Tottenham’s recent 0-2 loss to Newcastle signals a shaky start, while Liverpool’s 2-2 draw with Nottingham Forest shows a team still finding rhythm. The model projects a high-scoring encounter, with an expected 3.6 goals and a most likely total of 3, though the probability of that exact total is only 21%. The single most probable scoreline is 1-1, carrying a 9.8% chance. Home form shows Tottenham averaging 1.55 goals scored and 1.09 conceded against similar opposition, whereas Liverpool’s away form is markedly weaker, with just 0.5 goals scored and 1.5 conceded. The predicted outcome favours an away win, with 39% probability for Liverpool, 37% for Tottenham and 24% for a draw. Suggested picks include Under 5.5 cards (88.5%), Over 1.5 (88.1%), Under 11.5 corners (79.2%), Over 19.5 fouls (78.5%), Under 4.5 cards (76.6%) and BTTS Yes (70.2%). These selections reflect the model’s assessment of the match’s flow and team performances.
Results analysis
Tottenham’s return to White Hart Lane was a shock as the pre-match favourite, Liverpool, failed to deliver the predicted away win, and the final score of 2-1 gave the home side a hard-fought victory. The model had tipped Liverpool to win with a 39% probability, but the outcome proved otherwise. The model’s other selections were mixed: Under 5.5 cards (88.5%) missed, Over 1.5 (88.1%) hit, Under 11.5 corners (79.2%) missed, Over 19.5 fouls (78.5%) hit, Under 4.5 cards (76.6%) missed, and BTTS Yes (70.2%) hit. Tottenham’s recent form, a 1-2 loss to Newcastle, had them looking fragile, while Liverpool’s 2-2 draw at Nottingham Forest suggested they were still finding rhythm. The match ended with Tottenham’s 2-1 win, overturning the model’s expectation.
🎯 1. Model Analysis
Tottenham win✓ Hit
37.4%
Avg Implied 32.6% · @ 2.96
Edge
+4.8%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
23.8%
Avg Implied 24.5% · @ 3.94
Edge
-0.7%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Liverpool win✗ Miss
38.8%
Avg Implied 42.9% · @ 2.25
Edge
-4.1%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
⚽ 2. Goal Analysis
Tottenham
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.5
Avg scored
2.2
Avg conceded
1.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.73
1.60
1.43
1.07
2.00
2.06
vs Stronger (4)
1.25
2.00
0.50
1.00
2.00
3.00
vs Similar (21)
1.71
1.38
1.55
1.09
1.90
1.70
vs Weaker (5)
2.20
2.20
2.00
1.00
2.25
2.50
Clean sheet %
30% (+4pp vs league)
This opponent (Liverpool) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Liverpool
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.7
Avg scored
2.6
Avg conceded
1.1
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
2.03
1.23
2.43
1.07
1.69
1.38
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (11)
1.91
1.55
2.71
1.57
0.50
1.50
vs Weaker (19)
2.11
1.05
2.14
0.57
2.08
1.33
Clean sheet %
37% (+11pp vs league)
This opponent (Tottenham) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 3.6 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 3 (21%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
88.1%
Under 1.5
11.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
69.3%
@ 1.38+0.3%
Under 2.5
30.7%
@ 3.07-0.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
47.9%
Under 3.5
52.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
70.2%
No
29.8%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
9.8%
1-2
8.1%
2-1 ✓
7.9%
2-2
7.2%
1-3
4.9%
3-1
4.7%
0-2
4.6%
2-0
4.4%
Tottenham goals ↓
