PythiaFootballPythiaFootballBETA Free Picks Fixtures League Stats Team Stats Player Stats Pro Picks PRO Research Head-to-Head Validation Pricing Log in
← Back

Trans Narva vs Kalju Nomme Result & Analysis

Date: 26/08/2026
Time: 15:00
Final 2-0
Trans Narva
Trans Narva
Vs
39%
17%
44%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Kalju Nomme
Kalju Nomme
Estonia: Cup
Referee: -
1 Model Analysis2 Goal Analysis3 Team Strengths Analysis4 Props Analysis5 Double Chance6 Home & Away Over/Under7 Handicap8 Half Time Goals O/U9 Half Time Home & Away O/U10 Second Half Goals O/U11 Second Half Home & Away O/U
12 Top picks for this game14 Squad value15 Games History16 Overall Statistics17 League Table
Match preview & prediction

Trans Narva return to the pitch after a 0-2 loss to Tammeka, their recent five matches showing a mix of wins, losses and a draw. Kalju Nomme, however, have surged from a trio of defeats to two victories, their last outing ending 2-3 against FC Levadia Tallinn. The model’s most pronounced edge lies in the away win probability of 44% versus the market’s implied odds, suggesting the visitors have a tangible advantage over the home side’s weaker form against stronger opponents. The predicted outcome is an away win, with a 44% chance, followed by a 39% home win and a 17% draw.

The match is expected to be high-scoring, with an average of 6.1 goals and a 56% probability of 6 + goals. The single most likely scoreline is 2-3, carrying a 5.1% probability. Trans Narva typically score 1.0 goal and concede 1.89 when facing stronger teams, whereas Kalju Nomme average 1.56 scored and 0.56 conceded against weaker opposition.

Suggested picks include Away over 0.5 goals (95.5%, edge 16%), Home or Away (83.0%, edge 9%), Under 7.5 (73.2%, hit), Home +2 handicap (71.6%, edge 2%) and Away +2 handicap (75.1%). Each selection’s probability is stated, with edges noted where provided.

Results analysis

The pre-match favourite, Kalju Nomme, was expected to win with a 44% probability, yet Trans Narva seized the day, winning 2-0 and extending their recent win streak after a defeat. The model’s call was wrong. The model’s selection of Away over 0.5 goals, with a 95.5% probability, missed as no goals were scored by the visitors. The Home or Away pick, at 83.0%, hit, confirming the home win. The Away +2 handicap, at 75.1%, missed, while the Under 7.5, at 73.2%, hit, reflecting the low total of two goals. The Home +2 handicap, at 71.6%, also hit, underscoring the home side’s dominance.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Trans Narva win✓ Hit
39.5%
Avg Implied 25.3% · @ 3.56
Edge
+14.2%
Best 5 market prices
10Bet
4.20
SBO
4.02
1xBet
3.92
Marathonbet
3.80
Dafabet
3.75
Draw✗ Miss
17.0%
Avg Implied 26.3% · @ 3.41
Edge
-9.4%
Best 5 market prices
10Bet
3.60
1xBet
3.56
Marathonbet
3.55
BetVictor
3.50
Betfair
3.50
Kalju Nomme win✗ Miss
43.6%
Avg Implied 48.4% · @ 1.86
Edge
-4.8%
Best 5 market prices
Betano
2.02
Superbet
2.00
Bet365
1.95
William Hil
1.95
Pinnacle
1.94

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

Trans NarvaTrans Narva

Last 10 – goals for & against
100-10100W13L03L31W00D21W02L80W11D04LH·VAN10/06H·FC 04/07A·LAA10/07H·VAP18/07H·FLO22/07A·NÕM31/07H·KAL08/08H·KOM11/08H·PAI16/08A·FC 21/08
Avg total
4.0
Avg scored
2.5
Avg conceded
1.5
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game2.131.472.591.351.541.62
vs Stronger (14)0.862.141.001.890.602.60
vs Similar (14)2.431.003.570.861.291.14
vs Weaker (2)9.000.0010.000.008.000.00
Clean sheet %30% (+3pp vs league)
This opponent (Kalju Nomme) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Kalju NommeKalju Nomme

