The encounter between Tottenham and Newcastle is a tight one, with the model favouring an away win. The probabilities show 38% for Newcastle, 36% for Tottenham and 26% for a draw, making the result finely balanced. The expected total of 3.1 goals points to a lively match, yet the most likely total is two goals, with a 23% chance. The single most probable scoreline is 1-1, carrying a 11.9% probability, and that is the only scoreline to be highlighted. Tottenham, playing at home against a side of similar strength, averages 1.58 goals scored and 1.17 conceded. Newcastle, on the road and also facing a comparable opponent, averages 1.44 goals scored and 1.78 conceded. The model’s selections include Under 25.5 fouls at 89.5%, Over 1.5 goals at 82.6%, Over 2.5 cards at 80.8%, Under 23.5 fouls at 79.8%, Over 8.5 corners at 73.1% and Under 5.5 cards at 72.9%. All six picks are presented with their exact probabilities.
Results analysis
The match finished 1-2 in favour of Newcastle, extending their two-game winning run and confirming the model’s pre-match favourite of an away win with a 38% probability. Tottenham’s home form had just returned from a defeat, while Newcastle’s recent victories kept the model’s confidence high. The model’s selections were mixed: Under 25.5 fouls (89.5%) missed, but Over 1.5 (82.6%) hit, Over 2.5 cards (80.8%) hit, Under 23.5 fouls (79.8%) missed, Over 8.5 corners (73.1%) hit, and Under 5.5 cards (72.9%) hit. Overall, the model’s call was correct, though some of its ancillary picks fell short.
🎯 1. Model Analysis
Tottenham win✗ Miss
36.2%
Avg Implied 31.6% · @ 3.00
Edge
+4.6%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
26.0%
Avg Implied 26.3% · @ 3.60
Edge
-0.3%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Newcastle win✓ Hit
37.8%
Avg Implied 42.1% · @ 2.25
Edge
-4.3%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
⚽ 2. Goal Analysis
Tottenham
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.7
Avg scored
1.3
Avg conceded
1.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.50
1.43
1.67
1.13
1.33
1.73
vs Stronger (3)
2.00
3.67
2.00
2.00
2.00
4.50
vs Similar (24)
1.38
1.21
1.58
1.17
1.17
1.25
vs Weaker (3)
2.00
1.00
2.00
0.50
2.00
2.00
Clean sheet %
33% (+8pp vs league)
This opponent (Newcastle) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Newcastle
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.4
Avg scored
1.4
Avg conceded
2.0
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.67
1.47
2.00
1.18
1.23
1.85
vs Stronger (6)
1.33
1.83
1.67
1.00
1.00
2.67
vs Similar (23)
1.83
1.43
2.07
1.21
1.44
1.78
vs Weaker (1)
0.00
0.00
-
-
0.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
23% (-2pp vs league)
This opponent (Tottenham) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 3.1 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (23%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
82.6%
Under 1.5
17.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
59.9%
@ 1.56-0.5%
Under 2.5
40.1%
@ 2.38+0.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
37.6%
Under 3.5
62.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
63.2%
No
36.8%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
11.9%
1-2 ✓
8.5%
2-1
8.3%
2-2
6.5%
0-1
6.0%
1-0
5.8%
0-0
5.6%
0-2
5.5%
Tottenham goals ↓
Newcastle goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
5.6%
6.0%
5.5%
2.9%
