Tottenham’s recent 0-2 loss to Newcastle and Liverpool’s 2-2 draw with Nottingham Forest hint at a high-scoring encounter, and the model’s numbers back that. The expected total is 3.2 goals, with a 22% chance of exactly three goals. The most likely scoreline is 1-1, a 11.5% probability, while the model favours an away win at 42%. Home form shows Tottenham scoring 2.7 and conceding 1.5 against similar opposition, whereas Liverpool, on the road, averages 2.4 goals scored and 1.2 conceded. The probabilities for the match result are 32% home win, 25% draw, and 42% away win. Suggested picks include Over 2.5 cards at 92.5%, Over 1.5 goals at 83.8%, Under 25.5 fouls at 72.6%, and Under 11.5 corners at 71.7%. Other selections - Over 3.5 cards, Over 19.5 fouls, and Under 11.5 corners - have lower odds, with 82.4% and 74.5% respectively. The model’s selection set reflects a likely high-scoring, Liverpool-winning match.
Results analysis
The match saw Liverpool extend their recent run, coming off a draw, while Tottenham were still coming off a defeat. The final score was 3-6, confirming an away win that matched the model’s favourite, an away win with a 42% probability. The model’s call was correct. The total goals far exceeded the expected 3.2, with the game ending at 9 goals. The suggested picks were mixed: Over 2.5 cards hit at 92.5%, Over 1.5 hit at 83.8%, Over 3.5 cards missed at 82.4%, Over 19.5 fouls missed at 74.5%, Under 25.5 fouls hit at 72.6%, and Under 11.5 corners missed at 71.7%.
🎯 1. Model Analysis
Tottenham win✗ Miss
32.4%
Avg Implied 20.5% · @ 4.69
Edge
+12.0%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
25.4%
Avg Implied 21.0% · @ 4.57
Edge
+4.4%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Liverpool win✓ Hit
42.2%
Avg Implied 58.5% · @ 1.64
Edge
-16.3%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
⚽ 2. Goal Analysis
Tottenham
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
4.0
Avg scored
2.3
Avg conceded
1.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
2.07
1.33
2.27
1.33
1.87
1.33
vs Stronger (4)
1.50
1.00
0.67
1.33
4.00
0.00
vs Similar (21)
2.00
1.62
2.70
1.50
1.36
1.73
vs Weaker (5)
2.80
0.40
2.50
0.50
3.00
0.33
Clean sheet %
23% (-2pp vs league)
This opponent (Liverpool) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Liverpool
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.2
Avg scored
2.3
Avg conceded
0.9
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
2.27
0.93
2.43
0.57
2.12
1.25
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (11)
2.55
0.82
2.67
0.50
2.40
1.20
vs Weaker (19)
2.11
1.00
2.25
0.62
2.00
1.27
Clean sheet %
43% (+18pp vs league)
This opponent (Tottenham) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 3.2 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 3 (22%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
83.8%
Under 1.5
16.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
61.8%
@ 1.27-12.8%
Under 2.5
38.2%
@ 3.74+12.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
39.6%
Under 3.5
60.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
64.3%
No
35.7%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
11.5%
1-2
8.9%
2-1
7.7%
2-2
6.6%
0-2
6.0%
0-1
6.0%
0-0
5.2%
1-3
5.1%
Tottenham goals ↓
Liverpool goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
5.2%
6.0%
6.0%
3.4%
1.5%
1
5.0%
11%
8.9%
5.1%
2.2%
2
4.5%
7.7%
6.6%
3.8%
1.6%
3
2.2%
3.8%
3.3%
1.9%
0.8%
4
0.8%
1.4%
1.2%
0.7%
