This opponent (Manchester United) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Manchester United
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.1
Avg scored
2.0
Avg conceded
1.1
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.83
1.30
2.29
1.29
1.23
1.31
vs Stronger (1)
2.00
1.00
-
-
2.00
1.00
vs Similar (19)
1.16
1.63
1.44
1.78
0.90
1.50
vs Weaker (10)
3.10
0.70
3.25
0.75
2.50
0.50
Clean sheet %
30% (+6pp vs league)
This opponent (Tottenham) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.6 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (26%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
75.3%
Under 1.5
24.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
49.3%
Under 2.5
50.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
27.4%
Under 3.5
72.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
52.3%
No
47.7%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
12.9%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9.6%
2-0
9.5%
0-0
8.3%
0-1
6.0%
1-2
5.9%
3-1
5.2%
Tottenham goals ↓
Manchester United goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
8.3%
6.0%
3.6%
1.2%
0.3%
1
10%
13%
5.9%
2.0%
0.5%
2
9.5%
9.6%
4.8%
1.6%
0.4%
3
5.2%
5.2%
2.6%
0.9%
0.2%
4
2.1%
2.1%
1.1%
0.4%
0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Tottenham goals (down), columns = Manchester United goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Newcastle
2.71
Sheffield Weds
2.50
Tottenham
2.40
Fleetwood Town
2.33
Crystal Palace
2.25
Manchester United
2.00
Derby
2.00
Everton
2.00
Liverpool
2.00
Leyton Orient
2.00
Blackpool
2.00
Brighton
2.00
Watford
2.00
Wycombe
2.00
Fulham
2.00
Coventry
2.00
Arsenal
1.80
Southampton
1.75
Preston
1.75
Brentford
1.75
Stoke
1.75
Walsall
1.67
Oxford
1.50
Middlesbrough
1.50
Aston Villa
1.50
Blackburn
1.50
Birmingham
1.50
Doncaster
1.50
West Ham
1.50
Swansea
1.50
Millwall
1.50
Huddersfield
1.50
Wolves
1.50
Norwich
1.50
Rotherham
1.50
Cardiff
1.50
Tranmere
1.50
Plymouth
1.50
Chelsea
1.50
Crawley Town
1.50
Manchester City
1.50
Harrogate
1.50
Sheffield United
1.50
Barrow
1.33
Leicester
1.33
QPR
1.33
AFC Wimbledon
1.33
Barnsley
1.33
Bolton
1.33
Luton
1.00
Notts County
1.00
Wigan
1.00
Nottingham Forest
1.00
Mansfield
1.00
Exeter
1.00
Reading
1.00
Ipswich
1.00
Bradford
1.00
Shrewsbury
0.50
Colchester
0.50
Grimsby
0.50
Bristol City
0.00
Charlton
0.00
Gillingham
0.00
Bromley
0.00
Lincoln
0.00
Wrexham
0.00
Newport County
0.00
Bristol Rvs
0.00
Accrington
0.00
Swindon
0.00
Burton
0.00
Burnley
0.00
Sunderland
0.00
Stockport
0.00
Salford
0.00
Morecambe
0.00
Portsmouth
0.00
Cheltenham
0.00
Crewe
0.00
Carlisle
0.00
Milton Keynes Dons
0.00
Cambridge
0.00
Chesterfield
0.00
Stevenage
0.00
Peterboro
0.00
West Brom
0.00
Bournemouth
0.00
Leeds
0.00
Hull
0.00
Northampton
0.00
Port Vale
0.00
Tottenham is 0.40 points better than Manchester United in terms of average points per game (2.40 vs 2.00).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Manchester United
5.00
Blackburn
3.50
Notts County
3.00
