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Treaty United vs Finn Harps Result & Analysis

Date: 26/07/2024
Time: 18:45
Final 1-0
Treaty United
Treaty United
Vs
46%
29%
24%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Finn Harps
Finn Harps
Ireland: First Division
Referee: -
1 Model Analysis2 Goal Analysis3 Team Strengths Analysis4 Props Analysis5 Double Chance6 Home & Away Over/Under7 Handicap8 Half Time Goals O/U9 Half Time Home & Away O/U10 Second Half Goals O/U11 Second Half Home & Away O/U
12 Top picks for this game14 Squad value15 Games History16 Overall Statistics17 League Table

ðŸŽŊ 1. Model Analysis

Treaty United win✓ Hit
46.3%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
29.2%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Finn Harps win✗ Miss
24.5%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

âš― 2. Goal Analysis

Treaty UnitedTreaty United

Last 10 – goals for & against
20-212L11D11D10W12L20W10W01L01L11DA·LON13/05A·COB17/05A·COR24/05H·LON31/05A·KER03/06H·BRA07/06A·WEX13/06A·ATH28/06H·COB04/07A·UCD12/07
Avg total
1.8
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.9
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.101.201.211.071.001.31
vs Stronger (13)1.081.460.801.601.251.38
vs Similar (14)1.211.071.620.880.671.33
vs Weaker (3)0.670.670.000.001.001.00
Clean sheet %27% (+1pp vs league)
This opponent (Finn Harps) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Finn HarpsFinn Harps

Last 10 – goals for & against
30-332W33D02L10W11D02L11D11D10W01LH·LON10/05A·UCD17/05A·KER24/05H·WEX31/05H·ATH03/06A·COB07/06H·UCD13/06A·LON28/06H·KER04/07A·COR12/07
Avg total
2.4
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
1.3
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.071.201.330.730.801.67
vs Stronger (12)1.331.331.171.171.501.50
vs Similar (18)0.891.111.440.440.331.78
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %23% (-2pp vs league)
This opponent (Treaty United) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

7%14%21%27%10%019%127%221%313%46%54%6+
The model estimates around 2.4 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (27%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
70.6%
Under 1.5
29.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
43.2%
Under 2.5
56.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
22.3%
Under 3.5
77.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
48.7%
No
51.3%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
13.8%
1-0 ✓
11.6%
0-0
10.3%
2-0
9.2%
2-1
9.0%
0-1
7.5%
1-2
6.1%
2-2
4.4%
Treaty United goals ↓
Finn Harps goals →
01234
010%7.5%4.3%1.4%0.3%
112%14%6.1%2.0%0.5%
29.2%9.0%4.4%1.4%0.3%
34.4%4.3%2.1%0.7%0.2%
41.6%1.5%0.7%0.2%0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Treaty United goals (down), columns = Finn Harps goals (across).

💊 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Cork City
2.17
UCD
1.55
Athlone Town
1.54
Wexford
1.50
Bray Wanderers
1.41
Finn Harps
1.28
Cobh Ramblers
1.22
Treaty United
1.22
Longford Town
0.81
Kerry
0.75
Treaty United is 0.06 points worse than Finn Harps in terms of average points per game (1.22 vs 1.28).

⚔ïļ Attack

Goals scored / game
Cork City
1.78
Wexford
1.61
Bray Wanderers
1.49
Athlone Town
1.38
UCD
1.26
Longford Town
1.14
Cobh Ramblers
1.14
Treaty United
1.14
Finn Harps
1.08
Kerry
0.94
Treaty United is 0.06 goals better than Finn Harps in terms of goals scored per game (1.14 vs 1.08).

ðŸ›Ąïļ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Cork City
0.64
UCD
1.03
Treaty United
1.19
Finn Harps
1.19
Bray Wanderers
1.28
Athlone Town
1.31
Wexford
1.50
Kerry
1.53
Cobh Ramblers
1.56
Longford Town
1.78
Treaty United and Finn Harps are level in goals conceded per game (both 1.19).

⏱ïļ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

ðŸŽē 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

ðŸĨ… 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖ïļ 7. Handicap

⏱ïļ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

Treaty UnitedTreaty United

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
10-110W01L11D00D01L10W10W01L00D10WA·LON13/05A·COB17/05A·COR24/05H·LON31/05A·KER03/06H·BRA07/06A·WEX13/06A·ATH28/06H·COB04/07A·UCD12/07
Avg total
0.9
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.4
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.370.400.430.360.310.44
vs Stronger (13)0.380.380.200.800.500.12
vs Similar (14)0.430.430.620.120.170.83
vs Weaker (3)0.000.330.000.000.000.50
Clean sheet %67% (+41pp vs league)
This opponent (Finn Harps) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Finn HarpsFinn Harps

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-222D21W00D10W00D01L01L10W10W00DH·LON10/05A·UCD17/05A·KER24/05H·WEX31/05H·ATH03/06A·COB07/06H·UCD13/06A·LON28/06H·KER04/07A·COR12/07
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.5
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.530.530.670.330.400.73
vs Stronger (12)0.750.670.830.500.670.83
vs Similar (18)0.390.440.560.220.220.67
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %57% (+31pp vs league)
This opponent (Treaty United) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸĨ… 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Treaty United over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Treaty United over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Treaty United over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Finn Harps over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Finn Harps over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Finn Harps over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱ïļ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

Treaty UnitedTreaty United

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-202L10W00D10W11D10W00D00D01L01LA·LON13/05A·COB17/05A·COR24/05H·LON31/05A·KER03/06H·BRA07/06A·WEX13/06A·ATH28/06H·COB04/07A·UCD12/07
Avg total
0.9
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.5
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.730.800.790.710.690.88
vs Stronger (13)0.691.080.600.800.751.25
vs Similar (14)0.790.641.000.750.500.50
vs Weaker (3)0.670.330.000.001.000.50
Clean sheet %47% (+21pp vs league)
This opponent (Finn Harps) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Finn HarpsFinn Harps

