Tottenham and Chelsea face a finely balanced encounter, with the model favouring an away win. The probabilities are 32% for a home victory, 27% for a draw, and 41% for an away triumph, making Chelsea the most likely result. The average number of goals expected is 2.9, with the single most likely total being 2 goals at 24%. The scoreline most likely to materialise is 1-1, carrying a 12.6% chance.
Tottenham’s home form shows an average of 1.2 goals scored and 1.4 conceded against similarly strong opponents, while Chelsea’s away record against comparable teams yields only 0.6 goals scored and 1.4 conceded. The model’s selections include an 87.1% chance of over 2.5 cards, an 80.5% chance of over 19.5 fouls, a 72.9% chance of over 8.5 corners, and a 72.7% chance of over 3.5 cards. A 80.0% probability for over 1.5 is also noted, though it is marked as a miss.
In summary, the match is poised for a tight contest with Chelsea slightly ahead, 2.9 goals expected, a 1-1 scoreline most probable, and a suite of high-card, foul, and corner expectations.
Results analysis
The model’s prediction proved spot on as Chelsea secured a 0-1 away victory, extending their two-game winning streak. The pre-match favourite was the away win, given a 41% chance, and the model’s call was correct. The final score of 0-1 matched the actual result, confirming the favoured outcome. Among the selections, Over 2.5 cards hit with an 87.1% probability, Over 19.5 fouls also hit at 80.5%, Over 8.5 corners hit at 72.9%, and Over 3.5 cards hit at 72.7%. The only miss was Over 1.5, which had an 80.0% chance. Overall, the model’s picks largely came through.
🎯 1. Model Analysis
Tottenham win✗ Miss
32.4%
Avg Implied 31.4% · @ 3.02
Edge
+1.0%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
26.9%
Avg Implied 27.6% · @ 3.44
Edge
-0.7%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Chelsea win✓ Hit
40.7%
Avg Implied 41.0% · @ 2.31
Edge
-0.3%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
⚽ 2. Goal Analysis
Tottenham
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.5
Avg scored
1.5
Avg conceded
1.0
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.43
1.27
1.57
1.14
1.31
1.38
vs Stronger (1)
2.00
0.00
-
-
2.00
0.00
vs Similar (24)
1.21
1.33
1.20
1.40
1.21
1.29
vs Weaker (5)
2.40
1.20
2.50
0.50
2.00
4.00
Clean sheet %
33% (+8pp vs league)
This opponent (Chelsea) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Chelsea
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.7
Avg scored
2.1
Avg conceded
1.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.83
1.00
1.53
0.80
2.13
1.20
vs Stronger (1)
1.00
3.00
-
-
1.00
3.00
vs Similar (12)
1.42
1.08
2.00
0.86
0.60
1.40
vs Weaker (17)
2.18
0.82
1.12
0.75
3.11
0.89
Clean sheet %
40% (+14pp vs league)
This opponent (Tottenham) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.9 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (24%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
80.0%
Under 1.5
20.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
55.8%
@ 1.76+2.2%
Under 2.5
44.2%
@ 2.04-2.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
33.5%
Under 3.5
66.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
59.9%
No
40.1%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
12.6%
1-2
8.9%
2-1
7.8%
0-1 ✓
7.2%
0-0
6.5%
0-2
6.5%
1-0
6.2%
2-2
6.1%
Tottenham goals ↓
Chelsea goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
6.5%
7.2%
6.5%
3.4%
1.3%
1
6.2%
