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Trans Narva vs Tammeka Result & Analysis

Date: 31/08/2024
Time: 14:00
Final 0-1
Trans Narva
Trans Narva
Vs
43%
27%
30%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Tammeka
Tammeka
Estonia: Meistriliiga
Referee: -

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Trans Narva winâś— Miss
42.7%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Drawâś— Miss
26.9%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Tammeka winâś“ Hit
30.3%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

âš˝ 2. Goal Analysis

Trans NarvaTrans Narva

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-441W01L12L22D22D00D21W13L22D10WA·VAP15/06H·KUR19/06H·FC 29/06A·PAI04/07H·KAL13/07A·VAP20/07H·NĂ•M26/07A·FLO03/08H·TAL17/08A·KUR24/08
Avg total
2.9
Avg scored
1.5
Avg conceded
1.4
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.301.971.441.691.142.29
vs Stronger (13)1.462.621.622.001.203.60
vs Similar (17)1.181.471.251.381.111.56
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %20% (-7pp vs league)
This opponent (Tammeka) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

TammekaTammeka

Last 10 – goals for & against
30-313L11D21W00D20W03L01L11D13L13LA·FLO19/06H·KAL28/06H·NĂ•M04/07A·KUR12/07H·FLO19/07A·KAL27/07H·VAP02/08H·NĂ•M11/08A·FC 16/08H·PAI24/08
Avg total
2.5
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
1.6
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.201.331.061.191.361.50
vs Stronger (14)1.211.790.861.431.572.14
vs Similar (16)1.190.941.221.001.140.86
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %30% (+3pp vs league)
This opponent (Trans Narva) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

6%12%18%24%7%014%124%222%316%49%57%6+
The model estimates around 2.9 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (24%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
79.4%
Under 1.5
20.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
54.9%
Under 2.5
45.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
32.6%
Under 3.5
67.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
58.9%
No
41.1%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
12.7%
2-1
9.1%
1-0
7.7%
1-2
7.5%
2-0
7.0%
0-0
6.8%
0-1 âś“
6.1%
2-2
5.9%
Trans Narva goals ↓
Tammeka goals →
01234
06.8%6.1%4.8%2.1%0.7%
17.7%13%7.5%3.3%1.1%
27.0%9.1%5.9%2.6%0.8%
33.7%4.8%3.1%1.4%0.4%
41.5%1.9%1.2%0.5%0.2%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Trans Narva goals (down), columns = Tammeka goals (across).

đź’Ş 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
FC Levadia Tallinn
2.42
Paide
2.00
Kalju Nomme
2.00
Flora Tallinn
1.94
Trans Narva
1.17
Tammeka
1.17
Viimsi
1.00
Vaprus
0.97
Kuressaare
0.94
Tallinna Kalev
0.87
Nõmme United
0.42
Trans Narva and Tammeka are level in average points per game (both 1.17).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
FC Levadia Tallinn
2.28
Kalju Nomme
2.19
Paide
2.06
Flora Tallinn
1.92
Trans Narva
1.33
Tammeka
1.31
Kuressaare
1.28
Tallinna Kalev
1.00
Vaprus
0.97
Nõmme United
0.61
Viimsi
0.50
Trans Narva is 0.03 goals better than Tammeka in terms of goals scored per game (1.33 vs 1.31).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Viimsi
0.50
FC Levadia Tallinn
0.53
Paide
1.08
Flora Tallinn
1.19
Kalju Nomme
1.22
Tammeka
1.50
Vaprus
1.58
Trans Narva
1.75
Kuressaare
1.86
Tallinna Kalev
1.97
Nõmme United
2.19
Trans Narva is 0.25 goals worse than Tammeka in terms of goals conceded per game (1.75 vs 1.50).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

