The match sits on a razor-thin edge, with the model favouring a Tottenham victory but the odds are close: a 40% chance of a home win, 28% for a draw and 32% for an Aston Villa win. The predicted outcome is a home win, and the average goal expectation sits at 2.8, with the most likely total being 2 goals at a 25% probability. The single most probable scoreline is 1-1, carrying a 13.2% chance.
Tottenham, playing at home against a similarly-matched opponent, averages 1.3 goals scored and 1.4 conceded. Aston Villa, on the road, averages 1.18 goals scored and 1.18 conceded against comparable teams.
The model’s selections include: Over 2.5 cards at 83.3%, Under 25.5 fouls at 77.5%, Over 1.5 goals at 77.4%, Over 8.5 corners at 73.1%, and Under 3.5 goals at 70.1%. Each of these is presented with its own probability, independent of the match-result chances.
Results analysis
The upset came early as Aston Villa snatched a 2-1 victory, overturning Tottenham’s pre-match favourite status. The model had tipped a home win with a 40% probability, but that call proved wrong. The final score of 1-2 confirmed the away win. In the suggested picks, Over 2.5 cards missed, yet Under 25.5 fouls hit, Over 1.5 hit, Over 8.5 corners hit, and Under 3.5 hit, each with their respective probabilities of 83.3%, 77.5%, 77.4%, 73.1%, and 70.1%. Tottenham’s recent form, a 0-2 loss to Newcastle, left them struggling, while Villa’s five-match run of two defeats followed by three wins showed momentum. The model’s prediction was therefore incorrect.
🎯 1. Model Analysis
Tottenham win✗ Miss
40.1%
Avg Implied 42.3% · @ 2.24
Edge
-2.2%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
27.8%
Avg Implied 28.2% · @ 3.36
Edge
-0.4%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Aston Villa win✓ Hit
32.1%
Avg Implied 29.5% · @ 3.21
Edge
+2.6%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
⚽ 2. Goal Analysis
Tottenham
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.6
Avg scored
1.9
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.50
1.30
1.53
1.13
1.47
1.47
vs Stronger (2)
1.00
0.50
0.00
1.00
2.00
0.00
vs Similar (23)
1.35
1.39
1.30
1.40
1.38
1.38
vs Weaker (5)
2.40
1.20
2.50
0.50
2.00
4.00
Clean sheet %
27% (+1pp vs league)
This opponent (Aston Villa) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Aston Villa
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.8
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.60
1.00
1.93
0.86
1.31
1.12
vs Stronger (3)
1.67
2.33
3.00
2.00
1.00
2.50
vs Similar (21)
1.52
1.05
1.90
0.90
1.18
1.18
vs Weaker (6)
1.83
0.17
1.67
0.33
2.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
43% (+18pp vs league)
This opponent (Tottenham) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.8 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (25%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
77.4%
Under 1.5
22.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
52.1%
@ 1.83+0.5%
Under 2.5
47.9%
@ 1.95-0.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
29.9%
Under 3.5
70.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
57.0%
No
43.0%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
13.2%
2-1
8.8%
1-0
8.1%
1-2 ✓
7.8%
0-0
7.5%
0-1
7.0%
2-0
6.8%
2-2
5.7%
Tottenham goals ↓
Aston Villa goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
7.5%
7.0%
5.3%
2.3%
0.7%
1
8.1%
13%
7.8%
3.3%
1.1%
2
6.8%
8.8%
5.7%
2.5%
0.8%
3
3.3%
4.3%
2.8%
1.2%
0.4%
4
