The match between Tottenham and Chelsea is a tight affair, with the model favouring a Tottenham win. The probabilities are 40% for a home win, 31% for a draw and 29% for an away win, making the home side the most likely outcome. The average number of goals expected is 2.3, with the most likely total being 2 goals at 28%. The single most probable scoreline is 1-1, which carries a 14.5% chance. Tottenham’s home form shows they average 1.8 goals scored and 1.3 conceded against teams of similar strength, while Chelsea’s away form is 0.71 goals scored and 0.86 conceded versus comparable opponents.
The model’s selections are: Over 19.5 fouls at 87.2%, Over 2.5 cards at 83.5%, Under 3.5 (likely a typo for goals) at 80.7%, Over 21.5 fouls at 76.1% (missed), and Over 8.5 corners at 73.8% (missed). Tottenham’s recent run of LWLWL, ending with a 0-2 loss to Newcastle, contrasts with Chelsea’s WWLWL and a 2-0 win over Luton, giving both sides a balanced but uncertain edge. The match remains finely balanced, with Tottenham’s home advantage giving them a slight lift in the odds.
Results analysis
Tottenham’s 2-0 win over Chelsea extended a shaky run, ending a defeat to Newcastle. The model’s pre-match favourite, Home win, with a 40% probability, proved correct. The predicted total of 2.3 goals and the most likely score of 1-1 were not realised, yet the match still fell within the model’s 28% chance of a 2-goal total. Among the suggested selections, Over 19.5 fouls (87.2%) and Over 2.5 cards (83.5%) hit, as did Under 3.5 (80.7%). Over 21.5 fouls (76.1%) and Over 8.5 corners (73.8%) missed. Overall, the model’s call and most picks performed well.
🎯 1. Model Analysis
Tottenham win✓ Hit
40.4%
Avg Implied 32.8% · @ 2.93
Edge
+7.6%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
31.0%
Avg Implied 29.2% · @ 3.29
Edge
+1.8%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Chelsea win✗ Miss
28.5%
Avg Implied 38.0% · @ 2.53
Edge
-9.4%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
⚽ 2. Goal Analysis
Tottenham
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.8
Avg scored
1.3
Avg conceded
1.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.60
1.37
1.86
1.21
1.38
1.50
vs Stronger (4)
1.00
2.25
0.50
1.00
1.50
3.50
vs Similar (23)
1.57
1.13
1.80
1.30
1.38
1.00
vs Weaker (3)
2.67
2.00
3.50
1.00
1.00
4.00
Clean sheet %
33% (+8pp vs league)
This opponent (Chelsea) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Chelsea
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.10
0.93
1.36
0.71
0.88
1.12
vs Stronger (1)
0.00
1.00
0.00
1.00
-
-
vs Similar (12)
1.08
0.83
1.60
0.80
0.71
0.86
vs Weaker (17)
1.18
1.00
1.38
0.62
1.00
1.33
Clean sheet %
33% (+8pp vs league)
This opponent (Tottenham) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.3 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (28%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
67.4%
Under 1.5
32.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
39.4%
@ 2.04-7.5%
Under 2.5
60.6%
@ 1.80+7.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
19.3%
Under 3.5
80.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
46.7%
No
53.3%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
14.5%
0-0
11.7%
1-0
11.7%
0-1
9.2%
2-1
8.2%
2-0 ✓
8.1%
1-2
6.7%
0-2
5.3%
Tottenham goals ↓
Chelsea goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
12%
9.2%
5.3%
1.8%
0.5%
1
12%
14%
6.7%
2.2%
0.6%
2
8.1%
8.2%
4.2%
1.4%
0.4%
3
3.4%
3.4%
1.7%
0.6%
0.1%
4
1.1%
