This opponent (Degerfors IF) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Degerfors IF
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.9
Avg scored
1.4
Avg conceded
1.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.07
1.93
1.20
1.47
0.93
2.40
vs Stronger (13)
1.15
2.54
1.29
1.57
1.00
3.67
vs Similar (17)
1.00
1.47
1.12
1.38
0.89
1.56
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
17% (-9pp vs league)
This opponent (Trelleborg) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.9 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (24%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
79.7%
Under 1.5
20.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
55.4%
Under 2.5
44.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
33.1%
Under 3.5
66.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
59.5%
No
40.5%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1 ✓
12.7%
1-2
8.9%
2-1
7.8%
0-1
7.4%
0-0
6.6%
0-2
6.6%
1-0
6.3%
2-2
6.0%
Trelleborg goals ↓
Degerfors IF goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
6.6%
7.4%
6.6%
3.4%
1.3%
1
6.3%
13%
8.9%
4.6%
1.8%
2
5.0%
7.8%
6.0%
3.1%
1.2%
3
2.3%
3.5%
2.7%
1.4%
0.5%
4
0.8%
1.2%
0.9%
0.5%
0.2%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Trelleborg goals (down), columns = Degerfors IF goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Degerfors IF
1.83
Osters IF
1.80
Landskrona BoIS
1.63
Helsingborg
1.57
Stockholm Internazionale
1.50
Orgryte IS
1.47
Sandviken
1.43
Trelleborg
1.40
IK brage
1.37
Utsikten
1.37
Varbergs BoIS FC
1.30
Orebro SK
1.30
Oddevold
1.20
Ostersunds FK
1.19
GIF Sundsvall
1.16
Gefle IF
1.07
Skövde AIK
0.83
Lund
0.00
Trelleborg is 0.43 points worse than Degerfors IF in terms of average points per game (1.40 vs 1.83).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Osters IF
1.83
Degerfors IF
1.67
Orgryte IS
1.67
Sandviken
1.63
Landskrona BoIS
1.53
Varbergs BoIS FC
1.53
Helsingborg
1.37
Utsikten
1.30
Gefle IF
1.23
Orebro SK
1.23
Oddevold
1.13
Trelleborg
1.10
Ostersunds FK
1.09
IK brage
1.03
Stockholm Internazionale
1.00
Lund
1.00
GIF Sundsvall
0.97
Skövde AIK
0.87
Trelleborg is 0.57 goals worse than Degerfors IF in terms of goals scored per game (1.10 vs 1.67).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Degerfors IF
0.93
IK brage
0.97
Stockholm Internazionale
1.00
Osters IF
1.03
Landskrona BoIS
1.13
Helsingborg
1.13
Orebro SK
1.20
Utsikten
1.27
Trelleborg
1.27
GIF Sundsvall
1.31
Sandviken
1.37
Orgryte IS
1.43
Ostersunds FK
1.44
Varbergs BoIS FC
1.47
Oddevold
1.57
Skövde AIK
1.73
Gefle IF
1.80
Lund
2.50
Trelleborg is 0.33 goals worse than Degerfors IF in terms of goals conceded per game (1.27 vs 0.93).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
Landskrona BoIS
64%
Sandviken
61%
Osters IF
58%
Lund
56%
IK brage
55%
Orebro SK
51%
Ostersunds FK
51%
GIF Sundsvall
50%
Helsingborg
48%
Trelleborg
48%
Degerfors IF
47%
Skövde AIK
47%
Orgryte IS
47%
Gefle IF
46%
Utsikten
46%
Stockholm Internazionale
43%
Oddevold
43%
Varbergs BoIS FC
40%
Trelleborg is 0.5 percentage points better than Degerfors IF in terms of average possession (48% vs 47%).