Liverpool goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
3.7%
4.2%
4.6%
2.7%
1.2%
1
4.1%
9.8%
8.1%
4.9%
2.2%
2
4.4%
7.9%
7.2%
4.3%
1.9%
3
2.6%
4.7%
4.2%
2.5%
1.1%
4
1.1%
2.1%
1.9%
1.1%
0.5%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Tottenham goals (down), columns = Liverpool goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Manchester City
2.39
Arsenal
2.34
Liverpool
2.16
Aston Villa
1.79
Tottenham
1.74
Chelsea
1.66
Newcastle
1.58
Manchester United
1.58
West Ham
1.37
Crystal Palace
1.29
Brighton
1.26
Bournemouth
1.26
Everton
1.26
Fulham
1.24
Wolves
1.21
Brentford
1.03
Nottingham Forest
0.95
Luton
0.68
Burnley
0.63
Sheffield United
0.42
Tottenham is 0.42 points worse than Liverpool in terms of average points per game (1.74 vs 2.16).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Manchester City
2.53
Arsenal
2.39
Liverpool
2.26
Newcastle
2.24
Chelsea
2.03
Aston Villa
2.00
Tottenham
1.95
West Ham
1.58
Crystal Palace
1.50
Manchester United
1.50
Brentford
1.47
Fulham
1.45
Brighton
1.45
Bournemouth
1.42
Luton
1.37
Wolves
1.32
Nottingham Forest
1.29
Burnley
1.08
Everton
1.05
Sheffield United
0.92
Tottenham is 0.32 goals worse than Liverpool in terms of goals scored per game (1.95 vs 2.26).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Arsenal
0.76
Manchester City
0.89
Liverpool
1.08
Everton
1.34
Crystal Palace
1.53
Manchester United
1.53
Fulham
1.61
Aston Villa
1.61
Tottenham
1.61
Brighton
1.63
Newcastle
1.63
Chelsea
1.66
Brentford
1.71
Wolves
1.71
Nottingham Forest
1.76
Bournemouth
1.76
West Ham
1.95
Burnley
2.05
Luton
2.24
Sheffield United
2.74
Tottenham is 0.53 goals worse than Liverpool in terms of goals conceded per game (1.61 vs 1.08).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
Manchester City
66%
Tottenham
62%
Liverpool
61%
Brighton
60%
Arsenal
59%
Chelsea
58%
Aston Villa
53%
Newcastle
52%
Manchester United
51%
Fulham
50%
Burnley
47%
Brentford
45%
Bournemouth
45%
Crystal Palace
42%
Luton
42%
West Ham
41%
Nottingham Forest
40%
Everton
40%
Sheffield United
35%
Tottenham is 0.5 percentage points better than Liverpool in terms of average possession (62% vs 61%).
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Tottenham
For 5.8 · Against 6.1 · Total 11.9
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.8 · Against 3.0 · Total 5.8
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 11.9 · Against 11.8 · Total 23.7
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Liverpool
For 7.0 · Against 3.8 · Total 10.8
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.9 · Against 2.1 · Total 4.0
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 11.9 · Against 10.6 · Total 22.5
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Tottenham
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
10.5
10.5
10.6
4.5
4.9
4.2
22.3
22.8
21.7
vs Stronger (5)
10.0
8.5
11.0
5.2
6.0
4.7
27.8
32.0
25.0
vs Similar (38)
10.4
10.3
10.6
4.3
4.5
4.1
21.4
22.2
20.7
vs Weaker (7)
11.4
12.7
10.5
5.3
6.3
4.5
22.9
21.0
24.2
% over line
62%
58%
65%
62%
67%
58%
50%
54%
46%
% under line
38%
42%
35%
38%
33%
42%
50%
46%
54%
This opponent (Liverpool) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Liverpool
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
10.0
10.1
9.9
2.9
3.1
2.8
20.3
21.4
19.2
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (19)
9.1
9.1
9.0
3.3
4.3
2.2
21.7
23.4
19.9
vs Weaker (31)
10.6
10.8
10.4
2.7
2.3
3.1
19.4
20.1
18.8
% over line
50%
60%
40%
38%
40%
36%
44%
52%
36%
% under line
