Tottenham’s recent 0-2 loss to Newcastle and Liverpool’s 2-2 draw with Nottingham Forest suggest a sharp start for the Reds, who are favoured to win. The model picks an away win with a 44% chance, a draw at 25%, and a home win at 31%. The average expected total is 3.3 goals, with the most likely total of three goals at 22%. The single most likely scoreline is 1-1, with an 11.1% probability. Tottenham averages 1.33 goals scored and 1.17 conceded at home against similar opposition, while Liverpool concedes 1.8 and scores only 0.6 away against similar teams. Suggested picks include Over 2.5 cards at 86.1%, Over 19.5 fouls at 84.8%, Over 1.5 at 84.6%, Over 21.5 fouls at 72.6%, and Over 3.5 cards at 71.1%. Each selection is presented with its exact probability and outcome.
Results analysis
Tottenham’s defeat at home extended a winless streak, while Liverpool’s away victory continued a run of draws and defeats. The model’s favourite, an away win, was correct, matching the 44% probability it assigned. The final score of 1-2 confirmed the prediction. The model’s suggested picks were mixed: Over 2.5 cards hit, as did Over 1.5, and Over 3.5 cards, all with high probabilities of 86.1%, 84.6%, and 71.1% respectively. However, Over 19.5 fouls and Over 21.5 fouls missed, despite probabilities of 84.8% and 72.6%. Overall, the model delivered a solid forecast, accurately calling the winner and several high-probability outcomes.
🎯 1. Model Analysis
Tottenham win✗ Miss
30.7%
Avg Implied 26.7% · @ 3.54
Edge
+4.0%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
24.9%
Avg Implied 26.4% · @ 3.59
Edge
-1.4%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Liverpool win✓ Hit
44.4%
Avg Implied 46.9% · @ 2.02
Edge
-2.5%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
⚽ 2. Goal Analysis
Tottenham
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.7
Avg scored
1.8
Avg conceded
1.9
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.53
1.30
1.53
1.00
1.53
1.60
vs Stronger (3)
2.00
3.00
-
-
2.00
3.00
vs Similar (24)
1.38
1.21
1.33
1.17
1.42
1.25
vs Weaker (3)
2.33
0.33
2.33
0.33
-
-
Clean sheet %
40% (+14pp vs league)
This opponent (Liverpool) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Liverpool
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.7
Avg scored
1.3
Avg conceded
1.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.70
1.53
1.75
1.44
1.64
1.64
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (13)
1.46
1.54
2.00
1.38
0.60
1.80
vs Weaker (17)
1.88
1.53
1.50
1.50
2.22
1.56
Clean sheet %
27% (+1pp vs league)
This opponent (Tottenham) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 3.3 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 3 (22%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
84.6%
Under 1.5
15.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
63.1%
@ 1.76+9.6%
Under 2.5
36.9%
@ 2.02-9.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
40.9%
Under 3.5
59.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
65.0%
No
35.0%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
11.1%
1-2 ✓
9.1%
2-1
7.4%
2-2
6.6%
0-2
6.2%
0-1
5.9%
1-3
5.4%
0-0
4.9%
Tottenham goals ↓
Liverpool goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
4.9%
5.9%
6.2%
3.7%
1.6%
1
4.7%
11%
9.1%
5.4%
2.4%
2
4.2%
7.4%
6.6%
4.0%
1.8%
3
2.0%
3.6%
3.2%
1.9%
0.9%
4
0.7%
1.3%
1.2%
0.7%