1.1%
1
5.8%
12%
8.5%
4.4%
1.7%
2
5.3%
8.3%
6.5%
3.4%
1.3%
3
2.7%
4.2%
3.3%
1.7%
0.7%
4
1.0%
1.6%
1.3%
0.7%
0.3%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Tottenham goals (down), columns = Newcastle goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Arsenal
2.24
Manchester City
2.05
Manchester United
1.87
Aston Villa
1.71
Liverpool
1.58
Bournemouth
1.50
Sunderland
1.42
Brighton
1.39
Brentford
1.39
Fulham
1.37
Chelsea
1.37
Newcastle
1.29
Everton
1.29
Leeds
1.24
Crystal Palace
1.18
Nottingham Forest
1.16
Tottenham
1.08
West Ham
1.03
Burnley
0.58
Wolves
0.53
Tottenham is 0.21 points worse than Newcastle in terms of average points per game (1.08 vs 1.29).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Manchester City
2.03
Arsenal
1.87
Manchester United
1.82
Liverpool
1.66
Chelsea
1.53
Bournemouth
1.53
Aston Villa
1.47
Brentford
1.45
Newcastle
1.39
Brighton
1.37
Leeds
1.29
Nottingham Forest
1.26
Tottenham
1.26
Fulham
1.24
Everton
1.24
West Ham
1.21
Sunderland
1.11
Crystal Palace
1.08
Burnley
1.00
Wolves
0.71
Tottenham is 0.13 goals worse than Newcastle in terms of goals scored per game (1.26 vs 1.39).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Arsenal
0.71
Manchester City
0.92
Brighton
1.21
Sunderland
1.26
Aston Villa
1.29
Manchester United
1.32
Everton
1.32
Fulham
1.34
Crystal Palace
1.34
Nottingham Forest
1.34
Chelsea
1.37
Brentford
1.37
Liverpool
1.39
Bournemouth
1.42
Newcastle
1.45
Leeds
1.47
Tottenham
1.50
West Ham
1.71
Wolves
1.79
Burnley
1.97
Tottenham is 0.05 goals worse than Newcastle in terms of goals conceded per game (1.50 vs 1.45).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
Manchester City
60%
Liverpool
59%
Chelsea
57%
Arsenal
56%
Brighton
53%
Aston Villa
53%
Manchester United
52%
Newcastle
52%
Fulham
51%
Tottenham
50%
Bournemouth
50%
Brentford
47%
Nottingham Forest
46%
Leeds
46%
Crystal Palace
45%
Sunderland
45%
Everton
44%
West Ham
42%
Burnley
42%
Tottenham is 1.5 percentage points worse than Newcastle in terms of average possession (50% vs 52%).
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Tottenham
For 4.1 · Against 3.6 · Total 7.7
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.4 · Against 1.9 · Total 4.3
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 11.6 · Against 11.6 · Total 23.2
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Newcastle
For 6.1 · Against 4.5 · Total 10.6
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.9 · Against 2.5 · Total 4.4
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 9.0 · Against 13.0 · Total 22.0
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Tottenham
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
9.7
10.4
9.0
4.3
4.7
3.8
22.3
23.4
21.2
vs Stronger (4)
7.8
7.0
8.0
4.2
6.0
3.7
24.5
27.0
23.7
vs Similar (40)
9.9
10.2
9.6
4.6
5.2
4.0
21.9
23.0
20.8
vs Weaker (6)
9.5
12.0
4.5
2.2
2.2
2.0
23.8
24.8
22.0
% over line
50%
56%
44%
58%
68%
48%
54%
56%
52%
% under line
50%
44%
56%
42%
32%
52%
46%
44%
48%
This opponent (Newcastle) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Newcastle
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
11.5
11.6
11.4
3.9
4.4
3.4
21.0
22.3
19.2
vs Stronger (11)
13.2
13.7
12.5
3.9
4.8
2.8
21.7
23.0
19.8
vs Similar (35)
11.0
10.9
11.0
4.1
4.4
3.6
20.8
22.1
19.0
vs Weaker (4)
12.0
11.5
12.5
3.0
3.0
3.0
20.5
21.5
19.5
% over line
63%
64%
62%
52%
64%
36%
45%
54%
33%