1.1%
0.5%
0.2%
0.0%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Tottenham goals (down), columns = Chelsea goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Manchester City
2.34
Arsenal
2.21
Manchester United
1.97
Newcastle
1.87
Liverpool
1.76
Brighton
1.63
Aston Villa
1.61
Tottenham
1.58
Brentford
1.55
Fulham
1.37
Crystal Palace
1.18
Chelsea
1.16
Wolves
1.08
West Ham
1.05
Bournemouth
1.03
Nottingham Forest
1.00
Everton
0.95
Leicester
0.89
Leeds
0.82
Southampton
0.66
Tottenham is 0.42 points better than Chelsea in terms of average points per game (1.58 vs 1.16).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Manchester City
2.47
Arsenal
2.32
Liverpool
1.97
Brighton
1.89
Tottenham
1.84
Newcastle
1.79
Brentford
1.53
Manchester United
1.53
Fulham
1.45
Leicester
1.34
Aston Villa
1.34
Leeds
1.26
West Ham
1.11
Crystal Palace
1.05
Chelsea
1.00
Nottingham Forest
1.00
Bournemouth
0.97
Southampton
0.95
Everton
0.89
Wolves
0.82
Tottenham is 0.84 goals better than Chelsea in terms of goals scored per game (1.84 vs 1.00).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Newcastle
0.87
Manchester City
0.87
Arsenal
1.13
Manchester United
1.13
Brentford
1.21
Aston Villa
1.21
Liverpool
1.24
Chelsea
1.24
Crystal Palace
1.29
Fulham
1.39
Brighton
1.39
West Ham
1.45
Everton
1.50
Wolves
1.53
Tottenham
1.66
Leicester
1.79
Nottingham Forest
1.79
Bournemouth
1.87
Southampton
1.92
Leeds
2.05
Tottenham is 0.42 goals worse than Chelsea in terms of goals conceded per game (1.66 vs 1.24).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
Manchester City
66%
Liverpool
61%
Brighton
60%
Arsenal
60%
Chelsea
59%
Manchester United
54%
Newcastle
52%
Tottenham
50%
Fulham
49%
Aston Villa
49%
Leicester
48%
Leeds
48%
Crystal Palace
46%
Southampton
44%
Brentford
43%
Everton
42%
West Ham
42%
Bournemouth
41%
Nottingham Forest
37%
Tottenham is 9.2 percentage points worse than Chelsea in terms of average possession (50% vs 59%).
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Tottenham
For 5.0 · Against 5.0 · Total 10.0
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.5 · Against 2.2 · Total 4.7
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 13.0 · Against 12.2 · Total 25.2
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Chelsea
For 6.4 · Against 4.2 · Total 10.6
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.0 · Against 3.1 · Total 5.1
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 12.1 · Against 13.8 · Total 25.9
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Tottenham
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
10.2
9.4
10.9
4.1
4.5
3.8
21.1
21.8
20.3
vs Stronger (6)
8.2
7.0
9.3
4.5
5.7
3.3
23.8
29.0
18.7
vs Similar (34)
10.8
9.4
11.7
4.1
4.4
4.0
20.9
21.2
20.7
vs Weaker (10)
9.4
10.4
7.0
4.0
4.1
3.7
19.9
20.0
19.7
% over line
58%
50%
65%
58%
67%
50%
40%
50%
31%
% under line
42%
50%
35%
42%
33%
50%
60%
50%
69%
This opponent (Chelsea) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Chelsea
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
10.0
10.5
9.5
3.9
4.0
3.8
23.0
22.7
23.4
vs Stronger (2)
7.5
5.0
10.0
2.0
2.0
2.0
17.5
18.0
17.0
vs Similar (21)
11.1
12.1
10.1
4.0
3.8
4.3
22.2
22.7
21.7
vs Weaker (27)
9.3
9.5
9.1
3.9
4.4
3.5
24.1
23.0
24.9
% over line
54%
58%
50%
52%
62%
42%
52%
38%
65%
% under line
46%
42%
50%
48%
38%
58%
48%
62%
35%
This opponent (Tottenham) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Brighton
10.5
Fulham
10.5
Brentford
10.5
Southampton
