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Tottenham vs Arsenal Result & Analysis

Date: 28/04/2024
Time: 14:00
Final 2-3
Tottenham
Tottenham
Vs
23%
27%
50%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Arsenal
Arsenal
England: Premier League
Referee: M Oliver
Match preview & prediction

Arsenal are tipped to lift the trophy, with a 50% chance of victory, 27% for a draw and 23% for a Tottenham win. The match is expected to see 2.7 goals on average, but the most probable total is two goals, with a 26% chance of that exact figure. The single scoreline the model deems most likely is a 1-1 draw, with a 12.8% probability. Arsenal, playing away against a weaker side, average three goals scored and 0.7 conceded, while Tottenham’s home form is less encouraging after a 0-2 loss to Newcastle. Suggested picks include Over 2.5 cards at 83.4%, Over 19.5 fouls at 81.3%, Over 8.5 corners at 77.1%, Over 1.5 goals at 76.0% and Under 3.5 goals at 71.8%. All probabilities are expressed as percentages.

Results analysis

The match saw Arsenal extend their unbeaten run, while Tottenham struggled after a recent defeat. The model had picked an away win with a 50% probability, and the result confirmed the call. The final score was 2-3, giving Arsenal the victory. The model’s selections were largely correct: Over 2.5 cards hit at 83.4%, Over 19.5 fouls hit at 81.3%, Over 8.5 corners hit at 77.1%, and Over 1.5 goals hit at 76.0%. Only the Under 3.5 goal pick missed, with a 71.8% probability. Overall, the predictions matched the outcome, underscoring the model’s accuracy.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Tottenham win✗ Miss
22.7%
Avg Implied 21.7% · @ 4.42
Edge
+1.0%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
26.9%
Avg Implied 23.0% · @ 4.17
Edge
+3.8%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Arsenal win✓ Hit
50.4%
Avg Implied 55.2% · @ 1.74
Edge
-4.8%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

TottenhamTottenham

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-422D21W12L31W40W03L21W11D31W04LA·EVE03/02H·BRI10/02H·WOL17/02H·CRY02/03A·AST10/03A·FUL16/03H·LUT30/03A·WES02/04H·NOT07/04A·NEW13/04
Avg total
3.4
Avg scored
1.8
Avg conceded
1.6
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game2.031.572.131.401.931.73
vs Stronger (2)2.502.50--2.502.50
vs Similar (22)2.001.552.251.421.701.70
vs Weaker (6)2.001.331.671.332.331.33
Clean sheet %17% (-9pp vs league)
This opponent (Arsenal) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

ArsenalArsenal

Last 10 – goals for & against
50-521W10W00D20W30W22D02L01L20W50WH·BRE09/03H·FC 12/03A·MAN31/03H·LUT03/04A·BRI06/04H·BAY09/04H·AST14/04A·BAY17/04A·WOL20/04H·CHE23/04
Avg total
2.3
Avg scored
1.7
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game2.370.732.600.732.130.73
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (9)1.440.782.750.750.400.80
vs Weaker (21)2.760.712.550.733.000.70
Clean sheet %47% (+21pp vs league)
This opponent (Tottenham) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