0.3%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Tottenham goals (down), columns = Liverpool goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Liverpool
2.21
Arsenal
1.95
Manchester City
1.87
Chelsea
1.82
Newcastle
1.74
Aston Villa
1.74
Nottingham Forest
1.71
Brighton
1.61
Brentford
1.47
Bournemouth
1.47
Fulham
1.42
Crystal Palace
1.39
Everton
1.26
West Ham
1.13
Wolves
1.11
Manchester United
1.11
Tottenham
1.00
Leicester
0.66
Ipswich
0.58
Southampton
0.32
Tottenham is 1.21 points worse than Liverpool in terms of average points per game (1.00 vs 2.21).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Liverpool
2.26
Manchester City
1.89
Arsenal
1.82
Newcastle
1.79
Brighton
1.74
Brentford
1.74
Chelsea
1.68
Tottenham
1.68
Nottingham Forest
1.53
Bournemouth
1.53
Aston Villa
1.53
Fulham
1.42
Wolves
1.42
Crystal Palace
1.34
West Ham
1.21
Manchester United
1.16
Everton
1.11
Ipswich
0.95
Leicester
0.87
Southampton
0.68
Tottenham is 0.58 goals worse than Liverpool in terms of goals scored per game (1.68 vs 2.26).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Arsenal
0.89
Liverpool
1.08
Chelsea
1.13
Manchester City
1.16
Everton
1.16
Nottingham Forest
1.21
Bournemouth
1.21
Newcastle
1.24
Crystal Palace
1.34
Aston Villa
1.34
Fulham
1.42
Manchester United
1.42
Brentford
1.50
Brighton
1.55
West Ham
1.63
Tottenham
1.71
Wolves
1.82
Leicester
2.11
Ipswich
2.16
Southampton
2.26
Tottenham is 0.63 goals worse than Liverpool in terms of goals conceded per game (1.71 vs 1.08).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
Manchester City
61%
Liverpool
58%
Arsenal
57%
Chelsea
57%
Tottenham
55%
Manchester United
54%
Fulham
53%
Brighton
53%
Newcastle
51%
Aston Villa
50%
Bournemouth
49%
West Ham
48%
Brentford
48%
Southampton
48%
Leicester
45%
Crystal Palace
43%
Everton
41%
Nottingham Forest
41%
Ipswich
40%
Tottenham is 3.2 percentage points worse than Liverpool in terms of average possession (55% vs 58%).
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Tottenham
For 6.1 · Against 6.4 · Total 12.5
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.3 · Against 2.1 · Total 4.4
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 10.5 · Against 13.2 · Total 23.7
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Liverpool
For 6.0 · Against 4.6 · Total 10.6
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.2 · Against 2.7 · Total 4.9
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 11.3 · Against 11.3 · Total 22.6
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Tottenham
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
13.0
13.0
13.0
4.3
4.1
4.6
24.3
24.5
24.1
vs Stronger (6)
13.6
12.7
15.0
5.2
4.2
7.0
26.4
25.3
28.0
vs Similar (37)
13.3
13.3
13.3
4.3
3.9
4.6
24.3
24.6
24.1
vs Weaker (7)
11.0
11.8
10.0
3.7
4.5
2.7
22.9
23.5
22.0
% over line
83%
88%
78%
62%
62%
62%
81%
79%
83%
% under line
17%
12%
22%
38%
38%
38%
19%
21%
17%
This opponent (Liverpool) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Liverpool
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
10.5
10.8
10.1
4.3
4.6
3.9
21.8
22.4
21.1
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (19)
8.9
9.5
8.1
4.7
4.8
4.6
22.5
23.4
21.2
vs Weaker (31)
11.6
11.9
11.3
4.0
4.5
3.6
21.4
21.7
21.1
% over line
62%
68%
55%
56%
62%
50%
51%
56%
45%
% under line
38%
32%
45%
44%
38%
50%
49%
44%
55%
This opponent (Tottenham) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Tottenham
12.9
Bournemouth
12.0
Manchester United
11.4
Southampton
11.3
Brentford
11.2
Manchester City