13%
8.9%
4.6%
1.8%
2
5.0%
7.8%
6.1%
3.1%
1.2%
3
2.3%
3.6%
2.8%
1.4%
0.6%
4
0.8%
1.2%
0.9%
0.5%
0.2%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Tottenham goals (down), columns = Chelsea goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Arsenal
2.24
Manchester City
2.05
Manchester United
1.87
Aston Villa
1.71
Liverpool
1.58
Bournemouth
1.50
Sunderland
1.42
Brighton
1.39
Brentford
1.39
Fulham
1.37
Chelsea
1.37
Newcastle
1.29
Everton
1.29
Leeds
1.24
Crystal Palace
1.18
Nottingham Forest
1.16
Tottenham
1.08
West Ham
1.03
Burnley
0.58
Wolves
0.53
Tottenham is 0.29 points worse than Chelsea in terms of average points per game (1.08 vs 1.37).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Manchester City
2.03
Arsenal
1.87
Manchester United
1.82
Liverpool
1.66
Chelsea
1.53
Bournemouth
1.53
Aston Villa
1.47
Brentford
1.45
Newcastle
1.39
Brighton
1.37
Leeds
1.29
Nottingham Forest
1.26
Tottenham
1.26
Fulham
1.24
Everton
1.24
West Ham
1.21
Sunderland
1.11
Crystal Palace
1.08
Burnley
1.00
Wolves
0.71
Tottenham is 0.26 goals worse than Chelsea in terms of goals scored per game (1.26 vs 1.53).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Arsenal
0.71
Manchester City
0.92
Brighton
1.21
Sunderland
1.26
Aston Villa
1.29
Manchester United
1.32
Everton
1.32
Fulham
1.34
Crystal Palace
1.34
Nottingham Forest
1.34
Chelsea
1.37
Brentford
1.37
Liverpool
1.39
Bournemouth
1.42
Newcastle
1.45
Leeds
1.47
Tottenham
1.50
West Ham
1.71
Wolves
1.79
Burnley
1.97
Tottenham is 0.13 goals worse than Chelsea in terms of goals conceded per game (1.50 vs 1.37).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
Manchester City
60%
Liverpool
59%
Chelsea
57%
Arsenal
56%
Brighton
53%
Aston Villa
53%
Manchester United
52%
Newcastle
52%
Fulham
51%
Tottenham
50%
Bournemouth
50%
Brentford
47%
Nottingham Forest
46%
Leeds
46%
Crystal Palace
45%
Sunderland
45%
Everton
44%
West Ham
42%
Burnley
42%
Tottenham is 7.2 percentage points worse than Chelsea in terms of average possession (50% vs 57%).
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Tottenham
For 5.8 · Against 5.3 · Total 11.1
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.1 · Against 1.7 · Total 3.8
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 9.6 · Against 11.8 · Total 21.4
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Chelsea
For 4.7 · Against 3.8 · Total 8.5
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 3.3 · Against 2.7 · Total 6.0
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 11.9 · Against 12.5 · Total 24.4
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Tottenham
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
10.7
11.1
10.2
3.2
3.3
3.2
22.7
23.5
21.9
vs Stronger (3)
11.3
11.0
11.5
4.0
3.0
4.5
23.7
27.0
22.0
vs Similar (37)
10.7
11.1
10.4
3.4
3.6
3.3
22.9
23.9
22.2
vs Weaker (10)
10.3
11.1
7.5
2.3
2.7
1.3
21.7
22.3
19.5
% over line
62%
68%
57%
38%
38%
38%
60%
59%
61%
% under line
38%
32%
43%
62%
62%
62%
40%
41%
39%
This opponent (Chelsea) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Chelsea
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
9.4
10.0
8.9
4.1
4.0
4.3
22.1
22.1
22.1
vs Stronger (2)
7.0
-
7.0
4.5
-
4.5
16.5
-
16.5
vs Similar (18)
10.2
10.3
10.0
5.2
6.0
4.4
24.2
23.0
25.5
vs Weaker (30)
9.1
9.7
8.5
3.5
2.8
4.1
21.3
21.6
21.1
% over line
52%
57%
48%
62%
54%
69%
56%
57%
56%
% under line
48%
43%
52%
38%
46%
31%
44%
43%
44%
This opponent (Tottenham) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Tottenham
