Trans Narva vs Paide Result & Analysis

The model predicts an away win for Paide in this match, suggesting that the away team will likely take the three points from Trans Narva. Given the expected total of 3.1 goals, this match is likely to be a high-scoring encounter. The most likely score is a 1-1 draw, with a probability of 11.7%.

Trans Narva has struggled at home, conceding an average of 2.14 goals to stronger opponents, while scoring only 0.71 goals. In contrast, Paide has been more effective when playing away against weaker opponents, scoring 1.7 goals and conceding 1.5.

The model's selection is Over 1.5 goals, with a probability of 82.9%. The home win percentage is 30%, the draw percentage is 25%, and the away win percentage is 45%. The model's other selections include the away win, with a probability of 45%.

The draw between Trans Narva and Paide extends Trans Narva's run of consecutive draws to three. This result was a surprise given the pre-match favourite, Paide, was expected to win with a 45% probability. However, the model's selection, an Away win, was incorrect, as the actual outcome was a draw. The model's pick was not the only one to miss the mark, as the suggested pick, Over 1.5 goals, hit the target, with a probability of 82.9%. The final score was 1-1, aligning with the model's most likely score, also 1-1, which had a 23% probability.