PythiaFootballPythiaFootballBETA Free Picks Fixtures League Stats Team Stats Player Stats Pro Picks PRO Research Head-to-Head Validation Pricing Log in
← Back

Trans Narva vs Tammeka Result & Analysis

Date: 30/08/2026
Time: 16:00
Final 0-2
Trans Narva
Trans Narva
Vs
54%
23%
23%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Tammeka
Tammeka
Estonia: Meistriliiga
Referee: -
1 Model Analysis2 Goal Analysis3 Team Strengths Analysis4 Props Analysis5 Double Chance6 Home & Away Over/Under7 Handicap8 Half Time Goals O/U9 Half Time Home & Away O/U10 Second Half Goals O/U11 Second Half Home & Away O/U
12 Top picks for this game14 Squad value15 Games History16 Overall Statistics17 League Table
Match preview & prediction

Trans Narva, fresh from a 0-4 loss to FC Levadia Tallinn, will face Tammeka, who arrive on a two-game winning streak after a 1-0 victory over Kuressaare. The model’s most likely outcome is a home win, with a 55 % chance, followed by a 23 % draw and a 22 % away win. The expected total is 3.4 goals, centring on a 3-goal match with a 22 % probability. The single most probable scoreline is 1-1, carrying a 9.9 % chance.

Trans Narva’s home form shows an average of 2.67 goals scored and 1.67 conceded against similarly matched opponents, while Tammeka’s away record averages 1.57 scored and 3.29 conceded. The model’s suggested picks include Under 7.5 (97.6 %), Away under 2.5 HT goals (97.5 %), Away under 2.5 2H goals (96.4 %), Home under 2.5 HT goals (96.1 %), Away under 3.5 goals (95.5 % with a 7 % edge), Under 6.5 (94.0 % with a 2 % edge), Home under 2.5 2H goals (92.3 %), and Home +2 handicap (90.3 % with a 14 % edge).

Results analysis

The upset came as Trans Narva, the pre-match favourite with a 54% chance of victory, fell to a 0-2 defeat, ending their recent run of two straight losses. The model’s call was wrong. The final score of 0-2 gave Tammeka a win, a result that matched the model’s prediction of an away win. The model’s selection of a Home win was incorrect. Every suggested pick was settled: Under 7.5 hit at 97.6%, Away under 2.5 HT goals hit at 97.3%, Away under 2.5 2H goals hit at 96.6%, Away under 3.5 goals hit at 95.4%, Home under 2.5 HT goals hit at 95.0%, Home under 2.5 2H goals hit at 94.4%, Under 6.5 hit at 94.1%, and Home +2 handicap missed at 89.9%. All probabilities were expressed as percentages.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Trans Narva win✗ Miss
54.0%
Avg Implied 39.6% · @ 2.28
Edge
+14.4%
Best 5 market prices
Dafabet
2.35
Superbet
2.35
Unibet
2.33
Pinnacle
2.32
Betano
2.32
Draw✗ Miss
22.8%
Avg Implied 26.6% · @ 3.39
Edge
-3.8%
Best 5 market prices
Betfair
3.60
10Bet
3.55
Pinnacle
3.50
Dafabet
3.50
Unibet
3.45
Tammeka win✓ Hit
23.2%
Avg Implied 33.8% · @ 2.67
Edge
-10.6%
Best 5 market prices
Pinnacle
2.77
1xBet
2.76
William Hil
2.75
Superbet
2.72
Marathonbet
2.71

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

Trans NarvaTrans Narva

Last 10 – goals for & against
80-813L03L31W00D21W02L80W11D04L20WH·FC 04/07A·LAA10/07H·VAP18/07H·FLO22/07A·NÕM31/07H·KAL08/08H·KOM11/08H·PAI16/08A·FC 21/08H·KAL26/08
Avg total
3.2
Avg scored
1.7
Avg conceded
1.5
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.931.472.561.281.001.75
vs Stronger (15)0.932.001.101.700.602.60
vs Similar (14)2.431.003.570.861.291.14
vs Weaker (1)10.000.0010.000.00--
Clean sheet %30% (+3pp vs league)
This opponent (Tammeka) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

