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Tottenham vs Chelsea Result & Analysis

Date: 08/12/2024
Time: 16:30
Final 3-4
Tottenham
Tottenham
Vs
36%
26%
38%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Chelsea
Chelsea
England: Premier League
Referee: A Taylor
Match preview & prediction

The match between Tottenham and Chelsea is a tight affair, with the model favouring an away win. The probabilities are 36% for a home win, 26% for a draw and 38% for an away win, making the latter the most likely outcome. The expected total goals sit at 3.1, but the single most probable total is two goals, with a 22% chance. The most likely scoreline is 1-1, occurring with a 11.7% probability.

Tottenham, playing at home against a team of similar strength, averages 2.38 goals scored and 1.12 conceded. Chelsea, on the road against a comparable opponent, averages 1.0 goal scored and 1.86 conceded. This suggests Tottenham should find the net more often, while Chelsea will likely concede more.

The model’s selections are as follows: Over 2.5 cards 93.4%, Over 3.5 cards 84.1%, Over 1.5 goals 83.1%, Under 11.5 corners 81.6%, Over 19.5 fouls 79.7%, Under 10.5 corners 72.1%, and Over 4.5 cards 70.3%. All selections are presented with their exact probabilities.

Results analysis

Tottenham’s recent form, a win-lose-win-lose-win sequence, left them rattled after a 0-2 loss to Newcastle, while Chelsea, on a two-game winning streak, entered the match confident. The final score was 3-4, an away win that matched the model’s prediction. The model had picked an away victory with a 38% probability, and its call proved correct. The expected total of 3.1 goals was far below the actual seven goals scored. The model’s selections were largely accurate: Over 2.5 cards (93.4%) hit, Over 3.5 cards (84.1%) hit, Over 1.5 (83.1%) hit, Over 19.5 fouls (79.7%) hit, while Under 11.5 corners (81.6%) and Under 10.5 corners (72.1%) missed, and Over 4.5 cards (70.3%) missed.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Tottenham win✗ Miss
36.4%
Avg Implied 33.1% · @ 2.90
Edge
+3.3%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
25.8%
Avg Implied 24.1% · @ 3.98
Edge
+1.7%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Chelsea win✓ Hit
37.8%
Avg Implied 42.8% · @ 2.24
Edge
-5.0%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

TottenhamTottenham

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-410W01L21W41W23L12L40W22D11D01LH·AZ 24/10A·CRY27/10H·MAN30/10H·AST03/11A·GAL07/11H·IPS10/11A·MAN23/11H·AS 28/11H·FUL01/12A·BOU05/12
Avg total
2.9
Avg scored
1.7
Avg conceded
1.2
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.831.372.131.131.531.60
vs Stronger (5)1.601.401.001.754.000.00
vs Similar (20)1.701.602.381.121.251.92
vs Weaker (5)2.600.403.000.332.000.50
Clean sheet %20% (-6pp vs league)
This opponent (Chelsea) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

ChelseaChelsea

Last 10 – goals for & against
80-841W21W02L11D80W11D21W20W30W51WA·PAN24/10H·NEW27/10A·NEW30/10A·MAN03/11H·FC 07/11H·ARS10/11A·LEI23/11A·1. 28/11H·AST01/12A·SOU04/12
Avg total
3.6
Avg scored
2.8
Avg conceded
0.8
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game2.631.103.070.732.201.47
vs Stronger (1)0.002.000.002.00--
vs Similar (13)1.621.382.330.831.001.86
vs Weaker (16)3.620.814.000.503.251.12
Clean sheet %33% (+8pp vs league)
This opponent (Tottenham) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