11.0
Newcastle
10.9
Liverpool
10.6
Bournemouth
10.6
Brentford
10.5
Nottingham Forest
10.4
Aston Villa
10.4
West Ham
10.2
Fulham
10.0
Everton
9.9
Crystal Palace
9.8
Sunderland
9.7
Arsenal
9.6
Brighton
9.6
Leeds
9.6
Wolves
9.4
Chelsea
9.3
Manchester United
9.3
Burnley
9.2
Manchester City
9.2
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Bournemouth
5.0
Nottingham Forest
4.7
Chelsea
4.5
Brighton
4.4
Crystal Palace
4.2
Sunderland
4.2
Wolves
4.2
Newcastle
4.1
Manchester United
4.1
Aston Villa
3.9
Brentford
3.8
Liverpool
3.7
Fulham
3.7
Everton
3.6
Tottenham
3.6
Manchester City
3.6
West Ham
3.5
Burnley
3.4
Arsenal
3.3
Leeds
3.1
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Bournemouth
24.1
Wolves
23.9
Brighton
22.9
Aston Villa
22.9
Tottenham
22.6
Sunderland
22.6
Newcastle
22.5
Chelsea
22.3
Nottingham Forest
22.2
Burnley
22.1
West Ham
22.0
Leeds
21.9
Manchester United
21.7
Everton
21.6
Fulham
21.5
Crystal Palace
21.4
Arsenal
21.1
Liverpool
20.3
Brentford
18.8
Manchester City
18.0
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Over
Over 9.5
61.3%
Under 9.5
38.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
72.7%
Under 3.5
27.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Over
Over 21.5
66.6%
Under 21.5
33.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
⚖️ 7. Handicap
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Tottenham
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.73
0.53
0.93
0.43
0.56
0.62
vs Stronger (1)
2.00
0.00
-
-
2.00
0.00
vs Similar (24)
0.62
0.58
0.80
0.60
0.50
0.57
vs Weaker (5)
1.00
0.40
1.25
0.00
0.00
2.00
Clean sheet %
63% (+38pp vs league)
This opponent (Chelsea) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Chelsea
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.9
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.73
0.53
0.87
0.33
0.60
0.73
vs Stronger (1)
1.00
2.00
-
-
1.00
2.00
vs Similar (12)
0.67
0.50
1.14
0.14
0.00
1.00
vs Weaker (17)
0.76
0.47
0.62
0.50
0.89
0.44
Clean sheet %
57% (+31pp vs league)
This opponent (Tottenham) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Tottenham over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Tottenham over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Tottenham over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Chelsea over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Chelsea over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Chelsea over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Tottenham
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.70
0.73
0.64
0.71
0.75
0.75
vs Stronger (1)
0.00
0.00
-
-
0.00
0.00
vs Similar (24)
0.58
0.75
0.40
0.80
0.71
0.71
vs Weaker (5)
1.40
0.80
1.25
0.50
2.00
2.00
Clean sheet %
53% (+28pp vs league)
This opponent (Chelsea) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Chelsea
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.8
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.9
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.10
0.47
0.67
0.47
1.53
0.47
vs Stronger (1)
0.00
1.00
-
-
0.00
1.00
vs Similar (12)
0.75
0.58
0.86
0.71
0.60
0.40
vs Weaker (17)
1.41
0.35
0.50
0.25
2.22
0.44
Clean sheet %
67% (+41pp vs league)