Last 10 – goals for & against
120-1221W11D11D31W00D51W20W120W31W01LH·TAM02/11H·PAI08/11H·PAI28/06A·NÕM03/07A·KUR19/07H·TAM02/08A·TRA08/08A·POS11/08H·VAP16/08A·LAA22/08
Avg total
3.6
Avg scored
2.9
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game2.230.832.071.072.400.60
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (13)2.460.851.431.003.670.67
vs Weaker (17)2.060.822.621.121.560.56
Clean sheet %30% (+3pp vs league)
This opponent (Trans Narva) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

14%28%42%56%0%01%14%29%313%416%556%6+
The model estimates around 6.1 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 6+ (56%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
98.6%
@ 1.21+23.0%
Under 1.5
1.4%
@ 3.73-23.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Unibet
1.24
BetVictor
1.22
Betfair
1.22
Superbet
1.20
Marathonbet
1.18
Under
BetVictor
3.90
1xBet
3.84
Marathonbet
3.84
Betfair
3.80
Superbet
3.60
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
94.2%
@ 1.73+41.1%
Under 2.5
5.8%
@ 1.95-41.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Unibet
1.78
Superbet
1.76
Betano
1.75
Betfair
1.75
10Bet
1.73
Under
Bet365
2.10
1xBet
1.98
BetVictor
1.98
Marathonbet
1.98
Superbet
1.95
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
85.6%
@ 2.83+53.4%
Under 3.5
14.4%
@ 1.34-53.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betfair
3.00
BetVictor
2.90
Unibet
2.85
1xBet
2.78
Marathonbet
2.78
Under
BetVictor
1.36
Superbet
1.35
Pinnacle
1.35
Marathonbet
1.34
1xBet
1.34
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
90.9%
@ 1.64+34.9%
No
9.1%
@ 2.09-34.9%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
Superbet
1.66
William Hil
1.65
Betfair
1.65
1xBet
1.64
Marathonbet
1.64
No
BetVictor
2.15
Betfair
2.10
Superbet
2.10
1xBet
2.08
William Hil
2.05