Brighton
3.00
Stevenage
3.00
Watford
2.67
Southampton
2.50
Liverpool
2.50
Huddersfield
2.50
Cardiff
2.50
Crystal Palace
2.50
Chelsea
2.50
Stoke
2.50
Sheffield Weds
2.25
Arsenal
2.20
Wrexham
2.00
Everton
2.00
Preston
2.00
Leyton Orient
2.00
Blackpool
2.00
Swindon
2.00
Wolves
2.00
Norwich
2.00
Crawley Town
2.00
Leicester
2.00
Sheffield United
2.00
Reading
2.00
Ipswich
2.00
Port Vale
2.00
Newcastle
1.86
Tottenham
1.80
Fleetwood Town
1.67
Shrewsbury
1.50
Middlesbrough
1.50
Aston Villa
1.50
Swansea
1.50
Brentford
1.50
Fulham
1.50
Rotherham
1.50
Tranmere
1.50
Plymouth
1.50
Manchester City
1.50
Walsall
1.33
Wycombe
1.33
QPR
1.33
AFC Wimbledon
1.33
Bolton
1.33
Luton
1.00
Oxford
1.00
Gillingham
1.00
Bromley
1.00
Barrow
1.00
Lincoln
1.00
Wigan
1.00
Doncaster
1.00
Nottingham Forest
1.00
Newport County
1.00
West Ham
1.00
Derby
1.00
Mansfield
1.00
Stockport
1.00
Colchester
1.00
Grimsby
1.00
Exeter
1.00
Crewe
1.00
Cambridge
1.00
Chesterfield
1.00
Harrogate
1.00
Coventry
1.00
West Brom
1.00
Hull
1.00
Bradford
1.00
Barnsley
0.67
Birmingham
0.50
Millwall
0.50
Bristol City
0.00
Charlton
0.00
Bristol Rvs
0.00
Accrington
0.00
Burton
0.00
Burnley
0.00
Sunderland
0.00
Salford
0.00
Morecambe
0.00
Portsmouth
0.00
Cheltenham
0.00
Carlisle
0.00
Milton Keynes Dons
0.00
Peterboro
0.00
Bournemouth
0.00
Leeds
0.00
Northampton
0.00
Tottenham is 3.20 goals worse than Manchester United in terms of goals scored per game (1.80 vs 5.00).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Newcastle
0.43
Oxford
0.50
Derby
0.50
Everton
0.50
Millwall
0.50
Fulham
0.50
Blackpool
0.67
Watford
0.67
Wycombe
0.67
Coventry
0.67
Sheffield Weds
0.75
Luton
1.00
Walsall
1.00
Bristol City
1.00
Charlton
1.00
Birmingham
1.00
Wigan
1.00
Nottingham Forest
1.00
Swansea
1.00
Preston
1.00
Mansfield
1.00
Exeter
1.00
Portsmouth
1.00
Plymouth
1.00
Chelsea
1.00
Stoke
1.00
Bournemouth
1.00
Bradford
1.00
Fleetwood Town
1.00
Liverpool
1.17
Brentford
1.25
Crystal Palace
1.25
Leyton Orient
1.33
QPR
1.33
AFC Wimbledon
1.33
Arsenal
1.40
Aston Villa
1.50
Blackburn
1.50
Doncaster
1.50
Huddersfield
1.50
Colchester
1.50
Wolves
1.50
Rotherham
1.50
Manchester City
1.50
Sheffield United
1.50
Brighton
1.67
Leicester
1.67
Tottenham
1.80
Bromley
2.00
Manchester United
2.00
Lincoln
2.00
Southampton
2.00
Bristol Rvs
2.00
Burnley
2.00
Sunderland
2.00
Tranmere
2.00
Salford
2.00
Crewe
2.00
Carlisle
2.00
Cambridge
2.00
Chesterfield
2.00
Peterboro
2.00
West Brom
2.00
Reading
2.00
Hull
2.00
Ipswich
2.00
Northampton
2.00
Bolton
2.00
Barrow
2.33
Shrewsbury
2.50
Middlesbrough
2.50
West Ham
2.50
Cardiff
2.50
Barnsley
2.67
Gillingham
3.00
Notts County
3.00
Accrington
3.00
Grimsby
3.00
Morecambe
3.00
Cheltenham
3.00
Crawley Town
3.00
Harrogate
3.00
Leeds
3.00
Port Vale
3.00
Norwich
3.50
Wrexham
4.00
Newport County
4.00
Swindon
4.00
Burton
4.00
Stevenage
4.00
Milton Keynes Dons
5.00
Stockport
6.00
Tottenham is 0.20 goals better than Manchester United in terms of goals conceded per game (1.80 vs 2.00).
⏱️ Possession
Not available for this league.