0.3%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Tottenham goals (down), columns = Liverpool goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Arsenal
2.24
Manchester City
2.05
Manchester United
1.87
Aston Villa
1.71
Liverpool
1.58
Bournemouth
1.50
Sunderland
1.42
Brighton
1.39
Brentford
1.39
Fulham
1.37
Chelsea
1.37
Newcastle
1.29
Everton
1.29
Leeds
1.24
Crystal Palace
1.18
Nottingham Forest
1.16
Tottenham
1.08
West Ham
1.03
Burnley
0.58
Wolves
0.53
Tottenham is 0.50 points worse than Liverpool in terms of average points per game (1.08 vs 1.58).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Manchester City
2.03
Arsenal
1.87
Manchester United
1.82
Liverpool
1.66
Chelsea
1.53
Bournemouth
1.53
Aston Villa
1.47
Brentford
1.45
Newcastle
1.39
Brighton
1.37
Leeds
1.29
Nottingham Forest
1.26
Tottenham
1.26
Fulham
1.24
Everton
1.24
West Ham
1.21
Sunderland
1.11
Crystal Palace
1.08
Burnley
1.00
Wolves
0.71
Tottenham is 0.39 goals worse than Liverpool in terms of goals scored per game (1.26 vs 1.66).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Arsenal
0.71
Manchester City
0.92
Brighton
1.21
Sunderland
1.26
Aston Villa
1.29
Manchester United
1.32
Everton
1.32
Fulham
1.34
Crystal Palace
1.34
Nottingham Forest
1.34
Chelsea
1.37
Brentford
1.37
Liverpool
1.39
Bournemouth
1.42
Newcastle
1.45
Leeds
1.47
Tottenham
1.50
West Ham
1.71
Wolves
1.79
Burnley
1.97
Tottenham is 0.11 goals worse than Liverpool in terms of goals conceded per game (1.50 vs 1.39).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
Manchester City
60%
Liverpool
59%
Chelsea
57%
Arsenal
56%
Brighton
53%
Aston Villa
53%
Manchester United
52%
Newcastle
52%
Fulham
51%
Tottenham
50%
Bournemouth
50%
Brentford
47%
Nottingham Forest
46%
Leeds
46%
Crystal Palace
45%
Sunderland
45%
Everton
44%
West Ham
42%
Burnley
42%
Tottenham is 8.7 percentage points worse than Liverpool in terms of average possession (50% vs 59%).
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Tottenham
For 5.4 · Against 4.8 · Total 10.2
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.9 · Against 1.9 · Total 4.8
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 12.1 · Against 9.5 · Total 21.6
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Liverpool
For 4.9 · Against 4.6 · Total 9.5
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.7 · Against 2.0 · Total 3.7
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 12.1 · Against 11.3 · Total 23.4
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Tottenham
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
10.4
10.6
10.0
3.7
4.1
3.3
22.6
23.2
22.0
vs Stronger (4)
8.8
11.0
8.0
3.5
3.0
3.7
24.5
27.0
23.7
vs Similar (39)
10.5
10.4
10.6
3.9
4.7
3.2
22.3
23.2
21.4
vs Weaker (7)
10.4
11.3
5.0
2.7
2.7
3.0
23.4
22.8
27.0
% over line
58%
64%
52%
48%
56%
40%
58%
56%
61%
% under line
42%
36%
48%
52%
44%
60%
42%
44%
39%
This opponent (Liverpool) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Liverpool
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
10.0
9.8
10.3
3.3
3.0
3.6
20.7
21.0
20.4
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (19)
11.0
10.6
11.4
3.3
2.8
3.8
20.5
21.3
19.7
vs Weaker (31)
9.4
9.3
9.6
3.3
3.1
3.5
20.8
20.8
20.9
% over line
49%
54%
43%
42%
35%
50%
40%
42%
39%
% under line
51%
46%
57%
58%
65%
50%
60%
58%
61%
This opponent (Tottenham) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Newcastle
