Tottenham are tipped to win, with a 45% chance of a home victory, a 28% chance of a draw and a 26% chance of a Brentford win. The model predicts an average of 2.6 goals, with the most likely total being two goals at 27%. The single most probable scoreline is 1-1, carrying a 13.6% probability. Tottenham’s home form shows they score 1.62 goals and concede 1.31 against teams of similar strength, while Brentford, on the road, average 0.91 goals scored and 1.64 conceded to comparable opponents. The model’s selections include Under 5.5 cards (91.6%), Under 25.5 fouls (89.3%), Under 4.5 cards (81.5%), Under 23.5 fouls (79.6%), Under 3.5 (74.5%), Over 1.5 (73.7%) and Over 8.5 corners (70.7%). Tottenham’s recent form shows a losing streak after a 0-2 defeat to Newcastle, while Brentford remain unbeaten in their last five, drawing 1-1 with Leeds.
Results analysis
The upset came early as Tottenham, the pre-match favourite with a 45% chance of victory, fell to a 1-3 defeat, a result that proved the model’s call wrong. Brentford, riding an unbeaten run of five games, seized the win. The model had also predicted a 2-goal total, but the match saw four goals, with the 1-1 draw and 1-0, 2-1 scores all under 27% probability. All of the suggested picks were settled: Under 5.5 cards hit at 91.6%, Under 25.5 fouls hit at 89.3%, Under 4.5 cards hit at 81.5%, Under 23.5 fouls hit at 79.6%, Under 3.5 missed at 74.5%, Over 1.5 hit at 73.7%, and Over 8.5 corners hit at 70.7%. The final score and the actual result confirm the surprise outcome.
🎯 1. Model Analysis
Tottenham win✗ Miss
45.3%
Avg Implied 49.4% · @ 1.95
Edge
-4.1%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
28.5%
Avg Implied 25.6% · @ 3.77
Edge
+2.9%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Brentford win✓ Hit
26.2%
Avg Implied 25.0% · @ 3.85
Edge
+1.2%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
⚽ 2. Goal Analysis
Tottenham
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
4.2
Avg scored
1.9
Avg conceded
2.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.53
1.73
1.47
1.27
1.60
2.20
vs Stronger (3)
1.00
2.00
0.50
1.00
2.00
4.00
vs Similar (24)
1.62
1.58
1.62
1.31
1.64
1.91
vs Weaker (3)
1.33
2.67
-
-
1.33
2.67
Clean sheet %
23% (-2pp vs league)
This opponent (Brentford) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Brentford
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.4
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
1.2
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.30
1.20
1.60
1.00
1.00
1.40
vs Stronger (7)
1.14
1.00
1.00
1.33
1.25
0.75
vs Similar (23)
1.35
1.26
1.75
0.92
0.91
1.64
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
33% (+8pp vs league)
This opponent (Tottenham) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.6 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (27%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
73.7%
Under 1.5
26.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
47.1%
@ 1.74-7.9%
Under 2.5
52.9%
@ 2.13+7.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
25.5%
Under 3.5
74.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
52.2%
No
47.8%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
13.6%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
9.2%
0-0
9.0%
2-0
8.5%
0-1
7.1%
1-2
6.6%
2-2
4.9%
Tottenham goals ↓
Brentford goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