11.0
Newcastle
10.8
Everton
10.8
Ipswich
10.7
Nottingham Forest
10.6
Fulham
10.6
Liverpool
10.6
Chelsea
10.5
Wolves
10.4
Crystal Palace
10.4
West Ham
10.2
Brighton
10.0
Aston Villa
9.9
Leicester
9.9
Arsenal
9.4
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Chelsea
5.1
Aston Villa
5.1
Wolves
4.8
Brighton
4.8
Tottenham
4.7
Bournemouth
4.7
Southampton
4.7
Newcastle
4.6
Liverpool
4.6
Nottingham Forest
4.4
Leicester
4.4
Brentford
4.2
Crystal Palace
4.1
Manchester United
4.1
West Ham
4.1
Arsenal
4.0
Fulham
4.0
Ipswich
3.7
Manchester City
3.5
Everton
3.4
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Tottenham
24.7
Aston Villa
23.7
Wolves
23.6
Bournemouth
23.4
Chelsea
23.2
Crystal Palace
22.9
Ipswich
22.9
Newcastle
22.9
Southampton
22.9
Brighton
22.7
Liverpool
22.1
Arsenal
21.7
Nottingham Forest
21.6
Leicester
21.6
Everton
21.4
West Ham
21.3
Fulham
20.7
Brentford
20.4
Manchester United
20.4
Manchester City
17.6
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Over
Over 9.5
51.9%
Under 9.5
48.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
82.4%
Under 3.5
17.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Under
Over 21.5
59.0%
Under 21.5
41.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
⚖️ 7. Handicap
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Tottenham
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.1
Avg scored
1.3
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.93
0.60
0.93
0.60
0.93
0.60
vs Stronger (4)
1.00
0.25
0.67
0.33
2.00
0.00
vs Similar (21)
0.71
0.76
1.00
0.70
0.45
0.82
vs Weaker (5)
1.80
0.20
1.00
0.50
2.33
0.00
Clean sheet %
53% (+28pp vs league)
This opponent (Liverpool) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Liverpool
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.9
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.90
0.40
0.93
0.21
0.88
0.56
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (11)
1.18
0.36
0.83
0.00
1.60
0.80
vs Weaker (19)
0.74
0.42
1.00
0.38
0.55
0.45
Clean sheet %
63% (+38pp vs league)
This opponent (Tottenham) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Tottenham over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Tottenham over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Tottenham over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Liverpool over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Liverpool over/under 1.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Liverpool over/under 2.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Tottenham
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.9
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
0.9
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.13
0.73
1.33
0.73
0.93
0.73
vs Stronger (4)
0.50
0.75
0.00
1.00
2.00
0.00
vs Similar (21)
1.29
0.86
1.70
0.80
0.91
0.91
vs Weaker (5)
1.00
0.20
1.50
0.00
0.67
0.33
Clean sheet %
53% (+28pp vs league)
This opponent (Liverpool) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Liverpool
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.3
Avg scored
1.8
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.37
0.53
1.50
0.36
1.25
0.69
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (11)
1.36
0.45
1.83
0.50
0.80
0.40
vs Weaker (19)
1.37
0.58
1.25
0.25
1.45
0.82
Clean sheet %
60% (+34pp vs league)