6%11%17%22%5%011%122%222%318%411%510%6+
The model estimates around 3.1 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (22%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
83.1%
Under 1.5
16.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
60.7%
@ 1.34-10.5%
Under 2.5
39.3%
@ 3.31+10.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
38.4%
Under 3.5
61.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
63.7%
No
36.3%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
11.7%
1-2
8.5%
2-1
8.3%
2-2
6.6%
0-1
5.8%
1-0
5.7%
0-2
5.5%
0-0
5.4%
Tottenham goals ↓
Chelsea goals →
01234
05.4%5.8%5.5%2.9%1.1%
15.7%12%8.5%4.5%1.8%
25.2%8.3%6.6%3.5%1.4%
32.7%4.3%3.4%1.8%0.7%
41.0%1.7%1.3%0.7%0.3%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Tottenham goals (down), columns = Chelsea goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Liverpool
2.21
Arsenal
1.95
Manchester City
1.87
Chelsea
1.82
Newcastle
1.74
Aston Villa
1.74
Nottingham Forest
1.71
Brighton
1.61
Brentford
1.47
Bournemouth
1.47
Fulham
1.42
Crystal Palace
1.39
Everton
1.26
West Ham
1.13
Wolves
1.11
Manchester United
1.11
Tottenham
1.00
Leicester
0.66
Ipswich
0.58
Southampton
0.32
Tottenham is 0.82 points worse than Chelsea in terms of average points per game (1.00 vs 1.82).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Liverpool
2.26
Manchester City
1.89
Arsenal
1.82
Newcastle
1.79
Brighton
1.74
Brentford
1.74
Chelsea
1.68
Tottenham
1.68
Nottingham Forest
1.53
Bournemouth
1.53
Aston Villa
1.53
Fulham
1.42
Wolves
1.42
Crystal Palace
1.34
West Ham
1.21
Manchester United
1.16
Everton
1.11
Ipswich
0.95
Leicester
0.87
Southampton
0.68
Tottenham and Chelsea are level in goals scored per game (both 1.68).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Arsenal
0.89
Liverpool
1.08
Chelsea
1.13
Manchester City
1.16
Everton
1.16
Nottingham Forest
1.21
Bournemouth
1.21
Newcastle
1.24
Crystal Palace
1.34
Aston Villa
1.34
Fulham
1.42
Manchester United
1.42
Brentford
1.50
Brighton
1.55
West Ham
1.63
Tottenham
1.71
Wolves
1.82
Leicester
2.11
Ipswich
2.16
Southampton
2.26
Tottenham is 0.58 goals worse than Chelsea in terms of goals conceded per game (1.71 vs 1.13).

⏱️ Possession

Avg possession %
Manchester City
61%
Liverpool
58%
Arsenal
57%
Chelsea
57%
Tottenham
55%
Manchester United
54%
Fulham
53%
Brighton
53%
Newcastle
51%
Aston Villa
50%
Bournemouth
49%
West Ham
48%
Brentford
48%
Southampton
48%
Leicester
45%
Crystal Palace
43%
Everton
41%
Nottingham Forest
41%
Ipswich
40%
Tottenham is 2.0 percentage points worse than Chelsea in terms of average possession (55% vs 57%).

🎲 4. Props Analysis

TottenhamTottenham

For 7.1 · Against 6.2 · Total 13.3

🚩 Corners

18095711763912286488641351418131214810161018A·BOUH·FULH·AS A·MANH·IPSA·GALH·ASTA·CRYH·AZ H·WES
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.1 · Against 3.1 · Total 5.2

🟨 Cards

1002222124157324461442366102865A·BOUH·FULH·AS A·MANH·IPSA·GALH·ASTA·CRYH·AZ H·WES
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 9.9 · Against 15.2 · Total 25.1

⚠️ Fouls

3008154149991910191014141412161317101523181828292428283025A·BOUH·FULH·AS A·MANH·IPSA·GALH·ASTA·CRYH·AZ H·WES
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

ChelseaChelsea

For 6.0 · Against 3.4 · Total 9.4

🚩 Corners

12075346392434384746561127911771211117A·SOUH·ASTA·1. A·LEIH·ARSH·FC A·MANH·NEWA·PANA·LIV
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.7 · Against 2.8 · Total 5.5

🟨 Cards

902226234422266311342487628927A·SOUH·ASTA·1. A·LEIH·ARSH·FC A·MANH·NEWA·PANA·LIV
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 13.5 · Against 11.4 · Total 24.9

⚠️ Fouls

3301472161014121512129514191316178131221272427241433292525A·SOUH·ASTA·1. A·LEIH·ARSH·FC A·MANH·NEWA·PANA·LIV
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

TottenhamTottenham

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)12.912.613.34.54.44.724.924.725.1
vs Stronger (6)13.612.715.05.24.27.026.425.328.0
vs Similar (34)12.912.613.24.74.64.724.924.924.9
vs Weaker (10)12.612.512.83.73.83.524.324.024.8
% over line83%84%83%64%65%62%83%80%87%
% under line17%16%17%36%35%38%17%20%13%
This opponent (Chelsea) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

