Traiskirchen enter the match after a win, but the model still names Austria Vienna as the clear favourite, assigning an 78% chance to an away victory. The model’s confidence stems from Austria Vienna’s strong away form against weaker opponents, averaging three goals scored and only one conceded, while Traiskirchen’s home performance is modest. The expected total is 4.2 goals, with the most likely total being 6 + goals at 24%. The single most probable scoreline is 1-3 for Austria Vienna, with an 8.3% probability. Home win probability sits at 8%, draw at 13%, and away win at 78%. Suggested picks include Home under 3.5 goals (98%), Away +2 handicap (97.1%), Away over 0.5 goals (95.7%), Under 7.5 (93.9%), Over 1.5 (92.5%), Draw or Away (91.7%), Away +1 handicap (91.7%), and Home under 2.5 goals (91.5%). These selections reflect the model’s view that Austria Vienna will dominate the match at Traiskirchen’s ground.
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🎯 1. Model Analysis
Traiskirchen win
8.3%
Avg Implied 15.0% · @ 6.17
Edge
-6.7%
Best 5 market prices
Superbet
6.20
Dafabet
6.20
1xBet
6.11
Draw
13.3%
Avg Implied 13.3% · @ 6.97
Edge
+0.1%
Best 5 market prices
Dafabet
7.20
Superbet
6.90
1xBet
6.80
Austria Vienna win
78.4%
Avg Implied 71.8% · @ 1.29
Edge
+6.6%
Best 5 market prices
Superbet
1.29
Dafabet
1.29
1xBet
1.28
⚽ 2. Goal Analysis
Traiskirchen
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
4.3
Avg scored
1.7
Avg conceded
2.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.67
2.67
1.67
2.67
-
-
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (2)
0.50
4.00
0.50
4.00
-
-
vs Weaker (1)
4.00
0.00
4.00
0.00
-
-
Clean sheet %
33% (+8pp vs league)
This opponent (Austria Vienna) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Austria Vienna
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.5
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
1.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.37
1.50
1.14
1.50
1.56
1.50
vs Stronger (9)
1.22
2.11
1.50
2.25
1.00
2.00
vs Similar (17)
1.41
1.35
1.25
1.38
1.56
1.33
vs Weaker (4)
1.50
0.75
0.00
0.50
3.00
1.00
Clean sheet %
33% (+8pp vs league)
This opponent (Traiskirchen) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 4.2 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 6+ (24%).
Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
92.5%
Under 1.5
7.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
78.5%
Under 2.5
21.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5
Over 3.5
59.8%
Under 3.5
40.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to score
Yes
61.8%
No
38.2%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-3
8.3%
0-3
8.1%
1-2
7.9%
0-2
7.7%
1-4
6.5%
0-4
6.3%
1-1
5.5%
0-1
4.4%
Traiskirchen goals ↓
Austria Vienna goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
2.1%
4.4%
7.7%
8.1%
6.3%
1
1.1%
5.5%
7.9%
8.3%
6.5%
2
0.8%
2.6%
4.0%
4.2%
3.3%
3
0.3%
0.9%
1.4%
1.4%
1.1%
4
0.1%
0.2%
0.4%
0.4%
0.3%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Traiskirchen goals (down), columns = Austria Vienna goals (across).