This opponent (Tottenham) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Tottenham over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Tottenham over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Tottenham over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Liverpool over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Liverpool over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Liverpool over/under 2.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Over 2.5 cards
92.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 1.5
83.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 3.5 cards
82.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Over 19.5 fouls
74.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Under 25.5 fouls
72.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 11.5 corners
71.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Tottenham
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Brennan Johnson31%
Dominic Solanke31%
James Maddison22%
Richarlison21%
Dejan Kulusevski20%
Dane Scarlett20%
Heung-min Son20%
Will Lankshear17%
Mathys Tel15%
Pape Matar Sarr11%
Wilson Odobert10%
Pedro Porro8%
Djed Spence6%
Mikey Moore5%
Rodrigo Bentancur5%
Yves Bissouma5%
Cristian Romero4%
Timo Werner4%
Lucas Bergvall2%
Ben Davies0%
Sergio Reguilón0%
Fraser Forster0%
Kevin Danso0%
Guglielmo Vicario0%
Micky van de Ven0%
Brandon Austin0%
Radu Drăguşin0%
Destiny Udogie0%
Antonín Kinský0%
Archie Gray0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Sergio Reguilón33%
Rodrigo Bentancur32%
Yves Bissouma27%
Micky van de Ven23%
Cristian Romero19%
Ben Davies18%
James Maddison18%
Lucas Bergvall18%
Will Lankshear17%
Mathys Tel15%
Pape Matar Sarr15%
Radu Drăguşin14%
Pedro Porro14%
Brennan Johnson14%
Richarlison12%
Dejan Kulusevski10%
Djed Spence9%
Guglielmo Vicario6%
Destiny Udogie6%
Archie Gray4%
Heung-min Son2%
Timo Werner0%
Dominic Solanke0%
Fraser Forster0%
Kevin Danso0%
Brandon Austin0%
Dane Scarlett0%
Antonín Kinský0%
Wilson Odobert0%
Mikey Moore0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Dane Scarlett40%
James Maddison22%
Dejan Kulusevski20%
Pedro Porro18%
Heung-min Son17%
Dominic Solanke16%
Timo Werner11%
Mikey Moore11%
Micky van de Ven9%
Djed Spence9%
Richarlison8%
Brennan Johnson8%
Lucas Bergvall7%
Mathys Tel5%
Cristian Romero4%
Pape Matar Sarr4%
Destiny Udogie3%
Rodrigo Bentancur2%
Ben Davies0%
Sergio Reguilón0%
Fraser Forster0%
Yves Bissouma0%
Kevin Danso0%
Guglielmo Vicario0%
Brandon Austin0%
Radu Drăguşin0%
Antonín Kinský0%
Archie Gray0%
Wilson Odobert0%
Will Lankshear0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Dominic Solanke20%
Heung-min Son15%
Brennan Johnson12%
Mathys Tel10%
Richarlison8%
Pedro Porro8%
Dejan Kulusevski6%
Mikey Moore5%
Wilson Odobert5%
James Maddison4%
Cristian Romero4%
Timo Werner4%
Pape Matar Sarr4%
Rodrigo Bentancur2%
Yves Bissouma2%
Ben Davies0%
Sergio Reguilón0%
Fraser Forster0%
Djed Spence0%
Kevin Danso0%
Guglielmo Vicario0%
Micky van de Ven0%
Brandon Austin0%
Radu Drăguşin0%
Dane Scarlett0%
Destiny Udogie0%
Antonín Kinský0%
Archie Gray0%
Lucas Bergvall0%
Will Lankshear0%
Liverpool
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Mohamed Salah56%
Cody Gakpo31%
Jayden Danns25%
Luis Díaz24%
Diogo Jota22%
Harvey Elliott18%
Dominik Szoboszlai16%
Alexis Mac Allister14%
Federico Chiesa14%
Darwin Núñez13%
Virgil van Dijk10%
Trent Alexander-Arnold9%
Curtis Jones7%
Ibrahima Konaté5%
Alisson0%
Caoimhin Kelleher0%
Joe Gomez0%
Andrew Robertson0%
Ryan Gravenberch0%
Konstantinos Tsimikas0%
Wataru Endo0%
Jarell Quansah0%
Tyler Morton0%
Conor Bradley0%
James McConnell0%