ChelseaChelsea

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)10.310.610.15.24.65.723.722.325.0
vs Stronger (3)8.76.513.04.75.04.022.324.019.0
vs Similar (21)9.210.18.55.95.16.425.423.327.2
vs Weaker (26)11.411.611.24.74.25.222.521.223.6
% over line60%65%56%80%71%88%71%65%76%
% under line40%35%44%20%29%12%29%35%24%
This opponent (Tottenham) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

🚩 Total Corners

Match total corners / game
Tottenham
12.8
Bournemouth
11.6
Southampton
11.5
Manchester United
11.5
Manchester City
11.1
Brentford
11.0
Newcastle
11.0
Everton
10.7
Fulham
10.7
Ipswich
10.6
Nottingham Forest
10.5
Liverpool
10.5
Chelsea
10.3
Crystal Palace
10.3
Wolves
10.3
Aston Villa
10.1
West Ham
9.9
Leicester
9.8
Brighton
9.7
Arsenal
9.3

🟨 Total Cards

Match total cards / game
Chelsea
5.4
Aston Villa
5.3
Wolves
4.8
Brighton
4.8
Southampton
4.7
Bournemouth
4.7
Newcastle
4.7
Tottenham
4.7
Nottingham Forest
4.5
Liverpool
4.4
Leicester
4.3
Brentford
4.2
Crystal Palace
4.2
Manchester United
4.1
West Ham
4.1
Arsenal
4.0
Fulham
3.9
Ipswich
3.8
Manchester City
3.6
Everton
3.5

⚠️ Total Fouls

Match total fouls / game
Tottenham
24.9
Aston Villa
23.8
Bournemouth
23.6
Chelsea
23.6
Wolves
23.5
Newcastle
23.1
Ipswich
23.0
Crystal Palace
23.0
Southampton
22.9
Brighton
22.2
Arsenal
22.1
Liverpool
21.9
Nottingham Forest
21.7
Everton
21.6
Leicester
21.3
West Ham
20.8
Fulham
20.6
Brentford
20.3
Manchester United
20.3
Manchester City
18.0
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Over
Over 9.5
39.5%
Under 9.5
60.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
84.1%
Under 3.5
15.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Over
Over 21.5
65.5%
Under 21.5
34.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

TottenhamTottenham

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-300D01L21W01L13L02L20W21W00D01LH·AZ 24/10A·CRY27/10H·MAN30/10H·AST03/11A·GAL07/11H·IPS10/11A·MAN23/11H·AS 28/11H·FUL01/12A·BOU05/12
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
1.0
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.730.800.800.800.670.80
vs Stronger (5)0.800.800.501.002.000.00
vs Similar (20)0.600.950.750.880.501.00
vs Weaker (5)1.200.201.330.331.000.00
Clean sheet %43% (+18pp vs league)
This opponent (Chelsea) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

ChelseaChelsea

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
60-610W11D02L00D60W00D10W00D20W31WA·PAN24/10H·NEW27/10A·NEW30/10A·MAN03/11H·FC 07/11H·ARS10/11A·LEI23/11A·1. 28/11H·AST01/12A·SOU04/12
Avg total
1.8
Avg scored
1.4
Avg conceded
0.4
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.300.501.800.270.800.73
vs Stronger (1)0.001.000.001.00--
vs Similar (13)0.770.691.500.500.140.86
vs Weaker (16)1.810.312.250.001.380.62
Clean sheet %63% (+38pp vs league)
This opponent (Tottenham) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Tottenham over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Tottenham over/under 1.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Tottenham over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Chelsea over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Chelsea over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Chelsea over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

TottenhamTottenham

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
40-410W00D00D40W10W10W20W01L11D00DH·AZ 24/10A·CRY27/10H·MAN30/10H·AST03/11A·GAL07/11H·IPS10/11A·MAN23/11H·AS 28/11H·FUL01/12A·BOU05/12
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
0.2
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.100.571.330.330.870.80
vs Stronger (5)0.800.600.500.752.000.00
vs Similar (20)1.100.651.620.250.750.92
vs Weaker (5)1.400.201.670.001.000.50
Clean sheet %60% (+34pp vs league)
This opponent (Chelsea) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

