Tottenham’s recent 0-2 loss to Newcastle and a 1-0 defeat to Arsenal have left the Spurs looking uneasy at home, yet the model still rates them the clear favourite, assigning a 64% chance of victory. The Premier League side’s home form shows an average of 1.78 goals scored and 1.33 conceded against similar opposition, while Aston Villa’s away numbers sit at 1.0 scored and 1.6 conceded, underscoring Tottenham’s edge on their own turf. The expected total of 2.7 goals points to a moderately high-scoring affair, with the most likely total being two goals at 26%. The single scoreline the model deems most probable is 2-0, with a 12.7% probability. The predicted result is a home win, and the expected total of 2.7 goals aligns with the 2-0 forecast. The model’s suggested picks include Under 25.5 fouls at 84.4%, Over 2.5 cards at 81.2%, Under 11.5 corners at 77.7%, Over 1.5 goals at 75.4%, Under 3.5 goals at 72.2%, Under 23.5 fouls at 72.4% and Under 5.5 cards at 72.4%. The probabilities for the match outcome are 64% home win, 23% draw, and 13% away win.
Results analysis
The upset was stark: Aston Villa snatched a 2-0 win, overturning Tottenham’s pre-match favourite for a home victory at 64% probability. The model’s call was wrong, as the actual result was an away win. The final score of 0-2 confirmed the reversal. The model’s selections were largely accurate: Under 25.5 fouls (84.4%) hit, Over 2.5 cards (81.2%) hit, Under 11.5 corners (77.7%) hit, Over 1.5 (75.4%) hit, Under 3.5 (72.2%) hit, while Under 23.5 fouls (72.4%) and Under 5.5 cards (72.4%) missed. Tottenham’s recent form, a losing streak, and Villa’s five-game run with three wins set the stage for this surprising outcome.
🎯 1. Model Analysis
Tottenham win✗ Miss
63.7%
Avg Implied 58.0% · @ 1.66
Edge
+5.7%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
23.3%
Avg Implied 23.1% · @ 4.16
Edge
+0.1%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Aston Villa win✓ Hit
13.1%
Avg Implied 18.9% · @ 5.09
Edge
-5.9%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
⚽ 2. Goal Analysis
Tottenham
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.6
Avg scored
1.9
Avg conceded
1.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.93
1.07
2.27
1.07
1.60
1.07
vs Stronger (2)
2.00
1.50
3.00
0.00
1.00
3.00
vs Similar (22)
1.55
1.14
1.78
1.33
1.38
1.00
vs Weaker (6)
3.33
0.67
3.00
0.80
5.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
37% (+11pp vs league)
This opponent (Aston Villa) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Aston Villa
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.7
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
1.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.27
1.40
1.40
1.20
1.13
1.60
vs Stronger (4)
1.00
1.75
0.50
1.00
1.50
2.50
vs Similar (18)
1.11
1.67
1.25
1.75
1.00
1.60
vs Weaker (8)
1.75
0.62
2.00
0.40
1.33
1.00
Clean sheet %
27% (+1pp vs league)
This opponent (Tottenham) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.7 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (26%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
75.4%
Under 1.5
24.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
49.7%
@ 1.65-8.2%
Under 2.5
50.3%
@ 2.27+8.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
27.8%
Under 3.5
72.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
46.1%
No
53.9%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
2-0
12.7%
1-0
12.3%
