m
ACA (6)
€1m
AMA (1)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BEN (6)
€93m
SC (4)
€72m
SB (9)
€46m
GUI (8)
€26m
FAM (5)
€17m
ALV (9)
€13m
CP (7)
€10m
EST (5)
€10m
SC (6)
€10m
ARO (7)
€9m
MOR (6)
€8m
AVS (7)
€7m
EST (7)
€7m
RA (7)
€5m
GV (4)
€5m
TOR (6)
€5m
NAC (8)
€4m
TON (6)
€3m
UDL (9)
€3m
FEI (7)
€2m
MAR (6)
€2m
AV (6)
€2m
POR (8)
€2m
CHA (8)
€2m
FAR (5)
€2m
PEN (7)
€2m
LEI (6)
€2m
F1 (5)
€2m
VIZ (3)
€2m
LL (5)
€1m
OLI (6)
€1m
AMA (3)
€1m
PF (2)
€0m
ACA (1)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SC (11)
€198m
BEN (7)
€90m
SB (13)
€69m
FAM (11)
€41m
RA (17)
€26m
ALV (12)
€22m
EST (13)
€22m
GV (12)
€19m
SC (14)
€19m
EST (17)
€15m
CP (16)
€15m
TON (14)
€15m
GUI (14)
€13m
ARO (15)
€11m
MOR (11)
€10m
NAC (13)
€10m
TOR (13)
€9m
AV (14)
€8m
MAR (10)
€7m
AVS (15)
€7m
FAR (14)
€6m
UDL (14)
€6m
VIZ (15)
€5m
FEI (14)
€4m
POR (14)
€4m
CHA (11)
€4m
F1 (14)
€4m
LEI (14)
€3m
PEN (13)
€3m
OLI (13)
€3m
LL (12)
€3m
PF (12)
€2m
ACA (4)
€1m
AMA (2)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🤝 14. Games History

H2H record

1 previous meeting
0
TOR wins
1
Draws
0
FAF wins

Head-to-head

Torreense vs Fafe · H/A from TOR
DateH/AGameScore
04/02/26AFafe Vs TOR1-1

TorreenseTorreense

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
18/04/26HTOR Vs Maritimo1-0
11/04/26AChaves Vs TOR2-0
06/04/26HTOR Vs Leixoes1-1
22/03/26AFelgueiras 1932 Vs TOR0-3
16/03/26HTOR Vs Portimonense1-0
07/03/26AOliveirense Vs TOR0-3
28/02/26HTOR Vs FC Porto B0-3
21/02/26HTOR Vs Benfica B1-0
15/02/26APacos Ferreira Vs TOR0-0
08/02/26HTOR Vs União de Leiria3-1

FafeFafe

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
04/02/26HFAF Vs Torreense1-1
14/01/26HFAF Vs SC Braga2-1
27/12/25ALusitano Évora 1911 Vs FAF0-1
23/11/25HFAF Vs Arouca2-1
19/10/25HFAF Vs Moreirense1-0
21/09/25AOriental Lisboa Vs FAF0-1
08/09/24HFAF Vs Amarante1-4

📊 15. Overall Statistics

Torreense
Torreense
Portugal: Taça de Portugal
Recent: 6 Wins / 2 Draws / 2 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWWDLW1.70
HomeWLWDW1.58
AwayDDWWL1.81
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %50%46%54%
AVG goals2.662.882.46
Over 1.5 %70%75%65%
Over 2.5 %52%54%50%
Over 3.5 %28%33%23%
Scored1.481.501.46
Conceded1.181.381.00
BTTS50%58%42%
Clean Sheet28%25%31%
Corners10.008.3311.67
Cards5.415.675.15
Fafe
Fafe
Portugal: Taça de Portugal
Recent: 5 Wins / 1 Draws / 1 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWWWWD2.29
HomeLWWWD2.00
AwayWW3.00
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %71%60%100%
AVG goals2.292.801.00
Over 1.5 %57%80%0%
Over 2.5 %43%60%0%
Over 3.5 %14%20%0%
Scored1.291.401.00
Conceded1.001.400.00
BTTS57%80%0%
Clean Sheet43%20%100%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 16. League Table