10.4
Everton
10.4
Bournemouth
10.4
Newcastle
10.3
Aston Villa
10.3
Tottenham
10.2
Leicester
10.2
Liverpool
10.1
Nottingham Forest
10.0
Chelsea
10.0
West Ham
10.0
Wolves
9.9
Manchester United
9.8
Arsenal
9.8
Crystal Palace
9.5
Manchester City
9.4
Leeds
9.3
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Nottingham Forest
4.4
Leeds
4.4
Everton
4.3
Tottenham
4.1
Bournemouth
4.0
Crystal Palace
4.0
Aston Villa
4.0
Brighton
3.9
Newcastle
3.9
Wolves
3.9
Chelsea
3.9
Fulham
3.8
Arsenal
3.8
Manchester United
3.5
Southampton
3.4
Manchester City
3.1
Brentford
2.9
Leicester
2.9
West Ham
2.8
Liverpool
2.7
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Crystal Palace
24.4
Aston Villa
23.8
Nottingham Forest
23.1
Chelsea
23.0
Leeds
23.0
Fulham
21.3
Bournemouth
21.3
Brighton
21.1
Tottenham
21.1
Southampton
21.0
Everton
21.0
Arsenal
20.9
Newcastle
20.7
Leicester
20.5
Wolves
20.0
Manchester United
19.2
Brentford
19.1
Manchester City
18.1
Liverpool
18.0
West Ham
17.3
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Under
Over 9.5
62.4%
Under 9.5
37.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
67.1%
Under 3.5
32.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Under
Over 21.5
76.1%
Under 21.5
23.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
⚖️ 7. Handicap
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Tottenham
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.53
0.70
0.57
0.86
0.50
0.56
vs Stronger (4)
1.00
0.75
0.50
1.00
1.50
0.50
vs Similar (23)
0.39
0.57
0.50
0.80
0.31
0.38
vs Weaker (3)
1.00
1.67
1.00
1.00
1.00
3.00
Clean sheet %
53% (+28pp vs league)
This opponent (Chelsea) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Chelsea
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.7
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.53
0.43
0.50
0.14
0.56
0.69
vs Stronger (1)
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
-
-
vs Similar (12)
0.58
0.25
0.80
0.00
0.43
0.43
vs Weaker (17)
0.53
0.59
0.38
0.25
0.67
0.89
Clean sheet %
70% (+44pp vs league)
This opponent (Tottenham) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Tottenham over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Tottenham over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Tottenham over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Chelsea over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Chelsea over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Chelsea over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Tottenham
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.07
0.67
1.29
0.36
0.88
0.94
vs Stronger (4)
0.00
1.50
0.00
0.00
0.00
3.00
vs Similar (23)
1.17
0.57
1.30
0.50
1.08
0.62
vs Weaker (3)
1.67
0.33
2.50
0.00
0.00
1.00
Clean sheet %
57% (+31pp vs league)
This opponent (Chelsea) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Chelsea
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.6
Avg scored
0.2
Avg conceded
0.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.57
0.50
0.86
0.57
0.31
0.44
vs Stronger (1)
0.00
1.00
0.00
1.00
-
-
vs Similar (12)
0.50
0.58
0.80
0.80
0.29
0.43
vs Weaker (17)
0.65
0.41
1.00
0.38
0.33
0.44
Clean sheet %
53% (+28pp vs league)
This opponent (Tottenham) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Tottenham over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Tottenham over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Tottenham over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Chelsea over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Chelsea over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Chelsea over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Over 19.5 fouls