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💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Lask Linz
2.33
Admira Wacker
2.33
Schwarz-Weiß Bregenz
2.33
SV Kapfenberg
2.33
WSG Wattens
2.33
Rapid Vienna
2.25
Ried
2.20
Velden
2.00
Sturm Graz
2.00
Red Bull Salzburg
2.00
SCR Altach
2.00
Wolfsberger AC
1.75
FC BW Linz
1.75
SKU Amstetten
1.67
TSV Hartberg
1.67
Oberwart
1.50
Gurten
1.50
SVG Reichenau
1.50
Dornbirn
1.50
Floridsdorfer AC
1.50
Voitsberg
1.50
First Vienna
1.50
Austria Lustenau
1.50
SV Horn
1.50
Schwaz
1.50
SKN ST. Polten
1.33
Krems / Rehberg
1.00
WSPG Wels
1.00
Imst
1.00
Leithaprodersdorf
0.91
Leonfelden
0.91
Wienerberg
0.91
Mattersburg SV 2020
0.91
Leobendorf
0.91
Seekirchen
0.91
Wiener Viktoria
0.91
Bleiburg
0.91
Scheiblingkirchen
0.91
Wieselburg
0.91
Lustenau
0.91
Leoben
0.91
SK Vorwarts Steyr
0.91
Kitzbühel
0.91
Deutschlandsberger SC
0.91
Austria Salzburg
0.00
Fach-Donaufeld
0.00
Wals-Grünau
0.00
Lauterach
0.00
Tillmitsch
0.00
Kalsdorf
0.00
Bischofshofen
0.00
Wohnbau Dietach
0.00
Hohenems
0.00
Austria Vienna
0.00
Grazer AK
0.00
Wacker Innsbruck
0.00
SV Lafnitz
0.00
Wallern / Marienkirchen
0.00
Kuchl
0.00
Treibach
0.00
Parndorf
0.00
Austria Klagenfurt
0.00
Traiskirchen
0.00
Wiener SC
0.00
Traiskirchen and Austria Vienna are level in average points per game (both 0.00).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Oberwart
4.00
Gurten
3.00
Wolfsberger AC
2.75
Admira Wacker
2.67
WSG Wattens
2.67
Floridsdorfer AC
2.50
Schwaz
2.50
Lask Linz
2.33
SKN ST. Polten
2.33
FC BW Linz
2.25
Wals-Grünau
2.00
SVG Reichenau
2.00
Austria Vienna
2.00
Ried
2.00
Sturm Graz
2.00
SCR Altach
2.00
WSPG Wels
2.00
Voitsberg
2.00
First Vienna
2.00
TSV Hartberg
2.00
SV Lafnitz
2.00
Imst
2.00
Kuchl
2.00
Red Bull Salzburg
1.80
SKU Amstetten
1.67
SV Kapfenberg
1.67
Velden
1.50
Austria Lustenau
1.50
Leithaprodersdorf
1.34
Leonfelden
1.34
Wienerberg
1.34
Mattersburg SV 2020
1.34
Leobendorf
1.34
Seekirchen
1.34
Wiener Viktoria
1.34
Bleiburg
1.34
Scheiblingkirchen
1.34
Wieselburg
1.34
Lustenau
1.34
Leoben
1.34
SK Vorwarts Steyr
1.34
Kitzbühel
1.34
Deutschlandsberger SC
1.34
Schwarz-Weiß Bregenz
1.33
Krems / Rehberg
1.00
Tillmitsch
1.00
Hohenems
1.00
Dornbirn
1.00
Rapid Vienna
1.00
SV Horn
1.00
Wallern / Marienkirchen
1.00
Austria Salzburg
0.00
Fach-Donaufeld
0.00
Lauterach
0.00
Kalsdorf
0.00
Bischofshofen
0.00
Wohnbau Dietach
0.00
Grazer AK
0.00
Wacker Innsbruck
0.00
Treibach
0.00
Parndorf
0.00
Austria Klagenfurt
0.00
Traiskirchen
0.00
Wiener SC
0.00
Traiskirchen is 2.00 goals worse than Austria Vienna in terms of goals scored per game (0.00 vs 2.00).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Schwarz-Weiß Bregenz
0.00
Ried
0.20
Sturm Graz
0.50
Red Bull Salzburg
0.60
Admira Wacker
0.67
SV Kapfenberg
0.67
WSG Wattens
0.67
Lask Linz
0.83
Austria Salzburg
1.00
Krems / Rehberg
1.00
Oberwart
1.00
Velden
1.00
Wolfsberger AC
1.00
Grazer AK
1.00
SCR Altach
1.00
Rapid Vienna
1.00
SKN ST. Polten
1.00
Wacker Innsbruck
1.00
TSV Hartberg
1.00
FC BW Linz
1.00
SV Horn
1.00
SKU Amstetten
1.33
Gurten
1.50
Dornbirn
1.50
Floridsdorfer AC
1.50
First Vienna
1.50
Schwaz
1.50
WSPG Wels
2.00
Austria Lustenau
2.00
Imst
2.00
Austria Klagenfurt
2.00
Leithaprodersdorf
2.33
Leonfelden
2.33
Wienerberg
2.33
Mattersburg SV 2020
2.33
Leobendorf
2.33
Seekirchen
2.33
Wiener Viktoria
2.33
Bleiburg
2.33
Scheiblingkirchen
2.33
Wieselburg
2.33
Lustenau
2.33
Leoben
2.33
SK Vorwarts Steyr
2.33
Kitzbühel
2.33
Deutschlandsberger SC
2.33
Tillmitsch
3.00
Austria Vienna
3.00
Voitsberg
3.00
Wallern / Marienkirchen
3.00
Kuchl
3.00
Treibach
3.00
SVG Reichenau
3.50
Fach-Donaufeld
4.00
Bischofshofen
4.00
Wohnbau Dietach
4.00
Hohenems
4.00
Traiskirchen
4.00
Wiener SC
4.00
Lauterach
5.00
Kalsdorf
5.00
SV Lafnitz
5.00
Parndorf
5.00
Wals-Grünau
6.00
Traiskirchen is 1.00 goals worse than Austria Vienna in terms of goals conceded per game (4.00 vs 3.00).