Not enough data to compare these two teams.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Tottenham
For 6.1 · Against 6.4 · Total 12.5
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.3 · Against 2.1 · Total 4.4
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 10.5 · Against 13.2 · Total 23.7
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Manchester United
For 3.3 · Against 4.7 · Total 8.0
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.9 · Against 1.2 · Total 3.1
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 11.0 · Against 10.5 · Total 21.5
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Tottenham
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
13.0
12.9
13.0
4.4
4.2
4.6
24.3
24.5
24.1
vs Stronger (6)
13.6
12.7
15.0
5.2
4.2
7.0
26.4
25.3
28.0
vs Similar (37)
13.2
13.2
13.3
4.4
4.2
4.6
24.3
24.6
24.1
vs Weaker (7)
11.0
11.8
10.0
3.7
4.5
2.7
22.9
23.5
22.0
% over line
83%
88%
78%
64%
65%
62%
81%
80%
83%
% under line
17%
12%
22%
36%
35%
38%
19%
20%
17%
This opponent (Manchester United) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Manchester United
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
11.5
11.7
11.2
4.0
3.8
4.2
20.1
19.5
20.8
vs Stronger (3)
11.0
6.0
13.5
2.0
3.0
1.5
17.7
19.0
17.0
vs Similar (33)
11.7
11.9
11.4
4.2
4.3
4.1
20.3
20.0
20.6
vs Weaker (14)
11.0
12.0
9.0
3.9
3.0
6.0
20.2
18.5
23.8
% over line
60%
67%
54%
58%
54%
62%
38%
38%
38%
% under line
40%
33%
46%
42%
46%
38%
62%
62%
62%
This opponent (Tottenham) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Tottenham
12.9
Bournemouth
12.0
Coventry
11.7
QPR
11.6
Exeter
11.5
Luton
11.5
Huddersfield
11.5
Stoke
11.5
Manchester United
11.4
Sheffield Weds
11.3
Southampton
11.3
Sheffield United
11.2
Crawley Town
11.2
Barnsley
11.2
Brentford
11.1
Tranmere
11.1
Fleetwood Town
11.1
West Brom
11.1
Newcastle
11.0
Plymouth
11.0
Manchester City
11.0
Harrogate
10.9
Ipswich
10.9
Notts County
10.8
Derby
10.8
Everton
10.8
Port Vale
10.8
Charlton
10.7
Middlesbrough
10.6
Hull
10.6
Morecambe
10.6
Fulham
10.6
Doncaster
10.6
Swansea
10.6
Wycombe
10.6
Liverpool
10.6
Grimsby
10.5
Bromley
10.5
Nottingham Forest
10.5
Watford
10.5
Peterboro
10.5
Bristol City
10.5
Walsall
10.5
Leeds
10.4
Millwall
10.4
Chelsea
10.4
Wolves
10.4
Crystal Palace
10.4
Blackburn
10.4
Reading
10.4
Rotherham
10.4
Oxford
10.4
Swindon
10.4
Norwich
10.3
Bolton
10.3
Bristol Rvs
10.3
Mansfield
10.3
Wrexham
10.2
Sunderland
10.2
Burnley
10.2
Birmingham
10.2
West Ham
10.2
Portsmouth
10.2
Aston Villa
10.1
Colchester
10.1
Bradford
10.1
Cheltenham
10.0
Accrington
10.0
Lincoln
10.0
Brighton
9.9
Stevenage
9.9
Blackpool
9.9
Crewe
9.9
Shrewsbury
9.9
Leicester
9.9
Chesterfield
9.8
Newport County
9.6
Cardiff
9.6
Carlisle
9.5
Salford
9.5
Leyton Orient
9.5
Barrow
9.5
Arsenal
9.4
Preston
9.3
Gillingham
9.3
Burton
9.2
Cambridge
9.2
AFC Wimbledon
9.1
Northampton
9.1
Stockport
8.9
Wigan
8.9
Milton Keynes Dons
8.5
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Chelsea
5.2
Aston Villa
5.2
Wigan
4.9
Wolves
4.8
Brighton
4.8
Portsmouth
4.8
Tottenham
4.7
Bournemouth
4.7
Newcastle
4.7
Southampton
4.7
Lincoln
4.7
Bradford
4.7
Stevenage
4.6
Bolton
4.6
AFC Wimbledon
4.6
Crewe
4.6
Liverpool
4.6
Barrow
4.6
Salford
4.6
Watford
4.5
Sunderland
4.5
Colchester
4.4
Nottingham Forest
4.4
Blackpool
4.4
Leicester
4.4
Notts County
4.3
Coventry
4.3
Doncaster
4.3
Crawley Town
4.3
Sheffield Weds
4.2
Crystal Palace
4.2
Tranmere
4.2
Brentford
4.2
Blackburn
4.2
Cambridge
4.2
Charlton
4.2
QPR
4.2
Cheltenham
4.2
Morecambe
4.1
Manchester United
4.1
West Ham
4.1
Millwall
4.1
Barnsley
4.1
Birmingham
4.1
Leeds
4.1
Accrington
4.1
Chesterfield
4.1
Arsenal
4.1
Milton Keynes Dons
4.1
Burnley
4.1
Plymouth
4.1
Exeter
4.1
Gillingham
4.1