1-1
11.0%
2-1
9.6%
3-0
8.1%
0-0
8.0%
3-1
6.1%
0-1
4.3%
Tottenham goals ↓
Aston Villa goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
8.0%
4.3%
2.0%
0.5%
0.1%
1
12%
11%
3.8%
1.0%
0.2%
2
13%
9.6%
3.6%
0.9%
0.2%
3
8.1%
6.1%
2.3%
0.6%
0.1%
4
3.9%
2.9%
1.1%
0.3%
0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Tottenham goals (down), columns = Aston Villa goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Manchester City
2.34
Arsenal
2.21
Manchester United
1.97
Newcastle
1.87
Liverpool
1.76
Brighton
1.63
Aston Villa
1.61
Tottenham
1.58
Brentford
1.55
Fulham
1.37
Crystal Palace
1.18
Chelsea
1.16
Wolves
1.08
West Ham
1.05
Bournemouth
1.03
Nottingham Forest
1.00
Everton
0.95
Leicester
0.89
Leeds
0.82
Southampton
0.66
Tottenham is 0.03 points worse than Aston Villa in terms of average points per game (1.58 vs 1.61).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Manchester City
2.47
Arsenal
2.32
Liverpool
1.97
Brighton
1.89
Tottenham
1.84
Newcastle
1.79
Brentford
1.53
Manchester United
1.53
Fulham
1.45
Leicester
1.34
Aston Villa
1.34
Leeds
1.26
West Ham
1.11
Crystal Palace
1.05
Chelsea
1.00
Nottingham Forest
1.00
Bournemouth
0.97
Southampton
0.95
Everton
0.89
Wolves
0.82
Tottenham is 0.50 goals better than Aston Villa in terms of goals scored per game (1.84 vs 1.34).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Newcastle
0.87
Manchester City
0.87
Arsenal
1.13
Manchester United
1.13
Brentford
1.21
Aston Villa
1.21
Liverpool
1.24
Chelsea
1.24
Crystal Palace
1.29
Fulham
1.39
Brighton
1.39
West Ham
1.45
Everton
1.50
Wolves
1.53
Tottenham
1.66
Leicester
1.79
Nottingham Forest
1.79
Bournemouth
1.87
Southampton
1.92
Leeds
2.05
Tottenham is 0.45 goals worse than Aston Villa in terms of goals conceded per game (1.66 vs 1.21).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
Manchester City
66%
Liverpool
61%
Brighton
60%
Arsenal
60%
Chelsea
59%
Manchester United
54%
Newcastle
52%
Tottenham
50%
Fulham
49%
Aston Villa
49%
Leicester
48%
Leeds
48%
Crystal Palace
46%
Southampton
44%
Brentford
43%
Everton
42%
West Ham
42%
Bournemouth
41%
Nottingham Forest
37%
Tottenham is 1.0 percentage points better than Aston Villa in terms of average possession (50% vs 49%).
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Tottenham
For 7.1 · Against 4.8 · Total 11.9
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.5 · Against 2.1 · Total 3.6
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 9.9 · Against 9.6 · Total 19.5
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Aston Villa
For 4.7 · Against 4.7 · Total 9.4
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.3 · Against 1.7 · Total 4.0
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 11.6 · Against 13.1 · Total 24.7
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Tottenham
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
10.2
9.8
10.7
4.0
4.2
3.8
20.3
20.8
19.8
vs Stronger (3)
7.0
4.0
8.5
4.0
5.0
3.5
18.3
23.0
16.0
vs Similar (34)
10.6
9.8
11.3
4.2
4.2
4.2
21.1
21.4
20.8
vs Weaker (13)
9.9
10.4
9.2
3.5
4.0
2.6
18.8
19.4
17.8
% over line
60%
56%
64%
54%
60%
48%
36%
48%
24%
% under line
40%
44%
36%
46%
40%
52%
64%
52%
76%
This opponent (Aston Villa) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Aston Villa
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
10.6
10.0
11.2
4.1
3.2
5.0
23.8
21.9
25.6
vs Stronger (6)
11.5
10.3
12.7
3.5
2.7
4.3
21.2
20.0
22.3
vs Similar (29)
9.6
9.0