TammekaTammeka

Last 10 – goals for & against
190-1912L20W21W15L190W15L10W10W10W31WA·KAL02/11H·TRA08/11H·LAA05/07A·VAP11/07H·ZEA24/07A·KAL02/08A·RUM05/08A·NÕM14/08H·KUR22/08H·FLO26/08
Avg total
4.6
Avg scored
3.2
Avg conceded
1.4
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game2.272.073.071.271.472.87
vs Stronger (12)0.832.581.171.830.503.33
vs Similar (18)3.221.724.330.892.112.56
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %27% (-0pp vs league)
This opponent (Trans Narva) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

5%11%16%22%4%09%120%222%319%413%513%6+
The model estimates around 3.4 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 3 (22%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
86.5%
@ 1.18+9.2%
Under 1.5
13.5%
@ 4.01-9.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
1.22
10Bet
1.20
Betfair
1.20
1xBet
1.17
Marathonbet
1.17
Under
Unibet
4.50
Betfair
4.50
10Bet
4.20
Bet365
4.00
Marathonbet
3.95
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
66.4%
@ 1.64+10.4%
Under 2.5
33.6%
@ 2.09-10.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
1.70
Pinnacle
1.68
Marathonbet
1.66
Superbet
1.66
1xBet
1.66
Under
Betfair
2.20
Unibet
2.18
Pinnacle
2.15
10Bet
2.15
Bet365
2.10
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
44.6%
@ 2.53+8.7%
Under 3.5
55.4%
@ 1.42-8.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betfair
2.70
Pinnacle
2.64
Bet365
2.62
10Bet
2.60
Superbet
2.57
Under
Unibet
1.48
Pinnacle
1.45
10Bet
1.45
Betfair
1.44
Bet365
1.44
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
65.4%
@ 1.53+5.9%
No
34.6%
@ 2.26-5.9%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
Bet365
1.62
William Hil
1.60
Superbet
1.55
1xBet
1.53
10Bet
1.53
No
Unibet
2.38
Betfair
2.38
1xBet
2.32
Superbet
2.30
Marathonbet
2.28

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
10.0%@ 6.18+3.3%
2-1
9.5%@ 8.10+4.4%
2-0
7.1%@ 11.03+3.4%
3-1
6.6%@ 14.25+3.7%
2-2
6.3%@ 10.41+2.3%
1-2
6.1%@ 8.96+1.4%
1-0
5.9%@ 8.82+1.2%
3-0
5.0%@ 20.00+2.9%
Trans Narva goals ↓
Tammeka goals →
01234
04.2%3.4%2.9%1.3%0.4%
15.9%10%6.1%2.7%0.9%
27.1%9.5%6.3%2.8%0.9%
35.0%6.6%4.4%2.0%0.7%
42.6%3.5%2.3%1.0%0.3%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Trans Narva goals (down), columns = Tammeka goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
FC Levadia Tallinn
2.29
Paide
2.00
Tammeka
1.88
Kalju Nomme
1.75
Flora Tallinn
1.67
Laagri
1.50
Vaprus
1.00
Kuressaare
0.89
Trans Narva
0.88
Nõmme United
0.75
Trans Narva is 1.00 points worse than Tammeka in terms of average points per game (0.88 vs 1.88).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
FC Levadia Tallinn
2.71
Paide
2.00
Kalju Nomme
2.00
Laagri
1.88
Flora Tallinn
1.78
Vaprus
1.62
Tammeka
1.62
Nõmme United
1.12
Kuressaare
1.11
Trans Narva
0.88
Trans Narva is 0.75 goals worse than Tammeka in terms of goals scored per game (0.88 vs 1.62).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Kalju Nomme
1.00
FC Levadia Tallinn
1.00
Laagri
1.38
Paide
1.43
Flora Tallinn
1.56
Kuressaare
1.67
Vaprus
1.88
Tammeka
1.88
Trans Narva
2.12
Nõmme United
2.50
Trans Narva is 0.25 goals worse than Tammeka in terms of goals conceded per game (2.12 vs 1.88).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
Trans Narva or Draw✗ Miss
76.8%
Avg Implied 66.0% · @ 1.38
Edge
+10.8%
54%
23%
23%
covers Trans Narva + Draw
Best 5 market prices
Unibet
1.41
Betfair
1.40
William Hil
1.40
Bet365
1.40
Superbet
1.39
Trans Narva or Tammeka✓ Hit
77.2%
Avg Implied 74.0% · @ 1.23
Edge
+3.2%
54%
23%
23%
covers Trans Narva + Tammeka
Best 5 market prices
William Hil
1.30
Betano
1.27
Superbet
1.26
Bet365
1.25
Unibet
1.25
Draw or Tammeka✓ Hit
46.0%
Avg Implied 60.0% · @ 1.52
Edge
-13.9%
54%
23%
23%
covers Draw + Tammeka
Best 5 market prices
10Bet
1.60
William Hil
1.57
Betfair
1.53
Superbet
1.51
Bet365
1.50