Hull
4.1
Luton
4.1
Sheffield United
4.1
Swansea
4.0
Mansfield
4.0
Bristol Rvs
4.0
Stoke
4.0
Fulham
4.0
Preston
4.0
Grimsby
4.0
Port Vale
4.0
Oxford
3.9
Norwich
3.9
Huddersfield
3.9
Wycombe
3.9
Stockport
3.9
Fleetwood Town
3.9
Middlesbrough
3.8
Shrewsbury
3.8
Newport County
3.8
Ipswich
3.8
Burton
3.8
Carlisle
3.8
Cardiff
3.7
Derby
3.7
Walsall
3.7
Northampton
3.7
Leyton Orient
3.7
Bristol City
3.6
Wrexham
3.6
Bromley
3.6
West Brom
3.5
Reading
3.4
Manchester City
3.4
Everton
3.4
Swindon
3.3
Rotherham
3.3
Harrogate
3.1
Peterboro
3.1
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Stevenage
26.7
Wigan
25.1
Portsmouth
25.0
Tottenham
24.7
Accrington
24.4
Luton
24.3
Lincoln
24.3
Salford
24.2
Cheltenham
24.2
Stockport
24.2
Bolton
24.0
Doncaster
24.0
Leeds
24.0
Grimsby
24.0
Birmingham
23.8
Aston Villa
23.7
Blackpool
23.7
Preston
23.6
Bradford
23.6
Wolves
23.6
AFC Wimbledon
23.5
Sunderland
23.5
Millwall
23.4
Bournemouth
23.4
Cambridge
23.4
Chelsea
23.3
Watford
23.3
Plymouth
23.0
Crystal Palace
23.0
Ipswich
23.0
Newcastle
23.0
Shrewsbury
23.0
Crewe
22.9
Swansea
22.9
Milton Keynes Dons
22.9
Newport County
22.9
Southampton
22.9
Reading
22.8
Bristol Rvs
22.8
Wycombe
22.7
Morecambe
22.7
Colchester
22.7
Sheffield Weds
22.7
Exeter
22.6
Coventry
22.5
Barrow
22.5
Rotherham
22.5
Chesterfield
22.5
Huddersfield
22.5
Brighton
22.4
Burton
22.4
Charlton
22.2
QPR
22.2
Liverpool
22.1
Mansfield
22.1
Bromley
22.0
Hull
22.0
Crawley Town
21.9
Arsenal
21.9
Burnley
21.7
Nottingham Forest
21.7
Oxford
21.6
Fleetwood Town
21.6
Leicester
21.6
Norwich
21.5
Gillingham
21.5
Derby
21.4
Walsall
21.4
Everton
21.4
Leyton Orient
21.4
Wrexham
21.2
Bristol City
21.1
Cardiff
21.1
Stoke
21.0
Middlesbrough
21.0
Swindon
20.9
Blackburn
20.9
Port Vale
20.9
West Ham
20.9
Tranmere
20.8
Carlisle
20.8
Notts County
20.8
Peterboro
20.7
Sheffield United
20.7
Fulham
20.7
Harrogate
20.6
Northampton
20.5
Manchester United
20.4
Brentford
20.3
Barnsley
20.3
West Brom
19.7
Manchester City
17.6
Corners O/U 9.5
Over 9.5
64.8%
Under 9.5
35.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5
Over 3.5
64.5%
Under 3.5
35.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5
Over 21.5
71.4%
Under 21.5
28.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
Tottenham or Draw✓ Hit
77.8%
Avg Implied -
51%
27%
22%
covers Tottenham + Draw
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Tottenham or Manchester United✓ Hit
73.0%
Avg Implied -
51%
27%
22%
covers Tottenham + Manchester United
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw or Manchester United✗ Miss
49.2%
Avg Implied -
51%
27%
22%
covers Draw + Manchester United
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
Home & Away Over/Under
How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
Tottenham over/under 0.5Actual: Over
Over
80.5%
Under
19.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Tottenham over/under 1.5Actual: Over
Over
48.7%
Under
51.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Tottenham over/under 2.5Actual: Over
Over
22.6%
Under
77.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Tottenham over/under 3.5Actual: Over
Over
8.4%
Under
91.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Manchester United over/under 0.5Actual: Over
Over
63.5%
Under
36.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Manchester United over/under 1.5Actual: Over
Over
26.8%
Under
73.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Manchester United over/under 2.5Actual: Over
Over
8.2%
Under
91.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Manchester United over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
2.0%
Under
98.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⚖️ 7. Handicap
Handicap