This opponent (Tottenham) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Tottenham over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Tottenham over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Tottenham over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Chelsea over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Chelsea over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Chelsea over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Over 2.5 cards
87.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 19.5 fouls
80.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 1.5
80.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Over 8.5 corners
72.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 3.5 cards
72.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Tottenham
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Dominic Solanke26%
Richarlison26%
Ben Davies20%
Brennan Johnson18%
João Palhinha16%
Cristian Romero13%
Mohammed Kudus12%
Micky van de Ven11%
Mathys Tel11%
Randal Kolo Muani10%
Xavi Simons10%
Wilson Odobert6%
Archie Gray6%
Conor Gallagher6%
Pape Matar Sarr6%
Pedro Porro4%
Lucas Bergvall3%
Rodrigo Bentancur3%
James Maddison0%
Yves Bissouma0%
Djed Spence0%
Kevin Danso0%
Guglielmo Vicario0%
Radu Drăguşin0%
Dane Scarlett0%
Destiny Udogie0%
Antonín Kinský0%
Souza0%
Jun'ai Byfield0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Cristian Romero39%
Yves Bissouma36%
Pedro Porro30%
João Palhinha27%
Micky van de Ven27%
Kevin Danso26%
Souza25%
Archie Gray24%
Richarlison21%
Rodrigo Bentancur21%
Ben Davies20%
Destiny Udogie18%
Mohammed Kudus16%
Xavi Simons15%
Randal Kolo Muani12%
Djed Spence12%
Conor Gallagher11%
Antonín Kinský10%
Lucas Bergvall9%
Brennan Johnson9%
Pape Matar Sarr8%
Guglielmo Vicario7%
Dominic Solanke5%
Mathys Tel3%
James Maddison0%
Radu Drăguşin0%
Dane Scarlett0%
Wilson Odobert0%
Jun'ai Byfield0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Mohammed Kudus16%
Xavi Simons15%
Lucas Bergvall12%
Richarlison12%
Pape Matar Sarr11%
Randal Kolo Muani10%
Cristian Romero10%
Wilson Odobert9%
Archie Gray9%
Pedro Porro9%
João Palhinha7%
Conor Gallagher6%
Mathys Tel5%
Destiny Udogie4%
Rodrigo Bentancur3%
Micky van de Ven2%
Ben Davies0%
James Maddison0%
Dominic Solanke0%
Yves Bissouma0%
Djed Spence0%
Kevin Danso0%
Guglielmo Vicario0%
Brennan Johnson0%
Radu Drăguşin0%
Dane Scarlett0%
Antonín Kinský0%
Souza0%
Jun'ai Byfield0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Richarlison19%
Yves Bissouma9%
Wilson Odobert9%
Mathys Tel8%
Randal Kolo Muani7%
Xavi Simons7%
Pedro Porro7%
Dominic Solanke5%
Mohammed Kudus4%
Cristian Romero3%
Rodrigo Bentancur3%
João Palhinha2%
Ben Davies0%
James Maddison0%
Djed Spence0%
Kevin Danso0%
Guglielmo Vicario0%
Conor Gallagher0%
Brennan Johnson0%
Micky van de Ven0%
Radu Drăguşin0%
Dane Scarlett0%
Destiny Udogie0%
Pape Matar Sarr0%
Antonín Kinský0%
Archie Gray0%
Lucas Bergvall0%
Souza0%
Jun'ai Byfield0%
Chelsea
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
João Pedro35%
Enzo Fernández28%
Cole Palmer27%
Tyrique George27%
Estêvão Willian23%
Pedro Neto15%
Marc Guiu15%
Alejandro Garnacho14%
Facundo Buonanotte12%
Moisés Caicedo10%
Andrey Santos7%
Tosin Adarabioyo7%
Josh Acheampong7%
Trevoh Chalobah7%
Malo Gusto6%
Jorrel Hato6%
Reece James5%
Liam Delap5%
Jamie Gittens4%
Marc Cucurella2%
Benoît Badiashile0%
Robert Sánchez0%
Wesley Fofana0%
Levi Colwill0%
Mamadou Sarr0%
Roméo Lavia0%
Filip Jørgensen0%
Dário Essugo0%
Shumaira Mheuka0%
Jesse Derry0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Dário Essugo40%
Moisés Caicedo33%
Tyrique George27%
Enzo Fernández26%
Benoît Badiashile25%
Marc Cucurella24%
Wesley Fofana22%