ChelseaChelsea

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-331W10W00D11D20W11D11D20W10W20WA·PAN24/10H·NEW27/10A·NEW30/10A·MAN03/11H·FC 07/11H·ARS10/11A·LEI23/11A·1. 28/11H·AST01/12A·SOU04/12
Avg total
1.8
Avg scored
1.4
Avg conceded
0.4
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.330.601.270.471.400.73
vs Stronger (1)0.001.000.001.00--
vs Similar (13)0.850.690.830.330.861.00
vs Weaker (16)1.810.501.750.501.880.50
Clean sheet %53% (+28pp vs league)
This opponent (Tottenham) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Tottenham over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Tottenham over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Tottenham over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Chelsea over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Chelsea over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Chelsea over/under 2.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 2.5 cards93.4%-------✓ Hit
Over 3.5 cards84.1%-------✓ Hit
Over 1.583.1%-------✓ Hit
Under 11.5 corners81.6%-------✗ Miss
Over 19.5 fouls79.7%-------✓ Hit
Under 10.5 corners72.1%-------✗ Miss
Over 4.5 cards70.3%-------✗ Miss

🎽 13. Player market rates

Tottenham
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Brennan Johnson31%
Dominic Solanke31%
James Maddison22%
Richarlison21%
Dejan Kulusevski20%
Dane Scarlett20%
Heung-min Son20%
Will Lankshear17%
Mathys Tel15%
Pape Matar Sarr11%
Wilson Odobert10%
Pedro Porro8%
Djed Spence6%
Mikey Moore5%
Rodrigo Bentancur5%
Yves Bissouma5%
Cristian Romero4%
Timo Werner4%
Lucas Bergvall2%
Ben Davies0%
Sergio Reguilón0%
Fraser Forster0%
Kevin Danso0%
Guglielmo Vicario0%
Micky van de Ven0%
Brandon Austin0%
Radu Drăguşin0%
Destiny Udogie0%
Antonín Kinský0%
Archie Gray0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Sergio Reguilón33%
Rodrigo Bentancur32%
Yves Bissouma27%
Micky van de Ven23%
Cristian Romero19%
Ben Davies18%
James Maddison18%
Lucas Bergvall18%
Will Lankshear17%
Mathys Tel15%
Pape Matar Sarr15%
Radu Drăguşin14%
Pedro Porro14%
Brennan Johnson14%
Richarlison12%
Dejan Kulusevski10%
Djed Spence9%
Guglielmo Vicario6%
Destiny Udogie6%
Archie Gray4%
Heung-min Son2%
Timo Werner0%
Dominic Solanke0%
Fraser Forster0%
Kevin Danso0%
Brandon Austin0%
Dane Scarlett0%
Antonín Kinský0%
Wilson Odobert0%
Mikey Moore0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Dane Scarlett40%
James Maddison22%
Dejan Kulusevski20%
Pedro Porro18%
Heung-min Son17%
Dominic Solanke16%
Timo Werner11%
Mikey Moore11%
Micky van de Ven9%
Djed Spence9%
Richarlison8%
Brennan Johnson8%
Lucas Bergvall7%
Mathys Tel5%
Cristian Romero4%
Pape Matar Sarr4%
Destiny Udogie3%
Rodrigo Bentancur2%
Ben Davies0%
Sergio Reguilón0%
Fraser Forster0%
Yves Bissouma0%
Kevin Danso0%
Guglielmo Vicario0%
Brandon Austin0%
Radu Drăguşin0%
Antonín Kinský0%
Archie Gray0%
Wilson Odobert0%
Will Lankshear0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Dominic Solanke20%
Heung-min Son15%
Brennan Johnson12%
Mathys Tel10%
Richarlison8%
Pedro Porro8%
Dejan Kulusevski6%
Mikey Moore5%
Wilson Odobert5%
James Maddison4%
Cristian Romero4%
Timo Werner4%
Pape Matar Sarr4%
Rodrigo Bentancur2%
Yves Bissouma2%
Ben Davies0%
Sergio Reguilón0%
Fraser Forster0%
Djed Spence0%
Kevin Danso0%
Guglielmo Vicario0%
Micky van de Ven0%
Brandon Austin0%
Radu Drăguşin0%
Dane Scarlett0%
Destiny Udogie0%
Antonín Kinský0%
Archie Gray0%
Lucas Bergvall0%
Will Lankshear0%
Chelsea
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Nicolas Jackson32%
Christopher Nkunku26%
Cole Palmer24%
Marc Guiu21%
João Félix20%
Mykhaylo Mudryk20%
Noni Madueke20%
Enzo Fernández17%
Marc Cucurella15%
Pedro Neto13%
Kiernan Dewsbury-Hall13%
Jadon Sancho12%
Axel Disasi12%
Renato Veiga11%