The handicap is applied to Tottenham, so a minus line means Tottenham give that many goals of a start and Manchester United receive them. At -1, Tottenham must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Tottenham win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (Tottenham)Actual: Manchester United
Tottenham -2
11.8%
Draw -2
15.9%
Manchester United +2
72.2%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap -1 (Tottenham)Actual: Draw
Tottenham -1
27.8%
Draw -1
23.1%
Manchester United +1
49.2%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +1 (Tottenham)Actual: Tottenham
Tottenham +1
77.8%
Draw +1
13.8%
Manchester United -1
8.4%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +2 (Tottenham)Actual: Tottenham
Tottenham +2
91.6%
Draw +2
6.1%
Manchester United -2
2.3%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Tottenham
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.1
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
0.9
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.90
0.70
0.87
0.80
0.93
0.60
vs Stronger (5)
0.80
0.80
0.50
1.00
2.00
0.00
vs Similar (20)
0.70
0.80
1.00
0.78
0.45
0.82
vs Weaker (5)
1.80
0.20
1.00
0.50
2.33
0.00
Clean sheet %
50% (+26pp vs league)
This opponent (Manchester United) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Manchester United
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.77
0.60
1.00
0.65
0.46
0.54
vs Stronger (1)
0.00
1.00
-
-
0.00
1.00
vs Similar (19)
0.42
0.74
0.44
0.89
0.40
0.60
vs Weaker (10)
1.50
0.30
1.62
0.38
1.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
57% (+32pp vs league)
This opponent (Tottenham) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Tottenham over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Tottenham over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Tottenham over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Manchester United over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Manchester United over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Manchester United over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Tottenham
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.10
0.63
1.27
0.53
0.93
0.73
vs Stronger (5)
0.80
0.60
0.50
0.75
2.00
0.00
vs Similar (20)
1.20
0.75
1.56
0.56
0.91
0.91
vs Weaker (5)
1.00
0.20
1.50
0.00
0.67
0.33
Clean sheet %
57% (+32pp vs league)
This opponent (Manchester United) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Manchester United
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.8
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.07
0.70
1.29
0.65
0.77
0.77
vs Stronger (1)
2.00
0.00
-
-
2.00
0.00
vs Similar (19)
0.74
0.89
1.00
0.89
0.50
0.90
vs Weaker (10)
1.60
0.40
1.62
0.38
1.50
0.50
Clean sheet %
50% (+26pp vs league)
This opponent (Tottenham) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Tottenham over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Tottenham over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Tottenham over/under 2.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Manchester United over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Manchester United over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Manchester United over/under 2.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Under 7.5
99.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 6.5
98.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Away under 3.5 goals
98.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 5.5
94.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Away under 2.5 goals
91.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Home under 3.5 goals
91.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Home +2 handicap