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
2-3
5.1%@ 21.39+3.2%
3-3
5.1%@ 49.20+4.2%
2-2
4.9%@ 13.15+1.9%
3-2
4.9%@ 33.26+3.7%
2-4
4.0%@ 44.35+3.1%
3-4
3.9%@ 86.36+3.5%
4-3
3.8%@ 108.67+3.4%
4-2
3.6%@ 91.25+3.2%
Trans Narva goals ↓
Kalju Nomme goals →
01234
00.4%0.5%1.1%1.1%0.9%
10.5%2.3%3.3%3.4%2.7%
21.0%3.2%4.9%5.1%4.0%
31.0%3.1%4.9%5.1%3.9%
40.8%2.3%3.6%3.8%2.9%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Trans Narva goals (down), columns = Kalju Nomme goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Flora Tallinn
2.60
Vaprus
2.40
Paide
2.40
Tartu Welco
2.40
Trans Narva
2.40
Tallinna Kalev
2.25
Elva
2.25
Nõmme United
2.25
Keila
2.00
Tallinna Kalev II
2.00
Laagri
2.00
Tallinna FC Zapoos
2.00
Poseidon
2.00
Saku Sporting
2.00
FC Tallinn
2.00
Tammeka
2.00
FC Levadia Tallinn
2.00
Viimsi
1.80
Saue
1.50
Tallinna Wolves
1.50
Joker
1.50
Läänemaa Haapsalu
1.50
Hell Hunt
1.50
Tabasalu Ulasabat
1.50
Team Helm
1.50
Tulevik
1.50
Tamper
1.50
Kristiine JK
1.50
Kompanii Marjamaa
1.50
Flora II
1.50
Kuressaare
1.50
Kalju Nomme
1.50
Rae Spordikool
1.33
Volta II / Arsenal
1.00
Tammeka Tartu U19
0.96
Lahte United
0.96
Nomme Utd U19
0.96
Rakvere FC Freedom
0.96
Jõgeva Wolves
0.96
Kummik
0.96
Elva III
0.96
Deliirium
0.96
Paide III
0.96
Generation Tallinn
0.96
Rumori Calcio II
0.96
Kena
0.96
Harju JK Laagri U21
0.96
Põhja-Tallinna JK Volta
0.96
Järva-Jaani
0.00
FC Kohvile
0.00
Welco X
0.00
Vigri Maarjamäe
0.00
Flora III
0.00
Vana Hea Puur
0.00
Hiiumaa
0.00
Helios
0.00
Zealot Sporting
0.00
Kose
0.00
TalTech
0.00
Kuusalu Kalev
0.00
Raplamaa
0.00
Soccernet
0.00
EstHam United
0.00
Legion
0.00
Phoenix
0.00
JK Tabasalu
0.00
Tartu Kalev
0.00
Rumori Calcio
0.00
Olympic
0.00
TransferWise
0.00
Trans Narva is 0.90 points better than Kalju Nomme in terms of average points per game (2.40 vs 1.50).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Laagri
9.67
Tartu Welco
6.80
Tabasalu Ulasabat
6.50
Flora II
6.00
Vaprus
5.60
FC Tallinn
5.33
Flora Tallinn
4.80
Tammeka
4.67
Tallinna Wolves
4.50
Trans Narva
4.40
Rae Spordikool
4.00
Soccernet
4.00
Tallinna FC Zapoos
4.00
Kuressaare
4.00
Tallinna Kalev
3.25
Saue
3.00
Keila
3.00
Tulevik
3.00
Kompanii Marjamaa
3.00
Viimsi
3.00
Kalju Nomme
3.00
Paide
2.80
Nõmme United
2.75
Tallinna Kalev II
2.67
Saku Sporting
2.67
Joker
2.50
Tamper
2.50
FC Levadia Tallinn
2.50
Elva
2.25
Tammeka Tartu U19
2.24
Lahte United
2.24
Nomme Utd U19
2.24
Rakvere FC Freedom
2.24
Jõgeva Wolves
2.24
Kummik
2.24
Elva III
2.24
Deliirium
2.24
Paide III
2.24
Generation Tallinn
2.24
Rumori Calcio II
2.24
Kena
2.24
Harju JK Laagri U21
2.24
Põhja-Tallinna JK Volta
2.24
Volta II / Arsenal
2.00
Team Helm
2.00
Rumori Calcio
2.00
Kristiine JK
2.00
Poseidon
1.67
Järva-Jaani
1.00
Flora III
1.00
Läänemaa Haapsalu
1.00
Zealot Sporting
1.00
TalTech
1.00
Hell Hunt
1.00
Raplamaa
1.00
Phoenix
1.00
Tartu Kalev
1.00
FC Kohvile
0.00
Welco X
0.00
Vigri Maarjamäe
0.00
Vana Hea Puur
0.00
Hiiumaa
0.00
Helios
0.00
Kose
0.00
Kuusalu Kalev
0.00
EstHam United
0.00
Legion
0.00
JK Tabasalu
0.00
Olympic
0.00
TransferWise
0.00
Trans Narva is 1.40 goals better than Kalju Nomme in terms of goals scored per game (4.40 vs 3.00).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Tallinna Kalev II
0.33
Laagri
0.33
Tartu Welco
0.40
FC Levadia Tallinn
0.50
Flora Tallinn
0.60
Trans Narva
0.80
Vaprus
1.00
Kuressaare
1.00
Kalju Nomme
1.00
Paide
1.20
Elva
1.25
Nõmme United
1.25
Tallinna FC Zapoos
1.33
Tammeka
1.33
Läänemaa Haapsalu
1.50
Tabasalu Ulasabat
1.50
Kompanii Marjamaa
1.50
Volta II / Arsenal
2.00
Tartu Kalev
2.00
Saku Sporting
2.00
Tallinna Kalev
2.00
Poseidon
2.33
FC Tallinn
2.33
Saue
2.50
Flora II
2.50
Viimsi
2.60
Hiiumaa
3.00
Helios
3.00
Legion
3.00
Tamper
3.00
Joker
3.50
Hell Hunt
3.50
Järva-Jaani
4.00
FC Kohvile
4.00
Keila
4.00
Tallinna Wolves
4.00
Vigri Maarjamäe
4.00
Rae Spordikool
4.00
Rumori Calcio
4.00
Kristiine JK
4.00
Tammeka Tartu U19
4.31
Lahte United
4.31
Nomme Utd U19
4.31
Rakvere FC Freedom
4.31
Jõgeva Wolves
4.31
Kummik
4.31
Elva III
4.31
Deliirium
4.31
Paide III
4.31
Generation Tallinn
4.31
Rumori Calcio II
4.31
Kena
4.31
Harju JK Laagri U21
4.31
Põhja-Tallinna JK Volta
4.31
Raplamaa
5.00
Vana Hea Puur
6.00
Soccernet
6.00
Phoenix
6.00
JK Tabasalu
6.00
Olympic
6.00
Tulevik
6.50
Zealot Sporting
7.00
Kose
7.00
TalTech
7.00
Team Helm
7.00
Welco X
8.00
Flora III
8.00
EstHam United
9.00
Kuusalu Kalev
16.00
TransferWise
26.00
Trans Narva is 0.20 goals better than Kalju Nomme in terms of goals conceded per game (0.80 vs 1.00).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
Trans Narva or Draw✓ Hit
56.4%
Avg Implied 50.4% · @ 1.81
Edge
+6.1%
39%
17%
44%
covers Trans Narva + Draw
Best 5 market prices
10Bet
2.10
Bet365
2.00
1xBet
1.85
Marathonbet
1.84
SBO
1.84
Trans Narva or Kalju Nomme✓ Hit
83.0%
Avg Implied 73.8% · @ 1.23
Edge
+9.2%
39%
17%
44%
covers Trans Narva + Kalju Nomme
Best 5 market prices
William Hil
1.30
Betfair
1.29
Betano
1.28
Superbet
1.26
BetVictor
1.25
Draw or Kalju Nomme✗ Miss
60.5%
Avg Implied 75.8% · @ 1.20
Edge
-15.3%
39%
17%
44%
covers Draw + Kalju Nomme
Best 5 market prices
Betfair
1.29
Betano
1.28
Superbet
1.26
BetVictor
1.25
William Hil
1.25