Torreense plays in Portugal - Segunda Liga
RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1MaritimoMaritimo3466
59%
1.9
5029+21
2.3
65%
38%
24%
7.7
20%
6.4
91%
30.1
93%
15
6271.50.9
52%
2Academico ViseuAcademico Viseu3459
50%
1.7
5833+25
2.7
68%
56%
35%
9.8
54%
6.1
91%
29.1
100%
18
8281.71.0
49%
3TorreenseTorreense3459
53%
1.7
4633+13
2.3
59%
44%
21%
10.2
38%
5.4
82%
23.1
62%
20
6591.41.0
46%
4FC Porto BFC Porto B3451
44%
1.5
4142-1
2.4
68%
50%
21%
9.6
55%
6.3
82%
29.4
100%
57
1910271.21.2
47%
5VizelaVizela3451
41%
1.5
3940-1
2.3
65%
41%
21%
9.1
33%
6.6
88%
29.9
78%
12
5251.11.2
54%
6União de LeiriaUnião de Leiria3450
38%
1.5
5246+6
2.9
74%
59%
44%
10.2
69%
5.9
82%
30.6
100%
12
3361.51.4
51%
7LeixoesLeixoes3450
44%
1.5
4655-9
3.0
82%
59%
35%
8.7
27%
6.1
91%
30.1
91%
8
3231.41.6
50%
8FeirenseFeirense3446
35%
1.4
3740-3
2.3
62%
44%
18%
9.3
29%
7.0
94%
29.1
86%
11
4241.11.2
42%
9ChavesChaves3445
38%
1.3
4240+2
2.4
65%
35%
24%
8.3
38%
6.3
82%
27.9
85%
9
4241.21.2
55%
10Benfica BBenfica B3444
32%
1.3
4344-1
2.6
79%
44%
15%
9.6
50%
6.9
91%
31.8
92%
76
158531.31.3
54%
11Felgueiras 1932Felgueiras 19323444
32%
1.3
3438-4
2.1
62%
32%
18%
10.2
56%
5.9
79%
29.4
89%
8
2241.01.1
54%
12FarenseFarense3644
31%
1.2
3237-5
1.9
61%
31%
8%
9.7
44%
5.9
86%
31.0
100%
11
3260.91.0
49%
13Lusitânia LourosaLusitânia Lourosa3443
32%
1.3
4452-8
2.8
76%
59%
32%
10.4
54%
5.9
85%
30.1
100%
6
2131.31.5
48%
14Sporting CP BSporting CP B3442
38%
1.2
4134+7
2.2
53%
44%
18%
8.3
40%
6.0
70%
25.0
80%
76
3718211.21.0
54%
15PenafielPenafiel3441
32%
1.2
3739-2
2.2
65%
38%
15%
11.2
80%
5.6
71%
27.1
70%
7
2231.11.1
49%
16PortimonensePortimonense3440
32%
1.2
3949-10
2.6
68%
41%
24%
10.6
78%
5.7
88%
32.9
100%
10
5241.11.4
48%
17Pacos FerreiraPacos Ferreira3439
26%
1.1
3448-14
2.4
68%
50%
24%
9.5
46%
6.3
82%
29.5
85%
6
3021.01.4
46%
18OliveirenseOliveirense3434
24%
1.0
3449-15
2.4
65%
44%
24%
9.2
55%
5.2
61%
29.3
91%
7
3131.01.4
49%
19CF Os BelenensesCF Os Belenenses21
0%
0.5
01-1
0.5
0%
0%
0%
-
0%
4.0
100%
-
0%
0
0000.00.5
-
Portugal: Segunda Liga 2025/26 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Portugal: Segunda Liga stats & trends →

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