91.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 4.5
87.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Over 19.5 fouls
84.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 2.5 cards
81.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home over 0.5 goals
80.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home or Draw
77.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home +1 handicap
77.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 goals
77.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Over 8.5 corners
75.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 1.5
75.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Away under 1.5 goals
73.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Home or Away
73.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 3.5
72.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Away +2 handicap
72.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 5.5 cards
71.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 21.5 fouls
71.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Tottenham
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Brennan Johnson31%
Dominic Solanke31%
James Maddison22%
Richarlison21%
Dejan Kulusevski20%
Dane Scarlett20%
Heung-min Son20%
Will Lankshear17%
Mathys Tel15%
Pape Matar Sarr11%
Wilson Odobert10%
Pedro Porro8%
Djed Spence6%
Mikey Moore5%
Rodrigo Bentancur5%
Yves Bissouma5%
Cristian Romero4%
Timo Werner4%
Lucas Bergvall2%
Ben Davies0%
Sergio Reguilón0%
Fraser Forster0%
Kevin Danso0%
Guglielmo Vicario0%
Micky van de Ven0%
Brandon Austin0%
Radu Drăguşin0%
Destiny Udogie0%
Antonín Kinský0%
Archie Gray0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Sergio Reguilón33%
Rodrigo Bentancur32%
Yves Bissouma27%
Micky van de Ven23%
Cristian Romero19%
Ben Davies18%
James Maddison18%
Lucas Bergvall18%
Will Lankshear17%
Mathys Tel15%
Pape Matar Sarr15%
Radu Drăguşin14%
Pedro Porro14%
Brennan Johnson14%
Richarlison12%
Dejan Kulusevski10%
Djed Spence9%
Guglielmo Vicario6%
Destiny Udogie6%
Archie Gray4%
Heung-min Son2%
Timo Werner0%
Dominic Solanke0%
Fraser Forster0%
Kevin Danso0%
Brandon Austin0%
Dane Scarlett0%
Antonín Kinský0%
Wilson Odobert0%
Mikey Moore0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Dane Scarlett40%
James Maddison22%
Dejan Kulusevski20%
Pedro Porro18%
Heung-min Son17%
Dominic Solanke16%
Timo Werner11%
Mikey Moore11%
Micky van de Ven9%
Djed Spence9%
Richarlison8%
Brennan Johnson8%
Lucas Bergvall7%
Mathys Tel5%
Cristian Romero4%
Pape Matar Sarr4%
Destiny Udogie3%
Rodrigo Bentancur2%
Ben Davies0%
Sergio Reguilón0%
Fraser Forster0%
Yves Bissouma0%
Kevin Danso0%
Guglielmo Vicario0%
Brandon Austin0%
Radu Drăguşin0%
Antonín Kinský0%
Archie Gray0%
Wilson Odobert0%
Will Lankshear0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Dominic Solanke20%
Heung-min Son15%
Brennan Johnson12%
Mathys Tel10%
Richarlison8%
Pedro Porro8%
Dejan Kulusevski6%
Mikey Moore5%
Wilson Odobert5%
James Maddison4%
Cristian Romero4%
Timo Werner4%
Pape Matar Sarr4%
Rodrigo Bentancur2%
Yves Bissouma2%
Ben Davies0%
Sergio Reguilón0%
Fraser Forster0%
Djed Spence0%
Kevin Danso0%
Guglielmo Vicario0%
Micky van de Ven0%
Brandon Austin0%
Radu Drăguşin0%
Dane Scarlett0%
Destiny Udogie0%
Antonín Kinský0%
Archie Gray0%
Lucas Bergvall0%
Will Lankshear0%
Manchester United
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Bruno Fernandes27%
Marcus Rashford22%
Amad Diallo19%
Alejandro Garnacho16%
Rasmus Højlund15%
Joshua Zirkzee12%
Christian Eriksen11%
Harry Maguire10%
Casemiro10%
Jonny Evans8%
Mason Mount8%
Antony7%
Lisandro Martínez6%
Diogo Dalot6%
Kobbie Mainoo6%
Matthijs de Ligt5%
Manuel Ugarte4%
Leny Yoro3%
André Onana0%