50%
40%
60%
62%
60%
64%
56%
48%
64%
This opponent (Tottenham) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
West Ham
11.1
Newcastle
10.9
Manchester United
10.9
Sheffield United
10.8
Everton
10.7
Luton
10.7
Bournemouth
10.6
Tottenham
10.5
Fulham
10.1
Brighton
10.1
Aston Villa
10.0
Arsenal
10.0
Wolves
10.0
Liverpool
10.0
Nottingham Forest
10.0
Brentford
10.0
Burnley
9.9
Chelsea
9.6
Crystal Palace
9.5
Manchester City
9.2
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Tottenham
4.5
Chelsea
4.5
Crystal Palace
4.3
Nottingham Forest
4.3
Sheffield United
4.3
Brighton
4.2
Wolves
4.2
Everton
4.2
Aston Villa
4.2
Burnley
4.0
Fulham
4.0
Newcastle
3.9
Luton
3.8
Manchester City
3.8
Arsenal
3.8
Bournemouth
3.6
Manchester United
3.6
Brentford
3.2
Liverpool
3.0
West Ham
2.8
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Crystal Palace
24.8
Aston Villa
23.8
Chelsea
23.6
Luton
22.7
Nottingham Forest
22.4
Tottenham
22.3
Brighton
22.2
Fulham
22.2
Newcastle
22.0
Wolves
21.9
Bournemouth
21.3
Arsenal
21.0
Burnley
20.9
Everton
20.7
Liverpool
20.3
Sheffield United
20.2
Brentford
20.2
Manchester City
20.0
Manchester United
19.6
West Ham
19.2
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Over
Over 9.5
42.7%
Under 9.5
57.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
41.5%
Under 3.5
58.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Over
Over 21.5
63.9%
Under 21.5
36.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
⚖️ 7. Handicap
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Tottenham
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.67
0.77
0.50
0.43
0.81
1.06
vs Stronger (4)
1.00
0.75
0.50
1.00
1.50
0.50
vs Similar (21)
0.57
0.76
0.55
0.36
0.60
1.20
vs Weaker (5)
0.80
0.80
0.00
0.00
1.00
1.00
Clean sheet %
60% (+34pp vs league)
This opponent (Liverpool) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Liverpool
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.9
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
0.9
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.87
0.63
1.07
0.57
0.69
0.69
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (11)
1.00
0.73
1.29
0.86
0.50
0.50
vs Weaker (19)
0.79
0.58
0.86
0.29
0.75
0.75
Clean sheet %
50% (+24pp vs league)
This opponent (Tottenham) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Tottenham over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Tottenham over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Tottenham over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Liverpool over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Liverpool over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Liverpool over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Tottenham
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.1
Avg scored
1.3
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.07
0.83
0.93
0.64
1.19
1.00
vs Stronger (4)
0.25
1.25
0.00
0.00
0.50
2.50
vs Similar (21)
1.14
0.62
1.00
0.73
1.30
0.50
vs Weaker (5)
1.40
1.40
2.00
1.00
1.25
1.50
Clean sheet %
47% (+21pp vs league)
This opponent (Liverpool) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Liverpool
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.8
Avg scored
1.6
Avg conceded
0.2
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.17
0.60
1.36
0.50
1.00
0.69
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (11)
0.91
0.82
1.43
0.71
0.00
1.00
vs Weaker (19)
1.32
0.47
1.29
0.29
1.33
0.58
Clean sheet %
70% (+44pp vs league)