% under line
37%
36%
38%
48%
36%
64%
55%
46%
67%
This opponent (Tottenham) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Newcastle
11.4
Bournemouth
10.6
Liverpool
10.5
Nottingham Forest
10.2
Fulham
9.9
West Ham
9.9
Manchester United
9.8
Brentford
9.8
Everton
9.7
Chelsea
9.7
Tottenham
9.7
Leeds
9.5
Aston Villa
9.5
Arsenal
9.4
Brighton
9.3
Wolves
9.2
Burnley
9.0
Manchester City
8.9
Sunderland
8.9
Crystal Palace
8.8
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Bournemouth
4.6
Chelsea
4.6
Tottenham
4.3
Sunderland
4.3
Manchester United
4.3
Brighton
4.2
Crystal Palace
4.1
Nottingham Forest
4.0
Newcastle
4.0
Aston Villa
3.9
Manchester City
3.8
Wolves
3.8
Everton
3.7
Brentford
3.6
Fulham
3.6
West Ham
3.5
Burnley
3.3
Arsenal
3.3
Liverpool
3.2
Leeds
3.1
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Wolves
24.2
Bournemouth
23.9
West Ham
23.0
Chelsea
22.8
Nottingham Forest
22.8
Aston Villa
22.8
Tottenham
22.3
Everton
22.3
Brighton
22.3
Sunderland
22.0
Manchester United
21.9
Arsenal
21.7
Leeds
21.4
Burnley
21.0
Newcastle
21.0
Manchester City
20.3
Crystal Palace
20.1
Fulham
20.0
Liverpool
19.8
Brentford
19.0
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Over
Over 9.5
61.6%
Under 9.5
38.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
63.1%
Under 3.5
36.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Over
Over 21.5
34.3%
Under 21.5
65.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
⚖️ 7. Handicap
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Tottenham
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.9
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.57
0.67
0.67
0.67
0.47
0.67
vs Stronger (3)
0.33
1.67
0.00
2.00
0.50
1.50
vs Similar (24)
0.54
0.58
0.67
0.67
0.42
0.50
vs Weaker (3)
1.00
0.33
1.00
0.00
1.00
1.00
Clean sheet %
50% (+24pp vs league)
This opponent (Newcastle) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Newcastle
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
1.1
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.77
0.60
0.76
0.35
0.77
0.92
vs Stronger (6)
0.50
1.00
0.33
0.00
0.67
2.00
vs Similar (23)
0.87
0.52
0.86
0.43
0.89
0.67
vs Weaker (1)
0.00
0.00
-
-
0.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
60% (+34pp vs league)
This opponent (Tottenham) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Tottenham over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Tottenham over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Tottenham over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Newcastle over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Newcastle over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Newcastle over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Tottenham
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.93
0.77
1.00
0.47
0.87
1.07
vs Stronger (3)
1.67
2.00
2.00
0.00
1.50
3.00
vs Similar (24)
0.83
0.62
0.92
0.50
0.75
0.75
vs Weaker (3)
1.00
0.67
1.00
0.50
1.00
1.00
Clean sheet %
50% (+24pp vs league)
This opponent (Newcastle) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Newcastle
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.9
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.90
0.87
1.24
0.82
0.46
0.92
vs Stronger (6)
0.83
0.83
1.33
1.00
0.33
0.67
vs Similar (23)
0.96
0.91
1.21
0.79
0.56
1.11
vs Weaker (1)
0.00
0.00
-
-
0.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