6%13%19%26%8%016%126%222%315%48%56%6+
The model estimates around 2.7 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (26%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
76.0%
Under 1.5
24.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
50.2%
@ 1.52-12.7%
Under 2.5
49.8%
@ 2.58+12.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
28.2%
Under 3.5
71.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
53.3%
No
46.7%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
12.8%
0-1
10.1%
1-2
9.6%
0-2
9.3%
0-0
8.0%
2-1
6.1%
1-0
5.9%
1-3
5.3%
Tottenham goals ↓
Arsenal goals →
01234
08.0%10%9.3%5.1%2.1%
15.9%13%9.6%5.3%2.2%
23.7%6.1%5.0%2.7%1.1%
31.3%2.1%1.7%0.9%0.4%
40.3%0.5%0.4%0.2%0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Tottenham goals (down), columns = Arsenal goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Manchester City
2.39
Arsenal
2.34
Liverpool
2.16
Aston Villa
1.79
Tottenham
1.74
Chelsea
1.66
Newcastle
1.58
Manchester United
1.58
West Ham
1.37
Crystal Palace
1.29
Brighton
1.26
Bournemouth
1.26
Everton
1.26
Fulham
1.24
Wolves
1.21
Brentford
1.03
Nottingham Forest
0.95
Luton
0.68
Burnley
0.63
Sheffield United
0.42
Tottenham is 0.61 points worse than Arsenal in terms of average points per game (1.74 vs 2.34).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Manchester City
2.53
Arsenal
2.39
Liverpool
2.26
Newcastle
2.24
Chelsea
2.03
Aston Villa
2.00
Tottenham
1.95
West Ham
1.58
Crystal Palace
1.50
Manchester United
1.50
Brentford
1.47
Fulham
1.45
Brighton
1.45
Bournemouth
1.42
Luton
1.37
Wolves
1.32
Nottingham Forest
1.29
Burnley
1.08
Everton
1.05
Sheffield United
0.92
Tottenham is 0.45 goals worse than Arsenal in terms of goals scored per game (1.95 vs 2.39).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Arsenal
0.76
Manchester City
0.89
Liverpool
1.08
Everton
1.34
Crystal Palace
1.53
Manchester United
1.53
Fulham
1.61
Aston Villa
1.61
Tottenham
1.61
Brighton
1.63
Newcastle
1.63
Chelsea
1.66
Brentford
1.71
Wolves
1.71
Nottingham Forest
1.76
Bournemouth
1.76
West Ham
1.95
Burnley
2.05
Luton
2.24
Sheffield United
2.74
Tottenham is 0.84 goals worse than Arsenal in terms of goals conceded per game (1.61 vs 0.76).

⏱️ Possession

Avg possession %
Manchester City
66%
Tottenham
62%
Liverpool
61%
Brighton
60%
Arsenal
59%
Chelsea
58%
Aston Villa
53%
Newcastle
52%
Manchester United
51%
Fulham
50%
Burnley
47%
Brentford
45%
Bournemouth
45%
Crystal Palace
42%
Luton
42%
West Ham
41%
Nottingham Forest
40%
Everton
40%
Sheffield United
35%
Tottenham is 3.3 percentage points better than Arsenal in terms of average possession (62% vs 59%).

🎲 4. Props Analysis

TottenhamTottenham

For 6.7 · Against 6.3 · Total 13.0

🚩 Corners

190316122593654461111049659191414991012141514A·NEWH·NOTA·WESH·LUTA·FULA·ASTH·CRYH·WOLH·BRIA·EVE
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.0 · Against 2.0 · Total 4.0

🟨 Cards

60423412432211212334556533153A·NEWH·NOTA·WESH·LUTA·FULA·ASTH·CRYH·WOLH·BRIA·EVE
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 11.6 · Against 12.3 · Total 23.9

⚠️ Fouls

3001214111291316141091511716813141314826232230192623212722A·NEWH·NOTA·WESH·LUTA·FULA·ASTH·CRYH·WOLH·BRIA·EVE
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

ArsenalArsenal

For 4.8 · Against 3.9 · Total 8.7

🚩 Corners

1504221384621783147911046311103154111014H·CHEA·WOLA·BAYH·ASTH·BAYA·BRIH·LUTA·MANH·FC H·BRE
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.9 · Against 1.7 · Total 3.6

🟨 Cards

6022232231122111221244544332236H·CHEA·WOLA·BAYH·ASTH·BAYA·BRIH·LUTA·MANH·FC H·BRE
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 13.1 · Against 11.5 · Total 24.6

⚠️ Fouls

3801211914131012713121314128209182091023232319252720293819H·CHEA·WOLA·BAYH·ASTH·BAYA·BRIH·LUTA·MANH·FC H·BRE
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