Tyrique George8%
Tosin Adarabioyo8%
Reece James7%
Levi Colwill5%
Moisés Caicedo4%
Benoît Badiashile0%
Robert Sánchez0%
Trevoh Chalobah0%
Wesley Fofana0%
Carney Chukwuemeka0%
Malo Gusto0%
Cesare Casadei0%
Roméo Lavia0%
Filip Jørgensen0%
Sam Rak-Sakyi0%
Shumaira Mheuka0%
Josh Acheampong0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Wesley Fofana50%
Moisés Caicedo29%
Benoît Badiashile25%
Levi Colwill24%
Nicolas Jackson24%
Roméo Lavia22%
Renato Veiga22%
Marc Cucurella21%
João Félix20%
Enzo Fernández20%
Tosin Adarabioyo19%
Pedro Neto18%
Axel Disasi18%
Cole Palmer17%
Cesare Casadei17%
Robert Sánchez15%
Trevoh Chalobah11%
Malo Gusto10%
Filip Jørgensen9%
Josh Acheampong8%
Jadon Sancho7%
Noni Madueke7%
Kiernan Dewsbury-Hall6%
Christopher Nkunku5%
Tyrique George4%
Reece James4%
Mykhaylo Mudryk0%
Carney Chukwuemeka0%
Sam Rak-Sakyi0%
Shumaira Mheuka0%
Marc Guiu0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Enzo Fernández24%
Mykhaylo Mudryk20%
Pedro Neto18%
Cole Palmer17%
Jadon Sancho17%
Tyrique George17%
Nicolas Jackson15%
Axel Disasi12%
João Félix10%
Noni Madueke10%
Kiernan Dewsbury-Hall10%
Christopher Nkunku10%
Reece James7%
Moisés Caicedo7%
Marc Cucurella6%
Roméo Lavia6%
Renato Veiga6%
Trevoh Chalobah5%
Malo Gusto5%
Tosin Adarabioyo3%
Levi Colwill3%
Benoît Badiashile0%
Robert Sánchez0%
Wesley Fofana0%
Carney Chukwuemeka0%
Cesare Casadei0%
Filip Jørgensen0%
Sam Rak-Sakyi0%
Shumaira Mheuka0%
Josh Acheampong0%
Marc Guiu0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Marc Guiu36%
João Félix35%
Cole Palmer28%
Nicolas Jackson26%
Noni Madueke22%
Christopher Nkunku21%
Carney Chukwuemeka20%
Kiernan Dewsbury-Hall10%
Pedro Neto9%
Enzo Fernández9%
Mykhaylo Mudryk7%
Axel Disasi6%
Marc Cucurella4%
Tyrique George4%
Tosin Adarabioyo3%
Levi Colwill3%
Malo Gusto2%
Jadon Sancho0%
Benoît Badiashile0%
Robert Sánchez0%
Reece James0%
Trevoh Chalobah0%
Wesley Fofana0%
Moisés Caicedo0%
Cesare Casadei0%
Roméo Lavia0%
Filip Jørgensen0%
Sam Rak-Sakyi0%
Renato Veiga0%
Shumaira Mheuka0%
Josh Acheampong0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
CHE (39)
€1407m
ARS (29)
€1406m
MC (27)
€1326m
LIV (29)
€980m
MU (30)
€929m
TOT (36)
€920m
BHA (30)
€620m
BOU (31)
€573m
NEW (25)
€568m
BRE (32)
€565m
NFO (28)
€551m
AVL (27)
€536m
CRY (29)
€505m
EVE (24)
€459m
FUL (21)
€329m
IPS (31)
€280m
WHU (24)
€274m
WOL (31)
€273m
SOU (30)
€205m
LEI (22)
€69m
Tottenham's squad is €486m less valuable than Chelsea's (€920m vs €1407m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
MC (9)
€635m
CHE (13)
€614m
ARS (13)
€608m
LIV (9)
€518m
MU (11)
€432m
BOU (11)
€285m
NFO (9)
€263m
TOT (12)
€250m
NEW (7)
€234m
CRY (11)
€229m
BRE (10)
€228m
AVL (10)
€220m
BHA (9)
€190m
FUL (9)
€178m
EVE (7)
€174m
IPS (11)
€130m
WHU (7)
€84m
WOL (11)
€79m
SOU (10)
€72m
LEI (7)
€20m
Tottenham's attack is €364m less valuable than Chelsea's (€250m vs €614m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ARS (4)
€290m
TOT (7)
€282m
CHE (6)
€278m
MU (7)
€236m
LIV (6)
€201m
BHA (7)
€180m
EVE (7)
€162m
MC (3)
€160m
AVL (6)
€160m
BRE (7)
€128m
NEW (6)
€124m
BOU (6)
€106m
CRY (5)
€93m
WOL (6)
€79m
IPS (7)
€66m
SOU (5)
€53m
NFO (4)
€52m
WHU (5)
€48m
FUL (3)
€28m
LEI (4)
€13m
Tottenham's midfield is €4m more valuable than Chelsea's (€282m vs €278m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
MC (15)
€531m
CHE (20)
€514m
ARS (12)
€508m
TOT (17)
€388m
MU (12)
€261m
LIV (14)
€260m
BHA (14)
€249m
NFO (15)
€236m
NEW (12)
€210m
BRE (15)
€209m
CRY (13)
€182m
BOU (14)
€182m
AVL (11)
€156m
WHU (12)
€141m
EVE (10)
€123m
FUL (9)
€123m
WOL (14)
€116m
IPS (13)
€85m
SOU (15)
€79m
LEI (11)
€36m
Tottenham's defence is €126m less valuable than Chelsea's (€388m vs €514m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