9.0%
7.1%
4.5%
1.6%
0.4%
1
10%
14%
6.6%
2.4%
0.6%
2
8.5%
9.2%
4.9%
1.8%
0.5%
3
4.2%
4.5%
2.4%
0.9%
0.2%
4
1.6%
1.7%
0.9%
0.3%
0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Tottenham goals (down), columns = Brentford goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Manchester City
2.34
Arsenal
2.21
Manchester United
1.97
Newcastle
1.87
Liverpool
1.76
Brighton
1.63
Aston Villa
1.61
Tottenham
1.58
Brentford
1.55
Fulham
1.37
Crystal Palace
1.18
Chelsea
1.16
Wolves
1.08
West Ham
1.05
Bournemouth
1.03
Nottingham Forest
1.00
Everton
0.95
Leicester
0.89
Leeds
0.82
Southampton
0.66
Tottenham is 0.03 points better than Brentford in terms of average points per game (1.58 vs 1.55).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Manchester City
2.47
Arsenal
2.32
Liverpool
1.97
Brighton
1.89
Tottenham
1.84
Newcastle
1.79
Brentford
1.53
Manchester United
1.53
Fulham
1.45
Leicester
1.34
Aston Villa
1.34
Leeds
1.26
West Ham
1.11
Crystal Palace
1.05
Chelsea
1.00
Nottingham Forest
1.00
Bournemouth
0.97
Southampton
0.95
Everton
0.89
Wolves
0.82
Tottenham is 0.32 goals better than Brentford in terms of goals scored per game (1.84 vs 1.53).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Newcastle
0.87
Manchester City
0.87
Arsenal
1.13
Manchester United
1.13
Brentford
1.21
Aston Villa
1.21
Liverpool
1.24
Chelsea
1.24
Crystal Palace
1.29
Fulham
1.39
Brighton
1.39
West Ham
1.45
Everton
1.50
Wolves
1.53
Tottenham
1.66
Leicester
1.79
Nottingham Forest
1.79
Bournemouth
1.87
Southampton
1.92
Leeds
2.05
Tottenham is 0.45 goals worse than Brentford in terms of goals conceded per game (1.66 vs 1.21).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
Manchester City
66%
Liverpool
61%
Brighton
60%
Arsenal
60%
Chelsea
59%
Manchester United
54%
Newcastle
52%
Tottenham
50%
Fulham
49%
Aston Villa
49%
Leicester
48%
Leeds
48%
Crystal Palace
46%
Southampton
44%
Brentford
43%
Everton
42%
West Ham
42%
Bournemouth
41%
Nottingham Forest
37%
Tottenham is 6.9 percentage points better than Brentford in terms of average possession (50% vs 43%).
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Tottenham
For 4.1 · Against 6.5 · Total 10.6
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.4 · Against 1.9 · Total 4.3
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 11.4 · Against 10.9 · Total 22.3
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Brentford
For 4.5 · Against 6.1 · Total 10.6
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.5 · Against 1.7 · Total 3.2
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 9.7 · Against 11.2 · Total 20.9
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Tottenham
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
10.4
10.0
10.9
4.3
4.7
4.0
21.6
22.6
20.7
vs Stronger (5)
7.8
7.0
9.0
4.8
5.7
3.5
26.2
29.0
22.0
vs Similar (36)
10.9
10.3
11.5
4.4
4.7
4.1
21.2
22.6
20.0
vs Weaker (9)
9.9
10.6
9.0
3.9
4.0
3.8
20.8
18.8
23.2
% over line
62%
56%
68%
60%
68%
52%
42%
52%
32%
% under line
38%
44%
32%
40%
32%
48%
58%
48%
68%
This opponent (Brentford) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Brentford
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
10.4
10.2
10.6
3.0
3.0
3.0
19.6
18.8
20.3
vs Stronger (9)
11.1
9.0
12.2
2.6
2.0
2.8
17.9
15.7
19.0
vs Similar (40)
10.2
10.3
10.1
3.1
3.2
3.0
19.9
19.3
20.7
vs Weaker (1)
11.0
-
11.0
3.0
-
3.0
20.0
-
20.0