TottenhamTottenham

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)11.711.412.14.85.04.724.324.624.1
vs Stronger (2)16.5-16.57.5-7.529.5-29.5
vs Similar (39)11.511.111.94.64.84.323.724.422.9
vs Weaker (9)11.913.311.25.36.34.825.826.025.7
% over line72%68%76%70%72%68%76%76%76%
% under line28%32%24%30%28%32%24%24%24%
This opponent (Arsenal) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

ArsenalArsenal

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)9.18.99.43.53.53.522.021.422.6
vs Stronger (0)---------
vs Similar (15)8.58.28.74.24.44.023.521.925.3
vs Weaker (35)9.49.29.73.23.13.321.421.221.6
% over line44%44%44%48%48%48%48%40%56%
% under line56%56%56%52%52%52%52%60%44%
This opponent (Tottenham) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

🚩 Total Corners

Match total corners / game
Manchester United
12.5
Bournemouth
11.9
Tottenham
11.7
Liverpool
11.2
Everton
11.0
Luton
10.7
Sheffield United
10.7
Brentford
10.5
Fulham
10.5
Nottingham Forest
10.5
Manchester City
10.5
Burnley
10.4
Newcastle
10.4
Wolves
10.3
Aston Villa
10.0
Chelsea
10.0
Crystal Palace
9.9
West Ham
9.9
Brighton
9.4
Arsenal
9.1

🟨 Total Cards

Match total cards / game
Aston Villa
5.3
Brighton
5.1
Chelsea
5.0
Wolves
4.9
Tottenham
4.8
Nottingham Forest
4.3
Newcastle
4.2
Manchester United
4.2
Liverpool
4.1
West Ham
4.1
Crystal Palace
4.0
Sheffield United
4.0
Burnley
4.0
Bournemouth
4.0
Brentford
3.9
Manchester City
3.8
Everton
3.7
Fulham
3.6
Arsenal
3.6
Luton
3.6

⚠️ Total Fouls

Match total fouls / game
Tottenham
24.3
Crystal Palace
24.1
Wolves
24.1
Aston Villa
23.8
Luton
23.4
Chelsea
23.4
Brighton
23.2
Newcastle
23.1
Bournemouth
22.4
Liverpool
22.1
Arsenal
22.0
Nottingham Forest
21.9
Everton
21.8
Brentford
21.6
Fulham
21.4
Burnley
21.3
West Ham
20.5
Sheffield United
20.0
Manchester United
20.0
Manchester City
19.7
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Over
Over 9.5
66.4%
Under 9.5
33.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
66.9%
Under 3.5
33.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Over
Over 21.5
67.6%
Under 21.5
32.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

TottenhamTottenham

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-221W01L01L00D00D01L01L11D11D02LA·EVE03/02H·BRI10/02H·WOL17/02H·CRY02/03A·AST10/03A·FUL16/03H·LUT30/03A·WES02/04H·NOT07/04A·NEW13/04
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.9
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.730.700.730.530.730.87
vs Stronger (2)1.001.50--1.001.50
vs Similar (22)0.770.680.920.500.600.90
vs Weaker (6)0.500.500.000.671.000.33
Clean sheet %43% (+18pp vs league)
This opponent (Arsenal) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

ArsenalArsenal

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-211D10W00D20W10W12L00D00D10W10WH·BRE09/03H·FC 12/03A·MAN31/03H·LUT03/04A·BRI06/04H·BAY09/04H·AST14/04A·BAY17/04A·WOL20/04H·CHE23/04
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.3
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.270.301.330.331.200.27
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (9)0.670.441.000.750.400.20
vs Weaker (21)1.520.241.450.181.600.30
Clean sheet %73% (+48pp vs league)
This opponent (Tottenham) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Tottenham over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Tottenham over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Tottenham over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Arsenal over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Arsenal over/under 1.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Arsenal over/under 2.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