40% (+14pp vs league)
This opponent (Tottenham) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Tottenham over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Tottenham over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Tottenham over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Newcastle over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Newcastle over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Newcastle over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Under 25.5 fouls
89.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Over 1.5
82.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 2.5 cards
80.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 23.5 fouls
79.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Over 8.5 corners
73.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 5.5 cards
72.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Tottenham
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Dominic Solanke26%
Richarlison26%
Ben Davies20%
Brennan Johnson18%
João Palhinha16%
Cristian Romero13%
Mohammed Kudus12%
Micky van de Ven11%
Mathys Tel11%
Randal Kolo Muani10%
Xavi Simons10%
Wilson Odobert6%
Archie Gray6%
Conor Gallagher6%
Pape Matar Sarr6%
Pedro Porro4%
Lucas Bergvall3%
Rodrigo Bentancur3%
James Maddison0%
Yves Bissouma0%
Djed Spence0%
Kevin Danso0%
Guglielmo Vicario0%
Radu Drăguşin0%
Dane Scarlett0%
Destiny Udogie0%
Antonín Kinský0%
Souza0%
Jun'ai Byfield0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Cristian Romero39%
Yves Bissouma36%
Pedro Porro30%
João Palhinha27%
Micky van de Ven27%
Kevin Danso26%
Souza25%
Archie Gray24%
Richarlison21%
Rodrigo Bentancur21%
Ben Davies20%
Destiny Udogie18%
Mohammed Kudus16%
Xavi Simons15%
Randal Kolo Muani12%
Djed Spence12%
Conor Gallagher11%
Antonín Kinský10%
Lucas Bergvall9%
Brennan Johnson9%
Pape Matar Sarr8%
Guglielmo Vicario7%
Dominic Solanke5%
Mathys Tel3%
James Maddison0%
Radu Drăguşin0%
Dane Scarlett0%
Wilson Odobert0%
Jun'ai Byfield0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Mohammed Kudus16%
Xavi Simons15%
Lucas Bergvall12%
Richarlison12%
Pape Matar Sarr11%
Randal Kolo Muani10%
Cristian Romero10%
Wilson Odobert9%
Archie Gray9%
Pedro Porro9%
João Palhinha7%
Conor Gallagher6%
Mathys Tel5%
Destiny Udogie4%
Rodrigo Bentancur3%
Micky van de Ven2%
Ben Davies0%
James Maddison0%
Dominic Solanke0%
Yves Bissouma0%
Djed Spence0%
Kevin Danso0%
Guglielmo Vicario0%
Brennan Johnson0%
Radu Drăguşin0%
Dane Scarlett0%
Antonín Kinský0%
Souza0%
Jun'ai Byfield0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Richarlison19%
Yves Bissouma9%
Wilson Odobert9%
Mathys Tel8%
Randal Kolo Muani7%
Xavi Simons7%
Pedro Porro7%
Dominic Solanke5%
Mohammed Kudus4%
Cristian Romero3%
Rodrigo Bentancur3%
João Palhinha2%
Ben Davies0%
James Maddison0%
Djed Spence0%
Kevin Danso0%
Guglielmo Vicario0%
Conor Gallagher0%
Brennan Johnson0%
Micky van de Ven0%
Radu Drăguşin0%
Dane Scarlett0%
Destiny Udogie0%
Pape Matar Sarr0%
Antonín Kinský0%
Archie Gray0%
Lucas Bergvall0%
Souza0%
Jun'ai Byfield0%
Newcastle
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Anthony Gordon29%
Bruno Guimarães22%
Harvey Barnes21%
William Osula21%
Nick Woltemade20%
Joelinton12%
Yoane Wissa11%
Jacob Murphy9%
Lewis Miley9%
Malick Thiaw8%
Sven Botman5%
Fabian Schär5%
Jacob Ramsey5%
Dan Burn5%
Sandro Tonali4%
Joe Willock3%
Lewis Hall2%
Anthony Elanga2%
