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Toulouse vs Paris Saint Germain Result & Analysis

Date: 15/02/2025
Time: 20:05
Final 0-1
Toulouse
Toulouse
Vs
9%
18%
73%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Paris Saint Germain
Paris Saint Germain
France: Ligue 1
Referee: -

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Toulouse win✗ Miss
9.3%
Avg Implied 15.9% · @ 5.97
Edge
-6.6%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
17.6%
Avg Implied 20.2% · @ 4.71
Edge
-2.6%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Paris Saint Germain win✓ Hit
73.1%
Avg Implied 63.9% · @ 1.49
Edge
+9.2%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

ToulouseToulouse

Last 10 – goals for & against
20-221W00D10W12L21W00D12L11D02L22DH·SAI13/12A·HAU21/12A·LEN05/01H·STR12/01H·LAV15/01A·LYO18/01H·MON26/01H·NIC02/02H·GUI05/02A·AUX09/02
Avg total
2.1
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
1.1
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.171.231.121.381.211.07
vs Stronger (8)1.001.881.332.330.801.60
vs Similar (19)1.321.001.091.091.620.88
vs Weaker (3)0.671.001.001.500.000.00
Clean sheet %30% (+2pp vs league)
This opponent (Paris Saint Germain) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Paris Saint GermainParis Saint Germain

Last 10 – goals for & against
50-521W42W21W42W11D41W52W20W41W30WH·SAI12/01A·ESP15/01A·LEN18/01H·MAN22/01H·REI25/01A·VFB29/01A·STA01/02A·LE 04/02H·MON07/02A·STA11/02
Avg total
4.2
Avg scored
3.1
Avg conceded
1.1
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game2.301.002.291.002.311.00
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (5)1.201.602.001.670.001.50
vs Weaker (25)2.520.882.360.822.640.93
Clean sheet %27% (-1pp vs league)
This opponent (Toulouse) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

6%11%17%22%5%011%121%222%318%412%511%6+
The model estimates around 3.2 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 3 (22%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
84.1%
Under 1.5
15.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
62.7%
@ 1.52+0.4%
Under 2.5
37.3%
@ 2.51-0.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
40.5%
Under 3.5
59.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
50.6%
No
49.4%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
0-2
11.8%
0-3
9.6%
1-2
9.3%
0-1 ✓
8.9%
1-1
8.4%
1-3
7.6%
0-4
5.9%
0-0
4.7%
Toulouse goals ↓
Paris Saint Germain goals →
01234
04.7%8.9%12%9.6%5.9%
12.3%8.4%9.3%7.6%4.6%
21.2%3.0%3.7%3.0%1.8%
30.3%0.8%1.0%0.8%0.5%
40.1%0.2%0.2%0.2%0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Toulouse goals (down), columns = Paris Saint Germain goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Paris Saint Germain
2.47
Marseille
1.91
Monaco
1.79
Lille
1.76
Nice
1.76
Strasbourg
1.68
Lyon
1.68
Lens
1.53
Stade Brestois 29
1.47
Auxerre
1.24
Toulouse
1.24
Rennes
1.21
Nantes
1.06
Angers
1.06
Metz
1.00
Le Havre
1.00
Reims
0.97
Saint Etienne
0.88
Montpellier
0.47
Toulouse is 1.24 points worse than Paris Saint Germain in terms of average points per game (1.24 vs 2.47).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Paris Saint Germain
2.71
Marseille
2.18
Nice
1.94
Lyon
1.91
Monaco
1.85
Strasbourg
1.65
Stade Brestois 29
1.53
Lille
1.53
Rennes
1.50
Auxerre
1.41
Toulouse
1.29
Lens
1.24
Le Havre
1.18
Nantes
1.15
Saint Etienne
1.15
Metz
1.00
Reims
0.97
Angers
0.94
Montpellier
0.68
Toulouse is 1.41 goals worse than Paris Saint Germain in terms of goals scored per game (1.29 vs 2.71).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Metz
1.00
Paris Saint Germain
1.03
Lille
1.06
Lens
1.15
Nice
1.21
Monaco
1.21
Toulouse
1.26
Strasbourg
1.29
Lyon
1.35
Reims
1.36
Marseille
1.38
Rennes
1.47
Auxerre
1.50
Nantes
1.53
Angers
1.56
Stade Brestois 29
1.74
Le Havre
2.09
Saint Etienne
2.26
Montpellier
2.32
Toulouse is 0.24 goals worse than Paris Saint Germain in terms of goals conceded per game (1.26 vs 1.03).