TottenhamTottenham

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
40-401L20W11D31W40W02L20W00D20W02LA·EVE03/02H·BRI10/02H·WOL17/02H·CRY02/03A·AST10/03A·FUL16/03H·LUT30/03A·WES02/04H·NOT07/04A·NEW13/04
Avg total
2.1
Avg scored
1.4
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.300.871.400.871.200.87
vs Stronger (2)1.501.00--1.501.00
vs Similar (22)1.230.861.330.921.100.80
vs Weaker (6)1.500.831.670.671.331.00
Clean sheet %37% (+11pp vs league)
This opponent (Arsenal) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

ArsenalArsenal

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
40-410W00D00D00D20W10W02L01L10W40WH·BRE09/03H·FC 12/03A·MAN31/03H·LUT03/04A·BRI06/04H·BAY09/04H·AST14/04A·BAY17/04A·WOL20/04H·CHE23/04
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.3
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.100.431.270.400.930.47
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (9)0.780.331.750.000.000.60
vs Weaker (21)1.240.481.090.551.400.40
Clean sheet %63% (+38pp vs league)
This opponent (Tottenham) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Tottenham over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Tottenham over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Tottenham over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Arsenal over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Arsenal over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Arsenal over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 2.5 cards83.4%-------✓ Hit
Over 19.5 fouls81.3%-------✓ Hit
Over 8.5 corners77.1%-------✓ Hit
Over 1.576.0%-------✓ Hit
Under 3.571.8%-------✗ Miss