% over line
62%
60%
64%
40%
48%
32%
26%
20%
32%
% under line
38%
40%
36%
60%
52%
68%
74%
80%
68%
This opponent (Tottenham) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Newcastle
10.8
Everton
10.8
Bournemouth
10.7
Manchester United
10.5
Fulham
10.5
Tottenham
10.4
Brentford
10.4
Southampton
10.4
Brighton
10.2
West Ham
10.2
Aston Villa
10.1
Nottingham Forest
10.1
Wolves
9.9
Chelsea
9.8
Arsenal
9.8
Liverpool
9.7
Leicester
9.6
Leeds
9.5
Crystal Palace
9.4
Manchester City
9.2
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Chelsea
4.4
Tottenham
4.3
Nottingham Forest
4.2
Crystal Palace
4.2
Everton
4.1
Aston Villa
4.1
Leeds
4.1
Wolves
4.0
Fulham
3.9
Brighton
3.9
Arsenal
3.7
Newcastle
3.7
Manchester United
3.6
Bournemouth
3.5
Manchester City
3.3
Leicester
3.2
Southampton
3.2
Brentford
3.0
Liverpool
2.9
West Ham
2.7
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Crystal Palace
24.5
Aston Villa
23.8
Leeds
23.5
Chelsea
23.5
Nottingham Forest
23.0
Fulham
22.2
Brighton
22.0
Tottenham
21.6
Wolves
21.4
Newcastle
21.4
Leicester
21.3
Arsenal
21.3
Southampton
20.9
Bournemouth
20.7
Everton
20.6
Manchester United
20.1
Brentford
19.6
Liverpool
19.3
Manchester City
19.0
West Ham
18.4
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Over
Over 9.5
58.7%
Under 9.5
41.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
35.3%
Under 3.5
64.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Under
Over 21.5
34.6%
Under 21.5
65.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
⚖️ 7. Handicap
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Tottenham
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.0
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
1.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.43
0.97
0.47
0.87
0.40
1.07
vs Stronger (3)
1.00
0.67
0.50
1.00
2.00
0.00
vs Similar (24)
0.33
1.00
0.46
0.85
0.18
1.18
vs Weaker (3)
0.67
1.00
-
-
0.67
1.00
Clean sheet %
47% (+21pp vs league)
This opponent (Brentford) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Brentford
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.67
0.57
0.80
0.27
0.53
0.87
vs Stronger (7)
0.57
0.57
0.67
0.67
0.50
0.50
vs Similar (23)
0.70
0.57
0.83
0.17
0.55
1.00
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
60% (+34pp vs league)
This opponent (Tottenham) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Tottenham over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Tottenham over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Tottenham over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Brentford over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Brentford over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Brentford over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Tottenham
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.2
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
1.0
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.10
0.77
1.00
0.40
1.20
1.13
vs Stronger (3)
0.00
1.33
0.00
0.00
0.00
4.00
vs Similar (24)
1.29
0.58
1.15
0.46
1.45
0.73
vs Weaker (3)
0.67
1.67
-
-
0.67
1.67
Clean sheet %
50% (+24pp vs league)
This opponent (Brentford) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Brentford
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.63
0.63
0.80
0.73
0.47
0.53
vs Stronger (7)
0.57
0.43
0.33
0.67
0.75
0.25
vs Similar (23)
0.65
0.70
0.92
0.75