1.2%
1.6%
1.0%
0.4%
0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Tottenham goals (down), columns = Aston Villa goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Arsenal
2.24
Manchester City
2.05
Manchester United
1.87
Aston Villa
1.71
Liverpool
1.58
Bournemouth
1.50
Sunderland
1.42
Brighton
1.39
Brentford
1.39
Chelsea
1.37
Fulham
1.37
Everton
1.29
Newcastle
1.29
Leeds
1.24
Crystal Palace
1.18
Nottingham Forest
1.16
Tottenham
1.08
West Ham
1.03
Burnley
0.58
Wolves
0.53
Tottenham is 0.63 points worse than Aston Villa in terms of average points per game (1.08 vs 1.71).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Manchester City
2.03
Arsenal
1.87
Manchester United
1.82
Liverpool
1.66
Chelsea
1.53
Bournemouth
1.53
Aston Villa
1.47
Brentford
1.45
Newcastle
1.39
Brighton
1.37
Leeds
1.29
Tottenham
1.26
Nottingham Forest
1.26
Everton
1.24
Fulham
1.24
West Ham
1.21
Sunderland
1.11
Crystal Palace
1.08
Burnley
1.00
Wolves
0.71
Tottenham is 0.21 goals worse than Aston Villa in terms of goals scored per game (1.26 vs 1.47).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Arsenal
0.71
Manchester City
0.92
Brighton
1.21
Sunderland
1.26
Aston Villa
1.29
Everton
1.32
Manchester United
1.32
Fulham
1.34
Crystal Palace
1.34
Nottingham Forest
1.34
Chelsea
1.37
Brentford
1.37
Liverpool
1.39
Bournemouth
1.42
Newcastle
1.45
Leeds
1.47
Tottenham
1.50
West Ham
1.71
Wolves
1.79
Burnley
1.97
Tottenham is 0.21 goals worse than Aston Villa in terms of goals conceded per game (1.50 vs 1.29).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
Manchester City
60%
Liverpool
59%
Chelsea
57%
Arsenal
56%
Brighton
53%
Aston Villa
53%
Manchester United
52%
Newcastle
52%
Fulham
51%
Tottenham
50%
Bournemouth
50%
Brentford
47%
Nottingham Forest
46%
Leeds
46%
Crystal Palace
45%
Sunderland
45%
Everton
44%
West Ham
42%
Burnley
42%
Tottenham is 3.3 percentage points worse than Aston Villa in terms of average possession (50% vs 53%).
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Tottenham
For 5.9 · Against 4.8 · Total 10.7
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.2 · Against 1.7 · Total 3.9
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 11.7 · Against 10.0 · Total 21.7
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Aston Villa
For 5.0 · Against 5.1 · Total 10.1
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.1 · Against 2.1 · Total 4.2
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 10.7 · Against 13.8 · Total 24.5
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Tottenham
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
10.7
11.3
10.2
3.3
3.4
3.2
22.9
24.0
21.9
vs Stronger (3)
11.3
11.0
11.5
4.0
3.0
4.5
23.7
27.0
22.0
vs Similar (36)
10.9
11.4
10.6
3.5
3.7
3.4
23.2
24.6
22.1
vs Weaker (11)
10.0
11.1
7.3
2.5
2.7
2.0
21.8
22.3
20.7
% over line
64%
68%
61%
42%
42%
42%
62%
64%
61%
% under line
36%
32%
39%
58%
58%
58%
38%
36%
39%
This opponent (Aston Villa) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Aston Villa
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
10.3
10.3
10.3
3.5
3.3
3.8
22.9
22.7
23.2
vs Stronger (5)
10.4
9.5
11.0
3.8
3.5
4.0
20.6
19.5
21.3
vs Similar (35)
9.7
10.1
9.3
3.6
3.4
3.8
22.3
22.0
22.6
vs Weaker (10)
12.5
11.2
13.8
3.1
2.6
3.6
26.9
27.0
26.8
% over line
63%
57%
70%
64%
62%
67%
54%
52%
57%
% under line
37%
43%
30%
36%
38%
33%
46%
48%
43%
This opponent (Tottenham) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Tottenham