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

Home & Away Over/Under

How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
Trans Narva over/under 0.5Actual: Under
Over
87.6%
@ 1.19+11.6%
Under
12.4%
@ 3.77-11.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
1.23
Bet365
1.22
Superbet
1.19
1xBet
1.18
10Bet
1.18
Under
Unibet
4.00
1xBet
4.00
Bet365
4.00
10Bet
3.95
Superbet
3.75
Trans Narva over/under 1.5Actual: Under
Over
61.8%
@ 1.97+15.6%
Under
38.2%
@ 1.70-15.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
2.10
Pinnacle
2.05
Superbet
2.02
Marathonbet
2.00
1xBet
2.00
Under
Pinnacle
1.75
10Bet
1.73
1xBet
1.72
Marathonbet
1.72
Unibet
1.71
Trans Narva over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
34.8%
@ 3.93+11.9%
Under
65.2%
@ 1.17-11.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
4.33
1xBet
4.10
Marathonbet
4.10
Superbet
4.00
Unibet
3.90
Under
Bet365
1.20
Unibet
1.17
Marathonbet
1.17
1xBet
1.17
Superbet
1.16
Trans Narva over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
15.9%
@ 8.50+5.0%
Under
84.1%
@ 1.05-5.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
8.50
Under
Bet365
1.05
Tammeka over/under 0.5Actual: Over
Over
73.6%
@ 1.23+0.2%
Under
26.4%
@ 3.39-0.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
1.28
Marathonbet
1.24
1xBet
1.24
Superbet
1.23
10Bet
1.22
Under
Unibet
3.70
Bet365
3.50
Marathonbet
3.48
1xBet
3.48
10Bet
3.45
Tammeka over/under 1.5Actual: Over
Over
38.4%
@ 2.17-3.5%
Under
61.6%
@ 1.56+3.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.31
Bet365
2.25
Marathonbet
2.23
1xBet
2.23
Superbet
2.20
Under
Unibet
1.62
Pinnacle
1.59
1xBet
1.58
Marathonbet
1.58
Bet365
1.57
Tammeka over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
15.0%
@ 4.44-5.2%
Under
85.0%
@ 1.12+5.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
4.85
1xBet
4.85
Superbet
4.50
Bet365
4.50
Unibet
4.35
Under
Bet365
1.17
Unibet
1.13
1xBet
1.12
Superbet
1.12
Marathonbet
1.12
Tammeka over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
4.6%
@ 9.00-5.7%
Under
95.4%
@ 1.04+5.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
9.00
Under
Bet365
1.04