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-210W12L02L00D11D01L10W01L00D01LH·LON10/05A·UCD17/05A·KER24/05H·WEX31/05H·ATH03/06A·COB07/06H·UCD13/06A·LON28/06H·KER04/07A·COR12/07
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.8
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.530.670.670.400.400.93
vs Stronger (12)0.580.670.330.670.830.67
vs Similar (18)0.500.670.890.220.111.11
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %57% (+31pp vs league)
This opponent (Treaty United) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸĨ… 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Treaty United over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Treaty United over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Treaty United over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Finn Harps over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Finn Harps over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Finn Harps over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸ”Ĩ 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Under 3.577.7%-------✓ Hit
Over 1.570.6%-------✗ Miss

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FH (2)
€0m
CR (2)
€0m
TU (1)
€0m
CC (2)
€0m
BW (1)
€0m
KER (1)
€0m
AT (1)
€0m
Treaty United and Finn Harps have a similar squad value (both €0m).

⚔ïļ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
TU (1)
€0m
CC (2)
€0m
FH (1)
€0m
AT (1)
€0m
BW (0)
€0m
CR (0)
€0m
KER (0)
€0m
Treaty United and Finn Harps have a similar attack value (both €0m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FH (1)
€0m
BW (1)
€0m
KER (1)
€0m
CC (0)
€0m
AT (0)
€0m
CR (0)
€0m
TU (0)
€0m
Treaty United and Finn Harps have a similar midfield value (both €0m).

ðŸ›Ąïļ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
CR (2)
€0m
CC (0)
€0m
BW (0)
€0m
AT (0)
€0m
FH (0)
€0m
TU (0)
€0m
KER (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

ðŸĪ 15. Games History

H2H record

6 previous meetings
2
TU wins
0
Draws
4
FH wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Treaty United vs Finn Harps · H/A from TU
DateH/AGameScore
03/05/24AFinn Harps Vs TU1-0
29/03/24HTU Vs Finn Harps0-1
06/10/23HTU Vs Finn Harps2-0
11/08/23AFinn Harps Vs TU0-1
26/05/23HTU Vs Finn Harps0-3
14/04/23AFinn Harps Vs TU2-0

Treaty UnitedTreaty United

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
12/07/24AUCD Vs TU1-1
04/07/24HTU Vs Cobh Ramblers0-1
28/06/24AAthlone Town Vs TU1-0
13/06/24AWexford Vs TU0-1
07/06/24HTU Vs Bray Wanderers2-0
03/06/24AKerry Vs TU2-1
31/05/24HTU Vs Longford Town1-0
24/05/24ACork City Vs TU1-1
17/05/24ACobh Ramblers Vs TU1-1
13/05/24ALongford Town Vs TU2-1

Finn HarpsFinn Harps

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
12/07/24ACork City Vs FH1-0
04/07/24HFH Vs Kerry1-0
28/06/24ALongford Town Vs FH1-1
13/06/24HFH Vs UCD1-1
07/06/24ACobh Ramblers Vs FH2-0
03/06/24HFH Vs Athlone Town1-1
31/05/24HFH Vs Wexford1-0
24/05/24AKerry Vs FH2-0
17/05/24AUCD Vs FH3-3
10/05/24HFH Vs Longford Town3-2

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Treaty United
Treaty United
Ireland: First Division
Recent: 3 Wins / 3 Draws / 4 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWWLLD1.24
HomeLDWWL1.24
AwayDLWLD1.24
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %34%32%36%
AVG goals2.582.642.52
Over 1.5 %68%72%64%
Over 2.5 %48%52%44%
Over 3.5 %28%36%20%
Scored1.221.321.12
Conceded1.361.321.40
BTTS44%48%40%
Clean Sheet26%24%28%
Corners---
Cards---
Finn Harps
Finn Harps
Ireland: First Division
Recent: 3 Wins / 4 Draws / 3 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLDDWL1.16
HomeWWDDW1.38
AwayDLLDL0.92
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %30%35%25%
AVG goals2.702.313.12
Over 1.5 %70%62%79%
Over 2.5 %38%31%46%
Over 3.5 %30%27%33%
Scored1.041.081.00
Conceded1.661.232.12
BTTS46%42%50%
Clean Sheet20%31%8%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value ₮mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1Cork CityCork City3678
61%
2.2
6423+41
2.4
67%
33%
28%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.80.6
-
2Athlone TownAthlone Town3960
41%
1.5
5451+3
2.7
69%
54%
26%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.41.3
-
3UCDUCD3859
39%
1.6
4839+9
2.3
71%
42%
16%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.31.0
-
4WexfordWexford3857
39%
1.5
6157+4
3.1
87%
63%
39%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.61.5
-
5Bray WanderersBray Wanderers3955
38%
1.4
5850+8
2.8
74%
54%
31%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.51.3
-
6Finn HarpsFinn Harps3646
33%
1.3
3943-4
2.3
69%
28%
19%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.11.2
-
7Treaty UnitedTreaty United3644
31%
1.2
4143-2
2.3
64%
42%
25%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.11.2
-
8Cobh RamblersCobh Ramblers3644
33%
1.2
4156-15
2.7
83%
56%
19%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.11.6
-
9Longford TownLongford Town3629
17%
0.8
4164-23
2.9
81%
58%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.11.8
-
10KerryKerry3627
14%
0.8
3455-21
2.5
81%
39%
17%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.91.5
-
Ireland: First Division 2024/25 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Ireland: First Division stats & trends →

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