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

Home & Away Over/Under

How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
Trans Narva over/under 0.5Actual: Over
Over
94.9%
@ 1.40+29.4%
Under
5.1%
@ 2.65-29.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
1.49
1xBet
1.38
Marathonbet
1.37
Superbet
1.34
Under
Superbet
2.80
Marathonbet
2.71
1xBet
2.67
Pinnacle
2.41
Trans Narva over/under 1.5Actual: Over
Over
79.7%
@ 2.77+46.8%
Under
20.3%
@ 1.36-46.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
2.98
Marathonbet
2.93
Superbet
2.65
Pinnacle
2.52
Under
Pinnacle
1.41
Superbet
1.38
Marathonbet
1.33
1xBet
1.32
Trans Narva over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
57.2%
@ 7.33+44.8%
Under
42.8%
@ 1.03-44.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
8.10
Marathonbet
8.00
Superbet
5.90
Under
Superbet
1.06
Marathonbet
1.02
1xBet
1.02
Trans Narva over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
34.8%
Under
65.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Kalju Nomme over/under 0.5Actual: Under
Over
95.5%
@ 1.14+15.7%
Under
4.5%
@ 4.50-15.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
1.16
1xBet
1.11
Under
1xBet
5.00
Superbet
4.00
Kalju Nomme over/under 1.5Actual: Under
Over
81.6%
@ 1.84+31.7%
Under
18.4%
@ 1.84-31.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
1.92
Pinnacle
1.88
1xBet
1.78
Marathonbet
1.78
Under
1xBet
1.91
Marathonbet
1.91
Superbet
1.78
Pinnacle
1.75
Kalju Nomme over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
60.0%
@ 3.50+34.2%
Under
40.0%
@ 1.22-34.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
3.65
Marathonbet
3.42
1xBet
3.42
Under
Marathonbet
1.23
1xBet
1.23
Superbet
1.19
Kalju Nomme over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
37.7%
Under
62.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⚖️ 7. Handicap