Noussair Mazraoui0%
Victor Lindelöf0%
Luke Shaw0%
Tyrell Malacia0%
Altay Bayındır0%
Toby Collyer0%
Patrick Dorgu0%
Chido Obi-Martin0%
Ayden Heaven0%
Harry Amass0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Manuel Ugarte33%
Lisandro Martínez29%
Harry Maguire26%
Tyrell Malacia25%
Leny Yoro21%
Patrick Dorgu20%
Casemiro20%
Kobbie Mainoo19%
Mason Mount19%
Marcus Rashford17%
Jonny Evans17%
Ayden Heaven17%
Bruno Fernandes14%
Amad Diallo14%
Diogo Dalot13%
Chido Obi-Martin12%
Matthijs de Ligt12%
Christian Eriksen11%
Noussair Mazraoui11%
Altay Bayındır10%
Alejandro Garnacho9%
Luke Shaw8%
Toby Collyer8%
Joshua Zirkzee6%
Victor Lindelöf4%
Rasmus Højlund4%
André Onana2%
Antony0%
Harry Amass0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Bruno Fernandes25%
Amad Diallo17%
Alejandro Garnacho16%
Marcus Rashford13%
Christian Eriksen11%
Manuel Ugarte11%
Diogo Dalot10%
Lisandro Martínez6%
Joshua Zirkzee4%
Rasmus Højlund4%
Noussair Mazraoui4%
Leny Yoro3%
Kobbie Mainoo3%
Harry Maguire3%
Casemiro2%
André Onana0%
Matthijs de Ligt0%
Victor Lindelöf0%
Luke Shaw0%
Antony0%
Jonny Evans0%
Mason Mount0%
Tyrell Malacia0%
Altay Bayındır0%
Toby Collyer0%
Patrick Dorgu0%
Chido Obi-Martin0%
Ayden Heaven0%
Harry Amass0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Alejandro Garnacho32%
Bruno Fernandes29%
Casemiro15%
Antony14%
Marcus Rashford13%
Chido Obi-Martin12%
Amad Diallo12%
Rasmus Højlund12%
Harry Maguire8%
Patrick Dorgu5%
Joshua Zirkzee4%
Diogo Dalot4%
Mason Mount4%
Christian Eriksen3%
Kobbie Mainoo3%
Matthijs de Ligt2%
André Onana0%
Noussair Mazraoui0%
Victor Lindelöf0%
Luke Shaw0%
Lisandro Martínez0%
Jonny Evans0%
Tyrell Malacia0%
Altay Bayındır0%
Manuel Ugarte0%
Toby Collyer0%
Leny Yoro0%
Ayden Heaven0%
Harry Amass0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
CHE (39)
€1407m
ARS (29)
€1406m
MC (27)
€1326m
LIV (29)
€980m
MU (30)
€929m
TOT (36)
€920m
BHA (30)
€620m
BOU (31)
€573m
NEW (25)
€568m
BRE (32)
€565m
NFO (28)
€551m
AVL (27)
€536m
CRY (29)
€505m
EVE (24)
€459m
LEE (27)
€427m
SUN (30)
€392m
FUL (21)
€329m
IPS (31)
€280m
WHU (24)
€274m
WOL (31)
€273m
COV (27)
€237m
SOU (30)
€205m
MID (29)
€142m
BUR (28)
€115m
SHU (27)
€110m
NOR (34)
€107m
HUL (27)
€105m
BIR (26)
€93m
SWA (27)
€91m
WAT (22)
€88m
MIL (29)
€85m
STK (25)
€79m
WRE (32)
€77m
QPR (28)
€71m
LEI (22)
€69m
BRC (25)
€66m
DER (25)
€57m
WBA (22)
€52m
PRE (20)
€43m
BLB (27)
€36m
POR (30)
€32m
CHA (29)
€31m
CAR (25)
€29m
LUT (26)
€29m
SHW (24)
€21m
OXF (24)
€20m
BOL (22)
€17m
HUD (26)
€16m
MKD (24)
€15m
PLY (25)
€13m
LIN (24)
€12m
BLA (22)
€11m
LO (23)
€10m
STO (25)
€10m
WYC (24)
€10m
REA (20)
€10m
SAL (26)
€8m
BAR (21)
€8m
WIG (21)
€7m
PET (23)
€7m
BRA (21)
€7m
STE (21)
€7m
PV (23)
€7m
DON (23)
€7m
MAN (23)
€6m
NC (24)
€6m
CHE (24)
€6m
AW (21)
€5m
BR (24)
€5m
CAM (20)
€5m
BUR (17)
€5m
ROT (19)
€5m
CRE (20)
€4m
BRO (19)
€4m
SWI (22)
€4m
GRI (18)
€4m
TRA (21)
€4m
COL (20)
€4m
SHR (17)
€3m
CT (19)
€3m
NOR (18)
€3m
GIL (16)
€3m
CHE (19)
€3m
EXE (15)
€3m
WAL (20)
€3m
FT (18)
€3m
ACC (18)
€2m
NC (16)
€2m
BAR (11)
€2m
HAR (14)
€1m
CAR (1)
€0m
MOR (1)
€0m
Tottenham's squad is €9m less valuable than Manchester United's (€920m vs €929m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
MC (9)
€635m
CHE (13)
€614m
ARS (13)
€608m
LIV (9)
€518m
MU (11)
€432m
BOU (11)
€285m
NFO (9)
€263m
TOT (12)
€250m
NEW (7)
€234m
CRY (11)
€229m
BRE (10)
€228m
AVL (10)
€220m
BHA (9)
€190m
FUL (9)
€178m
EVE (7)
€174m
LEE (11)
€166m
SUN (9)
€157m
IPS (11)
€130m
COV (8)
€85m
WHU (7)
€84m
WOL (11)
€79m
MID (12)
€74m
SOU (10)
€72m
BUR (14)
€70m
SWA (13)
€56m
NOR (10)
€46m
BIR (9)
€46m
STK (8)
€35m
MIL (10)
€30m
QPR (11)
€29m
SHU (9)
€29m
BRC (8)
€29m
WAT (6)
€28m
DER (8)
€25m
HUL (7)
€22m
LEI (7)
€20m
CHA (13)
€18m
PRE (6)