8 previous meetings
1
TOT wins
2
Draws
5
CHE wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Tottenham vs Chelsea · H/A from TOT
DateH/AGameScore
02/05/24AChelsea Vs TOT2-0
06/11/23HTOT Vs Chelsea1-4
26/02/23HTOT Vs Chelsea2-0
14/08/22AChelsea Vs TOT2-2
23/01/22AChelsea Vs TOT2-0
19/09/21HTOT Vs Chelsea0-3
04/02/21HTOT Vs Chelsea0-1
29/11/20AChelsea Vs TOT0-0

TottenhamTottenham

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
05/12/24ABournemouth Vs TOT1-0
01/12/24HTOT Vs Fulham1-1
28/11/24HTOT Vs AS Roma2-2
23/11/24AManchester City Vs TOT0-4
10/11/24HTOT Vs Ipswich1-2
07/11/24AGalatasaray Vs TOT3-2
03/11/24HTOT Vs Aston Villa4-1
30/10/24HTOT Vs Manchester City2-1
27/10/24ACrystal Palace Vs TOT1-0
24/10/24HTOT Vs AZ Alkmaar1-0

ChelseaChelsea

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
04/12/24ASouthampton Vs CHE1-5
01/12/24HCHE Vs Aston Villa3-0
28/11/24A1. FC Heidenheim Vs CHE0-2
23/11/24ALeicester Vs CHE1-2
10/11/24HCHE Vs Arsenal1-1
07/11/24HCHE Vs FC Noah8-0
03/11/24AManchester United Vs CHE1-1
30/10/24ANewcastle Vs CHE2-0
27/10/24HCHE Vs Newcastle2-1
24/10/24APanathinaikos Vs CHE1-4

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Tottenham
Tottenham
England: Premier League
Recent: 4 Wins / 2 Draws / 4 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLWDDL1.58
HomeWWLDD1.92
AwayLLLWL1.21
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %48%62%33%
AVG goals3.443.463.42
Over 1.5 %92%92%92%
Over 2.5 %80%85%75%
Over 3.5 %44%46%42%
Scored1.922.121.71
Conceded1.521.351.71
BTTS70%81%58%
Clean Sheet16%12%21%
Corners12.9212.6013.26
Cards4.734.564.91
Chelsea
Chelsea
England: Premier League
Recent: 7 Wins / 2 Draws / 1 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallDWWWW1.94
HomeDWWDW2.33
AwayLDWWW1.58
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %58%71%46%
AVG goals3.904.083.73
Over 1.5 %96%96%96%
Over 2.5 %72%67%77%
Over 3.5 %50%50%50%
Scored2.422.882.00
Conceded1.481.211.73
BTTS68%58%77%
Clean Sheet24%38%12%
Corners10.3110.5710.08
Cards5.424.835.96