87.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 2.5 cards
83.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 3.5
80.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 21.5 fouls
76.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Over 8.5 corners
73.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Tottenham
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Harry Kane59%
Rodrigo Bentancur21%
Heung-min Son20%
Pedro Porro19%
Pierre-Emile Højbjerg12%
Arnaut Danjuma10%
Ryan Sessegnon10%
Matt Doherty7%
Richarlison6%
Emerson Royal6%
Dejan Kulusevski6%
Lucas Moura6%
Ben Davies5%
Eric Dier5%
Oliver Skipp4%
Clément Lenglet3%
Ivan Perišić2%
Hugo Lloris0%
Davinson Sánchez0%
Bryan Gil0%
Fraser Forster0%
Yves Bissouma0%
Djed Spence0%
Cristian Romero0%
Japhet Tanganga0%
Pape Matar Sarr0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Rodrigo Bentancur42%
Cristian Romero38%
Oliver Skipp30%
Ryan Sessegnon25%
Yves Bissouma23%
Clément Lenglet21%
Pierre-Emile Højbjerg19%
Harry Kane15%
Eric Dier15%
Ivan Perišić15%
Bryan Gil12%
Ben Davies11%
Richarlison9%
Emerson Royal9%
Pape Matar Sarr8%
Heung-min Son7%
Fraser Forster6%
Dejan Kulusevski6%
Davinson Sánchez5%
Arnaut Danjuma0%
Hugo Lloris0%
Lucas Moura0%
Matt Doherty0%
Djed Spence0%
Pedro Porro0%
Japhet Tanganga0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Ivan Perišić27%
Dejan Kulusevski21%
Pedro Porro19%
Pierre-Emile Højbjerg17%
Heung-min Son14%
Bryan Gil12%
Harry Kane11%
Richarlison9%
Rodrigo Bentancur8%
Pape Matar Sarr8%
Clément Lenglet6%
Ben Davies5%
Emerson Royal3%
Cristian Romero3%
Eric Dier2%
Arnaut Danjuma0%
Hugo Lloris0%
Davinson Sánchez0%
Lucas Moura0%
Oliver Skipp0%
Matt Doherty0%
Fraser Forster0%
Yves Bissouma0%
Ryan Sessegnon0%
Djed Spence0%
Japhet Tanganga0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Harry Kane52%
Heung-min Son25%
Pedro Porro12%
Richarlison9%
Rodrigo Bentancur8%
Pierre-Emile Højbjerg7%
Matt Doherty7%
Eric Dier5%
Ryan Sessegnon5%
Ivan Perišić5%
Emerson Royal3%
Dejan Kulusevski3%
Ben Davies3%
Arnaut Danjuma0%
Clément Lenglet0%
Hugo Lloris0%
Davinson Sánchez0%
Lucas Moura0%
Oliver Skipp0%
Bryan Gil0%
Fraser Forster0%
Yves Bissouma0%
Djed Spence0%
Cristian Romero0%
Japhet Tanganga0%
Pape Matar Sarr0%
Chelsea
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
João Félix20%
Kai Havertz20%
Raheem Sterling19%
Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang14%
Jorginho12%
Denis Zakaria11%
Wesley Fofana10%
Benoît Badiashile9%
Reece James8%
Noni Madueke8%
Conor Gallagher7%
Kalidou Koulibaly7%
Ben Chilwell7%
Mason Mount6%
Armando Broja6%
Mateo Kovačić6%
Christian Pulišić3%
Thiago Silva0%
Hakim Ziyech0%
Kepa Arrizabalaga0%
César Azpilicueta0%
N'Golo Kanté0%
Ruben Loftus-Cheek0%
Edouard Mendy0%
Enzo Fernández0%
Trevoh Chalobah0%
Marc Cucurella0%
Mykhaylo Mudryk0%
Carney Chukwuemeka0%
Lewis Hall0%
David Datro Fofana0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Reece James29%
Mateo Kovačić29%
Conor Gallagher28%
Kalidou Koulibaly27%
Mason Mount21%
Wesley Fofana20%
Marc Cucurella19%
Benoît Badiashile18%
Enzo Fernández18%
Jorginho17%
Raheem Sterling14%
Ben Chilwell13%
Trevoh Chalobah13%
Mykhaylo Mudryk12%
Thiago Silva11%
Kai Havertz11%
N'Golo Kanté11%
Lewis Hall11%
César Azpilicueta10%
Hakim Ziyech9%