0.36
0.64
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
50% (+24pp vs league)
This opponent (Tottenham) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Tottenham over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Tottenham over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Tottenham over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Brentford over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Brentford over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Brentford over/under 2.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Under 5.5 cards
91.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 25.5 fouls
89.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 4.5 cards
81.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 23.5 fouls
79.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 3.5
74.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Over 1.5
73.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 8.5 corners
70.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Tottenham
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Harry Kane59%
Rodrigo Bentancur21%
Heung-min Son20%
Pedro Porro19%
Pierre-Emile Højbjerg12%
Arnaut Danjuma10%
Ryan Sessegnon10%
Matt Doherty7%
Richarlison6%
Emerson Royal6%
Dejan Kulusevski6%
Lucas Moura6%
Ben Davies5%
Eric Dier5%
Oliver Skipp4%
Clément Lenglet3%
Ivan Perišić2%
Hugo Lloris0%
Davinson Sánchez0%
Bryan Gil0%
Fraser Forster0%
Yves Bissouma0%
Djed Spence0%
Cristian Romero0%
Japhet Tanganga0%
Pape Matar Sarr0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Rodrigo Bentancur42%
Cristian Romero38%
Oliver Skipp30%
Ryan Sessegnon25%
Yves Bissouma23%
Clément Lenglet21%
Pierre-Emile Højbjerg19%
Harry Kane15%
Eric Dier15%
Ivan Perišić15%
Bryan Gil12%
Ben Davies11%
Richarlison9%
Emerson Royal9%
Pape Matar Sarr8%
Heung-min Son7%
Fraser Forster6%
Dejan Kulusevski6%
Davinson Sánchez5%
Arnaut Danjuma0%
Hugo Lloris0%
Lucas Moura0%
Matt Doherty0%
Djed Spence0%
Pedro Porro0%
Japhet Tanganga0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Ivan Perišić27%
Dejan Kulusevski21%
Pedro Porro19%
Pierre-Emile Højbjerg17%
Heung-min Son14%
Bryan Gil12%
Harry Kane11%
Richarlison9%
Rodrigo Bentancur8%
Pape Matar Sarr8%
Clément Lenglet6%
Ben Davies5%
Emerson Royal3%
Cristian Romero3%
Eric Dier2%
Arnaut Danjuma0%
Hugo Lloris0%
Davinson Sánchez0%
Lucas Moura0%
Oliver Skipp0%
Matt Doherty0%
Fraser Forster0%
Yves Bissouma0%
Ryan Sessegnon0%
Djed Spence0%
Japhet Tanganga0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Harry Kane52%
Heung-min Son25%
Pedro Porro12%
Richarlison9%
Rodrigo Bentancur8%
Pierre-Emile Højbjerg7%
Matt Doherty7%
Eric Dier5%
Ryan Sessegnon5%
Ivan Perišić5%
Emerson Royal3%
Dejan Kulusevski3%
Ben Davies3%
Arnaut Danjuma0%
Clément Lenglet0%
Hugo Lloris0%
Davinson Sánchez0%
Lucas Moura0%
Oliver Skipp0%
Bryan Gil0%
Fraser Forster0%
Yves Bissouma0%
Djed Spence0%
Cristian Romero0%
Japhet Tanganga0%
Pape Matar Sarr0%
Brentford
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Ivan Toney48%
Bryan Mbeumo21%
Yoane Wissa18%
Mathias Jensen14%
Joshua Dasilva11%
Ethan Pinnock10%
Vitaly Janelt9%
Pontus Jansson8%
Ben Mee8%
Christian Nørgaard5%
Kristoffer Ajer0%
Saman Ghoddos0%
Zanka0%
Mads Roerslev Rasmussen0%
Frank Onyeka0%
Mikkel Damsgaard0%
Mads Bech Sørensen0%
Rico Henry0%
Sergi Canós0%
David Raya0%
Shandon Baptiste0%
Aaron Hickey0%