Jorrel Hato20%
Estêvão Willian20%
Andrey Santos19%
Cole Palmer18%
Mamadou Sarr17%
Reece James13%
Liam Delap12%
Facundo Buonanotte12%
João Pedro12%
Pedro Neto12%
Malo Gusto10%
Tosin Adarabioyo10%
Trevoh Chalobah9%
Filip Jørgensen8%
Marc Guiu8%
Alejandro Garnacho7%
Robert Sánchez6%
Roméo Lavia5%
Jamie Gittens4%
Josh Acheampong3%
Levi Colwill0%
Shumaira Mheuka0%
Jesse Derry0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Facundo Buonanotte25%
Dário Essugo20%
Pedro Neto19%
Reece James15%
Marc Guiu15%
Jamie Gittens15%
Enzo Fernández13%
Malo Gusto10%
João Pedro10%
Andrey Santos10%
Tyrique George9%
Estêvão Willian9%
Marc Cucurella8%
Alejandro Garnacho7%
Cole Palmer6%
Wesley Fofana5%
Jorrel Hato3%
Liam Delap2%
Robert Sánchez2%
Moisés Caicedo2%
Benoît Badiashile0%
Tosin Adarabioyo0%
Trevoh Chalobah0%
Levi Colwill0%
Mamadou Sarr0%
Roméo Lavia0%
Filip Jørgensen0%
Shumaira Mheuka0%
Josh Acheampong0%
Jesse Derry0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Alejandro Garnacho19%
João Pedro18%
Cole Palmer18%
Enzo Fernández15%
Liam Delap12%
Facundo Buonanotte12%
Estêvão Willian11%
Pedro Neto8%
Jamie Gittens4%
Reece James3%
Moisés Caicedo2%
Benoît Badiashile0%
Robert Sánchez0%
Tosin Adarabioyo0%
Trevoh Chalobah0%
Wesley Fofana0%
Marc Cucurella0%
Levi Colwill0%
Malo Gusto0%
Mamadou Sarr0%
Roméo Lavia0%
Filip Jørgensen0%
Andrey Santos0%
Dário Essugo0%
Tyrique George0%
Jorrel Hato0%
Shumaira Mheuka0%
Josh Acheampong0%
Marc Guiu0%
Jesse Derry0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
CHE (39)
€1407m
ARS (29)
€1406m
MC (27)
€1326m
LIV (29)
€980m
MU (30)
€929m
TOT (36)
€920m
BHA (30)
€620m
BOU (31)
€573m
NEW (25)
€568m
BRE (32)
€565m
NFO (28)
€551m
AVL (27)
€536m
CRY (29)
€505m
EVE (24)
€459m
LEE (27)
€427m
SUN (30)
€392m
FUL (21)
€329m
WHU (24)
€274m
WOL (31)
€273m
BUR (28)
€115m
Tottenham's squad is €486m less valuable than Chelsea's (€920m vs €1407m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
MC (9)
€635m
CHE (13)
€614m
ARS (13)
€608m
LIV (9)
€518m
MU (11)
€432m
BOU (11)
€285m
NFO (9)
€263m
TOT (12)
€250m
NEW (7)
€234m
CRY (11)
€229m
BRE (10)
€228m
AVL (10)
€220m
BHA (9)
€190m
FUL (9)
€178m
EVE (7)
€174m
LEE (11)
€166m
SUN (9)
€157m
WHU (7)
€84m
WOL (11)
€79m
BUR (14)
€70m
Tottenham's attack is €364m less valuable than Chelsea's (€250m vs €614m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ARS (4)
€290m
TOT (7)
€282m
CHE (6)
€278m
MU (7)
€236m
LIV (6)
€201m
BHA (7)
€180m
EVE (7)
€162m
MC (3)
€160m
AVL (6)
€160m
BRE (7)
€128m
NEW (6)
€124m
SUN (6)
€110m
BOU (6)
€106m
LEE (5)
€98m
CRY (5)
€93m
WOL (6)
€79m
NFO (4)
€52m
WHU (5)
€48m
FUL (3)
€28m
BUR (3)
€8m
Tottenham's midfield is €4m more valuable than Chelsea's (€282m vs €278m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
MC (15)
€531m
CHE (20)
€514m
ARS (12)
€508m
TOT (17)
€388m
MU (12)
€261m
LIV (14)
€260m
BHA (14)
€249m
NFO (15)
€236m
NEW (12)
€210m
BRE (15)
€209m
CRY (13)
€182m
BOU (14)
€182m
LEE (11)
€163m
AVL (11)
€156m
WHU (12)
€141m
SUN (15)
€125m
EVE (10)
€123m
FUL (9)
€123m
WOL (14)
€116m
BUR (11)
€37m
Tottenham's defence is €126m less valuable than Chelsea's (€388m vs €514m).
England: Premier League 2025/26 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full England: Premier League stats & trends →
PythiaFootballBETA
Arsenal
Manchester City
Manchester United
Aston Villa
Liverpool
Bournemouth
Sunderland
Brighton
Brentford
Fulham
Newcastle
Everton
Leeds
Crystal Palace
Nottingham Forest
West Ham
Burnley
Wolves