This opponent (Leixoes) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Leixoes
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.3
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
1.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.00
1.23
1.40
1.00
0.60
1.47
vs Stronger (9)
1.11
1.11
1.40
1.00
0.75
1.25
vs Similar (21)
0.95
1.29
1.40
1.00
0.55
1.55
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
23% (-5pp vs league)
This opponent (Torreense) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.4 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (27%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
70.8%
Under 1.5
29.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
43.6%
Under 2.5
56.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
22.6%
Under 3.5
77.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
47.7%
No
52.3%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
13.4%
1-0
12.2%
2-0
10.2%
0-0
10.1%
2-1
9.2%
0-1
6.9%
1-2
5.5%
3-0
5.1%
Torreense goals ↓
Leixoes goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
10%
6.9%
3.7%
1.1%
0.3%
1
12%
13%
5.5%
1.7%
0.4%
2
10%
9.2%
4.2%
1.3%
0.3%
3
5.1%
4.7%
2.1%
0.6%
0.1%
4
1.9%
1.8%
0.8%
0.2%
0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Torreense goals (down), columns = Leixoes goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Tondela
1.88
Alverca
1.85
Vizela
1.82
Benfica B
1.62
Torreense
1.59
União de Leiria
1.53
Chaves
1.50
CF Os Belenenses
1.50
Feirense
1.44
Felgueiras 1932
1.35
Academico Viseu
1.32
Penafiel
1.32
Maritimo
1.26
Leixoes
1.21
FC Porto B
1.03
Portimonense
1.00
Pacos Ferreira
1.00
Oliveirense
0.85
Mafra
0.79
Torreense is 0.38 points better than Leixoes in terms of average points per game (1.59 vs 1.21).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Alverca
1.71
Tondela
1.71
Benfica B
1.56
Vizela
1.47
Torreense
1.44
União de Leiria
1.44
Penafiel
1.32
Academico Viseu
1.26
Felgueiras 1932
1.26
Maritimo
1.24
Chaves
1.18
Portimonense
1.12
Leixoes
1.09
FC Porto B
1.06
Feirense
1.03
Pacos Ferreira
1.03
CF Os Belenenses
1.00
Oliveirense
0.88
Mafra
0.85
Torreense is 0.35 goals better than Leixoes in terms of goals scored per game (1.44 vs 1.09).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Vizela
0.88
Chaves
1.00
Alverca
1.00
Feirense
1.00
Tondela
1.03
União de Leiria
1.09
Benfica B
1.12
Felgueiras 1932
1.12
Academico Viseu
1.21
Torreense
1.24
Leixoes
1.24
Penafiel
1.38
FC Porto B
1.38
Maritimo
1.41
Pacos Ferreira
1.44
CF Os Belenenses
1.50
Portimonense
1.59
Mafra
1.59
Oliveirense
1.88
Torreense and Leixoes are level in goals conceded per game (both 1.24).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
Vizela
62%
Felgueiras 1932
57%
Chaves
56%
União de Leiria
55%
Benfica B
53%
Oliveirense
51%
Maritimo
51%
FC Porto B
51%
Leixoes
51%
Mafra
50%
Torreense
50%
Feirense
50%
Academico Viseu
48%
Alverca
48%
Penafiel
47%
Tondela
47%
Portimonense
40%
Pacos Ferreira
39%
Torreense is 0.5 percentage points worse than Leixoes in terms of average possession (50% vs 51%).