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1LiverpoolLiverpool3884
66%
2.2
8641+45
3.3
89%
63%
45%
10.4
58%
3.9
55%
21.1
47%
980
5182012602.31.1
58%
2ArsenalArsenal3874
53%
1.9
6934+35
2.7
76%
45%
32%
9.7
55%
4.0
58%
21.2
47%
1406
6082905081.80.9
57%
3Manchester CityManchester City3871
55%
1.9
7244+28
3.1
84%
61%
39%
9.9
55%
3.9
58%
17.7
18%
1326
6351605311.91.2
61%
4ChelseaChelsea3869
53%
1.8
6443+21
2.8
76%
55%
26%
9.9
55%
5.2
79%
23.5
68%
1407
6142785141.71.1
57%
5NewcastleNewcastle3866
53%
1.7
6847+21
3.0
82%
61%
34%
11.1
66%
4.4
61%
22.6
61%
568
2341242101.81.2
51%
6Aston VillaAston Villa3866
50%
1.7
5851+7
2.9
84%
63%
32%
10.6
61%
4.7
79%
24.1
66%
536
2201601561.51.3
50%
7Nottingham ForestNottingham Forest3865
50%
1.7
5846+12
2.7
71%
50%
26%
10.6
55%
5.0
76%
21.7
55%
551
263522361.51.2
41%
8BrightonBrighton3861
42%
1.6
6659+7
3.3
89%
71%
45%
9.8
63%
4.3
66%
22.8
55%
620
1901802491.71.6
53%
9BournemouthBournemouth3856
39%
1.5
5846+12
2.7
76%
55%
32%
10.9
63%
5.1
74%
24.3
82%
573
2851061821.51.2
49%
10BrentfordBrentford3856
42%
1.5
6657+9
3.2
84%
61%
39%
11.1
68%
3.8
53%
18.0
18%
565
2281282091.71.5
48%
11FulhamFulham3854
39%
1.4
5454+0
2.8
84%
58%
32%
9.9
55%
3.9
61%
21.1
50%
329
178281231.41.4
53%
12Crystal PalaceCrystal Palace3853
34%
1.4
5151+0
2.7
79%
45%
29%
10.2
55%
4.2
61%
22.0
58%
505
229931821.31.3
43%
13EvertonEverton3848
29%
1.3
4244-2
2.3
66%
37%
29%
10.2
58%
3.4
42%
21.4
50%
459
1741621231.11.2
41%
14West HamWest Ham3843
29%
1.1
4662-16
2.8
84%
50%
29%
9.6
53%
3.6
50%
22.4
53%
274
84481411.21.6
48%
15Manchester UnitedManchester United3842
29%
1.1
4454-10
2.6
76%
50%
24%
10.0
53%
4.2
66%
21.0
50%
929
4322362611.21.4
54%
16WolvesWolves3842
32%
1.1
5469-15
3.2
87%
66%
32%
9.7
58%
4.2
61%
24.3
76%
273
79791161.41.8
-
17TottenhamTottenham3838
29%
1.0
6465-1
3.4
82%
63%
45%
11.8
76%
4.2
55%
24.7
82%
920
2502823881.71.7
55%
18LeicesterLeicester3825
16%
0.7
3380-47
3.0
92%
61%
34%
9.8
50%
3.8
50%
21.7
47%
69
2013360.92.1
45%
19IpswichIpswich3822
11%
0.6
3682-46
3.1
84%
58%
39%
10.4
71%
4.1
55%
22.2
50%
280
13066850.92.2
40%
20SouthamptonSouthampton3812
5%
0.3
2686-60
2.9
79%
61%
42%
10.5
66%
3.9
53%
23.5
61%
205
7253790.72.3
48%
England: Premier League 2024/25 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full England: Premier League stats & trends →

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