10.1
4.2
3.3
5.0
24.1
21.5
26.3
vs Weaker (15)
12.3
11.4
13.5
4.1
3.3
5.2
24.1
23.2
25.5
% over line
58%
44%
72%
58%
48%
68%
64%
44%
84%
% under line
42%
56%
28%
42%
52%
32%
36%
56%
16%
This opponent (Tottenham) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Southampton
10.8
Brighton
10.8
Brentford
10.7
Aston Villa
10.6
Fulham
10.5
Everton
10.4
Nottingham Forest
10.3
Manchester United
10.3
Liverpool
10.2
Bournemouth
10.2
Tottenham
10.2
Leicester
10.2
Manchester City
10.1
West Ham
10.0
Chelsea
9.9
Newcastle
9.8
Wolves
9.8
Leeds
9.5
Arsenal
9.5
Crystal Palace
9.3
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Nottingham Forest
4.7
Leeds
4.4
Everton
4.3
Aston Villa
4.1
Newcastle
4.0
Brighton
4.0
Tottenham
4.0
Bournemouth
4.0
Crystal Palace
4.0
Fulham
3.8
Wolves
3.8
Chelsea
3.8
Arsenal
3.7
Manchester United
3.5
Southampton
3.2
Manchester City
3.0
Brentford
2.9
West Ham
2.9
Leicester
2.9
Liverpool
2.7
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Crystal Palace
24.8
Aston Villa
23.8
Nottingham Forest
23.3
Leeds
23.2
Chelsea
22.4
Bournemouth
21.5
Newcastle
21.2
Everton
20.7
Brighton
20.6
Leicester
20.5
Arsenal
20.4
Fulham
20.4
Tottenham
20.3
Southampton
20.2
Wolves
20.1
Brentford
19.5
Manchester United
19.2
Liverpool
18.0
West Ham
17.3
Manchester City
17.2
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Under
Over 9.5
44.7%
Under 9.5
55.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
63.6%
Under 3.5
36.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Over
Over 21.5
43.3%
Under 21.5
56.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
⚖️ 7. Handicap
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Tottenham
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
1.1
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.67
0.53
0.87
0.73
0.47
0.33
vs Stronger (2)
1.50
0.50
2.00
0.00
1.00
1.00
vs Similar (22)
0.41
0.55
0.56
0.89
0.31
0.31
vs Weaker (6)
1.33
0.50
1.20
0.60
2.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
60% (+34pp vs league)
This opponent (Aston Villa) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Aston Villa
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.63
0.57
0.73
0.53
0.53
0.60
vs Stronger (4)
0.25
0.50
0.00
0.50
0.50
0.50
vs Similar (18)
0.61
0.67
0.75
0.75
0.50
0.60
vs Weaker (8)
0.88
0.38
1.00
0.20
0.67
0.67
Clean sheet %
50% (+24pp vs league)
This opponent (Tottenham) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Tottenham over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Tottenham over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Tottenham over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Aston Villa over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Aston Villa over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Aston Villa over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Tottenham
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.1
Avg scored
1.5
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.27
0.53
1.40
0.33
1.13
0.73
vs Stronger (2)
0.50
1.00
1.00
0.00
0.00
2.00
vs Similar (22)
1.14
0.59
1.22
0.44
1.08
0.69
vs Weaker (6)
2.00
0.17
1.80
0.20
3.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
57% (+31pp vs league)
This opponent (Aston Villa) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Aston Villa
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.63
0.83
0.67
0.67
0.60
1.00
vs Stronger (4)
0.75
1.25
0.50
0.50
1.00
2.00