11.0
Newcastle
10.8
Bournemouth
10.5
Liverpool
10.5
Brentford
10.4
Nottingham Forest
10.4
Aston Villa
10.3
West Ham
10.3
Fulham
10.0
Crystal Palace
10.0
Arsenal
9.7
Brighton
9.7
Everton
9.7
Sunderland
9.7
Wolves
9.6
Leeds
9.5
Manchester City
9.5
Manchester United
9.4
Chelsea
9.3
Burnley
9.2
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Bournemouth
5.0
Nottingham Forest
4.8
Chelsea
4.4
Brighton
4.4
Crystal Palace
4.3
Newcastle
4.3
Sunderland
4.3
Manchester United
4.2
Aston Villa
4.1
Wolves
4.1
Brentford
3.9
Tottenham
3.8
Liverpool
3.8
Fulham
3.8
Everton
3.6
Manchester City
3.6
Arsenal
3.6
Burnley
3.4
West Ham
3.4
Leeds
3.1
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Bournemouth
24.1
Wolves
24.1
Aston Villa
23.2
Brighton
23.1
Tottenham
22.9
Newcastle
22.7
Sunderland
22.5
Nottingham Forest
22.2
Burnley
22.2
Chelsea
22.1
West Ham
22.0
Leeds
21.9
Manchester United
21.8
Fulham
21.6
Everton
21.6
Crystal Palace
21.2
Arsenal
21.2
Liverpool
20.6
Brentford
18.9
Manchester City
17.7
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Over
Over 9.5
61.5%
Under 9.5
38.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
66.8%
Under 3.5
33.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Under
Over 21.5
53.2%
Under 21.5
46.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
⚖️ 7. Handicap
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Tottenham
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.70
0.60
0.80
0.47
0.60
0.73
vs Stronger (2)
1.00
0.50
0.00
1.00
2.00
0.00
vs Similar (23)
0.61
0.65
0.70
0.60
0.54
0.69
vs Weaker (5)
1.00
0.40
1.25
0.00
0.00
2.00
Clean sheet %
57% (+31pp vs league)
This opponent (Aston Villa) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Aston Villa
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.7
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.50
0.43
0.71
0.50
0.31
0.38
vs Stronger (3)
1.00
1.33
1.00
2.00
1.00
1.00
vs Similar (21)
0.48
0.43
0.70
0.50
0.27
0.36
vs Weaker (6)
0.33
0.00
0.67
0.00
0.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
60% (+34pp vs league)
This opponent (Tottenham) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Tottenham over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Tottenham over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Tottenham over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Aston Villa over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Aston Villa over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Aston Villa over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Tottenham
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
0.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.80
0.70
0.73
0.67
0.87
0.73
vs Stronger (2)
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
vs Similar (23)
0.74
0.74
0.60
0.80
0.85
0.69
vs Weaker (5)
1.40
0.80
1.25
0.50
2.00
2.00
Clean sheet %
57% (+31pp vs league)
This opponent (Aston Villa) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Aston Villa
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.10
0.57
1.21
0.36
1.00
0.75
vs Stronger (3)
0.67
1.00
2.00
0.00
0.00
1.50
vs Similar (21)
1.05
0.62
1.20
0.40
0.91
0.82
vs Weaker (6)
1.50
0.17
1.00
0.33
2.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
63% (+38pp vs league)