11.2
West Ham
10.4
Bournemouth
10.4
Tottenham
10.4
Liverpool
10.2
Nottingham Forest
10.1
Brentford
10.0
Fulham
9.9
Brighton
9.8
Everton
9.8
Aston Villa
9.8
Manchester United
9.7
Sunderland
9.5
Arsenal
9.4
Burnley
9.4
Wolves
9.2
Manchester City
9.2
Leeds
9.0
Chelsea
9.0
Crystal Palace
8.9
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Bournemouth
4.9
Chelsea
4.4
Sunderland
4.4
Manchester United
4.3
Nottingham Forest
4.2
Brighton
4.1
Wolves
3.9
Aston Villa
3.9
Crystal Palace
3.9
Newcastle
3.8
Tottenham
3.8
Everton
3.6
Brentford
3.6
Liverpool
3.5
West Ham
3.4
Manchester City
3.4
Fulham
3.4
Arsenal
3.4
Burnley
3.4
Leeds
3.1
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Bournemouth
24.6
Wolves
24.1
Aston Villa
23.4
Brighton
22.7
Nottingham Forest
22.7
Chelsea
22.7
Tottenham
22.5
Sunderland
22.3
Manchester United
22.1
Everton
22.1
Arsenal
22.0
West Ham
21.9
Leeds
21.8
Burnley
21.8
Newcastle
21.3
Crystal Palace
21.1
Liverpool
20.7
Fulham
20.6
Brentford
18.8
Manchester City
18.4
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Under
Over 9.5
54.9%
Under 9.5
45.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
71.1%
Under 3.5
28.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Under
Over 21.5
72.6%
Under 21.5
27.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
⚖️ 7. Handicap
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Tottenham
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.63
0.53
0.73
0.47
0.53
0.60
vs Stronger (3)
1.00
1.00
-
-
1.00
1.00
vs Similar (24)
0.54
0.54
0.67
0.58
0.42
0.50
vs Weaker (3)
1.00
0.00
1.00
0.00
-
-
Clean sheet %
57% (+31pp vs league)
This opponent (Liverpool) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Liverpool
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.7
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
0.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.70
0.60
0.88
0.50
0.50
0.71
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (13)
0.69
0.69
1.12
0.50
0.00
1.00
vs Weaker (17)
0.71
0.53
0.62
0.50
0.78
0.56
Clean sheet %
50% (+24pp vs league)
This opponent (Tottenham) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Tottenham over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Tottenham over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Tottenham over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Liverpool over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Liverpool over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Liverpool over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Tottenham
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.4
Avg scored
1.3
Avg conceded
1.1
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.90
0.77
0.80
0.53
1.00
1.00
vs Stronger (3)
1.00
2.00
-
-
1.00
2.00
vs Similar (24)
0.83
0.67
0.67
0.58
1.00
0.75
vs Weaker (3)
1.33
0.33
1.33
0.33
-
-
Clean sheet %
60% (+34pp vs league)
This opponent (Liverpool) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Liverpool
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.0
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
1.0
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.00
0.93
0.88
0.94
1.14
0.93
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (13)
0.77
0.85
0.88
0.88
0.60
0.80
vs Weaker (17)
1.18
1.00
0.88
1.00
1.44
1.00
Clean sheet %
40% (+14pp vs league)