⚖️ 7. Handicap

Handicap

The handicap is applied to Trans Narva, so a minus line means Trans Narva give that many goals of a start and Tammeka receive them. At -1, Trans Narva must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Trans Narva win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (Trans Narva)Actual: Tammeka
Trans Narva -2
16.4%
@ 8.77+6.4%
Draw -2
16.5%
@ 6.40+2.7%
Tammeka +2
67.0%
@ 1.16-9.1%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Unibet
9.00
Bet365
9.00
Marathonbet
8.30
Draw
Bet365
6.50
Marathonbet
6.45
Unibet
6.25
Away
Bet365
1.17
Unibet
1.16
Marathonbet
1.16
Handicap -1 (Trans Narva)Actual: Tammeka
Trans Narva -1
33.0%
@ 4.21+12.0%
Draw -1
21.0%
@ 4.12-0.4%
Tammeka +1
46.0%
@ 1.53-11.6%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Betfair
4.33
Bet365
4.33
Unibet
4.25
Marathonbet
4.15
10Bet
4.00
Draw
Bet365
4.33
Betfair
4.20
Marathonbet
4.05
10Bet
4.00
Unibet
4.00
Away
10Bet
1.60
Unibet
1.53
Betfair
1.53
Bet365
1.50
Marathonbet
1.50
Handicap +1 (Trans Narva)Actual: Tammeka
Trans Narva +1
76.8%
@ 1.41+14.4%
Draw +1
13.0%
@ 4.35-7.1%
Tammeka -1
10.1%
@ 5.03-7.3%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Betfair
1.44
Unibet
1.43
Bet365
1.40
Marathonbet
1.35
Draw
Bet365
4.50
Marathonbet
4.45
Unibet
4.25
Betfair
4.20
Away
Marathonbet
5.20
Betfair
5.00
Bet365
5.00
Unibet
4.90
Handicap +2 (Trans Narva)Actual: Draw
Trans Narva +2
89.9%
@ 1.12+11.1%
Draw +2
6.7%
@ 7.12-5.7%
Tammeka -2
3.4%
@ 10.03-5.4%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Marathonbet
1.13
Bet365
1.12
Unibet
1.12
Draw
Bet365
7.50
Unibet
7.00
Marathonbet
6.85
Away
Bet365
11.00
Unibet
10.00
Marathonbet
9.10

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

Trans NarvaTrans Narva

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
40-402L02L20W00D20W01L40W10W01L20WH·FC 04/07A·LAA10/07H·VAP18/07H·FLO22/07A·NÕM31/07H·KAL08/08H·KOM11/08H·PAI16/08A·FC 21/08H·KAL26/08
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.870.731.220.720.330.75
vs Stronger (15)0.330.870.501.000.000.60
vs Similar (14)1.210.641.860.430.570.86
vs Weaker (1)4.000.004.000.00--
Clean sheet %53% (+26pp vs league)
This opponent (Tammeka) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

TammekaTammeka

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
90-910W20W21W13L90W05L00D00D10W11DA·KAL02/11H·TRA08/11H·LAA05/07A·VAP11/07H·ZEA24/07A·KAL02/08A·RUM05/08A·NÕM14/08H·KUR22/08H·FLO26/08
Avg total
2.7
Avg scored
1.7
Avg conceded
1.0
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.171.301.670.930.671.67
vs Stronger (12)0.421.750.671.500.172.00
vs Similar (18)1.671.002.330.561.001.44
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %33% (+6pp vs league)
This opponent (Trans Narva) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
72.3%
@ 1.29+1.7%
Under 0.5
27.7%
@ 3.10-1.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
1.33
Marathonbet
1.31
1xBet
1.31
William Hil
1.30
Betfair
1.29
Under
William Hil
3.30
Betfair
3.25
Bet365
3.25
10Bet
3.20
Superbet
3.10
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
37.4%
@ 2.36-1.3%
Under 1.5
62.6%
@ 1.49+1.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
2.50
Betfair
2.50
Pinnacle
2.44
William Hil
2.40
1xBet
2.38
Under
Unibet
1.53
Pinnacle
1.52
William Hil
1.50
Superbet
1.50
10Bet
1.50
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
17.0%
@ 5.21-0.5%
Under 2.5
83.0%
@ 1.10+0.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
William Hil
5.80
Bet365
5.50
Betfair
5.50
Marathonbet
5.40
1xBet
5.40
Under
Betfair
1.13
William Hil
1.12
Bet365
1.12
Superbet
1.09
Marathonbet
1.09

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Trans Narva over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
54.5%
@ 1.85+4.6%
Under
45.5%
@ 1.84-4.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
1.88
Pinnacle
1.86
1xBet
1.85
Marathonbet
1.85
Unibet
1.80
Under
Pinnacle
1.89
Unibet
1.87
Superbet
1.82
1xBet
1.81
Marathonbet
1.81
Trans Narva over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
17.6%
@ 5.40+0.7%
Under
82.4%
@ 1.10-0.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
5.40
Marathonbet
5.40
Under
1xBet
1.10
Marathonbet
1.10
Trans Narva over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
5.0%
Under
95.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Tammeka over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
40.1%
@ 1.98-6.5%
Under
59.9%
@ 1.73+6.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.03
Superbet
2.00
1xBet
1.98
Marathonbet
1.98
Unibet
1.89
Under
Unibet
1.78
Pinnacle
1.75
Superbet
1.72
Marathonbet
1.70
1xBet
1.70
Tammeka over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
12.6%
@ 6.15-2.2%
Under
87.4%
@ 1.07+2.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
6.15
Marathonbet
6.15
Under
1xBet
1.07
Marathonbet
1.07
Tammeka over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
2.7%
Under
97.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