This opponent (Tottenham) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Tottenham over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Tottenham over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Tottenham over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Aston Villa over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Aston Villa over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Aston Villa over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Over 2.5 cards
83.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Under 25.5 fouls
77.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 1.5
77.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 8.5 corners
73.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 3.5
70.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Tottenham
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Dominic Solanke26%
Richarlison26%
Ben Davies20%
Brennan Johnson18%
João Palhinha16%
Cristian Romero13%
Mohammed Kudus12%
Micky van de Ven11%
Mathys Tel11%
Randal Kolo Muani10%
Xavi Simons10%
Wilson Odobert6%
Archie Gray6%
Conor Gallagher6%
Pape Matar Sarr6%
Pedro Porro4%
Lucas Bergvall3%
Rodrigo Bentancur3%
James Maddison0%
Yves Bissouma0%
Djed Spence0%
Kevin Danso0%
Guglielmo Vicario0%
Radu Drăguşin0%
Dane Scarlett0%
Destiny Udogie0%
Antonín Kinský0%
Souza0%
Jun'ai Byfield0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Cristian Romero39%
Yves Bissouma36%
Pedro Porro30%
João Palhinha27%
Micky van de Ven27%
Kevin Danso26%
Souza25%
Archie Gray24%
Richarlison21%
Rodrigo Bentancur21%
Ben Davies20%
Destiny Udogie18%
Mohammed Kudus16%
Xavi Simons15%
Randal Kolo Muani12%
Djed Spence12%
Conor Gallagher11%
Antonín Kinský10%
Lucas Bergvall9%
Brennan Johnson9%
Pape Matar Sarr8%
Guglielmo Vicario7%
Dominic Solanke5%
Mathys Tel3%
James Maddison0%
Radu Drăguşin0%
Dane Scarlett0%
Wilson Odobert0%
Jun'ai Byfield0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Mohammed Kudus16%
Xavi Simons15%
Lucas Bergvall12%
Richarlison12%
Pape Matar Sarr11%
Randal Kolo Muani10%
Cristian Romero10%
Wilson Odobert9%
Archie Gray9%
Pedro Porro9%
João Palhinha7%
Conor Gallagher6%
Mathys Tel5%
Destiny Udogie4%
Rodrigo Bentancur3%
Micky van de Ven2%
Ben Davies0%
James Maddison0%
Dominic Solanke0%
Yves Bissouma0%
Djed Spence0%
Kevin Danso0%
Guglielmo Vicario0%
Brennan Johnson0%
Radu Drăguşin0%
Dane Scarlett0%
Antonín Kinský0%
Souza0%
Jun'ai Byfield0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Richarlison19%
Yves Bissouma9%
Wilson Odobert9%
Mathys Tel8%
Randal Kolo Muani7%
Xavi Simons7%
Pedro Porro7%
Dominic Solanke5%
Mohammed Kudus4%
Cristian Romero3%
Rodrigo Bentancur3%
João Palhinha2%
Ben Davies0%
James Maddison0%
Djed Spence0%
Kevin Danso0%
Guglielmo Vicario0%
Conor Gallagher0%
Brennan Johnson0%
Micky van de Ven0%
Radu Drăguşin0%
Dane Scarlett0%
Destiny Udogie0%
Pape Matar Sarr0%
Antonín Kinský0%
Archie Gray0%
Lucas Bergvall0%
Souza0%
Jun'ai Byfield0%
Aston Villa
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Jamaldeen Jimoh33%
Ollie Watkins27%
Emiliano Buendía20%
Morgan Rogers20%
Tammy Abraham19%
John McGinn18%
Donyell Malen17%
Ross Barkley13%
Harvey Elliott11%
Evann Guessand10%
Matty Cash6%
Youri Tielemans6%
Leon Bailey5%
Amadou Onana5%
Douglas Luiz5%
Tyrone Mings5%
Ezri Konsa4%
Boubacar Kamara4%
Jadon Sancho3%
Ian Maatsen2%
Victor Lindelöf0%
Lucas Digne0%
Emiliano Martínez0%
Marco Bizot0%
Pau Torres0%
Lamare Bogarde0%
George Hemmings0%
Andrés García0%
Alysson0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Matty Cash24%
Marco Bizot21%
Boubacar Kamara19%
John McGinn18%