vs Similar (18)
0.50
1.00
0.50
1.00
0.50
1.00
vs Weaker (8)
0.88
0.25
1.00
0.20
0.67
0.33
Clean sheet %
47% (+21pp vs league)
This opponent (Tottenham) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Tottenham over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Tottenham over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Tottenham over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Aston Villa over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Aston Villa over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Aston Villa over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Under 25.5 fouls
84.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 2.5 cards
81.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 11.5 corners
77.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 1.5
75.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 23.5 fouls
72.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Under 5.5 cards
72.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Under 3.5
72.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Tottenham
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Harry Kane59%
Rodrigo Bentancur21%
Heung-min Son20%
Pedro Porro19%
Pierre-Emile Højbjerg12%
Arnaut Danjuma10%
Ryan Sessegnon10%
Matt Doherty7%
Richarlison6%
Emerson Royal6%
Dejan Kulusevski6%
Lucas Moura6%
Ben Davies5%
Eric Dier5%
Oliver Skipp4%
Clément Lenglet3%
Ivan Perišić2%
Hugo Lloris0%
Davinson Sánchez0%
Bryan Gil0%
Fraser Forster0%
Yves Bissouma0%
Djed Spence0%
Cristian Romero0%
Japhet Tanganga0%
Pape Matar Sarr0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Rodrigo Bentancur42%
Cristian Romero38%
Oliver Skipp30%
Ryan Sessegnon25%
Yves Bissouma23%
Clément Lenglet21%
Pierre-Emile Højbjerg19%
Harry Kane15%
Eric Dier15%
Ivan Perišić15%
Bryan Gil12%
Ben Davies11%
Richarlison9%
Emerson Royal9%
Pape Matar Sarr8%
Heung-min Son7%
Fraser Forster6%
Dejan Kulusevski6%
Davinson Sánchez5%
Arnaut Danjuma0%
Hugo Lloris0%
Lucas Moura0%
Matt Doherty0%
Djed Spence0%
Pedro Porro0%
Japhet Tanganga0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Ivan Perišić27%
Dejan Kulusevski21%
Pedro Porro19%
Pierre-Emile Højbjerg17%
Heung-min Son14%
Bryan Gil12%
Harry Kane11%
Richarlison9%
Rodrigo Bentancur8%
Pape Matar Sarr8%
Clément Lenglet6%
Ben Davies5%
Emerson Royal3%
Cristian Romero3%
Eric Dier2%
Arnaut Danjuma0%
Hugo Lloris0%
Davinson Sánchez0%
Lucas Moura0%
Oliver Skipp0%
Matt Doherty0%
Fraser Forster0%
Yves Bissouma0%
Ryan Sessegnon0%
Djed Spence0%
Japhet Tanganga0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Harry Kane52%
Heung-min Son25%
Pedro Porro12%
Richarlison9%
Rodrigo Bentancur8%
Pierre-Emile Højbjerg7%
Matt Doherty7%
Eric Dier5%
Ryan Sessegnon5%
Ivan Perišić5%
Emerson Royal3%
Dejan Kulusevski3%
Ben Davies3%
Arnaut Danjuma0%
Clément Lenglet0%
Hugo Lloris0%
Davinson Sánchez0%
Lucas Moura0%
Oliver Skipp0%
Bryan Gil0%
Fraser Forster0%
Yves Bissouma0%
Djed Spence0%
Cristian Romero0%
Japhet Tanganga0%
Pape Matar Sarr0%
Aston Villa
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Ollie Watkins38%
Bertrand Traoré25%
Danny Ings22%
Jacob Ramsey17%
Douglas Luiz16%
Emiliano Buendía13%
Leon Bailey12%
Philippe Coutinho5%
Lucas Digne4%
Ashley Young3%
John McGinn3%
Tyrone Mings3%
Robin Olsen0%
Boubacar Kamara0%
Ludwig Augustinsson0%
Leander Dendoncker0%
Jan Bednarek0%
Jhon Durán0%
Calum Chambers0%
Matty Cash0%
Ezri Konsa0%
Emiliano Martínez0%