⏱️ Possession
Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
Traiskirchen or Draw
21.6%
Avg Implied 28.7% · @ 3.25
Edge
-7.1%
8%
13%
78%
covers Traiskirchen + Draw
Best 5 market prices
Superbet
3.25
Traiskirchen or Austria Vienna
86.7%
Avg Implied 86.4% · @ 1.08
Edge
+0.2%
8%
13%
78%
covers Traiskirchen + Austria Vienna
Best 5 market prices
Superbet
1.08
Draw or Austria Vienna
91.7%
Avg Implied 84.9% · @ 1.10
Edge
+6.8%
8%
13%
78%
covers Draw + Austria Vienna
Best 5 market prices
Superbet
1.10
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🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
Home & Away Over/Under
How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
Traiskirchen over/under 0.5
Over
64.1%
Under
35.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Traiskirchen over/under 1.5
Over
27.3%
Under
72.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Traiskirchen over/under 2.5
Over
8.5%
Under
91.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Traiskirchen over/under 3.5
Over
2.0%
Under
98.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Austria Vienna over/under 0.5
Over
95.7%
Under
4.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Austria Vienna over/under 1.5
Over
82.1%
Under
17.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Austria Vienna over/under 2.5
Over
60.8%
Under
39.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Austria Vienna over/under 3.5
Over
38.4%
Under
61.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⚖️ 7. Handicap
Handicap
The handicap is applied to Traiskirchen, so a minus line means Traiskirchen give that many goals of a start and Austria Vienna receive them. At -1, Traiskirchen must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Traiskirchen win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (Traiskirchen)
Traiskirchen -2
0.7%
Draw -2
2.1%
Austria Vienna +2
97.1%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap -1 (Traiskirchen)
Traiskirchen -1
2.9%
Draw -1
5.4%
Austria Vienna +1
91.7%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +1 (Traiskirchen)
Traiskirchen +1
21.6%
Draw +1
17.8%
Austria Vienna -1
60.6%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +2 (Traiskirchen)
Traiskirchen +2
39.4%
Draw +2
20.0%
Austria Vienna -2
40.6%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Traiskirchen
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.33
0.67
0.33
0.67
-
-
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (2)
0.00
1.00
0.00
1.00
-
-
vs Weaker (1)
1.00
0.00
1.00
0.00
-
-
Clean sheet %
33% (+8pp vs league)
This opponent (Austria Vienna) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Austria Vienna
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.67
0.87
0.57
0.64
0.75
1.06
vs Stronger (9)
0.67
1.22
0.75
1.25
0.60
1.20
vs Similar (17)
0.71
0.76
0.62
0.50
0.78
1.00
vs Weaker (4)
0.50
0.50
0.00
0.00
1.00
1.00
Clean sheet %
47% (+21pp vs league)
This opponent (Traiskirchen) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
No half-time model prices for this fixture yet - the form above is the record.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Traiskirchen over/under 0.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Traiskirchen over/under 1.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Traiskirchen over/under 2.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Austria Vienna over/under 0.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Austria Vienna over/under 1.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Austria Vienna over/under 2.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Traiskirchen
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.3
Avg scored
1.3
Avg conceded
2.0
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.33
2.00
1.33
2.00
-
-
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (2)
0.50
3.00
0.50
3.00
-
-
vs Weaker (1)
3.00
0.00
3.00
0.00
-
-