Emiliano Buendía17%
Morgan Rogers16%
Lamare Bogarde16%
Douglas Luiz15%
Lucas Digne14%
Andrés García12%
Amadou Onana11%
Evann Guessand10%
Ollie Watkins7%
Victor Lindelöf7%
Emiliano Martínez7%
Ian Maatsen7%
Youri Tielemans6%
Leon Bailey5%
Tyrone Mings5%
Ross Barkley4%
Pau Torres3%
Ezri Konsa2%
Jadon Sancho0%
Donyell Malen0%
Harvey Elliott0%
Tammy Abraham0%
Jamaldeen Jimoh0%
George Hemmings0%
Alysson0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Morgan Rogers20%
Youri Tielemans17%
Emiliano Buendía17%
Lucas Digne16%
John McGinn16%
Boubacar Kamara15%
Ollie Watkins9%
Matty Cash8%
Jadon Sancho8%
Donyell Malen7%
Tammy Abraham6%
Leon Bailey5%
Douglas Luiz5%
Evann Guessand5%
Ross Barkley4%
Victor Lindelöf4%
Emiliano Martínez2%
Ian Maatsen2%
Harvey Elliott0%
Tyrone Mings0%
Ezri Konsa0%
Marco Bizot0%
Pau Torres0%
Amadou Onana0%
Lamare Bogarde0%
Jamaldeen Jimoh0%
George Hemmings0%
Andrés García0%
Alysson0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Jamaldeen Jimoh33%
Morgan Rogers24%
Ollie Watkins24%
Emiliano Buendía13%
Harvey Elliott11%
Donyell Malen10%
Evann Guessand10%
Youri Tielemans6%
Ross Barkley4%
Amadou Onana3%
Jadon Sancho3%
John McGinn2%
Ian Maatsen2%
Matty Cash2%
Victor Lindelöf0%
Leon Bailey0%
Boubacar Kamara0%
Lucas Digne0%
Tyrone Mings0%
Tammy Abraham0%
Ezri Konsa0%
Emiliano Martínez0%
Marco Bizot0%
Pau Torres0%
Douglas Luiz0%
Lamare Bogarde0%
George Hemmings0%
Andrés García0%
Alysson0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
CHE (39)
€1407m
ARS (29)
€1406m
MC (27)
€1326m
LIV (29)
€980m
MU (30)
€929m
TOT (36)
€920m
BHA (30)
€620m
BOU (31)
€573m
NEW (25)
€568m
BRE (32)
€565m
NFO (28)
€551m
AVL (27)
€536m
CRY (29)
€505m
EVE (24)
€459m
LEE (27)
€427m
SUN (30)
€392m
FUL (21)
€329m
WHU (24)
€274m
WOL (31)
€273m
BUR (28)
€115m
Tottenham's squad is €384m more valuable than Aston Villa's (€920m vs €536m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
MC (9)
€635m
CHE (13)
€614m
ARS (13)
€608m
LIV (9)
€518m
MU (11)
€432m
BOU (11)
€285m
NFO (9)
€263m
TOT (12)
€250m
NEW (7)
€234m
CRY (11)
€229m
BRE (10)
€228m
AVL (10)
€220m
BHA (9)
€190m
FUL (9)
€178m
EVE (7)
€174m
LEE (11)
€166m
SUN (9)
€157m
WHU (7)
€84m
WOL (11)
€79m
BUR (14)
€70m
Tottenham's attack is €31m more valuable than Aston Villa's (€250m vs €220m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ARS (4)
€290m
TOT (7)
€282m
CHE (6)
€278m
MU (7)
€236m
LIV (6)
€201m
BHA (7)
€180m
EVE (7)
€162m
MC (3)
€160m
AVL (6)
€160m
BRE (7)
€128m
NEW (6)
€124m
SUN (6)
€110m
BOU (6)
€106m
LEE (5)
€98m
CRY (5)
€93m
WOL (6)
€79m
NFO (4)
€52m
WHU (5)
€48m
FUL (3)
€28m
BUR (3)
€8m
Tottenham's midfield is €122m more valuable than Aston Villa's (€282m vs €160m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
MC (15)
€531m
CHE (20)
€514m
ARS (12)
€508m
TOT (17)
€388m
MU (12)
€261m
LIV (14)
€260m
BHA (14)
€249m
NFO (15)
€236m
NEW (12)
€210m
BRE (15)
€209m
CRY (13)
€182m
BOU (14)
€182m
LEE (11)
€163m
AVL (11)
€156m
WHU (12)
€141m
SUN (15)
€125m
EVE (10)
€123m
FUL (9)
€123m
WOL (14)
€116m
BUR (11)
€37m
Tottenham's defence is €232m more valuable than Aston Villa's (€388m vs €156m).
England: Premier League 2025/26 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full England: Premier League stats & trends →
PythiaFootballBETA
Arsenal
Manchester City
Manchester United
Liverpool
Bournemouth
Sunderland
Brighton
Brentford
Chelsea
Fulham
Newcastle
Everton
Leeds
Crystal Palace
Nottingham Forest
West Ham
Burnley
Wolves