€17m
CAR (12)
€15m
BLB (8)
€15m
WRE (9)
€15m
WBA (7)
€15m
POR (12)
€13m
LUT (10)
€13m
SHW (6)
€7m
OXF (8)
€6m
MKD (8)
€5m
PLY (8)
€4m
LO (6)
€4m
BLA (8)
€4m
HUD (7)
€4m
BOL (6)
€4m
STO (8)
€3m
LIN (7)
€3m
REA (6)
€3m
BRA (9)
€3m
PET (8)
€3m
CHE (9)
€3m
SAL (9)
€3m
WYC (7)
€3m
NC (7)
€2m
AW (8)
€2m
STE (6)
€2m
BR (10)
€2m
CAM (9)
€2m
WIG (8)
€2m
ROT (6)
€2m
SWI (8)
€2m
CRE (6)
€2m
PV (5)
€2m
CT (7)
€2m
DON (6)
€2m
BAR (5)
€2m
COL (7)
€1m
BUR (6)
€1m
MAN (6)
€1m
GRI (8)
€1m
EXE (5)
€1m
TRA (7)
€1m
BRO (5)
€1m
CHE (5)
€1m
GIL (4)
€1m
ACC (7)
€1m
NOR (5)
€1m
FT (6)
€1m
WAL (4)
€1m
BAR (3)
€0m
SHR (3)
€0m
NC (3)
€0m
HAR (4)
€0m
CAR (0)
€0m
MOR (0)
€0m
Tottenham's attack is €181m less valuable than Manchester United's (€250m vs €432m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ARS (4)
€290m
TOT (7)
€282m
CHE (6)
€278m
MU (7)
€236m
LIV (6)
€201m
BHA (7)
€180m
EVE (7)
€162m
MC (3)
€160m
AVL (6)
€160m
BRE (7)
€128m
NEW (6)
€124m
SUN (6)
€110m
BOU (6)
€106m
LEE (5)
€98m
CRY (5)
€93m
WOL (6)
€79m
IPS (7)
€66m
SOU (5)
€53m
COV (6)
€52m
NFO (4)
€52m
WHU (5)
€48m
WAT (6)
€38m
SHU (5)
€32m
NOR (11)
€31m
HUL (8)
€31m
MIL (8)
€29m
FUL (3)
€28m
MID (5)
€27m
WRE (9)
€23m
WBA (6)
€22m
BRC (6)
€19m
QPR (5)
€15m
DER (6)
€14m
LEI (4)
€13m
BIR (5)
€12m
STK (6)
€11m
SWA (4)
€9m
BUR (3)
€8m
MKD (6)
€7m
BLB (7)
€7m
SHW (5)
€6m
OXF (4)
€6m
POR (5)
€5m
LUT (6)
€4m
BOL (4)
€4m
HUD (6)
€4m
CAR (3)
€4m
CHA (3)
€3m
MAN (5)
€3m
LO (8)
€3m
PRE (3)
€3m
REA (5)
€3m
STO (6)
€3m
BAR (7)
€3m
BLA (5)
€3m
PLY (6)
€3m
WIG (8)
€2m
WYC (5)
€2m
PV (7)
€2m
SAL (5)
€2m
DON (6)
€2m
NC (7)
€2m
LIN (4)
€2m
STE (6)
€2m
GIL (8)
€2m
BUR (4)
€1m
PET (5)
€1m
BRO (6)
€1m
SHR (4)
€1m
CHE (6)
€1m
TRA (6)
€1m
CRE (7)
€1m
BRA (3)
€1m
SWI (7)
€1m
CHE (5)
€1m
FT (4)
€1m
ROT (5)
€1m
AW (5)
€1m
EXE (5)
€1m
CT (7)
€1m
BAR (5)
€1m
WAL (5)
€1m
CAM (3)
€1m
ACC (5)
€1m
NOR (3)
€1m
HAR (4)
€1m
BR (4)
€0m
COL (3)
€0m
NC (3)
€0m
GRI (1)
€0m
MOR (1)
€0m
CAR (0)
€0m
Tottenham's midfield is €46m more valuable than Manchester United's (€282m vs €236m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
MC (15)
€531m
CHE (20)
€514m
ARS (12)
€508m
TOT (17)
€388m
MU (12)
€261m
LIV (14)
€260m
BHA (14)
€249m
NFO (15)
€236m
NEW (12)
€210m
BRE (15)
€209m
CRY (13)
€182m
BOU (14)
€182m
LEE (11)
€163m
AVL (11)
€156m
WHU (12)
€141m
SUN (15)
€125m
EVE (10)
€123m
FUL (9)
€123m
WOL (14)
€116m
COV (13)
€99m
IPS (13)
€85m
SOU (15)
€79m
HUL (12)
€52m
SHU (13)
€49m
MID (12)
€41m
WRE (14)
€39m
BUR (11)
€37m
LEI (11)
€36m
BIR (12)
€35m
STK (11)
€32m
NOR (13)
€29m
QPR (12)
€27m
SWA (10)
€26m
MIL (11)
€25m
PRE (11)
€22m
WAT (10)
€22m
BRC (11)
€18m
DER (11)
€18m
WBA (9)
€15m
POR (13)
€14m
BLB (12)
€14m
LUT (10)
€12m
CHA (13)
€10m
CAR (10)
€10m
BOL (12)
€9m
OXF (12)
€8m
SHW (13)
€8m
HUD (13)
€8m
LIN (13)
€6m
PLY (11)
€6m
WYC (12)
€5m
BLA (9)
€4m
STO (11)
€4m
REA (9)
€4m
BAR (9)
€3m
PV (11)
€3m
LO (9)
€3m
STE (9)
€3m
DON (11)
€3m
SAL (12)
€3m
MKD (10)
€3m
PET (10)
€3m
BRA (9)
€3m
WIG (5)
€3m
BR (10)
€3m
GRI (9)
€2m
CAM (8)
€2m
AW (8)
€2m
BUR (7)
€2m
CHE (10)
€2m
NC (10)
€2m
MAN (12)
€2m
NOR (10)
€2m
BRO (8)
€2m
ROT (8)
€2m
COL (10)
€2m
WAL (11)
€2m
SHR (10)
€2m
CRE (7)
€1m
NC (10)
€1m
TRA (8)
€1m
FT (8)
€1m
ACC (6)
€1m
EXE (5)
€1m
CHE (8)
€1m
SWI (7)
€1m
GIL (4)
€1m
CT (5)
€1m
BAR (3)
€1m
HAR (6)
€0m
CAR (1)
€0m
MOR (0)
€0m
Tottenham's defence is €127m more valuable than Manchester United's (€388m vs €261m).
England: Premier League 2024/25 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full England: Premier League stats & trends →
PythiaFootballBETA
Liverpool
Arsenal
Manchester City
Chelsea
Newcastle
Aston Villa
Nottingham Forest
Brighton
Bournemouth
Brentford
Fulham
Crystal Palace
Everton
West Ham
Wolves
Leicester
Ipswich
Southampton