Trans NarvaTrans Narva

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
40-411D01L11D00D01L01L40W01L03L00DH·FC 04/07A·LAA10/07H·VAP18/07H·FLO22/07A·NÕM31/07H·KAL08/08H·KOM11/08H·PAI16/08A·FC 21/08H·KAL26/08
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.9
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.070.731.330.560.671.00
vs Stronger (15)0.601.130.600.700.602.00
vs Similar (14)1.210.361.710.430.710.29
vs Weaker (1)6.000.006.000.00--
Clean sheet %50% (+23pp vs league)
This opponent (Tammeka) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

TammekaTammeka

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
100-1002L00D00D02L100W10W10W10W00D20WA·KAL02/11H·TRA08/11H·LAA05/07A·VAP11/07H·ZEA24/07A·KAL02/08A·RUM05/08A·NÕM14/08H·KUR22/08H·FLO26/08
Avg total
1.9
Avg scored
1.5
Avg conceded
0.4
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.100.771.400.330.801.20
vs Stronger (12)0.420.830.500.330.331.33
vs Similar (18)1.560.722.000.331.111.11
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %53% (+26pp vs league)
This opponent (Trans Narva) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
82.3%
@ 1.17+4.0%
Under 0.5
17.7%
@ 4.20-4.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
William Hil
1.20
Bet365
1.18
Superbet
1.16
Marathonbet
1.15
1xBet
1.15
Under
Bet365
4.50
Marathonbet
4.25
1xBet
4.25
William Hil
4.00
Superbet
4.00
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
45.7%
@ 1.84-4.4%
Under 1.5
54.3%
@ 1.85+4.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
William Hil
1.91
Superbet
1.87
Marathonbet
1.85
1xBet
1.85
Bet365
1.83
Under
10Bet
1.90
Unibet
1.88
Marathonbet
1.85
1xBet
1.85
Superbet
1.83
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
23.6%
@ 3.64-1.5%
Under 2.5
76.4%
@ 1.22+1.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
William Hil
3.90
Bet365
3.75
Superbet
3.55
Marathonbet
3.50
1xBet
3.50
Under
Bet365
1.25
1xBet
1.22
William Hil
1.22
Marathonbet
1.22
Superbet
1.21