Trans NarvaTrans Narva

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-220W00D02L20W21W00D11D00D10W00DA·VAP15/06H·KUR19/06H·FC 29/06A·PAI04/07H·KAL13/07A·VAP20/07H·NĂ•M26/07A·FLO03/08H·TAL17/08A·KUR24/08
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.4
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.570.870.690.750.431.00
vs Stronger (13)0.621.230.751.120.401.40
vs Similar (17)0.530.590.620.380.440.78
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %57% (+30pp vs league)
This opponent (Tammeka) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

TammekaTammeka

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-311D11D21W00D00D03L00D01L01L01LA·FLO19/06H·KAL28/06H·NĂ•M04/07A·KUR12/07H·FLO19/07A·KAL27/07H·VAP02/08H·NĂ•M11/08A·FC 16/08H·PAI24/08
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.9
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.500.700.380.690.640.71
vs Stronger (14)0.501.070.290.860.711.29
vs Similar (16)0.500.380.440.560.570.14
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %50% (+23pp vs league)
This opponent (Trans Narva) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Trans Narva over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Trans Narva over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Trans Narva over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Tammeka over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Tammeka over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Tammeka over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

Trans NarvaTrans Narva

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-321W01L10W02L01L00D10W13L12L10WA·VAP15/06H·KUR19/06H·FC 29/06A·PAI04/07H·KAL13/07A·VAP20/07H·NĂ•M26/07A·FLO03/08H·TAL17/08A·KUR24/08
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
1.0
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.731.100.750.940.711.29
vs Stronger (13)0.851.380.880.880.802.20
vs Similar (17)0.650.880.621.000.670.78
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %37% (+10pp vs league)
This opponent (Tammeka) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

TammekaTammeka

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-202L00D00D00D20W00D01L10W12L12LA·FLO19/06H·KAL28/06H·NĂ•M04/07A·KUR12/07H·FLO19/07A·KAL27/07H·VAP02/08H·NĂ•M11/08A·FC 16/08H·PAI24/08
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.700.630.690.500.710.79
vs Stronger (14)0.710.710.570.570.860.86
vs Similar (16)0.690.560.780.440.570.71
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %50% (+23pp vs league)
This opponent (Trans Narva) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Trans Narva over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Trans Narva over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Trans Narva over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Tammeka over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Tammeka over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Tammeka over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 1.579.4%-------âś— Miss

đź’° 14. Squad value

đź’° Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
KN (24)
€4m
FLT (22)
€4m
PAI (28)
€4m
FT (22)
€3m
TN (26)
€2m
VAP (24)
€2m
TAM (24)
€2m
NU (26)
€2m
KUR (21)
€1m
TK (1)
€0m
Trans Narva and Tammeka have a similar squad value (both €2m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FLT (10)
€2m
PAI (12)
€2m
KN (9)
€2m
FT (8)
€1m
VAP (12)
€1m
TN (9)
€1m
TAM (9)
€1m
NU (8)
€1m
KUR (7)
€1m
TK (0)
€0m
Trans Narva and Tammeka have a similar attack value (both €1m).

đź§  Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
KN (3)
€1m
PAI (5)
€1m
FLT (3)
€1m
FT (5)
€1m
TN (7)
€1m
TAM (6)
€0m
KUR (5)
€0m
NU (7)
€0m
VAP (2)
€0m
TK (1)
€0m
Trans Narva and Tammeka have a similar midfield value (both €1m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
KN (12)
€2m
FLT (9)
€2m
PAI (11)
€2m
FT (9)
€1m
VAP (10)
€1m
TN (10)
€1m
NU (11)
€1m
TAM (9)
€1m
KUR (9)
€1m
TK (0)
€0m
Trans Narva and Tammeka have a similar defence value (both €1m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

8 previous meetings
3
TN wins
2
Draws
3
TAM wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Trans Narva vs Tammeka · H/A from TN
DateH/AGameScore
27/05/24ATammeka Vs TN0-2
16/03/24HTN Vs Tammeka0-5
07/10/23HTN Vs Tammeka2-0
15/09/23ATammeka Vs TN3-0
11/06/23HTN Vs Tammeka2-0
28/04/23ATammeka Vs TN1-1
30/10/22ATammeka Vs TN2-0
03/09/22HTN Vs Tammeka0-0