⏱️ Possession

Avg possession %
Paris Saint Germain
68%
Marseille
64%
Metz
59%
Lille
58%
Lyon
57%
Monaco
55%
Lens
54%
Rennes
51%
Strasbourg
50%
Stade Brestois 29
48%
Nice
48%
Saint Etienne
47%
Montpellier
45%
Toulouse
45%
Reims
44%
Le Havre
43%
Auxerre
42%
Angers
41%
Nantes
40%
Toulouse is 23.7 percentage points worse than Paris Saint Germain in terms of average possession (45% vs 68%).

🎲 4. Props Analysis

ToulouseToulouse

For 4.3 · Against 3.8 · Total 8.1

🚩 Corners

13053726258321723326257898135855812A·AUXH·NICH·MONA·LYOH·STRA·LENH·SAIA·MONH·AUXA·PAR
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.5 · Against 2.6 · Total 4.1

🟨 Cards

8011221211426342221132431587434A·AUXH·NICH·MONA·LYOH·STRA·LENH·SAIA·MONA·PARA·REN
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 13.0 · Against 14.1 · Total 27.1

⚠️ Fouls

40091120209158812141220161516151412141120402416263231312625A·AUXH·NICH·MONA·LYOH·STRA·LENH·SAIA·MONH·AUXA·PAR
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

Paris Saint GermainParis Saint Germain

For 5.9 · Against 3.3 · Total 9.2

🚩 Corners

170361174828111616739143921110917710107A·STAH·MONA·STAA·VFBH·REIH·MANA·LENH·SAIA·MONH·LYO
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.1 · Against 1.6 · Total 2.7

🟨 Cards

50111112221122122232113424325A·STAH·MONA·STAA·VFBH·REIH·MANA·LENH·SAIA·MONH·LYO
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 10.7 · Against 10.2 · Total 20.9

⚠️ Fouls

27013791112981013131010812161111117820202118262020272215A·STAH·MONA·STAA·VFBH·REIH·MANA·LENH·SAIA·MONH·LYO
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

ToulouseToulouse

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)9.19.58.74.03.94.127.727.128.4
vs Stronger (16)9.19.28.94.24.44.025.626.424.9
vs Similar (30)9.09.68.24.34.24.528.827.430.6
vs Weaker (4)15.0-15.01.00.02.027.0-27.0
% over line40%40%41%64%59%70%85%88%82%
% under line60%60%59%36%41%30%15%12%18%
This opponent (Paris Saint Germain) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Paris Saint GermainParis Saint Germain

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)10.210.89.63.33.43.120.421.419.4
vs Stronger (0)---------
vs Similar (7)11.013.08.35.13.87.020.921.220.3
vs Weaker (43)10.110.39.83.03.42.620.321.419.3
% over line60%70%50%40%57%26%40%52%29%
% under line40%30%50%60%43%74%60%48%71%
This opponent (Toulouse) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

🚩 Total Corners

Match total corners / game
Paris Saint Germain
10.4
Nantes
10.4
Saint Etienne
10.2
Nice
10.1
Lyon
9.8
Reims
9.7
Montpellier
9.6
Auxerre
9.4
Metz
9.4
Monaco
9.3
Toulouse
9.3
Angers
9.1
Le Havre
9.1
Marseille
8.9
Lens
8.9
Lille
8.9
Strasbourg
8.7
Rennes
8.4
Stade Brestois 29
8.0

🟨 Total Cards

Match total cards / game
Montpellier
5.1
Monaco
4.9
Lille
4.9
Lens
4.8
Rennes
4.6
Toulouse
4.6
Nice
4.6
Stade Brestois 29
4.5
Marseille
4.5
Le Havre
4.4
Lyon
4.3
Nantes
4.1
Strasbourg
4.1
Reims
4.0
Metz
3.9
Angers
3.9
Saint Etienne
3.8
Auxerre
3.8
Paris Saint Germain
3.7

⚠️ Total Fouls

Match total fouls / game
Toulouse
27.5
Saint Etienne
27.1
Monaco
26.5
Montpellier
26.5
Rennes
25.9
Lens
25.8
Strasbourg
25.6
Metz
25.4
Stade Brestois 29
24.7
Lille
24.4
Marseille
24.2
Le Havre
24.0
Nantes
23.8
Reims
23.7
Angers
23.2
Nice
23.2
Auxerre
23.1
Lyon
22.8
Paris Saint Germain
20.5
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Under
Over 9.5
46.9%
Under 9.5
53.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
55.0%
Under 3.5
45.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Under
Over 21.5
66.1%
Under 21.5
33.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