This opponent (Tottenham) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Tottenham over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Tottenham over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Tottenham over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Liverpool over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Liverpool over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Liverpool over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Over 2.5 cards
86.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 19.5 fouls
84.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Over 1.5
84.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 21.5 fouls
72.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Over 3.5 cards
71.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Tottenham
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Dominic Solanke26%
Richarlison26%
Ben Davies20%
Brennan Johnson18%
João Palhinha16%
Cristian Romero13%
Mohammed Kudus12%
Micky van de Ven11%
Mathys Tel11%
Randal Kolo Muani10%
Xavi Simons10%
Wilson Odobert6%
Archie Gray6%
Conor Gallagher6%
Pape Matar Sarr6%
Pedro Porro4%
Lucas Bergvall3%
Rodrigo Bentancur3%
James Maddison0%
Yves Bissouma0%
Djed Spence0%
Kevin Danso0%
Guglielmo Vicario0%
Radu Drăguşin0%
Dane Scarlett0%
Destiny Udogie0%
Antonín Kinský0%
Souza0%
Jun'ai Byfield0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Cristian Romero39%
Yves Bissouma36%
Pedro Porro30%
João Palhinha27%
Micky van de Ven27%
Kevin Danso26%
Souza25%
Archie Gray24%
Richarlison21%
Rodrigo Bentancur21%
Ben Davies20%
Destiny Udogie18%
Mohammed Kudus16%
Xavi Simons15%
Randal Kolo Muani12%
Djed Spence12%
Conor Gallagher11%
Antonín Kinský10%
Lucas Bergvall9%
Brennan Johnson9%
Pape Matar Sarr8%
Guglielmo Vicario7%
Dominic Solanke5%
Mathys Tel3%
James Maddison0%
Radu Drăguşin0%
Dane Scarlett0%
Wilson Odobert0%
Jun'ai Byfield0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Mohammed Kudus16%
Xavi Simons15%
Lucas Bergvall12%
Richarlison12%
Pape Matar Sarr11%
Randal Kolo Muani10%
Cristian Romero10%
Wilson Odobert9%
Archie Gray9%
Pedro Porro9%
João Palhinha7%
Conor Gallagher6%
Mathys Tel5%
Destiny Udogie4%
Rodrigo Bentancur3%
Micky van de Ven2%
Ben Davies0%
James Maddison0%
Dominic Solanke0%
Yves Bissouma0%
Djed Spence0%
Kevin Danso0%
Guglielmo Vicario0%
Brennan Johnson0%
Radu Drăguşin0%
Dane Scarlett0%
Antonín Kinský0%
Souza0%
Jun'ai Byfield0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Richarlison19%
Yves Bissouma9%
Wilson Odobert9%
Mathys Tel8%
Randal Kolo Muani7%
Xavi Simons7%
Pedro Porro7%
Dominic Solanke5%
Mohammed Kudus4%
Cristian Romero3%
Rodrigo Bentancur3%
João Palhinha2%
Ben Davies0%
James Maddison0%
Djed Spence0%
Kevin Danso0%
Guglielmo Vicario0%
Conor Gallagher0%
Brennan Johnson0%
Micky van de Ven0%
Radu Drăguşin0%
Dane Scarlett0%
Destiny Udogie0%
Pape Matar Sarr0%
Antonín Kinský0%
Archie Gray0%
Lucas Bergvall0%
Souza0%
Jun'ai Byfield0%
Liverpool
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Mohamed Salah30%
Hugo Ekitiké30%
Dominik Szoboszlai25%
Alexander Isak18%
Cody Gakpo18%
Florian Wirtz15%
Virgil van Dijk13%
Ryan Gravenberch12%
Andy Robertson9%
Federico Chiesa8%
Alexis Mac Allister7%
Rio Ngumoha7%
Curtis Jones6%
Miloš Kerkez4%
Ibrahima Konaté4%
Jeremie Frimpong3%
Alisson0%
Joe Gomez0%
Wataru Endo0%
Freddie Woodman0%