This opponent (Tottenham) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Tottenham over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Tottenham over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Tottenham over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Liverpool over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Liverpool over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Liverpool over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Under 5.5 cards
88.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Over 1.5
88.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 11.5 corners
79.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Over 19.5 fouls
78.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 4.5 cards
76.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
BTTS Yes
70.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Tottenham
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Heung-min Son40%
Richarlison32%
Dejan Kulusevski19%
Brennan Johnson16%
Timo Werner15%
Cristian Romero15%
James Maddison14%
Alejo Véliz12%
Micky van de Ven11%
Giovani Lo Celso9%
Pape Matar Sarr9%
Pedro Porro9%
Destiny Udogie7%
Ben Davies6%
Emerson Royal5%
Rodrigo Bentancur4%
Eric Dier0%
Oliver Skipp0%
Ivan Perišić0%
Manor Solomon0%
Bryan Gil0%
Pierre-Emile Højbjerg0%
Yves Bissouma0%
Guglielmo Vicario0%
Radu Drăguşin0%
Dane Scarlett0%
Jamie Donley0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Ivan Perišić40%
Jamie Donley33%
Yves Bissouma32%
Rodrigo Bentancur30%
Pape Matar Sarr26%
Destiny Udogie21%
Cristian Romero21%
Manor Solomon20%
Dejan Kulusevski19%
Micky van de Ven19%
Emerson Royal18%
James Maddison18%
Oliver Skipp14%
Alejo Véliz12%
Ben Davies12%
Pierre-Emile Højbjerg11%
Radu Drăguşin11%
Richarlison11%
Brennan Johnson9%
Giovani Lo Celso9%
Pedro Porro9%
Timo Werner8%
Guglielmo Vicario5%
Heung-min Son3%
Eric Dier0%
Bryan Gil0%
Dane Scarlett0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Brennan Johnson28%
James Maddison25%
Timo Werner23%
Heung-min Son23%
Ivan Perišić20%
Manor Solomon20%
Pedro Porro20%
Richarlison14%
Destiny Udogie11%
Pape Matar Sarr9%
Dejan Kulusevski8%
Giovani Lo Celso5%
Rodrigo Bentancur4%
Ben Davies0%
Eric Dier0%
Oliver Skipp0%
Emerson Royal0%
Bryan Gil0%
Pierre-Emile Højbjerg0%
Yves Bissouma0%
Cristian Romero0%
Guglielmo Vicario0%
Micky van de Ven0%
Radu Drăguşin0%
Dane Scarlett0%
Jamie Donley0%
Alejo Véliz0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Timo Werner31%
Heung-min Son23%
Richarlison21%
Manor Solomon20%
Brennan Johnson12%
Dejan Kulusevski11%
James Maddison11%
Pedro Porro9%
Ben Davies6%
Rodrigo Bentancur4%
Yves Bissouma4%
Cristian Romero3%
Pape Matar Sarr3%
Eric Dier0%
Oliver Skipp0%
Ivan Perišić0%
Emerson Royal0%
Giovani Lo Celso0%
Bryan Gil0%
Pierre-Emile Højbjerg0%
Guglielmo Vicario0%
Micky van de Ven0%
Radu Drăguşin0%
Dane Scarlett0%
Destiny Udogie0%
Jamie Donley0%
Alejo Véliz0%
Liverpool
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Mohamed Salah46%
Diogo Jota46%
Darwin Núñez28%
Luis Díaz25%
Cody Gakpo23%
Alexis Mac Allister15%
Bobby Clark14%
Dominik Szoboszlai12%
Jarell Quansah12%
Andrew Robertson11%
Ryan Gravenberch10%
Trent Alexander-Arnold9%
Harvey Elliott7%
Conor Bradley7%
Wataru Endo5%
Virgil van Dijk5%
Curtis Jones3%
Alisson0%
Caoimhin Kelleher0%
Joe Gomez0%
Joël Matip0%
Ibrahima Konaté0%
Konstantinos Tsimikas0%
Luke Chambers0%
James McConnell0%
Jayden Danns0%
Ben Doak0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Jayden Danns33%