ToulouseToulouse

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-200D00D00D12L20W00D00D01L00D00DH·SAI13/12A·HAU21/12A·LEN05/01H·STR12/01H·LAV15/01A·LYO18/01H·MON26/01H·NIC02/02H·GUI05/02A·AUX09/02
Avg total
0.6
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
0.3
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.570.470.500.560.640.36
vs Stronger (8)0.500.750.671.330.400.40
vs Similar (19)0.580.420.360.450.880.38
vs Weaker (3)0.670.001.000.000.000.00
Clean sheet %60% (+32pp vs league)
This opponent (Paris Saint Germain) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Paris Saint GermainParis Saint Germain

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-320W11D01L00D00D30W10W10W11D20WH·SAI12/01A·ESP15/01A·LEN18/01H·MAN22/01H·REI25/01A·VFB29/01A·STA01/02A·LE 04/02H·MON07/02A·STA11/02
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
0.3
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.970.430.860.431.060.44
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (5)0.201.000.330.670.001.50
vs Weaker (25)1.120.321.000.361.210.29
Clean sheet %60% (+32pp vs league)
This opponent (Toulouse) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Toulouse over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Toulouse over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Toulouse over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Paris Saint Germain over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Paris Saint Germain over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Paris Saint Germain over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

ToulouseToulouse

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-221W00D10W00D01L00D12L10W02L22DH·SAI13/12A·HAU21/12A·LEN05/01H·STR12/01H·LAV15/01A·LYO18/01H·MON26/01H·NIC02/02H·GUI05/02A·AUX09/02
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.8
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.600.770.620.810.570.71
vs Stronger (8)0.501.120.671.000.401.20
vs Similar (19)0.740.580.730.640.750.50
vs Weaker (3)0.001.000.001.500.000.00
Clean sheet %50% (+22pp vs league)
This opponent (Paris Saint Germain) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Paris Saint GermainParis Saint Germain

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
40-401L31W20W42W11D11D42W10W30W10WH·SAI12/01A·ESP15/01A·LEN18/01H·MAN22/01H·REI25/01A·VFB29/01A·STA01/02A·LE 04/02H·MON07/02A·STA11/02
Avg total
2.8
Avg scored
2.0
Avg conceded
0.8
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.330.571.430.571.250.56
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (5)1.000.601.671.000.000.00
vs Weaker (25)1.400.561.360.451.430.64
Clean sheet %60% (+32pp vs league)
This opponent (Toulouse) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Toulouse over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Toulouse over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Toulouse over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Paris Saint Germain over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Paris Saint Germain over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Paris Saint Germain over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 1.584.1%-------✗ Miss
Over 19.5 fouls80.1%-------✗ Miss
Under 5.5 cards79.8%-------✓ Hit
Under 11.5 corners75.9%-------✓ Hit
Over 2.5 cards74.9%-------✗ Miss
Away win73.1%1.49-----+9.2%✓ Hit