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Trelleborg
For 3.5 · Against 5.3 · Total 8.8
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.5 · Against 1.7 · Total 3.2
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 11.4 · Against 12.9 · Total 24.3
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Degerfors IF
For 5.3 · Against 6.1 · Total 11.4
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.0 · Against 1.9 · Total 3.9
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 11.1 · Against 13.1 · Total 24.2
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Trelleborg
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
10.1
9.4
10.8
2.7
2.7
2.6
25.6
26.9
24.4
vs Stronger (2)
7.5
5.0
10.0
3.0
4.0
2.0
24.5
29.0
20.0
vs Similar (48)
10.3
9.7
10.8
2.6
2.7
2.6
25.6
26.8
24.7
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
% over line
51%
38%
63%
40%
48%
32%
77%
88%
68%
% under line
49%
62%
37%
60%
52%
68%
23%
12%
32%
This opponent (Degerfors IF) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Degerfors IF
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
10.6
10.2
10.9
3.7
4.0
3.4
24.0
23.9
24.0
vs Stronger (25)
10.5
10.1
10.9
3.4
3.7
3.1
23.4
22.9
23.8
vs Similar (25)
10.6
10.3
11.0
4.0
4.2
3.7
24.6
24.8
24.4
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
% over line
60%
50%
71%
62%
68%
56%
67%
67%
67%
% under line
40%
50%
29%
38%
32%
44%
33%
33%
33%
This opponent (Trelleborg) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Oddevold
12.0
Skövde AIK
11.7
Helsingborg
11.1
Orgryte IS
11.1
GIF Sundsvall
11.0
Orebro SK
10.8
Degerfors IF
10.6
Ostersunds FK
10.6
Landskrona BoIS
10.5
Varbergs BoIS FC
10.5
Osters IF
10.5
Trelleborg
10.2
Gefle IF
10.0
Utsikten
9.9
IK brage
9.3
Sandviken
7.2
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Utsikten
5.6
Orgryte IS
4.7
Osters IF
4.6
Ostersunds FK
4.5
Helsingborg
4.5
Landskrona BoIS
4.3
Sandviken
4.2
Gefle IF
4.2
Varbergs BoIS FC
4.2
Trelleborg
4.1
Orebro SK
4.1
Degerfors IF
3.9
Skövde AIK
3.9
IK brage
3.6
GIF Sundsvall
3.1
Oddevold
2.0
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Sandviken
32.0
Utsikten
29.3
Varbergs BoIS FC
28.3
Gefle IF
27.1
Oddevold
27.0
Skövde AIK
26.4
Trelleborg
26.0
Ostersunds FK
26.0
Orgryte IS
25.7
Landskrona BoIS
25.2
Helsingborg
24.7
IK brage
24.7
Osters IF
24.7
Orebro SK
24.1
Degerfors IF
24.0
GIF Sundsvall
21.2
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Over
Over 9.5
55.3%
Under 9.5
44.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
58.4%
Under 3.5
41.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Over
Over 21.5
75.4%
Under 21.5
24.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
⚖️ 7. Handicap
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Trelleborg
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.57
0.67
0.67
0.80
0.47
0.53
vs Stronger (2)
0.50
2.00
0.00
3.00
1.00
1.00
vs Similar (28)
0.57
0.57
0.71
0.64
0.43
0.50
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
53% (+28pp vs league)
This opponent (Degerfors IF) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Degerfors IF
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.43
1.03
0.27
0.87
0.60
1.20
vs Stronger (13)
0.46
1.23
0.29
0.86
0.67
1.67
vs Similar (17)
0.41
0.88
0.25
0.88
0.56
0.89
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
37% (+11pp vs league)
This opponent (Trelleborg) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Trelleborg over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Trelleborg over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Trelleborg over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Degerfors IF over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Degerfors IF over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Degerfors IF over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Trelleborg
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
1.0
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.70
0.97
0.60
1.07
0.80
0.87
vs Stronger (2)
0.00
2.00
0.00
3.00
0.00
1.00
vs Similar (28)
0.75
0.89
0.64
0.93
0.86
0.86
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
43% (+18pp vs league)
This opponent (Degerfors IF) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Degerfors IF
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.9
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.63
0.90
0.93
0.60
0.33
1.20
vs Stronger (13)
0.69
1.31
1.00
0.71
0.33
2.00
vs Similar (17)
0.59
0.59
0.88
0.50
0.33
0.67
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
43% (+18pp vs league)