Trans NarvaTrans Narva

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
24/08/24AKuressaare Vs TN0-1
17/08/24HTN Vs Tallinna Kalev2-2
03/08/24AFlora Tallinn Vs TN3-1
26/07/24HTN Vs Nõmme United2-1
20/07/24AVaprus Vs TN0-0
13/07/24HTN Vs Kalju Nomme2-2
04/07/24APaide Vs TN2-2
29/06/24HTN Vs FC Levadia Tallinn1-2
19/06/24HTN Vs Kuressaare0-1
15/06/24AVaprus Vs TN1-4

TammekaTammeka

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
24/08/24HTAM Vs Paide1-3
16/08/24AFC Levadia Tallinn Vs TAM3-1
11/08/24HTAM Vs Nõmme United1-1
02/08/24HTAM Vs Vaprus0-1
27/07/24AKalju Nomme Vs TAM3-0
19/07/24HTAM Vs Flora Tallinn2-0
12/07/24AKuressaare Vs TAM0-0
04/07/24HTAM Vs Nõmme United2-1
28/06/24HTAM Vs Kalju Nomme1-1
19/06/24AFlora Tallinn Vs TAM3-1

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Trans Narva
Trans Narva
Estonia: Meistriliiga
Recent: 3 Wins / 4 Draws / 3 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallDWLDW1.12
HomeLLDWD1.20
AwayWDDLW1.04
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %32%32%32%
AVG goals3.062.843.28
Over 1.5 %82%84%80%
Over 2.5 %64%60%68%
Over 3.5 %42%40%44%
Scored1.141.201.08
Conceded1.921.642.20
BTTS42%52%32%
Clean Sheet22%24%20%
Corners8.007.009.00
Cards2.002.00-
Tammeka
Tammeka
Estonia: Meistriliiga
Recent: 2 Wins / 3 Draws / 5 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLLDLL0.88
HomeWWLDL1.12
AwayLLDLL0.62
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %20%27%12%
AVG goals2.762.423.12
Over 1.5 %80%73%88%
Over 2.5 %52%46%58%
Over 3.5 %24%15%33%
Scored1.121.121.12
Conceded1.641.312.00
BTTS52%50%54%
Clean Sheet28%35%21%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1FC Levadia TallinnFC Levadia Tallinn3687
75%
2.4
8219+63
2.8
75%
53%
31%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
2122.30.5
-
2Kalju NommeKalju Nomme3672
58%
2.0
7944+35
3.4
92%
72%
44%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
2122.21.2
-
3PaidePaide3672
64%
2.0
7439+35
3.1
81%
56%
36%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
2122.11.1
-
4Flora TallinnFlora Tallinn3670
58%
1.9
6943+26
3.1
78%
64%
42%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1111.91.2
-
5TammekaTammeka3642
31%
1.2
4754-7
2.8
81%
61%
28%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1011.31.5
-
6Trans NarvaTrans Narva3642
28%
1.2
4863-15
3.1
78%
58%
47%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1111.31.8
-
7VaprusVaprus3635
25%
1.0
3557-22
2.6
69%
47%
31%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1011.01.6
-
8KuressaareKuressaare3634
22%
0.9
4667-21
3.1
81%
61%
39%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
1011.31.9
-
9Tallinna KalevTallinna Kalev3833
21%
0.9
3875-37
3.0
84%
55%
39%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.02.0
-
10Nõmme UnitedNõmme United3615
6%
0.4
2279-57
2.8
86%
47%
28%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1010.62.2
-
11ViimsiViimsi22
0%
1.0
11+0
1.0
50%
0%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.50.5
-
Estonia: Meistriliiga 2024/25 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Estonia: Meistriliiga stats & trends →

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