🎽 13. Player market rates

Tottenham
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Heung-min Son40%
Richarlison32%
Dejan Kulusevski19%
Brennan Johnson16%
Timo Werner15%
Cristian Romero15%
James Maddison14%
Alejo Véliz12%
Micky van de Ven11%
Giovani Lo Celso9%
Pape Matar Sarr9%
Pedro Porro9%
Destiny Udogie7%
Ben Davies6%
Emerson Royal5%
Rodrigo Bentancur4%
Eric Dier0%
Oliver Skipp0%
Ivan Perišić0%
Manor Solomon0%
Bryan Gil0%
Pierre-Emile Højbjerg0%
Yves Bissouma0%
Guglielmo Vicario0%
Radu Drăguşin0%
Dane Scarlett0%
Jamie Donley0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Ivan Perišić40%
Jamie Donley33%
Yves Bissouma32%
Rodrigo Bentancur30%
Pape Matar Sarr26%
Destiny Udogie21%
Cristian Romero21%
Manor Solomon20%
Dejan Kulusevski19%
Micky van de Ven19%
Emerson Royal18%
James Maddison18%
Oliver Skipp14%
Alejo Véliz12%
Ben Davies12%
Pierre-Emile Højbjerg11%
Radu Drăguşin11%
Richarlison11%
Brennan Johnson9%
Giovani Lo Celso9%
Pedro Porro9%
Timo Werner8%
Guglielmo Vicario5%
Heung-min Son3%
Eric Dier0%
Bryan Gil0%
Dane Scarlett0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Brennan Johnson28%
James Maddison25%
Timo Werner23%
Heung-min Son23%
Ivan Perišić20%
Manor Solomon20%
Pedro Porro20%
Richarlison14%
Destiny Udogie11%
Pape Matar Sarr9%
Dejan Kulusevski8%
Giovani Lo Celso5%
Rodrigo Bentancur4%
Ben Davies0%
Eric Dier0%
Oliver Skipp0%
Emerson Royal0%
Bryan Gil0%
Pierre-Emile Højbjerg0%
Yves Bissouma0%
Cristian Romero0%
Guglielmo Vicario0%
Micky van de Ven0%
Radu Drăguşin0%
Dane Scarlett0%
Jamie Donley0%
Alejo Véliz0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Timo Werner31%
Heung-min Son23%
Richarlison21%
Manor Solomon20%
Brennan Johnson12%
Dejan Kulusevski11%
James Maddison11%
Pedro Porro9%
Ben Davies6%
Rodrigo Bentancur4%
Yves Bissouma4%
Cristian Romero3%
Pape Matar Sarr3%
Eric Dier0%
Oliver Skipp0%
Ivan Perišić0%
Emerson Royal0%
Giovani Lo Celso0%
Bryan Gil0%
Pierre-Emile Højbjerg0%
Guglielmo Vicario0%
Micky van de Ven0%
Radu Drăguşin0%
Dane Scarlett0%
Destiny Udogie0%
Jamie Donley0%
Alejo Véliz0%
Arsenal
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Bukayo Saka41%
Leandro Trossard37%
Kai Havertz28%
Gabriel Jesus23%
Martin Ødegaard23%
Gabriel Martinelli17%
Declan Rice15%
Edward Nketiah12%
Takehiro Tomiyasu7%
Fábio Vieira7%
Gabriel Magalhães7%
Benjamin White6%
William Saliba4%
Jakub Kiwior4%
Oleksandr Zinchenko3%
Jorginho3%
Thomas Partey0%
Cédric Soares0%
Reiss Nelson0%
Emile Smith Rowe0%
Mohamed Elneny0%
David Raya0%
Aaron Ramsdale0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Kai Havertz28%
Thomas Partey27%
Gabriel Jesus23%
Benjamin White21%
Declan Rice15%
William Saliba10%
Oleksandr Zinchenko9%
Bukayo Saka9%
Edward Nketiah9%
Gabriel Magalhães9%
Jakub Kiwior7%
Jorginho6%
Reiss Nelson5%
David Raya5%
Leandro Trossard5%
Martin Ødegaard5%
Takehiro Tomiyasu4%
Gabriel Martinelli2%
Cédric Soares0%
Emile Smith Rowe0%
Mohamed Elneny0%
Aaron Ramsdale0%
Fábio Vieira0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Bukayo Saka27%
Gabriel Jesus23%
Martin Ødegaard18%
Declan Rice17%
Kai Havertz15%
Fábio Vieira14%
Gabriel Martinelli12%
Jakub Kiwior11%
Reiss Nelson10%
Benjamin White9%
Takehiro Tomiyasu7%
Emile Smith Rowe6%
Oleksandr Zinchenko6%
Edward Nketiah6%
Jorginho6%
Leandro Trossard5%
William Saliba2%
Thomas Partey0%
Cédric Soares0%
Mohamed Elneny0%
David Raya0%
Aaron Ramsdale0%
Gabriel Magalhães0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Gabriel Jesus26%
Bukayo Saka23%
Martin Ødegaard16%
Edward Nketiah15%
Kai Havertz13%
Gabriel Martinelli12%
Leandro Trossard12%
Fábio Vieira7%
Declan Rice6%
Gabriel Magalhães4%
Thomas Partey0%
Cédric Soares0%
Oleksandr Zinchenko0%
Reiss Nelson0%
Emile Smith Rowe0%
Mohamed Elneny0%
Jorginho0%
Takehiro Tomiyasu0%
David Raya0%
Benjamin White0%
Aaron Ramsdale0%
William Saliba0%
Jakub Kiwior0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
CHE (39)
€1407m
ARS (29)
€1406m
MC (27)
€1326m
LIV (29)
€980m
MU (30)
€929m
TOT (36)
€920m
BHA (30)
€620m
BOU (31)
€573m
NEW (25)
€568m
BRE (32)
€565m
NFO (28)
€551m
AVL (27)
€536m
CRY (29)
€505m
EVE (24)
€459m
FUL (21)
€329m
WHU (24)
€274m
WOL (31)
€273m
BUR (28)
€115m
SHU (27)
€110m
LUT (26)
€29m
Tottenham's squad is €486m less valuable than Arsenal's (€920m vs €1406m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
MC (9)
€635m
CHE (13)
€614m
ARS (13)
€608m
LIV (9)
€518m
MU (11)
€432m
BOU (11)
€285m
NFO (9)
€263m
TOT (12)
€250m
NEW (7)
€234m
CRY (11)
€229m
BRE (10)
€228m
AVL (10)
€220m
BHA (9)
€190m
FUL (9)
€178m
EVE (7)
€174m
WHU (7)
€84m
WOL (11)
€79m
BUR (14)
€70m
SHU (9)
€29m
LUT (10)
€13m
Tottenham's attack is €358m less valuable than Arsenal's (€250m vs €608m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ARS (4)
€290m
TOT (7)
€282m
CHE (6)
€278m
MU (7)
€236m
LIV (6)
€201m
BHA (7)
€180m
EVE (7)
€162m
MC (3)
€160m
AVL (6)
€160m
BRE (7)
€128m
NEW (6)
€124m
BOU (6)
€106m
CRY (5)
€93m
WOL (6)
€79m
NFO (4)
€52m
WHU (5)
€48m
SHU (5)
€32m
FUL (3)
€28m
BUR (3)
€8m
LUT (6)
€4m
Tottenham's midfield is €8m less valuable than Arsenal's (€282m vs €290m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
MC (15)
€531m
CHE (20)
€514m
ARS (12)
€508m
TOT (17)
€388m
MU (12)
€261m
LIV (14)
€260m
BHA (14)
€249m
NFO (15)
€236m
NEW (12)
€210m
BRE (15)
€209m
CRY (13)
€182m
BOU (14)
€182m
AVL (11)
€156m
WHU (12)
€141m
EVE (10)
€123m
FUL (9)
€123m
WOL (14)
€116m
SHU (13)
€49m
BUR (11)
€37m
LUT (10)
€12m
Tottenham's defence is €120m less valuable than Arsenal's (€388m vs €508m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