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Trans Narva over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
60.0%
@ 1.63+3.4%
Under
40.0%
@ 2.12-3.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
1.67
Superbet
1.62
1xBet
1.59
Under
1xBet
2.22
Superbet
2.12
Marathonbet
2.03
Trans Narva over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
25.3%
@ 3.77+1.0%
Under
74.7%
@ 1.21-1.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
3.80
Marathonbet
3.74
Under
1xBet
1.21
Marathonbet
1.21
Trans Narva over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
5.6%
Under
94.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Tammeka over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
51.9%
@ 1.69-2.5%
Under
48.1%
@ 2.02+2.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
1.71
Superbet
1.68
Marathonbet
1.68
Under
Superbet
2.05
Marathonbet
2.01
1xBet
2.00
Tammeka over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
17.2%
@ 4.45-3.5%
Under
82.8%
@ 1.16+3.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
4.50
Marathonbet
4.40
Under
Marathonbet
1.16
1xBet
1.15
Tammeka over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
3.4%
Under
96.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Under 7.597.6%-------✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 HT goals97.3%-------✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 2H goals96.6%-------✓ Hit
Away under 3.5 goals95.4%1.04
Bet365
1.04
----+5.7%✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 HT goals95.0%-------✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 2H goals94.4%-------✓ Hit
Under 6.594.1%1.01
1xBet
1.01
Bet365
1.01
---+1.8%✓ Hit
Home +2 handicap89.9%1.12
Marathonbet
1.13
Bet365
1.12
Unibet
1.12
--+11.1%✗ Miss
Home over 0.5 goals87.6%1.19
Marathonbet
1.23
Bet365
1.22
Superbet
1.19
1xBet
1.18
10Bet
1.18
+11.6%✗ Miss
Away under 1.5 HT goals87.4%1.07
1xBet
1.07
Marathonbet
1.07
---+2.2%✓ Hit
Under 5.586.8%1.03
Bet365
1.05
Betfair
1.05
Marathonbet
1.02
BetVictor
1.02
1xBet
1.02
-1.3%✓ Hit
Over 1.586.5%1.18
Bet365
1.22
10Bet
1.20
Betfair
1.20
1xBet
1.17
Marathonbet
1.17
+9.2%✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 goals85.0%1.12
Bet365
1.17
Unibet
1.13
1xBet
1.12
Superbet
1.12
Marathonbet
1.12
+5.2%✓ Hit
Home under 3.5 goals84.1%1.05
Bet365
1.05
-----5.0%✓ Hit
Under 2.5 HT goals83.0%1.10
Betfair
1.13
William Hil
1.12
Bet365
1.12
Superbet
1.09
Marathonbet
1.09
+0.5%✓ Hit
Away under 1.5 2H goals82.8%1.16
Marathonbet
1.16
1xBet
1.15
---+3.5%✓ Hit
Home under 1.5 HT goals82.4%1.10
1xBet
1.10
Marathonbet
1.10
----0.7%✓ Hit
Over 0.5 2H goals82.3%1.17
William Hil
1.20
Bet365
1.18
Superbet
1.16
Marathonbet
1.15
1xBet
1.15
+4.0%✓ Hit
Home or Away77.2%1.23
William Hil
1.30
Betano
1.27
Superbet
1.26
Bet365
1.25
Unibet
1.25
+3.2%✓ Hit
Home or Draw76.8%1.38
Unibet
1.41
Betfair
1.40
William Hil
1.40
Bet365
1.40
Superbet
1.39
+10.8%✗ Miss
Home +1 handicap76.8%1.41
Betfair
1.44
Unibet
1.43
Bet365
1.40
Marathonbet
1.35
-+14.4%✗ Miss
Under 2.5 2H goals76.4%1.22
Bet365
1.25
1xBet
1.22
William Hil
1.22
Marathonbet
1.22
Superbet
1.21
+1.5%✓ Hit
Home under 1.5 2H goals74.7%1.21
1xBet
1.21
Marathonbet
1.21
----1.0%✓ Hit
Under 4.574.0%1.14
Betfair
1.17
Bet365
1.17
Unibet
1.15
Marathonbet
1.14
1xBet
1.14
-5.2%✓ Hit
Away over 0.5 goals73.6%1.23
Bet365
1.28
Marathonbet
1.24
1xBet
1.24
Superbet
1.23
10Bet
1.22
+0.2%✓ Hit
Over 0.5 HT goals72.3%1.29
Bet365
1.33
Marathonbet
1.31
1xBet
1.31
William Hil
1.30
Betfair
1.29
+1.7%✓ Hit

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
KN (24)
€4m
FLT (22)
€4m
PAI (28)
€4m
FT (22)
€3m
TN (26)
€2m
VAP (24)
€2m
LAA (25)
€2m
TAM (24)
€2m
NU (26)
€2m
KUR (21)
€1m
Trans Narva and Tammeka have a similar squad value (both €2m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FLT (10)
€2m
PAI (12)
€2m
KN (9)
€2m
FT (8)
€1m
VAP (12)
€1m
TN (9)
€1m
TAM (9)
€1m
LAA (7)
€1m
NU (8)
€1m
KUR (7)
€1m
Trans Narva and Tammeka have a similar attack value (both €1m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
KN (3)
€1m
PAI (5)
€1m
FLT (3)
€1m
FT (5)
€1m
TN (7)
€1m
LAA (6)
€1m
TAM (6)
€0m
KUR (5)
€0m
NU (7)
€0m
VAP (2)
€0m
Trans Narva and Tammeka have a similar midfield value (both €1m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
KN (12)
€2m
FLT (9)
€2m
PAI (11)
€2m
FT (9)
€1m
VAP (10)
€1m
TN (10)
€1m
NU (11)
€1m
LAA (12)
€1m
TAM (9)
€1m
KUR (9)
€1m
Trans Narva and Tammeka have a similar defence value (both €1m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