Wataru Endo29%
Darwin Núñez22%
Conor Bradley20%
Trent Alexander-Arnold18%
Alexis Mac Allister18%
Ibrahima Konaté17%
Joël Matip15%
Joe Gomez12%
Curtis Jones10%
Jarell Quansah8%
Diogo Jota8%
Andrew Robertson7%
Virgil van Dijk7%
Luis Díaz7%
Harvey Elliott7%
Mohamed Salah5%
Alisson3%
Dominik Szoboszlai2%
Cody Gakpo2%
Caoimhin Kelleher0%
Ryan Gravenberch0%
Konstantinos Tsimikas0%
Luke Chambers0%
James McConnell0%
Bobby Clark0%
Ben Doak0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Mohamed Salah24%
Darwin Núñez20%
Trent Alexander-Arnold18%
Harvey Elliott18%
Alexis Mac Allister15%
Bobby Clark14%
Cody Gakpo14%
Conor Bradley13%
Diogo Jota12%
Luis Díaz11%
Konstantinos Tsimikas11%
Curtis Jones10%
Andrew Robertson7%
Joe Gomez7%
Dominik Szoboszlai5%
Virgil van Dijk5%
Ryan Gravenberch3%
Alisson0%
Caoimhin Kelleher0%
Joël Matip0%
Ibrahima Konaté0%
Wataru Endo0%
Jarell Quansah0%
Luke Chambers0%
James McConnell0%
Jayden Danns0%
Ben Doak0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Mohamed Salah49%
Darwin Núñez41%
Cody Gakpo23%
Luis Díaz20%
Diogo Jota15%
Dominik Szoboszlai12%
Trent Alexander-Arnold12%
Virgil van Dijk10%
Harvey Elliott9%
Ryan Gravenberch6%
Alexis Mac Allister5%
Curtis Jones3%
Ibrahima Konaté3%
Alisson0%
Caoimhin Kelleher0%
Joe Gomez0%
Joël Matip0%
Andrew Robertson0%
Konstantinos Tsimikas0%
Wataru Endo0%
Jarell Quansah0%
Conor Bradley0%
Luke Chambers0%
James McConnell0%
Jayden Danns0%
Bobby Clark0%
Ben Doak0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
CHE (39)
€1407m
ARS (29)
€1406m
MC (27)
€1326m
LIV (29)
€980m
MU (30)
€929m
TOT (36)
€920m
BHA (30)
€620m
BOU (31)
€573m
NEW (25)
€568m
BRE (32)
€565m
NFO (28)
€551m
AVL (27)
€536m
CRY (29)
€505m
EVE (24)
€459m
FUL (21)
€329m
WHU (24)
€274m
WOL (31)
€273m
BUR (28)
€115m
SHU (27)
€110m
LUT (26)
€29m
Tottenham's squad is €59m less valuable than Liverpool's (€920m vs €980m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
MC (9)
€635m
CHE (13)
€614m
ARS (13)
€608m
LIV (9)
€518m
MU (11)
€432m
BOU (11)
€285m
NFO (9)
€263m
TOT (12)
€250m
NEW (7)
€234m
CRY (11)
€229m
BRE (10)
€228m
AVL (10)
€220m
BHA (9)
€190m
FUL (9)
€178m
EVE (7)
€174m
WHU (7)
€84m
WOL (11)
€79m
BUR (14)
€70m
SHU (9)
€29m
LUT (10)
€13m
Tottenham's attack is €268m less valuable than Liverpool's (€250m vs €518m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ARS (4)
€290m
TOT (7)
€282m
CHE (6)
€278m
MU (7)
€236m
LIV (6)
€201m
BHA (7)
€180m
EVE (7)
€162m
MC (3)
€160m
AVL (6)
€160m
BRE (7)
€128m
NEW (6)
€124m
BOU (6)
€106m
CRY (5)
€93m
WOL (6)
€79m
NFO (4)
€52m
WHU (5)
€48m
SHU (5)
€32m
FUL (3)
€28m
BUR (3)
€8m
LUT (6)
€4m
Tottenham's midfield is €81m more valuable than Liverpool's (€282m vs €201m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
MC (15)
€531m
CHE (20)
€514m
ARS (12)
€508m
TOT (17)
€388m
MU (12)
€261m
LIV (14)
€260m
BHA (14)
€249m
NFO (15)
€236m
NEW (12)
€210m
BRE (15)
€209m
CRY (13)
€182m
BOU (14)
€182m
AVL (11)
€156m
WHU (12)
€141m
EVE (10)
€123m
FUL (9)
€123m
WOL (14)
€116m
SHU (13)
€49m
BUR (11)
€37m
LUT (10)
€12m
Tottenham's defence is €128m more valuable than Liverpool's (€388m vs €260m).
England: Premier League 2023/24 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full England: Premier League stats & trends →
PythiaFootballBETA
Manchester City
Arsenal
Aston Villa
Chelsea
Newcastle
Manchester United
West Ham
Crystal Palace
Brighton
Everton
Bournemouth
Fulham
Wolves
Brentford
Nottingham Forest
Luton
Burnley
Sheffield United