7 previous meetings
2
TOT wins
1
Draws
4
ARS wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Tottenham vs Arsenal · H/A from TOT
DateH/AGameScore
24/09/23AArsenal Vs TOT2-2
15/01/23HTOT Vs Arsenal0-2
01/10/22AArsenal Vs TOT3-1
12/05/22HTOT Vs Arsenal3-0
26/09/21AArsenal Vs TOT3-1
14/03/21AArsenal Vs TOT2-1
06/12/20HTOT Vs Arsenal2-0

TottenhamTottenham

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
13/04/24ANewcastle Vs TOT4-0
07/04/24HTOT Vs Nottingham Forest3-1
02/04/24AWest Ham Vs TOT1-1
30/03/24HTOT Vs Luton2-1
16/03/24AFulham Vs TOT3-0
10/03/24AAston Villa Vs TOT0-4
02/03/24HTOT Vs Crystal Palace3-1
17/02/24HTOT Vs Wolves1-2
10/02/24HTOT Vs Brighton2-1
03/02/24AEverton Vs TOT2-2

ArsenalArsenal

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
23/04/24HARS Vs Chelsea5-0
20/04/24AWolves Vs ARS0-2
17/04/24ABayern München Vs ARS1-0
14/04/24HARS Vs Aston Villa0-2
09/04/24HARS Vs Bayern München2-2
06/04/24ABrighton Vs ARS0-3
03/04/24HARS Vs Luton2-0
31/03/24AManchester City Vs ARS0-0
12/03/24HARS Vs FC Porto1-0
09/03/24HARS Vs Brentford2-1

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Tottenham
Tottenham
England: Premier League
Recent: 5 Wins / 2 Draws / 3 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLWDWL1.64
HomeWLWWW2.12
AwayDWLDL1.16
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %48%68%28%
AVG goals3.523.203.84
Over 1.5 %90%92%88%
Over 2.5 %74%76%72%
Over 3.5 %48%40%56%
Scored1.881.961.80
Conceded1.641.242.04
BTTS72%76%68%
Clean Sheet20%24%16%
Corners11.7411.4012.08
Cards4.845.004.68
Arsenal
Arsenal
England: Premier League
Recent: 6 Wins / 2 Draws / 2 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallDLLWW2.06
HomeWWDLW2.40
AwayWDWLW1.72
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %64%76%52%
AVG goals3.103.482.72
Over 1.5 %78%92%64%
Over 2.5 %60%72%48%
Over 3.5 %42%56%28%
Scored2.242.641.84
Conceded0.860.840.88
BTTS40%44%36%
Clean Sheet44%44%44%
Corners9.148.889.40
Cards3.573.523.62