8 previous meetings
4
TN wins
1
Draws
3
TAM wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Trans Narva vs Tammeka · H/A from TN
DateH/AGameScore
08/11/25ATammeka Vs TN2-0
09/08/25HTN Vs Tammeka4-1
03/05/25HTN Vs Tammeka4-0
13/04/25ATammeka Vs TN1-2
03/11/24ATammeka Vs TN3-3
31/08/24HTN Vs Tammeka0-1
27/05/24ATammeka Vs TN0-2
16/03/24HTN Vs Tammeka0-5

Trans NarvaTrans Narva

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
26/08/26HTN Vs Kalju Nomme2-0
21/08/26AFC Levadia Tallinn Vs TN4-0
16/08/26HTN Vs Paide1-1
11/08/26HTN Vs Kompanii Marjamaa8-0
08/08/26HTN Vs Kalju Nomme0-2
31/07/26ANõmme United Vs TN1-2
22/07/26HTN Vs Flora II0-0
18/07/26HTN Vs Vaprus3-1
10/07/26ALaagri Vs TN3-0
04/07/26HTN Vs FC Levadia Tallinn1-3

TammekaTammeka

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
26/08/26HTAM Vs Flora Tallinn3-1
22/08/26HTAM Vs Kuressaare1-0
14/08/26ANõmme United Vs TAM0-1
05/08/26ARumori Calcio Vs TAM0-1
02/08/26AKalju Nomme Vs TAM5-1
24/07/26HTAM Vs Zealot Sporting19-0
11/07/26AVaprus Vs TAM5-1
05/07/26HTAM Vs Laagri2-1
08/11/25HTAM Vs Trans Narva2-0
02/11/25AKalju Nomme Vs TAM2-1

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Trans Narva
Trans Narva
Estonia: Meistriliiga
Recent: 4 Wins / 2 Draws / 4 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLWDLW1.52
HomeDLWDW1.69
AwayLLLWL1.33
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %46%50%42%
AVG goals3.343.772.88
Over 1.5 %80%85%75%
Over 2.5 %62%62%62%
Over 3.5 %42%54%29%
Scored1.982.461.46
Conceded1.361.311.42
BTTS46%54%38%
Clean Sheet30%35%25%
Corners---
Cards---
Tammeka
Tammeka
Estonia: Meistriliiga
Recent: 7 Wins / 0 Draws / 3 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLWWWW1.16
HomeWWWWW1.46
AwayLLLWW0.88
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %36%46%27%
AVG goals4.004.043.96
Over 1.5 %84%79%88%
Over 2.5 %76%71%81%
Over 3.5 %50%46%54%
Scored1.902.541.31
Conceded2.101.502.65
BTTS56%50%62%
Clean Sheet20%29%12%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1FC Levadia TallinnFC Levadia Tallinn716
71%
2.3
197+12
3.7
100%
86%
57%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
2122.71.0
-
2Flora TallinnFlora Tallinn915
56%
1.7
1614+2
3.3
89%
89%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1111.81.6
-
3TammekaTammeka815
62%
1.9
1315-2
3.5
75%
62%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1011.61.9
-
4Kalju NommeKalju Nomme814
50%
1.8
168+8
3.0
75%
50%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
2122.01.0
-
5PaidePaide714
57%
2.0
1410+4
3.4
86%
57%
43%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
2122.01.4
-
6LaagriLaagri812
50%
1.5
1511+4
3.2
75%
75%
25%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1111.91.4
-
7VaprusVaprus88
25%
1.0
1315-2
3.5
88%
75%
62%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1011.61.9
-
8KuressaareKuressaare98
22%
0.9
1015-5
2.8
56%
56%
44%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
1011.11.7
-
9Trans NarvaTrans Narva87
25%
0.9
717-10
3.0
100%
62%
38%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1110.92.1
-
10Nõmme UnitedNõmme United86
25%
0.8
920-11
3.6
88%
88%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1011.12.5
-
Estonia: Meistriliiga 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Estonia: Meistriliiga stats & trends →

← all matches