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Torreense
For 3.8 · Against 5.8 · Total 9.5
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.4 · Against 3.4 · Total 5.8
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 6.5 · Against 5.4 · Total 11.9
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Leixoes
For 5.8 · Against 3.0 · Total 8.8
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 3.8 · Against 2.1 · Total 5.9
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 7.6 · Against 8.5 · Total 16.1
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Torreense
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
12.1
12.8
11.1
4.0
4.8
3.3
17.3
18.7
15.7
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (29)
13.0
12.7
16.0
4.2
4.2
4.2
17.2
21.4
7.2
vs Weaker (21)
10.9
14.0
10.3
3.7
6.0
2.5
17.5
8.0
21.0
% over line
71%
90%
43%
52%
62%
42%
57%
60%
54%
% under line
29%
10%
57%
48%
38%
58%
43%
40%
46%
This opponent (Leixoes) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Leixoes
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
9.5
9.5
9.5
4.2
4.4
4.0
22.9
28.2
17.2
vs Stronger (13)
9.2
9.5
9.0
2.8
1.9
3.8
20.3
21.7
19.0
vs Similar (37)
9.5
9.4
9.8
4.7
5.4
4.0
23.7
30.2
16.6
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
% over line
41%
45%
33%
68%
77%
58%
64%
85%
42%
% under line
59%
55%
67%
32%
23%
42%
36%
15%
58%
This opponent (Torreense) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Oliveirense
11.6
Torreense
11.4
FC Porto B
11.3
Portimonense
11.2
Tondela
10.7
Chaves
10.7
União de Leiria
10.4
Benfica B
10.4
Pacos Ferreira
10.4
Penafiel
10.2
Academico Viseu
10.2
Vizela
10.0
Feirense
9.8
Maritimo
9.5
CF Os Belenenses
9.3
Leixoes
9.2
Mafra
8.8
Felgueiras 1932
8.6
Alverca
7.7
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Felgueiras 1932
6.2
Leixoes
5.4
Oliveirense
5.4
Maritimo
5.3
Chaves
5.2
União de Leiria
5.2
Benfica B
5.2
Torreense
5.2
Pacos Ferreira
5.2
Penafiel
5.1
Tondela
4.9
Portimonense
4.9
Vizela
4.8
Feirense
4.5
FC Porto B
4.5
Academico Viseu
4.5
Alverca
4.3
CF Os Belenenses
4.1
Mafra
3.7
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
CF Os Belenenses
25.0
Leixoes
24.3
Tondela
21.8
Pacos Ferreira
20.9
Vizela
19.8
Oliveirense
19.1
Feirense
19.1
Portimonense
18.6
Academico Viseu
18.5
União de Leiria
18.5
Torreense
18.4
Maritimo
18.1
Penafiel
17.8
Chaves
17.7
FC Porto B
17.4
Benfica B
15.6
Mafra
15.5
Felgueiras 1932
10.0
Alverca
6.6
Corners O/U 9.5
Over 9.5
56.0%
Under 9.5
44.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5
Over 3.5
80.1%
Under 3.5
19.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Under
Over 21.5
1.5%
Under 21.5
98.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
⚖️ 7. Handicap
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Torreense
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.0
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
1.1
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.63
0.60
0.79
0.57
0.50
0.62
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (19)
0.74
0.79
0.90
0.60
0.56
1.00
vs Weaker (11)
0.45
0.27
0.50
0.50
0.43
0.14
Clean sheet %
57% (+28pp vs league)
This opponent (Leixoes) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Leixoes
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.47
0.60
0.53
0.53
0.40
0.67
vs Stronger (9)
0.56
0.44
0.80
0.20
0.25
0.75
vs Similar (21)
0.43
0.67
0.40
0.70
0.45
0.64
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
53% (+25pp vs league)
This opponent (Torreense) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Torreense over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Torreense over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Torreense over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Leixoes over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Leixoes over/under 1.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Leixoes over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Torreense
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
0.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.83
0.60
0.64
0.86
1.00
0.38
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (19)
1.05
0.68
0.60
1.10
1.56
0.22
vs Weaker (11)
0.45
0.45
0.75
0.25
0.29
0.57
Clean sheet %
57% (+28pp vs league)
This opponent (Leixoes) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Leixoes
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.53
0.63
0.87
0.47
0.20
0.80
vs Stronger (9)
0.56
0.67
0.60
0.80
0.50
0.50
vs Similar (21)
0.52
0.62
1.00
0.30
0.09
0.91
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
50% (+22pp vs league)