Keane Lewis-Potter0%
Kevin Schade0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Ivan Toney27%
Christian Nørgaard27%
Aaron Hickey27%
Mikkel Damsgaard15%
Mathias Jensen14%
Bryan Mbeumo13%
Zanka11%
Kevin Schade11%
Rico Henry11%
Shandon Baptiste9%
Vitaly Janelt9%
Yoane Wissa8%
Ben Mee5%
Joshua Dasilva3%
David Raya3%
Kristoffer Ajer0%
Saman Ghoddos0%
Mads Roerslev Rasmussen0%
Frank Onyeka0%
Pontus Jansson0%
Mads Bech Sørensen0%
Sergi Canós0%
Ethan Pinnock0%
Keane Lewis-Potter0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Bryan Mbeumo18%
Mathias Jensen16%
Christian Nørgaard14%
Keane Lewis-Potter10%
Frank Onyeka10%
Ivan Toney9%
Yoane Wissa8%
Joshua Dasilva6%
Kevin Schade6%
Rico Henry5%
Shandon Baptiste4%
Aaron Hickey4%
Vitaly Janelt3%
Ben Mee3%
Kristoffer Ajer0%
Saman Ghoddos0%
Zanka0%
Mads Roerslev Rasmussen0%
Mikkel Damsgaard0%
Pontus Jansson0%
Mads Bech Sørensen0%
Sergi Canós0%
David Raya0%
Ethan Pinnock0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Ivan Toney33%
Bryan Mbeumo16%
Ben Mee5%
Christian Nørgaard5%
Mikkel Damsgaard4%
Vitaly Janelt3%
Yoane Wissa3%
Kristoffer Ajer0%
Saman Ghoddos0%
Zanka0%
Mads Roerslev Rasmussen0%
Frank Onyeka0%
Pontus Jansson0%
Mads Bech Sørensen0%
Rico Henry0%
Sergi Canós0%
Joshua Dasilva0%
David Raya0%
Ethan Pinnock0%
Shandon Baptiste0%
Aaron Hickey0%
Mathias Jensen0%
Keane Lewis-Potter0%
Kevin Schade0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
CHE (39)
€1407m
ARS (29)
€1406m
MC (27)
€1326m
LIV (29)
€980m
MU (30)
€929m
TOT (36)
€920m
BHA (30)
€620m
BOU (31)
€573m
NEW (25)
€568m
BRE (32)
€565m
NFO (28)
€551m
AVL (27)
€536m
CRY (29)
€505m
EVE (24)
€459m
LEE (27)
€427m
FUL (21)
€329m
WHU (24)
€274m
WOL (31)
€273m
SOU (30)
€205m
LEI (22)
€69m
Tottenham's squad is €355m more valuable than Brentford's (€920m vs €565m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
MC (9)
€635m
CHE (13)
€614m
ARS (13)
€608m
LIV (9)
€518m
MU (11)
€432m
BOU (11)
€285m
NFO (9)
€263m
TOT (12)
€250m
NEW (7)
€234m
CRY (11)
€229m
BRE (10)
€228m
AVL (10)
€220m
BHA (9)
€190m
FUL (9)
€178m
EVE (7)
€174m
LEE (11)
€166m
WHU (7)
€84m
WOL (11)
€79m
SOU (10)
€72m
LEI (7)
€20m
Tottenham's attack is €22m more valuable than Brentford's (€250m vs €228m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ARS (4)
€290m
TOT (7)
€282m
CHE (6)
€278m
MU (7)
€236m
LIV (6)
€201m
BHA (7)
€180m
EVE (7)
€162m
MC (3)
€160m
AVL (6)
€160m
BRE (7)
€128m
NEW (6)
€124m
BOU (6)
€106m
LEE (5)
€98m
CRY (5)
€93m
WOL (6)
€79m
SOU (5)
€53m
NFO (4)
€52m
WHU (5)
€48m
FUL (3)
€28m
LEI (4)
€13m
Tottenham's midfield is €154m more valuable than Brentford's (€282m vs €128m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
MC (15)
€531m
CHE (20)
€514m
ARS (12)
€508m
TOT (17)
€388m
MU (12)
€261m
LIV (14)
€260m
BHA (14)
€249m
NFO (15)
€236m
NEW (12)
€210m
BRE (15)
€209m
CRY (13)
€182m
BOU (14)
€182m
LEE (11)
€163m
AVL (11)
€156m
WHU (12)
€141m
EVE (10)
€123m
FUL (9)
€123m
WOL (14)
€116m
SOU (15)
€79m
LEI (11)
€36m
Tottenham's defence is €179m more valuable than Brentford's (€388m vs €209m).
England: Premier League 2022/23 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full England: Premier League stats & trends →
PythiaFootballBETA
Manchester City
Arsenal
Manchester United
Newcastle
Liverpool
Brighton
Aston Villa
Fulham
Crystal Palace
Chelsea
Wolves
West Ham
Bournemouth
Nottingham Forest
Everton
Leicester
Leeds
Southampton