Clean sheet %
33% (+8pp vs league)
This opponent (Austria Vienna) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Austria Vienna
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.70
0.63
0.57
0.86
0.81
0.44
vs Stronger (9)
0.56
0.89
0.75
1.00
0.40
0.80
vs Similar (17)
0.71
0.59
0.62
0.88
0.78
0.33
vs Weaker (4)
1.00
0.25
0.00
0.50
2.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
53% (+28pp vs league)
This opponent (Traiskirchen) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
No second-half model prices for this fixture yet - the form above is the record.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Traiskirchen over/under 0.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Traiskirchen over/under 1.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Traiskirchen over/under 2.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Austria Vienna over/under 0.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Austria Vienna over/under 1.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Austria Vienna over/under 2.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
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🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Home under 3.5 goals
98.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away +2 handicap
97.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away over 0.5 goals
95.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 7.5
93.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 1.5
92.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Draw or Away
91.7%
1.10
Superbet
1.10
-
-
-
-
+6.8%
Away +1 handicap
91.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home under 2.5 goals
91.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 6.5
87.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home or Away
86.7%
1.08
Superbet
1.08
-
-
-
-
+0.2%
Away over 1.5 goals
82.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 2.5
78.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away win
78.4%
1.29
Superbet
1.29
Dafabet
1.29
1xBet
1.28
-
-
+6.6%
Under 5.5
75.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home under 1.5 goals
72.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Austria Vienna
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Kelvin Boateng20%
Jonas Feddersen14%
Daniel Nnodim12%
S. Saljic11%
V. Markovic11%
R. Ranftl10%
M. Fischer10%
Julian Hettwer10%
Aleksandar Dragović0%
Johannes Handl0%
Johannes Eggestein0%
S. Şahin-Radlinger0%
Lee Kang-Hee0%
Lee Tae-Seok0%
F. Wustinger0%
I. Buhari0%
Moritz Wels0%
Matteo Schablas0%
Philipp Maybach0%
H. Deshihsku0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Matteo Schablas67%
R. Ranftl30%
Lee Tae-Seok29%
Kelvin Boateng20%
F. Wustinger20%
Philipp Maybach17%
Aleksandar Dragović14%
Lee Kang-Hee12%
Daniel Nnodim12%
Johannes Handl11%
M. Fischer10%
Johannes Eggestein0%
S. Şahin-Radlinger0%
Julian Hettwer0%
I. Buhari0%
Moritz Wels0%
S. Saljic0%
Jonas Feddersen0%
V. Markovic0%
H. Deshihsku0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
M. Fischer20%
Philipp Maybach17%
Lee Tae-Seok14%
Daniel Nnodim12%
F. Wustinger10%
Aleksandar Dragović0%
Johannes Handl0%
R. Ranftl0%
Johannes Eggestein0%
S. Şahin-Radlinger0%
Julian Hettwer0%
Lee Kang-Hee0%
Kelvin Boateng0%
I. Buhari0%
Moritz Wels0%
S. Saljic0%
Matteo Schablas0%
Jonas Feddersen0%
V. Markovic0%
H. Deshihsku0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Moritz Wels25%
Kelvin Boateng20%
M. Fischer10%
Julian Hettwer10%
Aleksandar Dragović0%
Johannes Handl0%
R. Ranftl0%
Johannes Eggestein0%
S. Şahin-Radlinger0%
Lee Kang-Hee0%
Lee Tae-Seok0%
F. Wustinger0%
I. Buhari0%
S. Saljic0%
Matteo Schablas0%
Philipp Maybach0%
Daniel Nnodim0%
Jonas Feddersen0%
V. Markovic0%
H. Deshihsku0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
Austria: Bundesliga 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Austria: Bundesliga stats & trends →