🎽 13. Player market rates

Toulouse
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Zakaria Aboukhlal22%
Joshua King20%
Noah Edjouma18%
Vincent Sierro17%
Yann Gboho15%
Frank Magri15%
Shavy Warren Babicka12%
Charlie Cresswell12%
Denis Genreau10%
Aron Dønnum9%
Warren Kamanzi4%
Mark McKenzie3%
Cristian Cásseres Jr.3%
Djibril Sidibé0%
Miha Zajc0%
Gabriel Suazo0%
Rasmus Nicolaisen0%
Niklas Schmidt0%
Kjetil Haug0%
Guillaume Restes0%
Rafik Messali0%
Ümit Akdağ0%
Jaydee Canvot0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Cristian Cásseres Jr.32%
Charlie Cresswell21%
Aron Dønnum20%
Ümit Akdağ17%
Zakaria Aboukhlal15%
Frank Magri15%
Vincent Sierro13%
Warren Kamanzi12%
Jaydee Canvot10%
Miha Zajc9%
Mark McKenzie9%
Shavy Warren Babicka9%
Joshua King7%
Guillaume Restes6%
Rafik Messali6%
Yann Gboho6%
Djibril Sidibé4%
Gabriel Suazo3%
Rasmus Nicolaisen0%
Niklas Schmidt0%
Denis Genreau0%
Kjetil Haug0%
Noah Edjouma0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Gabriel Suazo21%
Rasmus Nicolaisen12%
Yann Gboho12%
Djibril Sidibé11%
Joshua King10%
Niklas Schmidt10%
Cristian Cásseres Jr.9%
Zakaria Aboukhlal7%
Rafik Messali6%
Shavy Warren Babicka6%
Charlie Cresswell6%
Aron Dønnum6%
Warren Kamanzi4%
Vincent Sierro3%
Guillaume Restes3%
Mark McKenzie3%
Frank Magri3%
Miha Zajc0%
Denis Genreau0%
Kjetil Haug0%
Ümit Akdağ0%
Jaydee Canvot0%
Noah Edjouma0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Zakaria Aboukhlal33%
Joshua King20%
Yann Gboho12%
Frank Magri12%
Aron Dønnum11%
Shavy Warren Babicka6%
Charlie Cresswell6%
Miha Zajc5%
Warren Kamanzi4%
Vincent Sierro3%
Djibril Sidibé0%
Gabriel Suazo0%
Rasmus Nicolaisen0%
Niklas Schmidt0%
Denis Genreau0%
Kjetil Haug0%
Mark McKenzie0%
Cristian Cásseres Jr.0%
Guillaume Restes0%
Rafik Messali0%
Ümit Akdağ0%
Jaydee Canvot0%
Noah Edjouma0%
Paris Saint Germain
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Ousmane Dembélé44%
Gonçalo Ramos32%
Bradley Barcola30%
Désiré Doué25%
Khvicha Kvaratskhelia24%
Senny Mayulu18%
Achraf Hakimi17%
Randal Kolo Muani14%
Vitinha14%
Nuno Mendes13%
Marco Asensio12%
Kang-in Lee11%
Ibrahim Mbaye10%
João Neves10%
Fabián Ruiz9%
Marquinhos7%
Warren Zaïre-Emery6%
Lucas Beraldo3%
Lucas Hernández0%
Milan Škriniar0%
Presnel Kimpembe0%
Gianluigi Donnarumma0%
Matvey Safonov0%
Willian Pacho0%
Yoram Zague0%
Axel Tape0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Axel Tape33%
Lucas Beraldo21%
Milan Škriniar20%
Presnel Kimpembe20%
Marquinhos17%
Nuno Mendes16%
Achraf Hakimi15%
Lucas Hernández8%
João Neves8%
Senny Mayulu7%
Warren Zaïre-Emery6%
Fabián Ruiz6%
Bradley Barcola5%
Gianluigi Donnarumma5%
Gonçalo Ramos5%
Ousmane Dembélé4%
Khvicha Kvaratskhelia4%
Willian Pacho4%
Désiré Doué4%
Kang-in Lee2%
Vitinha2%
Marco Asensio0%
Matvey Safonov0%
Randal Kolo Muani0%
Yoram Zague0%
Ibrahim Mbaye0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Bradley Barcola30%
Ousmane Dembélé25%
Achraf Hakimi23%
Désiré Doué23%
Khvicha Kvaratskhelia20%
Marco Asensio19%
Gonçalo Ramos15%
João Neves14%
Kang-in Lee14%
Fabián Ruiz13%
Nuno Mendes11%
Senny Mayulu11%
Ibrahim Mbaye10%
Randal Kolo Muani7%
Vitinha6%
Warren Zaïre-Emery4%
Willian Pacho4%
Lucas Hernández0%
Milan Škriniar0%
Marquinhos0%
Presnel Kimpembe0%
Gianluigi Donnarumma0%
Matvey Safonov0%
Lucas Beraldo0%
Yoram Zague0%
Axel Tape0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Ousmane Dembélé54%
Gonçalo Ramos38%
Bradley Barcola30%
Marco Asensio25%
Khvicha Kvaratskhelia24%
Désiré Doué19%
Randal Kolo Muani14%
Achraf Hakimi13%
Ibrahim Mbaye10%
Senny Mayulu7%
Vitinha6%
João Neves6%
Kang-in Lee5%
Fabián Ruiz4%
Lucas Hernández0%
Milan Škriniar0%
Marquinhos0%
Presnel Kimpembe0%
Gianluigi Donnarumma0%
Matvey Safonov0%
Willian Pacho0%
Nuno Mendes0%
Lucas Beraldo0%
Warren Zaïre-Emery0%
Yoram Zague0%
Axel Tape0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
PSG (26)
€1477m
MON (26)
€326m
LIL (27)
€312m
STR (32)
€304m
LYO (32)
€293m
REN (26)
€241m
MAR (22)
€225m
LEN (27)
€187m
NIC (28)
€152m
TOU (24)
€115m
SE (30)
€93m
AUX (29)
€84m
NAN (25)
€82m
ANG (23)
€73m
REI (30)
€72m
SB2 (20)
€64m
LH (25)
€55m
MET (26)
€43m
MON (24)
€29m
Toulouse's squad is €1363m less valuable than Paris Saint Germain's (€115m vs €1477m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
PSG (10)
€638m
MON (9)
€148m
LIL (13)
€133m
LYO (9)
€122m
STR (13)
€112m
MAR (9)
€91m
REN (8)
€87m
NIC (8)
€62m
SE (10)
€54m
LEN (8)
€52m
REI (12)
€38m
NAN (8)
€31m
ANG (9)
€30m
TOU (7)
€30m
SB2 (6)
€25m
AUX (11)
€23m
MET (11)
€17m
MON (9)
€11m
LH (10)
€9m
Toulouse's attack is €608m less valuable than Paris Saint Germain's (€30m vs €638m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
PSG (5)
€430m
LIL (4)
€102m
MON (5)
€84m
LYO (8)
€82m
MAR (5)
€68m
STR (6)
€56m
REN (5)
€44m
TOU (7)
€39m
NIC (9)
€31m
AUX (5)
€28m
LEN (5)
€24m
LH (5)
€23m
SB2 (6)
€20m
MET (5)
€18m
NAN (7)
€16m
REI (6)
€13m
ANG (3)
€11m
SE (7)
€11m
MON (5)
€6m
Toulouse's midfield is €391m less valuable than Paris Saint Germain's (€39m vs €430m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
PSG (11)
€409m
STR (13)
€136m
LEN (14)
€112m
REN (13)
€109m
MON (12)
€93m
LYO (15)
€89m
LIL (10)
€76m
MAR (8)
€66m
NIC (11)
€60m
TOU (10)
€46m
NAN (10)
€34m
AUX (13)
€33m
ANG (11)
€32m
SE (13)
€28m
LH (10)
€23m
REI (12)
€21m
SB2 (8)
€19m
MON (10)
€12m
MET (10)
€8m
Toulouse's defence is €363m less valuable than Paris Saint Germain's (€46m vs €409m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