Handicap

The handicap is applied to Trans Narva, so a minus line means Trans Narva give that many goals of a start and Kalju Nomme receive them. At -1, Trans Narva must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Trans Narva win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (Trans Narva)Actual: Draw
Trans Narva -2
13.8%
Draw -2
11.1%
Kalju Nomme +2
75.1%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap -1 (Trans Narva)Actual: Trans Narva
Trans Narva -1
24.9%
@ 9.00+15.1%
Draw -1
14.6%
@ 5.70-0.9%
Kalju Nomme +1
60.5%
@ 1.18-14.2%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Marathonbet
9.00
Draw
Marathonbet
5.70
Away
Marathonbet
1.18
Handicap +1 (Trans Narva)Actual: Trans Narva
Trans Narva +1
56.4%
@ 1.89+9.2%
Draw +1
15.2%
@ 3.59-9.6%
Kalju Nomme -1
28.4%
@ 3.20+0.4%
Best 5 market prices
Home
10Bet
2.10
Marathonbet
1.84
Betfair
1.73
Draw
Betfair
3.75
Marathonbet
3.58
10Bet
3.45
Away
Betfair
3.60
Marathonbet
3.14
10Bet
2.85
Handicap +2 (Trans Narva)Actual: Trans Narva
Trans Narva +2
71.6%
@ 1.27+1.6%
Draw +2
12.1%
@ 5.45-4.2%
Kalju Nomme -2
16.3%
@ 6.50+2.6%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Marathonbet
1.27
Draw
Marathonbet
5.45
Away
Marathonbet
6.50

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

Trans NarvaTrans Narva

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
40-440W02L02L20W00D20W01L40W10W01LH·VAN10/06H·FC 04/07A·LAA10/07H·VAP18/07H·FLO22/07A·NÕM31/07H·KAL08/08H·KOM11/08H·PAI16/08A·FC 21/08
Avg total
1.9
Avg scored
1.3
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.830.731.180.760.380.69
vs Stronger (14)0.210.930.331.110.000.60
vs Similar (14)1.210.641.860.430.570.86
vs Weaker (2)2.500.004.000.001.000.00
Clean sheet %53% (+26pp vs league)
This opponent (Kalju Nomme) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Kalju NommeKalju Nomme

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
80-801L11D00D31W00D50W10W80W20W00DH·TAM02/11H·PAI08/11H·PAI28/06A·NÕM03/07A·KUR19/07H·TAM02/08A·TRA08/08A·POS11/08H·VAP16/08A·LAA22/08
Avg total
2.3
Avg scored
2.0
Avg conceded
0.3
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.070.370.870.331.270.40
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (13)1.080.460.430.431.830.50
vs Weaker (17)1.060.291.250.250.890.33
Clean sheet %63% (+36pp vs league)
This opponent (Trans Narva) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
BetVictor
1.35
Superbet
1.31
William Hil
1.30
Betfair
1.30
1xBet
1.30
Under
Betfair
3.20
William Hil
3.10
1xBet
3.04
Marathonbet
3.04
Superbet
2.92
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betfair
2.60
1xBet
2.53
Marathonbet
2.53
Superbet
2.50
William Hil
2.45
Under
BetVictor
1.47
William Hil
1.44
Superbet
1.44
Betfair
1.44
Pinnacle
1.42
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
BetVictor
7.00
Betfair
6.50
1xBet
6.25
Marathonbet
6.25
William Hil
6.00
Under
William Hil
1.10
Superbet
1.08
Betfair
1.08
BetVictor
1.07
Marathonbet
1.06

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Trans Narva over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
2.34
1xBet
2.34
Superbet
2.25
Pinnacle
2.13
Under
Pinnacle
1.57
Superbet
1.55
1xBet
1.49
Marathonbet
1.49
Trans Narva over/under 1.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
9.30
Marathonbet
9.30
Under
1xBet
1.01
Marathonbet
1.01
Trans Narva over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Kalju Nomme over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
1.80
Pinnacle
1.77
1xBet
1.71
Marathonbet
1.71
Under
1xBet
1.95
Marathonbet
1.95
Superbet
1.92
Pinnacle
1.85
Kalju Nomme over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
4.90
1xBet
4.85
Under
Marathonbet
1.12
1xBet
1.12
Kalju Nomme over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