Diego Carlos0%
Álex Moreno0%
Cameron Archer0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Ludwig Augustinsson33%
Ashley Young24%
John McGinn21%
Tyrone Mings20%
Emiliano Martínez19%
Lucas Digne18%
Boubacar Kamara17%
Danny Ings17%
Douglas Luiz16%
Ezri Konsa16%
Álex Moreno16%
Matty Cash15%
Philippe Coutinho15%
Calum Chambers14%
Jacob Ramsey14%
Bertrand Traoré12%
Leon Bailey12%
Ollie Watkins11%
Jhon Durán8%
Robin Olsen0%
Leander Dendoncker0%
Jan Bednarek0%
Emiliano Buendía0%
Diego Carlos0%
Cameron Archer0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Jacob Ramsey17%
Douglas Luiz16%
Álex Moreno16%
Ollie Watkins14%
Leon Bailey12%
John McGinn9%
Tyrone Mings6%
Emiliano Buendía5%
Boubacar Kamara4%
Matty Cash4%
Philippe Coutinho0%
Bertrand Traoré0%
Robin Olsen0%
Ashley Young0%
Lucas Digne0%
Ludwig Augustinsson0%
Leander Dendoncker0%
Jan Bednarek0%
Jhon Durán0%
Danny Ings0%
Calum Chambers0%
Ezri Konsa0%
Emiliano Martínez0%
Diego Carlos0%
Cameron Archer0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Ollie Watkins35%
Danny Ings17%
Leon Bailey6%
Douglas Luiz5%
Emiliano Buendía5%
Philippe Coutinho5%
John McGinn3%
Jacob Ramsey3%
Bertrand Traoré0%
Robin Olsen0%
Ashley Young0%
Boubacar Kamara0%
Lucas Digne0%
Ludwig Augustinsson0%
Leander Dendoncker0%
Jan Bednarek0%
Jhon Durán0%
Calum Chambers0%
Tyrone Mings0%
Matty Cash0%
Ezri Konsa0%
Emiliano Martínez0%
Diego Carlos0%
Álex Moreno0%
Cameron Archer0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
CHE (39)
€1407m
ARS (29)
€1406m
MC (27)
€1326m
LIV (29)
€980m
MU (30)
€929m
TOT (36)
€920m
BHA (30)
€620m
BOU (31)
€573m
NEW (25)
€568m
BRE (32)
€565m
NFO (28)
€551m
AVL (27)
€536m
CRY (29)
€505m
EVE (24)
€459m
LEE (27)
€427m
FUL (21)
€329m
WHU (24)
€274m
WOL (31)
€273m
SOU (30)
€205m
LEI (22)
€69m
Tottenham's squad is €384m more valuable than Aston Villa's (€920m vs €536m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
MC (9)
€635m
CHE (13)
€614m
ARS (13)
€608m
LIV (9)
€518m
MU (11)
€432m
BOU (11)
€285m
NFO (9)
€263m
TOT (12)
€250m
NEW (7)
€234m
CRY (11)
€229m
BRE (10)
€228m
AVL (10)
€220m
BHA (9)
€190m
FUL (9)
€178m
EVE (7)
€174m
LEE (11)
€166m
WHU (7)
€84m
WOL (11)
€79m
SOU (10)
€72m
LEI (7)
€20m
Tottenham's attack is €31m more valuable than Aston Villa's (€250m vs €220m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ARS (4)
€290m
TOT (7)
€282m
CHE (6)
€278m
MU (7)
€236m
LIV (6)
€201m
BHA (7)
€180m
EVE (7)
€162m
MC (3)
€160m
AVL (6)
€160m
BRE (7)
€128m
NEW (6)
€124m
BOU (6)
€106m
LEE (5)
€98m
CRY (5)
€93m
WOL (6)
€79m
SOU (5)
€53m
NFO (4)
€52m
WHU (5)
€48m
FUL (3)
€28m
LEI (4)
€13m
Tottenham's midfield is €122m more valuable than Aston Villa's (€282m vs €160m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
MC (15)
€531m
CHE (20)
€514m
ARS (12)
€508m
TOT (17)
€388m
MU (12)
€261m
LIV (14)
€260m
BHA (14)
€249m
NFO (15)
€236m
NEW (12)
€210m
BRE (15)
€209m
CRY (13)
€182m
BOU (14)
€182m
LEE (11)
€163m
AVL (11)
€156m
WHU (12)
€141m
EVE (10)
€123m
FUL (9)
€123m
WOL (14)
€116m
SOU (15)
€79m
LEI (11)
€36m
Tottenham's defence is €232m more valuable than Aston Villa's (€388m vs €156m).
England: Premier League 2022/23 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full England: Premier League stats & trends →
PythiaFootballBETA
Manchester City
Arsenal
Manchester United
Newcastle
Liverpool
Brighton
Brentford
Fulham
Crystal Palace
Chelsea
Wolves
West Ham
Bournemouth
Nottingham Forest
Everton
Leicester
Leeds
Southampton