8 previous meetings
1
TOU wins
1
Draws
6
PSG wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Toulouse vs Paris Saint Germain · H/A from TOU
DateH/AGameScore
22/11/24AParis Saint Germain Vs TOU3-0
12/05/24AParis Saint Germain Vs TOU1-3
19/08/23HTOU Vs Paris Saint Germain1-1
04/02/23AParis Saint Germain Vs TOU2-1
31/08/22HTOU Vs Paris Saint Germain0-3
25/08/19AParis Saint Germain Vs TOU4-0
31/03/19HTOU Vs Paris Saint Germain0-1
24/11/18AParis Saint Germain Vs TOU1-0

ToulouseToulouse

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
09/02/25AAuxerre Vs TOU2-2
05/02/25HTOU Vs Guingamp0-2
02/02/25HTOU Vs Nice1-1
26/01/25HTOU Vs Montpellier1-2
18/01/25ALyon Vs TOU0-0
15/01/25HTOU Vs Laval2-1
12/01/25HTOU Vs Strasbourg1-2
05/01/25ALens Vs TOU0-1
21/12/24AHauts Lyonnais Vs TOU0-0
13/12/24HTOU Vs Saint Etienne2-1

Paris Saint GermainParis Saint Germain

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
11/02/25AStade Brestois 29 Vs PSG0-3
07/02/25HPSG Vs Monaco4-1
04/02/25ALe Mans Vs PSG0-2
01/02/25AStade Brestois 29 Vs PSG2-5
29/01/25AVfB Stuttgart Vs PSG1-4
25/01/25HPSG Vs Reims1-1
22/01/25HPSG Vs Manchester City4-2
18/01/25ALens Vs PSG1-2
15/01/25AEspaly-Saint-Marcel Vs PSG2-4
12/01/25HPSG Vs Saint Etienne2-1