Trans NarvaTrans Narva

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
60-660W11D01L11D00D01L01L40W01L03LH·VAN10/06H·FC 04/07A·LAA10/07H·VAP18/07H·FLO22/07A·NÕM31/07H·KAL08/08H·KOM11/08H·PAI16/08A·FC 21/08
Avg total
2.1
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
0.9
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.300.731.410.591.150.92
vs Stronger (14)0.641.210.670.780.602.00
vs Similar (14)1.210.361.710.430.710.29
vs Weaker (2)6.500.006.000.007.000.00
Clean sheet %50% (+23pp vs league)
This opponent (Kalju Nomme) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Kalju NommeKalju Nomme

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
40-420W00D11D00D00D01L10W40W11D01LH·TAM02/11H·PAI08/11H·PAI28/06A·NÕM03/07A·KUR19/07H·TAM02/08A·TRA08/08A·POS11/08H·VAP16/08A·LAA22/08
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.4
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.170.471.200.731.130.20
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (13)1.380.381.000.571.830.17
vs Weaker (17)1.000.531.380.880.670.22
Clean sheet %60% (+33pp vs league)
This opponent (Trans Narva) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
William Hil
1.22
Superbet
1.18
Marathonbet
1.15
1xBet
1.15
Under
Marathonbet
4.20
1xBet
4.20
William Hil
3.80
Superbet
3.75
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
2.00
William Hil
1.95
Marathonbet
1.93
1xBet
1.93
Under
Marathonbet
1.76
1xBet
1.76
William Hil
1.73
Superbet
1.72
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
William Hil
4.00
1xBet
3.98
Marathonbet
3.98
Superbet
3.85
Under
William Hil
1.18
Marathonbet
1.17
1xBet
1.17
Superbet
1.17

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Trans Narva over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
1.96
1xBet
1.90
Superbet
1.90
Under
1xBet
1.81
Superbet
1.80
Marathonbet
1.70
Trans Narva over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
6.45
1xBet
5.50
Under
1xBet
1.10
Marathonbet
1.06
Trans Narva over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Kalju Nomme over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
1.57
1xBet
1.53
Under
1xBet
2.35
Superbet
2.22
Kalju Nomme over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
3.50
Marathonbet
3.42
Under
1xBet
1.25
Marathonbet
1.24
Kalju Nomme over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
9.70
Under
1xBet
1.01

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Away over 0.5 goals95.5%1.14
Superbet
1.16
1xBet
1.11
---+15.7%✗ Miss
Home or Away83.0%1.23
William Hil
1.30
Betfair
1.29
Betano
1.28
Superbet
1.26
BetVictor
1.25
+9.2%✓ Hit
Away +2 handicap75.1%-------✗ Miss
Under 7.573.2%-------✓ Hit
Home +2 handicap71.6%1.27
Marathonbet
1.27
----+1.6%✓ Hit

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
KN (24)
€4m
FLT (22)
€4m
PAI (28)
€4m
FT (22)
€3m
TN (26)
€2m
VAP (24)
€2m
LAA (25)
€2m
TAM (24)
€2m
NU (26)
€2m
KUR (21)
€1m
TK (1)
€0m
Trans Narva's squad is €2m less valuable than Kalju Nomme's (€2m vs €4m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FLT (10)
€2m
PAI (12)
€2m
KN (9)
€2m
FT (8)
€1m
VAP (12)
€1m
TN (9)
€1m
TAM (9)
€1m
LAA (7)
€1m
NU (8)
€1m
KUR (7)
€1m
TK (0)
€0m
Trans Narva and Kalju Nomme have a similar attack value (both €1m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
KN (3)
€1m
PAI (5)
€1m
FLT (3)
€1m
FT (5)
€1m
TN (7)
€1m
LAA (6)
€1m
TAM (6)
€0m
KUR (5)
€0m
NU (7)
€0m
VAP (2)
€0m
TK (1)
€0m
Trans Narva and Kalju Nomme have a similar midfield value (both €1m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
KN (12)
€2m
FLT (9)
€2m
PAI (11)
€2m
FT (9)
€1m
VAP (10)
€1m
TN (10)
€1m
NU (11)
€1m
LAA (12)
€1m
TAM (9)
€1m
KUR (9)
€1m
TK (0)
€0m
Trans Narva's defence is €1m less valuable than Kalju Nomme's (€1m vs €2m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