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1Manchester CityManchester City3891
74%
2.4
9634+62
3.4
84%
63%
47%
10.9
61%
3.8
50%
18.6
26%
1326
6351605312.50.9
66%
2ArsenalArsenal3889
74%
2.3
9129+62
3.2
79%
63%
42%
9.7
50%
3.8
53%
21.0
42%
1406
6082905082.40.8
59%
3LiverpoolLiverpool3882
63%
2.2
8641+45
3.3
92%
66%
47%
11.6
71%
4.3
53%
22.5
53%
980
5182012602.31.1
61%
4Aston VillaAston Villa3868
53%
1.8
7661+15
3.6
87%
71%
58%
10.4
58%
5.0
74%
23.6
66%
536
2201601562.01.6
53%
5TottenhamTottenham3866
53%
1.7
7461+13
3.6
97%
79%
45%
12.4
76%
5.1
74%
25.1
87%
920
2502823881.91.6
62%
6ChelseaChelsea3863
47%
1.7
7763+14
3.7
89%
71%
55%
10.4
58%
5.4
95%
23.9
63%
1407
6142785142.01.7
58%
7NewcastleNewcastle3860
47%
1.6
8562+23
3.9
84%
71%
61%
10.2
53%
4.6
63%
22.8
58%
568
2341242102.21.6
52%
8Manchester UnitedManchester United3860
47%
1.6
5758-1
3.0
79%
63%
34%
13.3
79%
4.4
68%
19.7
32%
929
4322362611.51.5
51%
9West HamWest Ham3852
37%
1.4
6074-14
3.5
95%
68%
53%
10.4
53%
3.9
61%
21.0
47%
274
84481411.61.9
41%
10Crystal PalaceCrystal Palace3849
34%
1.3
5758-1
3.0
82%
55%
42%
9.9
58%
3.9
61%
23.6
63%
505
229931821.51.5
42%
11BrightonBrighton3848
32%
1.3
5562-7
3.1
87%
61%
39%
9.8
55%
5.0
76%
23.0
63%
620
1901802491.41.6
60%
12EvertonEverton3848
34%
1.3
4051-11
2.4
74%
42%
21%
11.1
61%
3.8
45%
21.8
55%
459
1741621231.11.3
40%
13BournemouthBournemouth3848
34%
1.3
5467-13
3.2
89%
71%
42%
11.8
74%
4.3
71%
23.7
63%
573
2851061821.41.8
45%
14FulhamFulham3847
34%
1.2
5561-6
3.1
79%
63%
39%
10.6
50%
3.8
47%
20.2
39%
329
178281231.41.6
50%
15WolvesWolves3846
34%
1.2
5065-15
3.0
84%
63%
29%
10.1
53%
4.9
76%
23.6
68%
273
79791161.31.7
-
16BrentfordBrentford3839
26%
1.0
5665-9
3.2
82%
66%
42%
10.6
63%
4.3
63%
21.5
50%
565
2281282091.51.7
45%
17Nottingham ForestNottingham Forest3836
24%
0.9
4967-18
3.1
87%
55%
39%
10.4
63%
4.2
61%
21.3
53%
551
263522361.31.8
40%
18LutonLuton3826
16%
0.7
5285-33
3.6
89%
71%
45%
11.3
71%
3.8
53%
24.0
61%
29
134121.42.2
42%
19BurnleyBurnley3824
13%
0.6
4178-37
3.1
92%
61%
37%
10.9
66%
4.3
66%
20.9
39%
115
708371.12.1
47%
20Sheffield UnitedSheffield United3816
8%
0.4
35104-69
3.7
89%
71%
55%
10.9
61%
4.0
50%
19.8
39%
110
2932490.92.7
35%
England: Premier League 2023/24 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full England: Premier League stats & trends →

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