This opponent (Torreense) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Torreense over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Torreense over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Torreense over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Leixoes over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Leixoes over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Leixoes over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Under 25.5 fouls
99.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 23.5 fouls
99.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 21.5 fouls
98.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 19.5 fouls
95.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 2.5 cards
91.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 3.5 cards
80.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 3.5
77.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Over 1.5
70.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Torreense
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Ethyan González33%
Javi Vázquez20%
Manuel Lopes20%
N'Tamon Elie Ahouonon20%
Stopira0%
Lucas Paes0%
Rúben Pinto0%
Pité0%
Juan Andres Balanta0%
Dany Jean0%
Mathys Jean-Marie0%
Dani Bolt0%
Manuel Pozo Guerrero0%
Leo Azevedo0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Rúben Pinto25%
Pité25%
Stopira20%
Juan Andres Balanta20%
Mathys Jean-Marie20%
N'Tamon Elie Ahouonon20%
Javi Vázquez0%
Lucas Paes0%
Manuel Lopes0%
Dany Jean0%
Dani Bolt0%
Manuel Pozo Guerrero0%
Ethyan González0%
Leo Azevedo0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Mathys Jean-Marie20%
Dani Bolt20%
Manuel Pozo Guerrero20%
N'Tamon Elie Ahouonon20%
Javi Vázquez0%
Stopira0%
Lucas Paes0%
Rúben Pinto0%
Pité0%
Juan Andres Balanta0%
Manuel Lopes0%
Dany Jean0%
Ethyan González0%
Leo Azevedo0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Dany Jean33%
Ethyan González33%
Javi Vázquez0%
Stopira0%
Lucas Paes0%
Rúben Pinto0%
Pité0%
Juan Andres Balanta0%
Manuel Lopes0%
Mathys Jean-Marie0%
Dani Bolt0%
Manuel Pozo Guerrero0%
Leo Azevedo0%
N'Tamon Elie Ahouonon0%
Leixoes
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Rafael Martins40%
José Bica33%
Ricardo Valente25%
Simãozinho25%
André Simões0%
Rafael Santos0%
André André0%
Henrique0%
Hugo Basto0%
Fabinho0%
Jean Felipe0%
Rafael Vieira0%
João Amorim0%
Daniel Figueira0%
Regis Ndo0%
Paulité0%
Werton0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
André André50%
Simãozinho50%
Hugo Basto40%
Rafael Martins20%
Fabinho17%
André Simões0%
Rafael Santos0%
Ricardo Valente0%
Henrique0%
Jean Felipe0%
Rafael Vieira0%
João Amorim0%
Daniel Figueira0%
Regis Ndo0%
Paulité0%
José Bica0%
Werton0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Simãozinho25%
Paulité25%
André Simões20%
Henrique20%
Rafael Santos0%
Rafael Martins0%
André André0%
Ricardo Valente0%
Hugo Basto0%
Fabinho0%
Jean Felipe0%
Rafael Vieira0%
João Amorim0%
Daniel Figueira0%
Regis Ndo0%
José Bica0%
Werton0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
José Bica100%
André Simões0%
Rafael Santos0%
Rafael Martins0%
André André0%
Ricardo Valente0%
Henrique0%
Hugo Basto0%
Fabinho0%
Jean Felipe0%
Rafael Vieira0%
João Amorim0%
Simãozinho0%
Daniel Figueira0%
Regis Ndo0%
Paulité0%
Werton0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ALV (30)
€39m
BB (26)
€31m
FPB (28)
€29m
TOR (32)
€19m
AV (27)
€16m
MAR (27)
€16m
VIZ (29)
€12m
TON (20)
€10m
UDL (25)
€10m
CHA (22)
€9m
POR (20)
€6m
LEI (21)
€6m
PEN (23)
€5m
F1 (20)
€5m
FEI (17)
€4m
PF (13)
€2m
OLI (7)
€1m
Torreense's squad is €13m more valuable than Leixoes's (€19m vs €6m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ALV (8)
€15m
FPB (10)
€13m
BB (9)
€9m
AV (11)
€8m
TOR (12)
€7m
MAR (10)
€7m
VIZ (13)
€5m
UDL (9)
€4m
CHA (5)
€3m
TON (7)
€2m
POR (7)
€2m
LEI (7)
€2m
PEN (8)
€1m
F1 (4)
€1m
FEI (6)
€1m
PF (3)
€1m
OLI (1)
€0m
Torreense's attack is €5m more valuable than Leixoes's (€7m vs €2m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BB (7)
€10m
FPB (6)
€7m
ALV (8)
€6m
MAR (6)
€3m
AV (6)
€3m
CHA (5)
€2m
TOR (5)
€2m
VIZ (5)
€2m
UDL (7)
€2m
TON (4)
€1m
F1 (6)
€1m
LEI (3)
€1m
POR (5)
€1m
FEI (3)
€1m
PF (2)
€0m
PEN (2)
€0m
OLI (1)
€0m
Torreense and Leixoes have a similar midfield value (both €2m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ALV (14)
€18m
BB (10)
€13m
TOR (15)
€10m
FPB (12)
€9m
TON (9)
€6m
MAR (11)
€6m
AV (10)
€6m
VIZ (11)
€4m
CHA (12)
€4m
UDL (9)
€4m
PEN (13)
€3m
FEI (8)
€3m
LEI (11)
€3m
POR (8)
€3m
F1 (10)
€2m
OLI (5)
€1m
PF (8)
€1m
Torreense's defence is €7m more valuable than Leixoes's (€10m vs €3m).
Portugal: Segunda Liga 2024/25 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Portugal: Segunda Liga stats & trends →
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Tondela
Alverca
Vizela
Benfica B
União de Leiria
Chaves
Feirense
Felgueiras 1932
Academico Viseu
Penafiel
Maritimo
Pacos Ferreira
FC Porto B
Portimonense
Oliveirense
Mafra
CF Os Belenenses