8 previous meetings
2
TN wins
3
Draws
3
KN wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Trans Narva vs Kalju Nomme · H/A from TN
DateH/AGameScore
08/08/26HTN Vs Kalju Nomme0-2
17/09/25HTN Vs Kalju Nomme0-0
17/08/25AKalju Nomme Vs TN1-2
15/06/25AKalju Nomme Vs TN2-0
19/04/25HTN Vs Kalju Nomme1-2
20/10/24AKalju Nomme Vs TN2-2
13/07/24HTN Vs Kalju Nomme2-2
02/06/24HTN Vs Kalju Nomme4-1

Trans NarvaTrans Narva

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
21/08/26AFC Levadia Tallinn Vs TN4-0
16/08/26HTN Vs Paide1-1
11/08/26HTN Vs Kompanii Marjamaa8-0
08/08/26HTN Vs Kalju Nomme0-2
31/07/26ANõmme United Vs TN1-2
22/07/26HTN Vs Flora II0-0
18/07/26HTN Vs Vaprus3-1
10/07/26ALaagri Vs TN3-0
04/07/26HTN Vs FC Levadia Tallinn1-3
10/06/26HTN Vs Vana Hea Puur10-0

Kalju NommeKalju Nomme

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
22/08/26ALaagri Vs KN1-0
16/08/26HKN Vs Vaprus3-1
11/08/26APoseidon Vs KN0-12
08/08/26ATrans Narva Vs KN0-2
02/08/26HKN Vs Tammeka5-1
19/07/26AKuressaare Vs KN0-0
03/07/26ANõmme United Vs KN1-3
28/06/26HKN Vs Paide1-1
08/11/25HKN Vs Paide1-1
02/11/25HKN Vs Tammeka2-1

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Trans Narva
Trans Narva
Estonia: Cup
Recent: 4 Wins / 2 Draws / 4 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWLWDL1.52
HomeWDLWD1.69
AwayLLLWL1.33
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %46%50%42%
AVG goals3.323.732.88
Over 1.5 %78%81%75%
Over 2.5 %62%62%62%
Over 3.5 %42%54%29%
Scored1.962.421.46
Conceded1.361.311.42
BTTS46%54%38%
Clean Sheet30%35%25%
Corners---
Cards---
Kalju Nomme
Kalju Nomme
Estonia: Cup
Recent: 6 Wins / 3 Draws / 1 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWWWWL2.00
HomeWDDWW2.00
AwayWDWWL2.00
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %60%60%60%
AVG goals3.103.242.96
Over 1.5 %76%88%64%
Over 2.5 %54%60%48%
Over 3.5 %36%32%40%
Scored2.182.202.16
Conceded0.921.040.80
BTTS54%64%44%
Clean Sheet36%28%44%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1FC Levadia TallinnFC Levadia Tallinn716
71%
2.3
197+12
3.7
100%
86%
57%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
2122.71.0
-
2Flora TallinnFlora Tallinn915
56%
1.7
1614+2
3.3
89%
89%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1111.81.6
-
3TammekaTammeka815
62%
1.9
1315-2
3.5
75%
62%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1011.61.9
-
4Kalju NommeKalju Nomme814
50%
1.8
168+8
3.0
75%
50%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
2122.01.0
-
5PaidePaide714
57%
2.0
1410+4
3.4
86%
57%
43%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
2122.01.4
-
6LaagriLaagri812
50%
1.5
1511+4
3.2
75%
75%
25%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1111.91.4
-
7VaprusVaprus88
25%
1.0
1315-2
3.5
88%
75%
62%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1011.61.9
-
8KuressaareKuressaare98
22%
0.9
1015-5
2.8
56%
56%
44%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
1011.11.7
-
9Trans NarvaTrans Narva87
25%
0.9
717-10
3.0
100%
62%
38%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1110.92.1
-
10Nõmme UnitedNõmme United86
25%
0.8
920-11
3.6
88%
88%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1011.12.5
-
Estonia: Meistriliiga 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Estonia: Meistriliiga stats & trends →

← all matches