Kieran Trippier0%
Emil Krafth0%
Nick Pope0%
Aaron Ramsdale0%
Valentino Livramento0%
Alex Murphy0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Joelinton38%
Dan Burn28%
Bruno Guimarães22%
Malick Thiaw17%
Kieran Trippier17%
Joe Willock16%
Yoane Wissa15%
Fabian Schär14%
Aaron Ramsdale14%
Sandro Tonali13%
Jacob Ramsey12%
Anthony Gordon9%
Lewis Hall9%
Nick Pope6%
Sven Botman5%
Jacob Murphy4%
Valentino Livramento4%
Harvey Barnes4%
Anthony Elanga2%
Nick Woltemade2%
Emil Krafth0%
William Osula0%
Alex Murphy0%
Lewis Miley0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Bruno Guimarães15%
Lewis Miley12%
Dan Burn12%
Sandro Tonali12%
Kieran Trippier11%
Jacob Murphy11%
Anthony Gordon11%
Harvey Barnes11%
Nick Woltemade8%
Joe Willock8%
Jacob Ramsey7%
Joelinton5%
Lewis Hall4%
Valentino Livramento4%
Yoane Wissa4%
William Osula3%
Nick Pope3%
Sven Botman3%
Anthony Elanga2%
Fabian Schär0%
Emil Krafth0%
Aaron Ramsdale0%
Malick Thiaw0%
Alex Murphy0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Anthony Gordon24%
Bruno Guimarães15%
Harvey Barnes14%
Jacob Murphy13%
Fabian Schär10%
Joelinton7%
Nick Woltemade6%
William Osula6%
Sandro Tonali4%
Yoane Wissa4%
Sven Botman3%
Joe Willock3%
Kieran Trippier0%
Emil Krafth0%
Nick Pope0%
Dan Burn0%
Jacob Ramsey0%
Aaron Ramsdale0%
Anthony Elanga0%
Valentino Livramento0%
Malick Thiaw0%
Lewis Hall0%
Alex Murphy0%
Lewis Miley0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
CHE (39)
€1407m
ARS (29)
€1406m
MC (27)
€1326m
LIV (29)
€980m
MU (30)
€929m
TOT (36)
€920m
BHA (30)
€620m
BOU (31)
€573m
NEW (25)
€568m
BRE (32)
€565m
NFO (28)
€551m
AVL (27)
€536m
CRY (29)
€505m
EVE (24)
€459m
LEE (27)
€427m
SUN (30)
€392m
FUL (21)
€329m
WHU (24)
€274m
WOL (31)
€273m
BUR (28)
€115m
Tottenham's squad is €353m more valuable than Newcastle's (€920m vs €568m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
MC (9)
€635m
CHE (13)
€614m
ARS (13)
€608m
LIV (9)
€518m
MU (11)
€432m
BOU (11)
€285m
NFO (9)
€263m
TOT (12)
€250m
NEW (7)
€234m
CRY (11)
€229m
BRE (10)
€228m
AVL (10)
€220m
BHA (9)
€190m
FUL (9)
€178m
EVE (7)
€174m
LEE (11)
€166m
SUN (9)
€157m
WHU (7)
€84m
WOL (11)
€79m
BUR (14)
€70m
Tottenham's attack is €16m more valuable than Newcastle's (€250m vs €234m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ARS (4)
€290m
TOT (7)
€282m
CHE (6)
€278m
MU (7)
€236m
LIV (6)
€201m
BHA (7)
€180m
EVE (7)
€162m
MC (3)
€160m
AVL (6)
€160m
BRE (7)
€128m
NEW (6)
€124m
SUN (6)
€110m
BOU (6)
€106m
LEE (5)
€98m
CRY (5)
€93m
WOL (6)
€79m
NFO (4)
€52m
WHU (5)
€48m
FUL (3)
€28m
BUR (3)
€8m
Tottenham's midfield is €158m more valuable than Newcastle's (€282m vs €124m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
MC (15)
€531m
CHE (20)
€514m
ARS (12)
€508m
TOT (17)
€388m
MU (12)
€261m
LIV (14)
€260m
BHA (14)
€249m
NFO (15)
€236m
NEW (12)
€210m
BRE (15)
€209m
CRY (13)
€182m
BOU (14)
€182m
LEE (11)
€163m
AVL (11)
€156m
WHU (12)
€141m
SUN (15)
€125m
EVE (10)
€123m
FUL (9)
€123m
WOL (14)
€116m
BUR (11)
€37m
Tottenham's defence is €178m more valuable than Newcastle's (€388m vs €210m).
England: Premier League 2025/26 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full England: Premier League stats & trends →
PythiaFootballBETA
Arsenal
Manchester City
Manchester United
Aston Villa
Liverpool
Bournemouth
Sunderland
Brighton
Brentford
Chelsea
Fulham
Everton
Leeds
Crystal Palace
Nottingham Forest
West Ham
Burnley
Wolves