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Toulouse
Toulouse
France: Ligue 1
Recent: 3 Wins / 4 Draws / 3 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallDLDLD1.34
HomeLWLDL1.11
AwayLDWDD1.61
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %36%26%48%
AVG goals2.342.302.39
Over 1.5 %76%78%74%
Over 2.5 %54%52%57%
Over 3.5 %14%15%13%
Scored1.141.041.26
Conceded1.201.261.13
BTTS52%59%43%
Clean Sheet30%30%30%
Corners9.159.528.73
Cards4.474.424.52
Paris Saint Germain
Paris Saint Germain
France: Ligue 1
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Draws / 0 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWWWWW2.10
HomeWWWDW1.87
AwayWWWWW2.30
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %62%52%70%
AVG goals3.443.523.37
Over 1.5 %86%87%85%
Over 2.5 %62%65%59%
Over 3.5 %44%52%37%
Scored2.362.262.44
Conceded1.081.260.93
BTTS68%78%59%
Clean Sheet24%17%30%
Corners10.1910.789.62
Cards3.793.953.65

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1Paris Saint GermainParis Saint Germain3484
76%
2.5
9235+57
3.7
88%
74%
56%
9.6
53%
3.1
34%
19.6
29%
1477
6384304092.71.0
68%
2MarseilleMarseille3465
59%
1.9
7447+27
3.6
94%
68%
50%
8.3
32%
4.1
61%
23.0
74%
225
9168662.21.4
64%
3MonacoMonaco3461
53%
1.8
6341+22
3.1
85%
65%
32%
8.9
35%
4.3
59%
27.4
88%
326
14884931.91.2
55%
4NiceNice3460
50%
1.8
6641+25
3.1
91%
59%
35%
10.3
53%
4.3
55%
24.2
62%
152
6231601.91.2
48%
5LilleLille3460
50%
1.8
5236+16
2.6
79%
50%
24%
9.1
41%
4.4
65%
23.6
62%
312
133102761.51.1
58%
6LyonLyon3457
50%
1.7
6546+19
3.3
88%
65%
41%
10.1
56%
4.2
66%
23.4
71%
293
12282891.91.4
57%
7StrasbourgStrasbourg3457
47%
1.7
5644+12
2.9
76%
59%
38%
8.9
44%
4.4
68%
24.4
74%
304
112561361.61.3
50%
8LensLens3452
44%
1.5
4239+3
2.4
71%
35%
26%
9.2
41%
4.8
73%
25.9
85%
187
52241121.21.1
54%
9Stade Brestois 29Stade Brestois 293450
44%
1.5
5259-7
3.3
85%
62%
44%
9.1
50%
4.0
65%
25.7
74%
64
2520191.51.7
48%
10ToulouseToulouse3442
32%
1.2
4443+1
2.6
79%
50%
21%
8.6
32%
4.2
64%
25.9
79%
115
3039461.31.3
45%
11AuxerreAuxerre3442
32%
1.2
4851-3
2.9
82%
62%
44%
9.9
41%
4.1
65%
23.3
56%
84
2328331.41.5
42%
12RennesRennes3441
38%
1.2
5150+1
3.0
79%
59%
32%
8.8
41%
4.5
72%
25.2
76%
241
87441091.51.5
51%
13NantesNantes3436
24%
1.1
3952-13
2.7
82%
44%
26%
10.4
62%
4.1
55%
24.1
76%
82
3116341.11.5
40%
14AngersAngers3436
29%
1.1
3253-21
2.5
76%
32%
21%
8.5
32%
4.0
47%
23.5
68%
73
3011320.91.6
41%
15ReimsReims3635
22%
1.0
3549-14
2.3
72%
42%
19%
9.8
47%
3.9
56%
23.3
64%
72
3813211.01.4
44%
16Le HavreLe Havre3434
29%
1.0
4071-31
3.3
88%
62%
38%
9.3
53%
4.1
58%
23.6
68%
55
923231.22.1
43%
17Saint EtienneSaint Etienne3430
24%
0.9
3977-38
3.4
85%
56%
47%
9.8
41%
3.8
45%
24.6
74%
93
5411281.12.3
47%
18MontpellierMontpellier3416
12%
0.5
2379-56
3.0
79%
56%
38%
10.0
47%
4.9
68%
26.2
88%
29
116120.72.3
45%
19MetzMetz22
0%
1.0
22+0
2.0
100%
0%
0%
11.0
100%
4.5
100%
28.0
100%
43
171881.01.0
59%
France: Ligue 1 2024/25 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full France: Ligue 1 stats & trends →

👥 18. Who played

Minutes played, then goals, assists, cards and match rating. Substitutes in grey.

← all matches