This opponent (Trelleborg) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Trelleborg over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Trelleborg over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Trelleborg over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Degerfors IF over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Degerfors IF over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Degerfors IF over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Over 19.5 fouls
86.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 1.5
79.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 2.5 cards
77.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 5.5 cards
77.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Over 21.5 fouls
75.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Trelleborg
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Hady Saleh Karim44%
Nicolas Mortensen25%
Fritiof Björkén20%
Filip Bohman20%
Pierre Larsen17%
Othmane Salama8%
Eren Alievski8%
Andreas Larsen0%
Felix Hörberg0%
Charlie Weberg0%
Mattias Andersson0%
Zander Hyltoft0%
Tobias Karlsson0%
Viktor Christiansson0%
Fredrik Martinsson0%
Samuel Asoma0%
Markus Björkqvist0%
Abel Ogwuche0%
Ammar Asani0%
Johannes Kack0%
Armin Culum0%
Emmanuel Godwin0%
Karl Wendt0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Zander Hyltoft40%
Abel Ogwuche25%
Filip Bohman20%
Felix Hörberg17%
Ammar Asani17%
Hady Saleh Karim11%
Emmanuel Godwin11%
Tobias Karlsson8%
Othmane Salama8%
Eren Alievski8%
Pierre Larsen0%
Nicolas Mortensen0%
Andreas Larsen0%
Fritiof Björkén0%
Charlie Weberg0%
Mattias Andersson0%
Viktor Christiansson0%
Fredrik Martinsson0%
Samuel Asoma0%
Markus Björkqvist0%
Johannes Kack0%
Armin Culum0%
Karl Wendt0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Johannes Kack20%
Armin Culum18%
Emmanuel Godwin11%
Pierre Larsen8%
Felix Hörberg8%
Nicolas Mortensen0%
Andreas Larsen0%
Fritiof Björkén0%
Charlie Weberg0%
Mattias Andersson0%
Zander Hyltoft0%
Tobias Karlsson0%
Viktor Christiansson0%
Fredrik Martinsson0%
Samuel Asoma0%
Filip Bohman0%
Hady Saleh Karim0%
Markus Björkqvist0%
Othmane Salama0%
Abel Ogwuche0%
Eren Alievski0%
Ammar Asani0%
Karl Wendt0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Hady Saleh Karim44%
Armin Culum18%
Othmane Salama17%
Karl Wendt17%
Filip Bohman10%
Pierre Larsen8%
Felix Hörberg8%
Nicolas Mortensen0%
Andreas Larsen0%
Fritiof Björkén0%
Charlie Weberg0%
Mattias Andersson0%
Zander Hyltoft0%
Tobias Karlsson0%
Viktor Christiansson0%
Fredrik Martinsson0%
Samuel Asoma0%
Markus Björkqvist0%
Abel Ogwuche0%
Eren Alievski0%
Ammar Asani0%
Johannes Kack0%
Emmanuel Godwin0%
Degerfors IF
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Pashang Abdulla67%
Erik Lindell43%
Gustav Lindgren43%
Dijan Vukojevic36%
Nahom Girmai20%
Abdelkarim Chaouche17%
Alper Demirol17%
Nasiru Moro12%
Mamadouba Diaby8%
Kevin Holmén7%
Luc Kassi0%
Christos Gravius0%
Sebastian Ohlsson0%
Carlos Moros Gracia0%
Johan Martensson0%
Wille Jakobsson0%
Bernardo Morgado0%
Elyas Bouzaiene0%
Rasmus Forsell0%
Teo Grönborg0%
Oscar Wallin0%
Adi Fisic0%
Alexander Heden Lindskog0%
Elias Pihlstrom0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Abdelkarim Chaouche50%
Sebastian Ohlsson27%
Nasiru Moro25%
Nahom Girmai20%
Carlos Moros Gracia20%
Dijan Vukojevic14%
Kevin Holmén14%
Gustav Lindgren14%
Johan Martensson11%
Bernardo Morgado9%
Wille Jakobsson8%
Mamadouba Diaby8%
Adi Fisic8%
Luc Kassi0%
Erik Lindell0%
Christos Gravius0%
Elyas Bouzaiene0%
Pashang Abdulla0%
Rasmus Forsell0%
Teo Grönborg0%
Oscar Wallin0%
Alper Demirol0%
Alexander Heden Lindskog0%
Elias Pihlstrom0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Abdelkarim Chaouche33%
Dijan Vukojevic21%
Elias Pihlstrom18%
Erik Lindell14%
Kevin Holmén14%
Gustav Lindgren14%
Sebastian Ohlsson9%
Teo Grönborg9%
Mamadouba Diaby8%
Adi Fisic8%
Nasiru Moro0%
Luc Kassi0%
Nahom Girmai0%
Christos Gravius0%
Carlos Moros Gracia0%
Johan Martensson0%
Wille Jakobsson0%
Bernardo Morgado0%
Elyas Bouzaiene0%
Pashang Abdulla0%
Rasmus Forsell0%
Oscar Wallin0%
Alper Demirol0%
Alexander Heden Lindskog0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Dijan Vukojevic43%
Pashang Abdulla33%
Erik Lindell29%
Gustav Lindgren21%
Kevin Holmén14%
Elias Pihlstrom9%
Mamadouba Diaby8%
Nasiru Moro0%
Luc Kassi0%
Nahom Girmai0%
Christos Gravius0%
Sebastian Ohlsson0%
Carlos Moros Gracia0%
Johan Martensson0%
Wille Jakobsson0%
Bernardo Morgado0%
Elyas Bouzaiene0%
Abdelkarim Chaouche0%
Rasmus Forsell0%
Teo Grönborg0%
Oscar Wallin0%
Adi Fisic0%
Alper Demirol0%
Alexander Heden Lindskog0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
Sweden: Superettan 2024/25 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Sweden: Superettan stats & trends →
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Osters IF
Landskrona BoIS
Helsingborg
Orgryte IS
Sandviken
IK brage
Utsikten
Varbergs BoIS FC
Orebro SK
Ostersunds FK
GIF Sundsvall
Oddevold
Gefle IF
Skövde AIK
Stockholm Internazionale
Lund