Edouard Mendy9%
Kepa Arrizabalaga8%
João Félix5%
Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang5%
Christian Pulišić3%
Ruben Loftus-Cheek3%
Denis Zakaria0%
Noni Madueke0%
Armando Broja0%
Carney Chukwuemeka0%
David Datro Fofana0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Hakim Ziyech14%
Mykhaylo Mudryk12%
N'Golo Kanté11%
Raheem Sterling11%
Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang10%
Enzo Fernández9%
Reece James8%
Christian Pulišić7%
Ben Chilwell7%
Ruben Loftus-Cheek6%
Marc Cucurella6%
Mason Mount6%
Thiago Silva6%
Mateo Kovačić6%
Kalidou Koulibaly3%
Conor Gallagher2%
Kai Havertz2%
Benoît Badiashile0%
João Félix0%
Kepa Arrizabalaga0%
César Azpilicueta0%
Jorginho0%
Denis Zakaria0%
Edouard Mendy0%
Trevoh Chalobah0%
Wesley Fofana0%
Noni Madueke0%
Armando Broja0%
Carney Chukwuemeka0%
Lewis Hall0%
David Datro Fofana0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Kai Havertz27%
João Félix15%
Raheem Sterling14%
Mykhaylo Mudryk12%
Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang10%
Enzo Fernández9%
Noni Madueke8%
Christian Pulišić7%
Mason Mount6%
Hakim Ziyech5%
Kalidou Koulibaly3%
Ben Chilwell3%
Thiago Silva3%
Mateo Kovačić3%
Benoît Badiashile0%
Kepa Arrizabalaga0%
César Azpilicueta0%
Jorginho0%
N'Golo Kanté0%
Ruben Loftus-Cheek0%
Denis Zakaria0%
Edouard Mendy0%
Reece James0%
Trevoh Chalobah0%
Wesley Fofana0%
Marc Cucurella0%
Conor Gallagher0%
Armando Broja0%
Carney Chukwuemeka0%
Lewis Hall0%
David Datro Fofana0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
CHE (39)
€1407m
ARS (29)
€1406m
MC (27)
€1326m
LIV (29)
€980m
MU (30)
€929m
TOT (36)
€920m
BHA (30)
€620m
BOU (31)
€573m
NEW (25)
€568m
BRE (32)
€565m
NFO (28)
€551m
AVL (27)
€536m
CRY (29)
€505m
EVE (24)
€459m
LEE (27)
€427m
FUL (21)
€329m
WHU (24)
€274m
WOL (31)
€273m
SOU (30)
€205m
LEI (22)
€69m
Tottenham's squad is €486m less valuable than Chelsea's (€920m vs €1407m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
MC (9)
€635m
CHE (13)
€614m
ARS (13)
€608m
LIV (9)
€518m
MU (11)
€432m
BOU (11)
€285m
NFO (9)
€263m
TOT (12)
€250m
NEW (7)
€234m
CRY (11)
€229m
BRE (10)
€228m
AVL (10)
€220m
BHA (9)
€190m
FUL (9)
€178m
EVE (7)
€174m
LEE (11)
€166m
WHU (7)
€84m
WOL (11)
€79m
SOU (10)
€72m
LEI (7)
€20m
Tottenham's attack is €364m less valuable than Chelsea's (€250m vs €614m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ARS (4)
€290m
TOT (7)
€282m
CHE (6)
€278m
MU (7)
€236m
LIV (6)
€201m
BHA (7)
€180m
EVE (7)
€162m
MC (3)
€160m
AVL (6)
€160m
BRE (7)
€128m
NEW (6)
€124m
BOU (6)
€106m
LEE (5)
€98m
CRY (5)
€93m
WOL (6)
€79m
SOU (5)
€53m
NFO (4)
€52m
WHU (5)
€48m
FUL (3)
€28m
LEI (4)
€13m
Tottenham's midfield is €4m more valuable than Chelsea's (€282m vs €278m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
MC (15)
€531m
CHE (20)
€514m
ARS (12)
€508m
TOT (17)
€388m
MU (12)
€261m
LIV (14)
€260m
BHA (14)
€249m
NFO (15)
€236m
NEW (12)
€210m
BRE (15)
€209m
CRY (13)
€182m
BOU (14)
€182m
LEE (11)
€163m
AVL (11)
€156m
WHU (12)
€141m
EVE (10)
€123m
FUL (9)
€123m
WOL (14)
€116m
SOU (15)
€79m
LEI (11)
€36m
Tottenham's defence is €126m less valuable than Chelsea's (€388m vs €514m).
England: Premier League 2022/23 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full England: Premier League stats & trends →
PythiaFootballBETA
Manchester City
Arsenal
Manchester United
Newcastle
Liverpool
Brighton
Aston Villa
Brentford
Fulham
Crystal Palace
Wolves
West Ham
Bournemouth
Nottingham Forest
Everton
Leicester
Leeds
Southampton