Trey Nyoni0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
James McConnell25%
Alexis Mac Allister22%
Tyler Morton20%
Trey Nyoni20%
Darwin Núñez19%
Ibrahima Konaté19%
Virgil van Dijk14%
Ryan Gravenberch14%
Harvey Elliott14%
Conor Bradley14%
Dominik Szoboszlai12%
Jarell Quansah12%
Joe Gomez12%
Trent Alexander-Arnold11%
Andrew Robertson11%
Konstantinos Tsimikas10%
Cody Gakpo10%
Federico Chiesa7%
Luis Díaz6%
Diogo Jota5%
Curtis Jones4%
Wataru Endo3%
Mohamed Salah2%
Alisson0%
Caoimhin Kelleher0%
Jayden Danns0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Mohamed Salah37%
Tyler Morton20%
Trey Nyoni20%
Dominik Szoboszlai14%
Conor Bradley14%
Trent Alexander-Arnold14%
Curtis Jones13%
Cody Gakpo12%
Harvey Elliott11%
Darwin Núñez11%
Alexis Mac Allister10%
Luis Díaz10%
Ryan Gravenberch8%
Diogo Jota8%
Federico Chiesa7%
Konstantinos Tsimikas7%
Ibrahima Konaté5%
Andrew Robertson4%
Virgil van Dijk2%
Alisson0%
Caoimhin Kelleher0%
Joe Gomez0%
Wataru Endo0%
Jarell Quansah0%
James McConnell0%
Jayden Danns0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Mohamed Salah52%
Cody Gakpo24%
Darwin Núñez21%
Luis Díaz18%
Diogo Jota16%
Harvey Elliott11%
Dominik Szoboszlai10%
Federico Chiesa7%
Curtis Jones4%
Virgil van Dijk4%
Alexis Mac Allister4%
Konstantinos Tsimikas3%
Ibrahima Konaté2%
Trent Alexander-Arnold2%
Alisson0%
Caoimhin Kelleher0%
Joe Gomez0%
Andrew Robertson0%
Ryan Gravenberch0%
Wataru Endo0%
Jarell Quansah0%
Tyler Morton0%
Conor Bradley0%
James McConnell0%
Jayden Danns0%
Trey Nyoni0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
CHE (39)
€1407m
ARS (29)
€1406m
MC (27)
€1326m
LIV (29)
€980m
MU (30)
€929m
TOT (36)
€920m
BHA (30)
€620m
BOU (31)
€573m
NEW (25)
€568m
BRE (32)
€565m
NFO (28)
€551m
AVL (27)
€536m
CRY (29)
€505m
EVE (24)
€459m
FUL (21)
€329m
IPS (31)
€280m
WHU (24)
€274m
WOL (31)
€273m
SOU (30)
€205m
LEI (22)
€69m
Tottenham's squad is €59m less valuable than Liverpool's (€920m vs €980m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
MC (9)
€635m
CHE (13)
€614m
ARS (13)
€608m
LIV (9)
€518m
MU (11)
€432m
BOU (11)
€285m
NFO (9)
€263m
TOT (12)
€250m
NEW (7)
€234m
CRY (11)
€229m
BRE (10)
€228m
AVL (10)
€220m
BHA (9)
€190m
FUL (9)
€178m
EVE (7)
€174m
IPS (11)
€130m
WHU (7)
€84m
WOL (11)
€79m
SOU (10)
€72m
LEI (7)
€20m
Tottenham's attack is €268m less valuable than Liverpool's (€250m vs €518m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ARS (4)
€290m
TOT (7)
€282m
CHE (6)
€278m
MU (7)
€236m
LIV (6)
€201m
BHA (7)
€180m
EVE (7)
€162m
MC (3)
€160m
AVL (6)
€160m
BRE (7)
€128m
NEW (6)
€124m
BOU (6)
€106m
CRY (5)
€93m
WOL (6)
€79m
IPS (7)
€66m
SOU (5)
€53m
NFO (4)
€52m
WHU (5)
€48m
FUL (3)
€28m
LEI (4)
€13m
Tottenham's midfield is €81m more valuable than Liverpool's (€282m vs €201m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
MC (15)
€531m
CHE (20)
€514m
ARS (12)
€508m
TOT (17)
€388m
MU (12)
€261m
LIV (14)
€260m
BHA (14)
€249m
NFO (15)
€236m
NEW (12)
€210m
BRE (15)
€209m
CRY (13)
€182m
BOU (14)
€182m
AVL (11)
€156m
WHU (12)
€141m
EVE (10)
€123m
FUL (9)
€123m
WOL (14)
€116m
IPS (13)
€85m
SOU (15)
€79m
LEI (11)
€36m
Tottenham's defence is €128m more valuable than Liverpool's (€388m vs €260m).
England: Premier League 2024/25 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full England: Premier League stats & trends →
PythiaFootballBETA
Arsenal
Manchester City
Chelsea
Newcastle
Aston Villa
Nottingham Forest
Brighton
Bournemouth
Brentford
Fulham
Crystal Palace
Everton
West Ham
Manchester United
Wolves
Leicester
Ipswich
Southampton