Giorgi Mamardashvili0%
Conor Bradley0%
Trey Nyoni0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Conor Bradley33%
Dominik Szoboszlai19%
Joe Gomez18%
Ibrahima Konaté18%
Alexis Mac Allister17%
Ryan Gravenberch16%
Virgil van Dijk11%
Federico Chiesa11%
Miloš Kerkez11%
Wataru Endo9%
Curtis Jones8%
Cody Gakpo6%
Hugo Ekitiké5%
Alisson3%
Jeremie Frimpong3%
Andy Robertson3%
Mohamed Salah2%
Florian Wirtz2%
Alexander Isak0%
Freddie Woodman0%
Giorgi Mamardashvili0%
Trey Nyoni0%
Rio Ngumoha0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Mohamed Salah25%
Dominik Szoboszlai19%
Florian Wirtz12%
Ryan Gravenberch12%
Hugo Ekitiké11%
Cody Gakpo10%
Alexis Mac Allister9%
Wataru Endo9%
Curtis Jones6%
Joe Gomez6%
Andy Robertson6%
Federico Chiesa6%
Conor Bradley5%
Alexander Isak5%
Miloš Kerkez4%
Rio Ngumoha3%
Jeremie Frimpong3%
Virgil van Dijk2%
Alisson0%
Ibrahima Konaté0%
Freddie Woodman0%
Giorgi Mamardashvili0%
Trey Nyoni0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Mohamed Salah28%
Hugo Ekitiké23%
Dominik Szoboszlai21%
Cody Gakpo18%
Alexis Mac Allister9%
Alexander Isak9%
Florian Wirtz8%
Virgil van Dijk4%
Rio Ngumoha3%
Federico Chiesa3%
Miloš Kerkez2%
Ryan Gravenberch2%
Alisson0%
Joe Gomez0%
Andy Robertson0%
Curtis Jones0%
Ibrahima Konaté0%
Wataru Endo0%
Freddie Woodman0%
Giorgi Mamardashvili0%
Jeremie Frimpong0%
Conor Bradley0%
Trey Nyoni0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
CHE (39)
€1407m
ARS (29)
€1406m
MC (27)
€1326m
LIV (29)
€980m
MU (30)
€929m
TOT (36)
€920m
BHA (30)
€620m
BOU (31)
€573m
NEW (25)
€568m
BRE (32)
€565m
NFO (28)
€551m
AVL (27)
€536m
CRY (29)
€505m
EVE (24)
€459m
LEE (27)
€427m
SUN (30)
€392m
FUL (21)
€329m
WHU (24)
€274m
WOL (31)
€273m
BUR (28)
€115m
Tottenham's squad is €59m less valuable than Liverpool's (€920m vs €980m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
MC (9)
€635m
CHE (13)
€614m
ARS (13)
€608m
LIV (9)
€518m
MU (11)
€432m
BOU (11)
€285m
NFO (9)
€263m
TOT (12)
€250m
NEW (7)
€234m
CRY (11)
€229m
BRE (10)
€228m
AVL (10)
€220m
BHA (9)
€190m
FUL (9)
€178m
EVE (7)
€174m
LEE (11)
€166m
SUN (9)
€157m
WHU (7)
€84m
WOL (11)
€79m
BUR (14)
€70m
Tottenham's attack is €268m less valuable than Liverpool's (€250m vs €518m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ARS (4)
€290m
TOT (7)
€282m
CHE (6)
€278m
MU (7)
€236m
LIV (6)
€201m
BHA (7)
€180m
EVE (7)
€162m
MC (3)
€160m
AVL (6)
€160m
BRE (7)
€128m
NEW (6)
€124m
SUN (6)
€110m
BOU (6)
€106m
LEE (5)
€98m
CRY (5)
€93m
WOL (6)
€79m
NFO (4)
€52m
WHU (5)
€48m
FUL (3)
€28m
BUR (3)
€8m
Tottenham's midfield is €81m more valuable than Liverpool's (€282m vs €201m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
MC (15)
€531m
CHE (20)
€514m
ARS (12)
€508m
TOT (17)
€388m
MU (12)
€261m
LIV (14)
€260m
BHA (14)
€249m
NFO (15)
€236m
NEW (12)
€210m
BRE (15)
€209m
CRY (13)
€182m
BOU (14)
€182m
LEE (11)
€163m
AVL (11)
€156m
WHU (12)
€141m
SUN (15)
€125m
EVE (10)
€123m
FUL (9)
€123m
WOL (14)
€116m
BUR (11)
€37m
Tottenham's defence is €128m more valuable than Liverpool's (€388m vs €260m).
England: Premier League 2025/26 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full England: Premier League stats & trends →
PythiaFootballBETA
Arsenal
Manchester City
Manchester United
Aston Villa
Bournemouth
Sunderland
Brighton
Brentford
Chelsea
Fulham
Newcastle
Everton
Leeds
Crystal Palace
Nottingham Forest
West Ham
Burnley
Wolves